About, it depends, there's pretty good consistency at 72.
96 has a fair bit of divergence.
It will depend on the strength/organization, track (obviously), and conditions in front of it.
These models are tracking the center of circulation, so two things; 1. is that the center? It's disorganized and the starting point could be skewed, 2. if it's a big storm you have bands well in advance of the actual landfall.
96 has a fair bit of divergence.
It will depend on the strength/organization, track (obviously), and conditions in front of it.
These models are tracking the center of circulation, so two things; 1. is that the center? It's disorganized and the starting point could be skewed, 2. if it's a big storm you have bands well in advance of the actual landfall.