AgLiving06 said:

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Herzog has been very doom and gloom.

A couple weeks ago he was warning people to get their cars off the road at the risk of street flooding. It barely rained in Houston that day.

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He is a former student

I think Lanza is the emotional one. Herzog is the doom and gloom.

Sea Speed said:

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I wonder how aware the masses even are at this point.

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They are aware. Costco was preppered today

kgtg79 said:

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AgLiving06 said:

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Herzog has been very doom and gloom.

A couple weeks ago he was warning people to get their cars off the road at the risk of street flooding. It barely rained in Houston that day.

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He is a former student

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Yep...doesnt' change how he's been posting the past month or so.

AgLiving06 said:

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kgtg79 said:

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AgLiving06 said:

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Herzog has been very doom and gloom.

A couple weeks ago he was warning people to get their cars off the road at the risk of street flooding. It barely rained in Houston that day.

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He is a former student

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Yep...doesnt' change how he's been posting the past month or so.

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Just making a point that he is a former Aggie. Lol

I think it's time to start giving the HWRF a look more seriously for #Beryl from this point. At least as of this evening, it's probably the or the 2nd best model with grasping how strong the hurricane is still despite added wind shear.

One thing that I DO think is probable is… pic.twitter.com/yM3m6jU8qb

— Noah Bergren (@NbergWX) July 3, 2024

Any Cantore spottings yet?

atmtws said:

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Any Cantore spottings yet?

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Him and the Jamaican bobsled team are hunkered down on the beach preparing for the worst.

Dammit. In Rockport now and was going to stay over the weekend for a Tuesday guided fishing trip. Looks like we'll be headed home Saturday or Sunday and I'll cancel my PTO

maroon barchetta said:

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kgtg79 said:

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AgLiving06 said:

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kgtg79 said:

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AgLiving06 said:

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Herzog has been very doom and gloom.

A couple weeks ago he was warning people to get their cars off the road at the risk of street flooding. It barely rained in Houston that day.

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He is a former student

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Yep...doesnt' change how he's been posting the past month or so.

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Just making a point that he is a former Aggie. Lol

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Former Aggie???

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Former student. My bad. Lol

Damn. Thats the dirty side straight up 45.

Looks like it's starting to weaken a little bit more.

BSD said:

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cone said:

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so what

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v

v

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Put on your red shoes and dance the blues. My jam! So is the Puff/Biggie/Mase song that sampled it.

If construction started on the Ike dike immediately following Ike, we'd still be 4-years out from it being finished.

6z GFS shows #Beryl making landfall in south Texas after a short trip across the Yucatán. pic.twitter.com/EtNNeRcCqA

— Florida Tropics (@FloridaTropics1) July 3, 2024

CAR96 said:

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Seems all these meteorologists are arguing it out on twitter/X and us common filks are trying to interpret a language to stay safe.

From what I have read it all depends on strength the storm as it approaches the Yucatan and how much it may weaken coming off the peninsula if at all and then how deep or South the 'weak' trough moves South out if the northern US states that can influence a northern track of the storm.

My confusion is still they show some model runs going into Brownsville and some toward Pt Arthur.

I realize we will know more by Thursday but I have been following this going on for about a week already and have extreme anxiety related to weather. Elderly parents in SE Tx that have very limited physical capabilities and I will have to travel to evacuate with that can not do well in a car for long.

Sorry I can no longer type on my phone it changes every other word.

I am a wreck

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now is the time to get a plan together for what to do. you can hold off a couple days still probably putting it into action.

i dunno where exactly they are, but as a starting point i'd say the closer to laredo you could get, the better off you'd be. the winds will not be a risk there, and that probably gets you away from the worst of any rain on the dirty storm side.

maybe consider renting a refundable rate hotel room as your fall back option now, then cancel if you don't need it.

First time I've seen this on the models. This is after Beryl.

Laredo?

Look at the run spadilly just posted, it shows up at the Yucatan right at the end

Visiting my parents in Amarillo right now. May have to leave sooner than planned to get back to Houston rather than driving through heavy rain and flooding.

I said, may.

Space City Weather and Eric Berger in his post a few minutes ago says, based on the most recent data, he agrees with the National Hurricane Center and thinks it'll be a "tropical storm/borderline Category 1 hurricane striking the Mexico coast about 50 miles south of Brownsville."

Charlie Murphy said:

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Why are people already wringing hands and cancelling plans? A bit early IMO.

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Depends on what the plans are.

Cancelling a flight out of Houston for work...Probably a bit premature.
Cancelling a family trip down to Port A...Probably justified.

My parents are in the SETX Golden Triangle and
Flooded during Harvey. I wasn't there with them and couldn't get
From north Houston to them for a long time ansd they had to relocate for about 8 months and fix their house.

They are not in good health and we have a plan to evacuate .

I have somehow created an extreme weather anxiety ever since.

Like someone said above, there's people on this forum from all over the world and I'm sure there's folks near your parents. I'm sure they would be willing to help however needed. I know most of us would if they lived near Houston.

I encourage you not to hesitate to make a post asking for help if it would ease your mind.

Thank you. Right now they can drive shorter distances so we can manage as of today. I have a hotel reservation in central Tx-hopefully that won't be a bad location.

I'm calling landfall at Punta de Piedra as a Cat 1.

Hope it's not that strong, but I think that's the best one can hope for given the temps of the gulf right now.