The Porkchop Express said:
dcg4403 said:
Might hate it but I get it. He isnt going to change his tune, nor would I, until Texas A&M football demonstrates that can produce a solid offense that can consistently put up 30+ points.
Maybe in 2 years, we will all love him. Thats my hope.
Predicting A&M to disappoint is a pretty safe bet except this century minus 2012/2020. Guy isn't dumb for hitching his wagon to a routinely falling star.
Went back and looked at Vegas lines since A&M joined the SEC. Not counting 2020 (I couldn't find a good record of win totals) A&M has beaten the win total only 4 times in 11 years but has missed it by a half game 3 times. Each of those times it was juiced toward the under. A&M has averaged being under by only 0.2 wins per year. Put another way over 11 years A&M is 2.5 games under the Vegas line in total. So Vegas has had A&M pegged fairly well since 2012.
For comparison I looked at Texas and Notre Dame.
Texas has only beaten the Vegas line twice from what I can tell and has averaged being 1.2 games short of the average Vegas line, a full 13 wins under. They have significantly underperformed expectations.
Notre Dame on the other hand has beaten the Vegas odds 6 times in the past 11 seasons and averages just 0.1 wins over the Vegas line, or 1.5 wins in total, so similar to A&M it's fairly well pegged.