B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

673,709 Views | 4711 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by Nosmo
isitjustme
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Active cases down 1 to 263, rate still at 0.11% in the county.
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

They changed the percentage left for 90's from .9 to .7

scd88
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[In order to keep this thread on topic please start another thread if you would like to discuss that issue. Thank you. -Staff]
Rapier108
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So, to get back on topic.

7 New Cases
0 New Deaths
0 Reported Tests
18 in the Hospital
67% Total Hospital Capacity (-1%), 61% ICU Capacity (No Change)

77801 +1
77803 +1
77840 +3
77845 +2

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.17.20.pdf

[We are not going to continue to clean this thread up because of of derails without giving bans. -Staff]
isitjustme
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256 active cases in Brazos County, or a hair under 0.11%.
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Belton Ag
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[We are removing any posts that start a derailing conversations not just political posts. -Staff]
Rapier108
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14 New Cases
0 New Deaths
344 Reported Tests
15 in the Hospital
72% Total Occupancy (+5%), 51% ICU (-10%)

77802 +1
77803 +4
77840 +6
77845 +3

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.18.20.pdf

The BCHD has also said they will include test results from schools and university administered tests in the daily numbers, but they will not break it down into which results come from those tests, and which ones are the tests conducted by medical facilities.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Bunk Moreland
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well i think we have a consistent enough baseline of 10-20 cases a day for the regular community so if and when it shoots up to 30-50 I'll know what's community vs school spread.
isitjustme
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Active cases down to 3 to 253, still 0.11% in Brazos County.

Almost as impressive is the 92.77% recovery rate (Recovered/Cases) , which I hope will continue to grow.
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q






FlyRod
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Any thoughts on reconfiguring the spreadsheet if and when TAMU cases become available? Separate columns?
Rapier108
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Bunk Moreland said:

well i think we have a consistent enough baseline of 10-20 cases a day for the regular community so if and when it shoots up to 30-50 I'll know what's community vs school spread.
Especially if almost all of the cases appear in the under 30 range.

One possibility is we won't see much of an increase, because many college age people already had it (most being asymptomatic or very mild symptoms) so it can no longer easily spread among them.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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FlyRod said:

Any thoughts on reconfiguring the spreadsheet if and when TAMU cases become available? Separate columns?
Unless A&M announces the test results independently of the BCHD, we won't know how many cases are from A&M testing. The BCHD isn't going to distinguish between A&M tests and tests from medical facilities. All will be lumped together into the daily number.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
FlyRod
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Ah ok. I thought I read prior that A&M tests would not be included.
Rapier108
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FlyRod said:

Ah ok. I thought I read prior that A&M tests would not be included.
It's very possible at one time they weren't (they're still not including jail/prison cases in the numbers), but they announced today they will include the school testing results.

https://www.facebook.com/BrazosCountyHealthDistrict/posts/4118323638238515
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
FlyRod
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Ah cool. Thanks for the clarification. Would still be useful to know if any spikes are student or non-student driven but that is what it is.
Rapier108
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FlyRod said:

Ah cool. Thanks for the clarification. Would still be useful to know if any spikes are student or non-student driven but that is what it is.
We'll have to infer from the numbers if there is a spike. Should be easy base on age range.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
isitjustme
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Numbers are already up today. With 19 new cases and 20 newly reported recoveries, active cases are down 1 to 252, still 0.11% of the Brazos County population.
Rapier108
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19 New Cases
0 New Deaths
461 Reported Tests
No change in hospitalized cases
67% ICU Occupancy (-5%), ICU at 55% (+4%)

77801 +2
77802 +2
77803 +4
77807 +3
77808 +1
77840 +1
77845 +6

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.19.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated

Link to Spreadsheet
FlyRod
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https://www.kbtx.com/app/2020/08/20/texas-am-to-report-weekly-on-campus-covid-19-numbers-and-updates/

Rapier & Lockett, this might be useful for you in updating your data, unless TAMU cases are included in the local health dept. releases for certain.
scd88
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What a bull**** subheading..."400 have tested positive since February..."

Is that even relevant to today? Feels like they just wanted to post a "big" number.

On a related note - thanks for posting and I am hoping we included campus numbers in the ones we have been following here.
Rapier108
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scd88 said:

What a bull**** subheading..."400 have tested positive since February..."

Is that even relevant to today? Feels like they just wanted to post a "big" number.

On a related note - thanks for posting and I am hoping we included campus numbers in the ones we have been following here.
At least A&M is going to put out their own test result numbers since the BCHD can't be bothered to split the daily numbers and tell us how many come from A&M testing.

As for KBTX, if they're not trying to be CNN on politics, they're all in a corona fear porn.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
FlyRod
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Maybe the spread sheet can add a separate TAMU column?

I agree the "since February" is not helpful for present situation. Data should begin when (roughly) student move ins started.
Rapier108
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26 New Cases
2 New Deaths
300 Reported Tests
11 in the Hospital
Total Hospital Occupancy 63% (-4%), ICU Occupancy 51% (-4%)

77801 +1
77802 +1
77803 +4
77807 +2
77808 +0
77840 +11
77845 +7

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.20.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
AggiePhil
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Numbers are starting to climb again. Not good.
lockett93
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AggiePhil said:

Numbers are starting to climb again. Not good.


Ummmm. NO!!

Last Thursday we had 40 cases, today 26. The last 7 days cases (104) is the lowest since June 5th.

However, with the return of students and the increased testing by the university, an increase in positive cases should be expected.
gunan01
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In before people accuse you of being a doomer
Is Not a Turtle
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Expected though. They should rise as people have more contact with one another. What we need to see is a steady trend of hospitalizations either maintaining similar levels or dropping and death rates remaining roughly where they are.

We need to see that the virus isn't killing people at the rates people thought it would and let the hysteria die.

But after reading that report and knowing that side of the fence, we are definitely in for poorly written, ill-informed articles designed to create fear.
Rapier108
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lockett93 said:

AggiePhil said:

Numbers are starting to climb again. Not good.


Ummmm. NO!!

Last Thursday we had 40 cases. The last 7 days cases is the lowest since June 5th.

However, with the return of students and the increased testing by the university, an increase in positive cases sound be expected.
It's the only thing he ever posts on this thread.

People who think the only acceptable number is 0 need to realize it is not going to happen.

And for those who might flag this; my comment is in no way intended as any kind of personal attack. It is merely a statement of fact as to the only comment Phil posts on this thread.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

I'll add a column for TAMU once it starts updating.


trouble
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Deaths were both males in their 90s who were hospitalized
Rapier108
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The two deaths were both men in their 90s who were hospitalized.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
cavscout96
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AggiePhil said:

Numbers are starting to climb again. Not good.
right. on. cue.
 
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