B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

684,927 Views | 4780 Replies | Last: 5 hrs ago by trouble
cavscout96
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new straw said:

My guess is that it's more important to isolate if positive. I am a nurse and it took longer to get my negative than my coworkers positive. (Neither of us were allowed to return to work) it may also be something so simple as positives come back faster.
see above. THX
asoiaf
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cavscout96 said:

Esteban du Plantier said:

Slocum on a mobile said:

A particular person I know who got tested last Thursday still has no results.

Anecdotal, but, it seems like it's taking longer for results.


My family was tested on Wednesday.

I had a friend that got tested the same day and she called today and asked and they eventually gave her the results. So I called today and asked and they called me back with results.

It sounds like they're prioritizing delivering positive results and the negatives get backed up.


Not to go all tinfoil hat, but why?

That info is just as relevant, if properly correlated to the day of the test.

I guess it's easier to maintain the public anxiety, for lack of a better word, when the focus is on the small percentage of positive tests vs. the relatively large percentage of negative test.

EdP, glad y'all are negative.


I can say with 100% confidence for a few locations that it's all about manpower.

Most important to call positive for obvious reasons and if you have patients waiting at the door, you aren't going to tell them to wait while you call the 30 negative results sitting on your computer screen.
asoiaf
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MiMi said:

Quote:

ETA the 99% fever stat seems to come from a Chinese study of covid patients needing hospitalization. Other stats I saw showed of those with symptoms, 80% had a fever.
Exactly my point. We are still learning about this novel virus. By assuming only those with a fever are worthy of a test, we are missing potential positive cases. It fells like it's mid to late March again with this resistance to test those with symptoms. Back then, fever, cough and SOB were about the only symptoms that could qualify you for test. We now have a better understanding of the range of possible symptoms, yet many can't get tested.
Quote:
I know of someone who went to multiple testing places today but couldn't get tested because they didn't have a fever.

What's up with that?



Without knowing more than the info provided in this statement, it could have been that they had zero symptoms and just wanted to get tested just to know.

Testing is being done at a much, much higher level than it was in March. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.
Rapier108
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From what I've been told, S&W will only call people who test positive. Negative tests simply go to your MyChart.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
pants
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asoiaf said:

MiMi said:

Quote:

ETA the 99% fever stat seems to come from a Chinese study of covid patients needing hospitalization. Other stats I saw showed of those with symptoms, 80% had a fever.
Exactly my point. We are still learning about this novel virus. By assuming only those with a fever are worthy of a test, we are missing potential positive cases. It fells like it's mid to late March again with this resistance to test those with symptoms. Back then, fever, cough and SOB were about the only symptoms that could qualify you for test. We now have a better understanding of the range of possible symptoms, yet many can't get tested.
Quote:
I know of someone who went to multiple testing places today but couldn't get tested because they didn't have a fever.

What's up with that?



Without knowing more than the info provided in this statement, it could have been that they had zero symptoms and just wanted to get tested just to know.

Testing is being done at a much, much higher level than it was in March. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.

Yes, but I may need to have a negative test within 72 hours of traveling to certain states. With no known contact and no symptoms, do I need to go find a positive COVID person and hang out with them before testing?
asoiaf
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pants said:

asoiaf said:

MiMi said:

Quote:

ETA the 99% fever stat seems to come from a Chinese study of covid patients needing hospitalization. Other stats I saw showed of those with symptoms, 80% had a fever.
Exactly my point. We are still learning about this novel virus. By assuming only those with a fever are worthy of a test, we are missing potential positive cases. It fells like it's mid to late March again with this resistance to test those with symptoms. Back then, fever, cough and SOB were about the only symptoms that could qualify you for test. We now have a better understanding of the range of possible symptoms, yet many can't get tested.
Quote:
I know of someone who went to multiple testing places today but couldn't get tested because they didn't have a fever.

What's up with that?



Without knowing more than the info provided in this statement, it could have been that they had zero symptoms and just wanted to get tested just to know.

Testing is being done at a much, much higher level than it was in March. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.

Yes, but I may need to have a negative test within 72 hours of traveling to certain states. With no known contact and no symptoms, do I need to go find a positive COVID person and hang out with them before testing?

There are travel medicine clinics that I'm sure would gladly order the test for you.

Or you can call CPL directly and get the test done without ever seeing a Dr.
Rapier108
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62 New Cases
117 New Tests
2 New Deaths (Will update ages when that comes out)
In The Hospital (Not even going to try to guess this)

77801 +6
77802 +7
77803 +16
77807 +8
77808 +1
77840 +10
77843 +1
77845 +13

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/6.30.20.pdf

Guess today is the weekend lag. We'll see if tomorrow jumps more than 120 or so.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
nthomas99
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Rapier108 said:

In The Hospital (Not even going to try to guess this)


Social media graphic is up now. Currently 37 hospitalizations. 4 discharges.
trouble
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37 in the hospital.
4 discharged, 7 admissions.

