levypantsEOY said:
Agsuffering@bulaw said:
We could look for correlation, but would probably not be able to prove causation well enough for somebody to be convinced he lost a bet.
We are talking about the decision immature teenagers make. Most of the time they do not know why they decide what they decide. What standard would you set for proving causation?
Well, you referred to this story as "recruiting platinum." I believe that this is going to be a total non-event in the grand scheme of things, mostly due to a disgraced and unreliable accuser and the fact that our culture has become numb to these stories, but I digress...
Let's put it this way- if Herman's 2019 Hermits finish well below where they are currently (number 7), you win the bet. Let's call it out of the top ten. I would assume recruiting platinum would mean their class is dead in the water, so this shouldn't be a stretch for you.
Oh, the undergrad's going to "
prove" that something "is going to be a
TOTAL (emphasis added) "
non-event".
Yeah, that's possible, Verbosity Junior! LOL. Prove it, control for every conceivable variable, make sure that it's
both statistically valid and statistically reliable.
Here's a kid who likes to read his own typing! "Total non-event. Wanna bet?"