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810,657 Views | 6443 Replies | Last: 16 days ago by tk for tu juan
rca21978
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Build It
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AG
My new Westinghouse 12,500 watt Tri Fuel generator and 50 amp plug are ready this time!

I was out 8 days last time. I hate September.
GoAgs11
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This seems like Beryl all over again
terradactylexpress
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Finishing breaking mine in now
BayAg_14
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GoAgs11 said:

This seems like Beryl all over again


It's nothing like Beryl. HTH
MosesHallDeadPot94
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Would not be surprised to see the track guidance on the 18Z run shift a tad more to the east. The ICON model which nailed Beryl has been persistent with landfall over LA as well as the GFS model. The outlier has been the Canadian model and the latest run is finally showing a shift to the east.

12Z run of ICON Model
12Z run of GFS Model

MosesHallDeadPot94
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Storm info off Tropical Tidbits
Invest 91L

NOTE: Will be Francine when named
wessimo
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buddybee
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P.H. Dexippus
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Getting spicy
GoAgs11
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P.H. Dexippus said:

Getting spicy




Dang not this again
GoAgs11
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BayAg_14 said:

GoAgs11 said:

This seems like Beryl all over again


It's nothing like Beryl. HTH


You were saying ?
MAROON
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GoAgs11 said:

This seems like Beryl all over again

Chicken Little alert!
98Ag99Grad
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GoAgs11 said:

P.H. Dexippus said:

Getting spicy




Dang not this again


Lol it's September so yeah this again. Welcome to Houston
GoAgs11
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Models im seeing put this over houston
rca21978
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Which models are those? Most 12Z runs today pointed to Louisiana.
Anti-taxxer
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GoAgs11 said:

Models im seeing put this over houston

Which one? The soon-to-be-Francine? Or one of the others?
jh0400
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18Z more of the same.



terradactylexpress
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When you look at the spaghetti models it's about half and half vs the ensemble
Stat Monitor Repairman
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P.H. Dexippus said:

Getting spicy

Mid atlantic is spotting.
Anti-taxxer
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CenterPoint is covering their assets. In the last hour, I have received two emails, a phone call, and a text.
spadilly
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S
Yeah, that centerpoint "be prepared" email was met with "you be prepared, centerpoint!" in our house.
Hwy30East
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Same here. I signed up months ago for text , etc…. And just got my first text today from them. Nothing was ever received before Beryl, or the Derecho's.
tamuags08
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From the ad riddled weather channel app
LostInLA07
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Their email basically says "blah blah blah and if you want to make sure you have power, go somewhere else."
rca21978
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Good analysis.

https://theeyewall.com/a-tropical-storm-or-hurricane-is-likely-in-the-western-gulf-of-mexico-this-week/
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Diggity
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Same.
Captain Winky
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Can we do a wellness check on Schlemblah and CAR96?
BBRex
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miley said:

From the pilots association:
Quote:

Sabine Pilot Helicopter Trials
16-MAY-2024

Owners, Agents, and Terminal Operators,

In January of this year, the Sabine Bank Channel Pilots embarked on a three-month helicopter trial that has proven the long-term viability of conducting pilot transfer operations via air. This successful trial concluded in the second week of April, marking a significant milestone in our operations. During the trial, a few essential things were noticeable:
Pilot transfer operations by helicopter occurred in conditions that would have been less safe or impossible by boat alone. We transferred over 60 pilots by hoist in heavy weather conditions(Force 6 or greater) that would have otherwise been difficult or dangerous.
The helicopter improved pilot boarding time accuracy. Many of the boardings by helicopter happened on time or earlier than scheduled. More than half of the pilot boardings by helicopter were earlier than planned or within five minutes of the expected boarding times. Given the challenges of terminal construction traffic and winter weather, this gain in time increases the efficiency of the waterway.
Feedback from the captains of several ships involved with pilot transfer by helicopter underscored the enhanced safety this method provides for the ship and its personnel. The ship personnel do not need to venture outside the ship's handrails to rig a pilot or accommodation ladder. If rigging a ladder is required, it can be done within inshore waters where additional emergency assistance is closer. Safety data does not usually capture the number of times a person does not have to go outside the handrails to rig a pilot ladder. Still, it's clear from the mariners' comments that helicopter operations are preferable and safer for the ship's crew.
Pilots who boarded the vessels by helicopter reported significantly less fatigue than when they boarded by boat. On a typical day, the transit to and from the offshore boarding station in Sabine Pass is about an hour's boat ride. When the wave heights increase, it can take much more time, and that additional time carries a physical toll. However, with the helicopter service, pilots reported a higher state of readiness and attentiveness upon arrival to the ship's bridge. This reduction in fatigue benefits the pilots and enhances the safety and efficiency of the entire operation, making it a win-win situation for all stakeholders.

We have been presented with the opportunity to continue this helicopter service, and it's in the best interest of vessels, industry, and pilots to move forward now.

Sabine Bank Channel Pilotage Association's published tariff was amended during the trial, and a transportation fee of $2480 per pilot was assessed. This fee was based on a three-month contract, but only a small portion of that was 24-hour service. Helicopter service will be offered 24-hours moving forward, and the transportation charge will increase to $3225 per pilot, a change that we want stakeholders to be aware of.

We plan to resume helicopter service on May 22, 2024, and run until December 31, 2024.

The Sabine Bank Channel Pilotage Association is working with the United States Army Corps of Engineers, the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration, and the United States Coast Guard to determine when the Sabine Bank Channel extension will be charted and buoyed. The target date to commence service on the channel extension is January 1, 2025. We hope to initiate a long-term helicopter service contract in December.

Your support is crucial as we move forward with this service. We value your input and welcome any questions or concerns you may have.

Wesley Moore
Sabine Bank Channel Pilotage Association




I was at A&M-Galveston when Wes was there. Great guy.
Sea Speed
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Saw him 2 weeks ago at a Gala. Definitely a good guy.
wessimo
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Looks like Houston should miss the worst of it
PJYoung
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Yeah at present it looks like a glancing blow on the weak side for Houston.
98Ag99Grad
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And even then mainly coastal areas getting the brunt. In town should be ok
kelkel25
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I'm on week two of my new job our plant is in Westlake, LA.
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