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Lake Travis water level

24,026 Views | 144 Replies | Last: 8 yr ago by Yuccadoo
CharlieBrown17
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Travis is at full pool of 681' up from 628' this day last year. 681 is 100% full and 628 is 34% full. There's a chance that the gates at Mansfield Dam for the first since 2007 over the weekend.

http://www.kvue.com/weather/authorities-keeping-eye-on-water-levels-as-lake-travis-continues-to-rise/130841839
cevans_40
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Climate change
aggielostinETX
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Amazing... Buchanan is not far behind...

http://hydromet.lcra.org/lakevolume/systemprofile.aspx
CharlieBrown17
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quote:
Amazing... Buchanan is not far behind...

http://hydromet.lcra.org/lakevolume/systemprofile.aspx
Looked at that as well, sure seemed like Travis was a possibility but there was no way Buchanan will fill back up not that long ago
AggieOO
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Not long ago people on here were claiming it would take years of rainfall to fill the lakes.
CharlieBrown17
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quote:
Not long ago people on here were claiming it would take years of rainfall to fill the lakes.




They weren't really all that wrong....it took last May's record setting rainfall (4xavg) to get the lake where it is today. Travis went up 29 ft last May alone. 25 of that was in one week. That one week accounted for half of the total rise of the lake in 2015 (51ft)

http://www.golaketravis.com/waterlevel/index.php?year=2015

Since then the lake has only gone up another 11 feet.
SanAntoneAg
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Still plenty of reservoirs that have a way to go before reaching pool level.
ironmanag
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It's Global Warming wait the planet is actually cooler than 20 years ago.

It's Global Climate Change. Wait you mean the global climate changes naturally all the time?

It's Global Climate Instability.
jt2hunt
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They were wrong.
It didn't take years.
aggielostinETX
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Looking much better...

coyote68
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It is great to see Travis at this level, but it's primary purpose is a flood control lake. It has gone up and down many times over the decades. The Pedernales and Llano watersheds are a ticking time bomb for a future catastrophic flood that Lake Travis wiil probably not be able to handle. The resulting damage from a rainfall event such as the 1998 Guadulupe River flood would be of a magnitude that is difficult to imagine.
JSKolache
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Only took one epic flood that killed several people to get it going. Blood on your hands Austin. j/k
Ragoo
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quote:
It is great to see Travis at this level, but it's primary purpose is a flood control lake. It has gone up and down many times over the decades. The Pedernales and Llano watersheds are a ticking time bomb for a future catastrophic flood that Lake Travis wiil probably not be able to handle. The resulting damage from a rainfall event such as the 1998 Guadulupe River flood would be of a magnitude that is difficult to imagine.
agree. As a witness first hand of the '98 and '02 flooding it will happen again. The rapid development in the hill country has stripped a lot of the top soil down to the limestone or better asphalt roads. The drainage systems all point to the rivers as a catch all. It is not sustainable.
RedlineAg08
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But all I heard until last year was how Lake Travis would never reach the old levels.

And now we're going to veer in the other direction and worry about it flooding all of Texas...

These "global climate change" people are either scum of the earth or ******ed.
dustin999
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Doesn't LCRA send a crapload of water down the Colorado to rice farmers or something? That's an unverified rumor I've heard people gripe about for years. Wondering when and if that's happened yet and how that affects lake levels?
12f Mane
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quote:
quote:
Not long ago people on here were claiming it would take years of rainfall to fill the lakes.




They weren't really all that wrong....it took last May's record setting rainfall (4xavg) to get the lake where it is today. Travis went up 29 ft last May alone. 25 of that was in one week. That one week accounted for half of the total rise of the lake in 2015 (51ft)

http://www.golaketravis.com/waterlevel/index.php?year=2015

Since then the lake has only gone up another 11 feet.
Would be fun to be on that island and see what critters get flooded out towards the middle as the lake increases
coyote68
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Yes, there are rice farmers who have water rights in the Colorado basin. Lake Travis is a flood control lake. It cannot do its job if it stays full. Lake Buchanan is a water storage lake.
Ragoo
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quote:
But all I heard until last year was how Lake Travis would never reach the old levels.

And now we're going to veer in the other direction and worry about it flooding all of Texas...

