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Rain next week

13,189 Views | 102 Replies | Last: 6 mo ago by techno-ag
LOYAL AG
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9:38a, 7/7/24
AG
Looking like we'll be on the dry side. Wind profile for tomorrow is NW then N then NE.
A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
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Orlando Ayala Cant Read
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In reply to LOYAL AG • 9:41a, 7/7/24
AG
LOYAL AG said:
Looking like we'll be on the dry side. Wind profile for tomorrow is NW then N then NE.


Dry as in not much rain? In BCS?
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Tom Cardy
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In reply to Orlando Ayala Cant Read • 9:46a, 7/7/24
AG
West Side of the center typically has less rain. Path will make a big difference and show a gradient for rain totals
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MsDoubleD81
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9:48a, 7/7/24
AG
What year was that the Alabama game was canceled because of impending hurricane? 1988??
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LOYAL AG
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In reply to Orlando Ayala Cant Read • 9:51a, 7/7/24
AG
Orlando Ayala Cant Read said:
LOYAL AG said:
Looking like we'll be on the dry side. Wind profile for tomorrow is NW then N then NE.


Dry as in not much rain? In BCS?


That's how I interpret the wind profile as the storm passes us. The wet side of a storm is the east side and winds would be out of the south with the dry side having winds out of the north. Not sure they know right now. The eye is going to go very close to us so I guess we could see east Brazos County get soaked and west Brazos not so much. It'll be into see what happens.
A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
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Orlando Ayala Cant Read
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In reply to LOYAL AG • 10:02a, 7/7/24
AG
LOYAL AG said:
Orlando Ayala Cant Read said:
LOYAL AG said:
Looking like we'll be on the dry side. Wind profile for tomorrow is NW then N then NE.


Dry as in not much rain? In BCS?


That's how I interpret the wind profile as the storm passes us. The wet side of a storm is the east side and winds would be out of the south with the dry side having winds out of the north. Not sure they know right now. The eye is going to go very close to us so I guess we could see east Brazos County get soaked and west Brazos not so much. It'll be into see what happens.


Thanks for educating me. Hopefully you're right. Hoping we can keep it under 3 inches (I often getting flood issues on some property I own at anything over 4 or so in a short time. )
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maroon barchetta
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In reply to MsDoubleD81 • 12:08p, 7/7/24
MsDoubleD81 said:
What year was that the Alabama game was canceled because of impending hurricane? 1988??


Too soon.
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Hornbeck
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In reply to maroon barchetta • 1:18p, 7/7/24
AG
maroon barchetta said:
MsDoubleD81 said:
What year was that the Alabama game was canceled because of impending hurricane? 1988??


Too soon.


Yes. '88 was the hurricane bowl.
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maroon barchetta
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In reply to Hornbeck • 1:23p, 7/7/24
Hornbeck said:
maroon barchetta said:
MsDoubleD81 said:
What year was that the Alabama game was canceled because of impending hurricane? 1988??


Too soon.


Yes. '88 was the hurricane bowl.


I think Derrick Thomas just sacked Lance Pavlas again from us talking about it.
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Stucco
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1:42p, 7/7/24
CSISD cancelled classes and camps tomorrow.

Current forecast:
  • Between 4" and 12" of rain spread pretty evenly between 8AM and 8PM tomorrow and
  • Sustained winds peaking at 55mph around 11AM, with gusts up to 80mph
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MsDoubleD81
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In reply to Stucco • 1:47p, 7/7/24
AG
Whose forecast is that?
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Hornbeck
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In reply to MsDoubleD81 • 1:53p, 7/7/24
AG
National Hurricane Center Graphics

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Tom Cardy
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1:56p, 7/7/24
AG
That wind forecast is pretty aggressive compared to anything official that I've seen. Path will matter a lot for max wind, but the 1:00 update looked like gusts in the 50mph range for south cstat
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MsDoubleD81
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In reply to Tom Cardy • 1:57p, 7/7/24
AG
Same
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scd88
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In reply to Tom Cardy • 2:02p, 7/7/24
AG
Tom Cardy said:
That wind forecast is pretty aggressive compared to anything official that I've seen. Path will matter a lot for max wind, but the 1:00 update looked like gusts in the 50mph range for south cstat


Still on track for a lot of rain, too. I'm surprised it hasn't gone down since we will be on the other side of the storm.
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Stucco
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2:28p, 7/7/24
From Accuweather - It felt aggressive to me too, but I battened down the hatches all the same.