Deaths are 1 male,1 female, both in their 80s.

28 added to recovered.
trouble
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And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated.

Some rounding issues where the percentages given are finite enough to get exactly the same numbers...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q


AggieYankee1
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trouble said:

And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.


Do you see that as good or bad?
lockett93
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trouble said:

And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.
We have added a new line with Hospital Occupancy percentages. This includes all hospitals in Brazos County and includes all patients-not just COVID-19 patients. At this time, this is the only additional hospital information that will be reported. This percentage changes often, but it is closely monitored by local health officials
toolshed
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AggieYankee1 said:

trouble said:

And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.


Do you see that as good or bad?


Considering ICU's usually operate at a bit higher percentage of capacity, in the 80's or 90's percentage, I'd call it great! It shows me they are planning ahead and leaving room for a potential spike, whether that materializes or not.

But I'm not a Med professional. And I'd wager my view is different than other alarmist.
tb9665
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I wonder if we get to the point where elective surgeries are stopped. Four more counties were added today. That is a total of 8 now.
trouble
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The numbers are lower than usual hospital occupancy so we're fine from that standpoint.

This is information we've been asking for and until now, the health department declined giving out.
trouble
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lockett93 said:

trouble said:

And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.
We have added a new line with Hospital Occupancy percentages. This includes all hospitals in Brazos County and includes all patients-not just COVID-19 patients. At this time, this is the only additional hospital information that will be reported. This percentage changes often, but it is closely monitored by local health officials


I missed that. I'm gonna blame the 7 month old crawling all over me.
cavscout96
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AggieYankee1 said:

trouble said:

And whoa, we got new info!

Hospital occupancy 64%

ICU occupancy 63%

I would assume that is not just Covid patients.


Do you see that as good or bad?
Good, since, as explained a couple times by some of the folks in HC on this forum, ICUs at 63% is actually pretty low for the "norm."
AggieBaseball06
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tb9665 said:

I wonder if we get to the point where elective surgeries are stopped. Four more counties were added today. That is a total of 8 now.


We aren't even at our normal hospital capacity. I don't foresee that being an issue for us for a while...
nought
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Here's an update to my earlier post, including today's count.

The columns are the date, total cases as of that date, the cumulative rate it took to get from the first day of cases locally to the given date's total cases, and a column with stars. A star is placed on a rate if it is the lowest cumulative local rate to-date.

Mar 20 2020 6 50.00 *
Mar 21 2020 10 58.11
Mar 22 2020 12 44.22 *
Mar 23 2020 12 31.61 *
Mar 24 2020 16 31.95
Mar 25 2020 21 31.83
Mar 26 2020 28 32.05
Mar 27 2020 31 29.17 *
Mar 28 2020 40 29.15 *
Mar 29 2020 44 27.10 *
Mar 30 2020 46 24.86 *
Mar 31 2020 53 24.03 *
Apr 01 2020 63 23.62 *
Apr 02 2020 68 22.43 *
Apr 03 2020 72 21.25 *
Apr 04 2020 75 20.11 *
Apr 05 2020 94 20.41
Apr 06 2020 94 19.17 *
Apr 07 2020 97 18.27 *
Apr 08 2020 108 17.91 *
Apr 09 2020 114 17.29 *
Apr 10 2020 116 16.54 *
Apr 11 2020 134 16.49 *
Apr 12 2020 140 15.97 *
Apr 13 2020 143 15.38 *
Apr 14 2020 149 14.93 *
Apr 15 2020 151 14.39 *
Apr 16 2020 158 14.03 *
Apr 17 2020 164 13.66 *
Apr 18 2020 169 13.29 *
Apr 19 2020 170 12.86 *
Apr 20 2020 170 12.43 *
Apr 21 2020 173 12.09 *
Apr 22 2020 177 11.79 *
Apr 23 2020 177 11.44 *
Apr 24 2020 181 11.17 *
Apr 25 2020 181 10.85 *
Apr 26 2020 182 10.57 *
Apr 27 2020 182 10.28 *
Apr 28 2020 188 10.10 *
Apr 29 2020 193 9.92 *
Apr 30 2020 197 9.72 *
May 01 2020 202 9.55 *
May 02 2020 208 9.40 *
May 03 2020 208 9.18 *
May 04 2020 209 8.98 *
May 05 2020 219 8.89 *
May 06 2020 232 8.83 *
May 07 2020 243 8.74 *
May 08 2020 256 8.67 *
May 09 2020 265 8.57 *
May 10 2020 271 8.45 *
May 11 2020 278 8.33 *
May 12 2020 287 8.23 *
May 13 2020 301 8.17 *
May 14 2020 305 8.05 *
May 15 2020 312 7.94 *
May 16 2020 318 7.84 *
May 17 2020 325 7.74 *
May 18 2020 333 7.65 *
May 19 2020 341 7.56 *
May 20 2020 362 7.54 *
May 21 2020 373 7.46 *
May 22 2020 383 7.39 *
May 23 2020 436 7.48
May 24 2020 438 7.37 *
May 25 2020 441 7.27 *
May 26 2020 444 7.17 *
May 27 2020 455 7.10 *
May 28 2020 463 7.02 *
May 29 2020 470 6.94 *
May 30 2020 477 6.87 *
May 31 2020 483 6.79 *
Jun 01 2020 487 6.70 *
Jun 02 2020 501 6.65 *
Jun 03 2020 517 6.61 *
Jun 04 2020 532 6.56 *
Jun 05 2020 565 6.55 *
Jun 06 2020 605 6.56
Jun 07 2020 626 6.52 *
Jun 08 2020 634 6.45 *
Jun 09 2020 665 6.43 *
Jun 10 2020 684 6.39 *
Jun 11 2020 710 6.36 *
Jun 12 2020 721 6.30 *
Jun 13 2020 781 6.32
Jun 14 2020 803 6.28 *
Jun 15 2020 821 6.24 *
Jun 16 2020 880 6.25
Jun 17 2020 1025 6.36
Jun 18 2020 1095 6.36
Jun 19 2020 1163 6.36
Jun 20 2020 1225 6.35
Jun 21 2020 1244 6.30
Jun 22 2020 1260 6.24
Jun 23 2020 1305 6.21 *
Jun 24 2020 1377 6.21 *
Jun 25 2020 1493 6.23
Jun 26 2020 1615 6.25
Jun 27 2020 1720 6.25
Jun 28 2020 1822 6.25
Jun 29 2020 1943 6.25
Jun 30 2020 2005 6.22

