A scernario I was waiting to see if someone drew up. I agree with youexcept-I do think a revolution would have occurred have been successful. Nicholas was hell-bent on being in control of all and hated the very existence of the Duma. I believe eventually, well before the 40s, the Czarist regime would have fallen. It was temporarily staved off only by the typical patriotic response most citizens experienced to "defend" Holy Russia.UncleJew15 said:
I'm going to go with Russian WWI/ Civil war questions
- What Would of happened if Tsar Nicholas had not taken direct control of the military and instead gave control to Brusilov or another capable general.
- If Lenin where not released would the Russian revolution still kicked off or would it have been a different party rising up?
- What would have happened to Russia if the White Guard had won?
I would say if Brusilov had direct control of the military it would have been a different ball game. He was more experienced in leading than Tsar Nicholas and arguably Nicholas' handling of the military helped kick off the Revolution. So with a general who had success in Galecia and was tactically innovative I could see Brusilov taking overall command and having success at that level.
I think the revolution would have kicked off either way since Russia was at a tipping point already, however if you combined it with my first question then I think not.
With the White guard winning I think it would have led to another civil war, between the capitalist and the Tsarist. Mainly the White guard was united to kick commie @$$. Without a unifying goal, I think another civil was would have erupted with a capitalist victory.
What I do think is that the Alllies hadn't pushed the Kerensky Government into staying in the war and could have focused on reforms, there would have been a better a 50 percent chance, if not greater, that the Bolsheviks would not have come to power. Without the ability, the Bolsheviks ability to shout "Peace, Bread, Land" made the October Revolution and its success inevitable.