2024 Local Beryl Tracker | AccuWeather
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MsDoubleD81
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2:46p, 7/7/24
AG
Max Crawford is live on Facebook
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trouble
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2:47p, 7/7/24
AG
Nice good steady rain here in central Bryan.
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FlyRod
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2:56p, 7/7/24
If we get 80 mph winds this town is in big big trouble.
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MsDoubleD81
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3:11p, 7/7/24
AG
Max saying sustained winds 40 mph for several hours in BCS, with potential for gusts. No mention of 80. Rain 4-6 inches.
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FlyRod
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3:15p, 7/7/24
Yeah watching him live and he just updated the thing further east so less rain and hopefully lower wind threat.
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MsDoubleD81
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In reply to FlyRod • 3:25p, 7/7/24
AG
I think those high number are the eastern counties of the Brazos VALLEY, not Brazos County.
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MsDoubleD81
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4:25p, 7/7/24
AG
Here we go, I had 2 Amazon packages that arrived Bryan PO this morning at 0400 with delivery for today. I just checked and now packages show "delivery date unknown".
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ElephantRider
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4:25p, 7/7/24
AG
My money's on the dome
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Nosmo
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4:38p, 7/7/24
AG
NOAA Graphical Forecast Easterwood

As of 4:16 PM forecast for Monday noon / afternoon

Wind 26 mph
Gust 44 mph

Maybe 3-5 inches rain Monday after midnight through day.
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Hornbeck
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In reply to MsDoubleD81 • 4:43p, 7/7/24
AG
MsDoubleD81 said:
Here we go, I had 2 Amazon packages that arrived Bryan PO this morning at 0400 with delivery for today. I just checked and now packages show "delivery date unknown".


Taken by the hurricane. RIP
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dallasag00
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4:50p, 7/7/24
AG
That power pole laying at a 45 degree angle resting on a transformer box on William D Fitch right before the Pebble Creek entrance can't be good.

Winds haven't even rolled in yet.
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Jbob04
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4:54p, 7/7/24
AG
Max's recent update showed 2.5" for BCS and 7+ just a short distance to the east. If this thing shifts east again, we will likely miss out on most of the rain.
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Bad Poster
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5:19p, 7/7/24
My kids daycare closed tomorrow. Its guaranteed this will be a nothingburger now.
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MsDoubleD81
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In reply to Jbob04 • 5:20p, 7/7/24
AG
Nervous Nellie's will be along soon with a computerized model showing 60 mph gusts and 8 inches.
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TyHolden
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In reply to Jbob04 • 5:21p, 7/7/24
AG
Jbob04 said:
Max's recent update showed 2.5" for BCS and 7+ just a short distance to the east. If this thing shifts east again, we will likely miss out on most of the rain.
yep, dome pushed it further east. we'll be lucky to get an inch or two. probably last chance until october.
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FlyRod
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5:27p, 7/7/24
I'm optimistic we'll have more rain. This spring, June, and July so far have already been WAY better than the 2023 calamity.
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Thisguy1
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5:33p, 7/7/24
How close to the storm do you need to be to get the winds? If the rains just miss us will it still be a little more windy than normal?
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The Brazos Kid
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In reply to Thisguy1 • 5:37p, 7/7/24
Thisguy1 said:
How close to the storm do you need to be to get the winds? If the rains just miss us will it still be a little more windy than normal?


Gonna be a giant hot hair dryer without the rain.
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techno-ag
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7:27p, 7/7/24
AG
BrazCo has been declared a disaster area in anticipation of Beryl hitting.

https://www.kbtx.com/2024/07/07/brazos-county-judge-duane-peters-issues-disaster-declaration-ahead-beryl/
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