whatthehey78 said:
Quote:
"A 5 star that doesnt pan out is going to be better than a 3 star that plays above their head. You cant argue that."
Talk about dumb.
Obviously it's dumb with regards to the extremes. Like a 5 star that drops out of school, or a 3 star like Manziel
But I think the better way to word it is, we have some 3 stars that end up better than their ranking. Lets take a DeShawn Capers-Smith. He was very solid for us in 2018 as our nickel. Most 3 stars never start, fwiw. So Capers-Smith outplayed the average 3 star. Not an extreme case like Manziel, or Mike Evans, but just a solid story.
Now, lets take a 5 star like Ricky Seals-Jones, often considered a disappointment here. Still a better player than Capers-Smith, and still in the NFL. If RSJ was a 3 star, people would be talking about how he overachieved and made it to the NFL. In other words, you can disappoint as a 5 star and still be better than 95% of three stars.
I think that is what he's referring to. A 3 star, in general, most are never heard from again, so you don't hear about the disappointments. Only the 1 out of 10, or even 15-20 successes depending on what level you are recruiting them (three star range varies from the 400th player in the world to a few thousand). A high 3 star with multiple offers will still hit higher than a low 3 star with FCS offers, on average.