Rapier108
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One problem is way too many people, be it the uninformed, Coronabros, Karens, or those who just see doom in everything, think that anyone who is in the hospital is in the ICU and on a ventilator. Not everyone in the hospital is in ICU, and doctors now avoid putting people on ventilators except as the option of last resort.

The #1 driver of fear is the lack of honest information from those in a position of power/authority, and the massive amount of fake information on social media.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
toolshed
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I seriously wonder if people understand how hospitals normally function, how they pay their bills, what normal operating capacities are, etc.

I also understand why some people live in fear and despair, that if people get their knowledge from pretty much any media, be it CNN, Fox, KBTX, Drudge, NBC, etc., they are getting half truths if not full out lies in many cases. The media as a whole has taken it upon themselves to sell an agenda. I won't get into my view of that. Whether it's bias of journalist, pandering to one side, or simply salacious, eye catching headlines to drive clicks, which is how they get paid.

It's definitely frustrating, irritating, etc.. I've been making a conscious effort to turn it off. To share good news, good stories, challenging others to be the change they wish to see and to try not to let the anxieties of the world around us drag me into the mud.
Bunk Moreland
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People don't know how our government is set up. ~50% couldn't name the VP. Of course they don't know how it works.
Rapier108
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toolshed said:

I seriously wonder if people understand how hospitals normally function, how they pay their bills, what normal operating capacities are, etc.
The last few weeks have shown that they don't.

Most seem to think that hospitals are almost always empty, and now every single person listed as a patient is there because of the virus.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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122 New Cases
0 New Deaths
83 New Tests (We know they are testing more than that)
31 in the Hospital

77801 +10
77802 +6
77803 +34
77805 +1
77807 +6
77808 +9
77840 +27
77841 +1
77843 +1
77845 +27

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/7.1.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
trouble
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AG
9 discharges, 3 admissions

Total bed occupancy 72%

Total ICU occupancy 65%

145 added to recovered.
BQ_90
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trouble said:

9 discharges, 3 admissions

Total bed occupancy 72%

Total ICU occupancy 65%

145 added to recovered.
But is that good or bad
trouble
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I'd threaten to smack you but you'd probably like it.
scd88
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You called it with the jump to around 120.

Looks like our new norm for the next few weeks. Let's see if the mask requirement has any impact. I don't think it will, but definitely worth seeing how it turns out.
nthomas99
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scd88 said:

You called it with the jump to around 120.

Looks like our new norm for the next few weeks. Let's see if the mask requirement has any impact. I don't think it will, but definitely worth seeing how it turns out.
I think more than likely the bar pause + reduced restaurant capacity will do the trick in the coming weeks, and the Mayors will claim victory by masking.
scd88
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Yeah, you're right. I forgot about that. Good call.
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated.

The lit charts have discrepancies between English and Spanish

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q
cavscout96
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BQ_90 said:

trouble said:

9 discharges, 3 admissions

Total bed occupancy 72%

Total ICU occupancy 65%

145 added to recovered.
But is that good or bad
We're doomed....
BQ_90
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AG
I'm shocked I'm not banned to be honest.
tb9665
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No numbers yet???
 
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