B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

681,174 Views | 4759 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by Belton Ag
Rapier108
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Unfortunately, when they release the daily numbers doesn't mean much. We've seen early releases with high numbers, and late releases with low numbers, and vice-versa. It probably just tells us how busy they are on a particular day. The daily numbers are probably not the highest priority.

Sometimes they forget to update the link right away, but if you use the URL from the previous day, and simply change it to today's date, the PDF appears. Already tried that and it says file not found.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Is Not a Turtle
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Thank you for the update! I mostly breeze through here to see where we are at after lunch and realized I hadn't seen anything.

Thanks again! Cheers!
Rapier108
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20 New Cases
0 New Deaths
239 Reported Tests
19 In the Hospital
Total Hospital Occupancy up 11%, ICU Down 3%.

77801 +1
77802 +4
77803 +7
77807 +2
77808 +0
77840 +3
77845 +3

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.5.20.pdf

Also, all PO Box zip codes have been removed and moved to the Unknown line. This increased unknown to 88 from 56. Below is what was listed for those zip codes.

77805- 8
77806- 6
77841- 3
77842- 2
77843- 7
77866- 4
77881- 2
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
isitjustme
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AG
451 active cases, or 0.19% of the population. Great news.
lockett93
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AG
Spreadsheet updated.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Pie charts are different for English vs Spanish age breakdown
Rapier108
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lockett93 said:

Spreadsheet updated.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Pie charts are different for English vs Spanish age breakdown
Trust the Spanish ones. They seem to be more diligent in updating those.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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24 New Cases
0 New Deaths
177 New Tests
17 in the Hospital
2% increase in hospital occupancy, ICU % unchanged.

77801 +3
77802 +1
77803 +8
77807 +0
77808 +2
77840 +3
77845 +6

Unknown +1

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.6.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
isitjustme
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AG
426 active cases, or 0.18% of the population. I know the answer to my question - "two more weeks."
trouble
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AG
I'll grab regional stats in a bit. Yesterday was crazy over here.
trouble
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AG
3 discharges

total of 3525 recovered

17 Brazos Co patients, 62 regional

Brazos Co hospitals

Total Bed Occupancy: 76%

Total ICU Bed Occupancy: 73%

Regional

otal Staffed Hospital Beds - 470
Available Hospital Beds - 122
Available ICU Beds - 4
Available Ventilators - 42
Ukraine Gas Expert
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AG
I haven't dug too far into the data, but I was curious about hospital occupancy and our local media's scare tactics from a historical perspective. I came across this site:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/185904/hospital-occupancy-rate-in-the-us-since-2001/

It seems the US averages about 64-65% occupancy, and have seen the number in other reviews as well.

Why is that important?

To me it demonstrates that hospitals tend to hold a high occupancy already, and the fear porn produced is only about 10% on top of what is already in the system. It's possibly meaningless, but still I like to know the starting point.

When kbtx blasts occupancy rates as high as 75-80%, people freak the f out, but to learn what the US historically averages, it somewhat puts it into context that it already is high. Rural units obviously have less, which is good for overall capacity.

Anyways, just something I stumbled across, and food for thought for those that just listen to kbtx. Lastly, I could be wrong on the data, but the historical numbers keep showing up in locations.
Rapier108
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It is fear porn, nothing more, and all of the media is guilty of it.

Locally, KBTX has been atrocious about peddling coronadoom. The only thing that could top it would be Bill Oliver from WTAW asking about a "Wuhan Style Lockdown."
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
lockett93
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AG
Spreadsheet updated.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Pie charts are different for English vs Spanish age breakdown

Spanish ones are too high (add to more than 100), so went with English.
trouble
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AG
And ICUs typically run at about 85%
dubi
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trouble said:

And ICUs typically run at about 85%
or 95%.....
02atthelake
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Has anyone seen cumulative COVID hospitalization numbers for Texas and/or Brazos county? Or can you somehow glean that from the daily census data? I'm curious about the % of confirmed cases that end up hospitalized.
cavscout96
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AG
fairly large (relatively) jump in the 60 y/o demographic, interesting.
Ukraine Gas Expert
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AG
I didn't realize that, good info.
trouble
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AG
We get daily numbers but we don't know how many people total have been hospitalized.
lockett93
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AG
cavscout96 said:

fairly large (relatively) jump in the 60 y/o demographic, interesting.
I would take it with a grain of salt, the % is only given with 0.1% precision, English and Spanish shows 6.4% up from 6.3% yesterday... So it could be 6.36 instead of 6.4, or 6.44...

cavscout96
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AG
lockett93 said:

cavscout96 said:

fairly large (relatively) jump in the 60 y/o demographic, interesting.
I would take it with a grain of salt, the % is only given with 0.1% precision, English and Spanish shows 6.4% up from 6.3% yesterday... So it could be 6.36 instead of 6.4, or 6.44...


I was just commenting on the raw numbers from today's report. Usually, the bulk is in the 30 and under crowd, but 6 of 17 were in their 60's if i read your SS correctly.
tb9665
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There is going to be 3 days of testing next week. Cases probably will go back up.
02atthelake
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Thanks. I tried to back into it but it seems impossible with the data given. CDC has national numbers - right at 9% of cases end up hospitalized per their data. Would be nice to see how that varies by state/county and age although I realize that data can be unreliable - admitted with COVID vs admitted with something else and then found out they had it. It seems an important bit of information nonetheless.
Belton Ag
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AG
02atthelake said:

Thanks. I tried to back into it but it seems impossible with the data given. CDC has national numbers - right at 9% of cases end up hospitalized per their data. Would be nice to see how that varies by state/county and age although I realize that data can be unreliable - admitted with COVID vs admitted with something else and then found out they had it. It seems an important bit of information nonetheless.
Just at first glance that seems way too high. Early on most cases were actually confirmed as a result of being admitted to a hospital so naturally it would be skewed to the high side. As time has gone on it's probably been steadily decreasing.
02atthelake
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Agreed. We don't seem to be experiencing the same % of hospitalizations here.
KidDoc
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AG
02atthelake said:

Agreed. We don't seem to be experiencing the same % of hospitalizations here.
This is because most of our cases are under 60 years of age.

I expect an explosion of cases in the next month but hospitalizations will be flat.

No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
trouble
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AG
We also had the cluster at the nursing home early on. They just didn't tell us that was what it was.
Rapier108
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trouble said:

We also had the cluster at the nursing home early on. They just didn't tell us that was what it was.
If the families had not gone to the media, we probably never would have known, at least from any official source.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
trouble
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AG
Agreed
Rapier108
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27 New Cases
1 New Death
565 Reported Tests
18 in the Hospital
Total occupancy down 3%, ICU up 9%.

77802 + 4
77803 + 13
77807 + 1
77808 + 1
77840 + 4
77845 + 3

Unknown +1

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/8.7.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
lockett93
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AG
Spreadsheet updated.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Pie charts were the SAME for English vs Spanish age breakdown. woohoo


Death was a female resident in her 60's that had been hospitalized.
trouble
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AG
death was a female in her 60s

3 discharges

active cases is now 389

18 Brazos Co patients, 57 regional

Brazos Co hospitals

Total Bed Occupancy: 73%

Total ICU Bed Occupancy: 82%

Regional

Total Staffed Hospital Beds - 459
Available Hospital Beds - 101
Available ICU Beds - 3
Available Ventilators - 40
isitjustme
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AG
389 active cases - - > 0.17% active case rate in Brazos county. One of 3 or 4 lowest in the kbtx reporting/viewing area.
Slocum on a mobile
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agrab86 said:

389 active cases - - > 0.17% active case rate in Brazos county. One of 3 or 4 lowest in the kbtx reporting/viewing area.


Excuse me, this does not fit the fearmongering narrative we've been working on for several months....

Did anyone catch the news story out of Houston about the drug that has gotten several folks off of a vent quickly?
https://abc13.com/treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-houston-methodist-hospital-how-to-treat/6357769/
Rapier108
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Slocum on a mobile said:

agrab86 said:

389 active cases - - > 0.17% active case rate in Brazos county. One of 3 or 4 lowest in the kbtx reporting/viewing area.


Excuse me, this does not fit the fearmongering narrative we've been working on for several months....
Nope, which is why it won't be reported.

Instead we'll hear how many people died in Texas in the last 24 hours, and make it sound like the entire state is burning; when in reality it is one area that is getting it hard and responsible for the big chunk of the cases and deaths.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
 
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