These "global climate change" people are either scum of the earth or ******ed.
not flooding all of texas, we are talking about very intense flash flooding. we saw this in '98, '02 and '10 on the guadalupe and '15 on the Blanco. Prior to '98 the guadalupe hadn't flooded like that since 1972. This is going to be an ongoing inssue for years to come.
91AggieLawyer
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quote:
It didn't take years.

Well, it did if you made the claim in 2011.

I'm hoping we don't see another similar drought for a LONG time. I'm worried that we will.

quote:
very intense flash flooding. we saw this in '98, '02 and '10 on the guadalupe and '15 on the Blanco. Prior to '98 the guadalupe hadn't flooded like that since 1972
How did the '87 flood that contributed to that bus accident (~12 kids died) compare?

BurnetAggie99
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TCEQ has set LCRA with a Water Management Plan plan that now limit the amount of water it releases at all times, no matter how much water is in Lakes Travis and Buchanan. You have the Highland Lakes that depend on those lakes for water, you also have electric utilities like PEC and others who demand the lakes are full for generation to provide power to Central Texas.
ATXAdvisor
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I live very close to Lake Travis and have never heard anyone say it would never be full again. There have been many comparisons of the most recent drought to the "drought of record" that occurred in the 1950's.

What is fairly common perception among the meteorologists and hydrologists at LCRA is that a warming climate will lead to more frequent and longer duration droughts. That is largely why they are in the process of building a downstream reservoir, which will primarily benefit those farmers and industries that have senior rights.

To use a single flood event as evidence that climate change isn't happening is moronic. I guess some folks just need a break from burning all those books that teach evolution.
Papa_Blaze
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http://isthelakefullyet.com/#volume
aggielostinETX
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quote:
Doesn't LCRA send a crapload of water down the Colorado to rice farmers or something? That's an unverified rumor I've heard people gripe about for years. Wondering when and if that's happened yet and how that affects lake levels?
unverified rumor?

https://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2014/04/25/as-lcra-proposes-higher-water-rates-criticism-is-renewed/
dustin999
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quote:
To use a single flood event as evidence that climate change isn't happening is moronic. I guess some folks just need a break from burning all those books that teach evolution.


Oh boy...
coyote68
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I believe 681 is considered full with the capacity above 681 to 714 considered the flood pool. The top of the spill way is 714. I believe the top of the dam is approximately 750. I believe the LCRA is aware of the possibility of flooding that would cause Lake Travis to go to that level. I pray that it never happens.
RedlineAg08
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I'm not talking about professional, just random joes that would state "Oh ya, never gonna be full again.."

About climate change: I spent a few years working along side quite a few meteorologists. Some really bright guys that got off to the weather. Those guys could recall every significant weather event in the US over the past 100 years and know stupid details about them. Every single one whole heartedly believed climate change to be a complete load of ****. It was THE rant on our desk for 4-5 years outside of Obama and politics. I've looked at more Polor Ice Cap pictures and historical data than Bill Nye's goofy ass because of it and am fairly certain climate is cyclical. Which is why I find "Never gonna be full again.." hilarious.

It's a great way to spend money though.

ATXAdvisor
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quote:
I'm not talking about professional, just random joes that would state "Oh ya, never gonna be full again.."

About climate change: I spent a few years working along side quite a few meteorologists. Some really bright guys that got off to the weather. Those guys could recall every significant weather event in the US over the past 100 years and know stupid details about them. Every single one whole heartedly believed climate change to be a complete load of ****. It was THE rant on our desk for 4-5 years outside of Obama and politics. I've looked at more Polor Ice Cap pictures and historical data than Bill Nye's goofy ass because of it and am fairly certain climate is cyclical. Which is why I find "Never gonna be full again.." hilarious.

It's a great way to spend money though.




Not to derail the thread with another global warming debate, but what you think doesn't necessarily depart from the facts. What is causing this cycle is hard to argue unless you are completely biased to look for only evidence that backs your opinion (I.e. Pictures of ice).
http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/
aggielostinETX
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Dont bring politics this board....
RedlineAg08
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Are we talking about 1/2 a degree over the past 30 years? WTF am I looking at?

And the pictures of ice were a big one for you guys until they started going the wrong direction..
coyote68
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The consensus 600 years ago was the earth was flat.
Kenneth_2003
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quote:
quote:
It is great to see Travis at this level, but it's primary purpose is a flood control lake. It has gone up and down many times over the decades. The Pedernales and Llano watersheds are a ticking time bomb for a future catastrophic flood that Lake Travis wiil probably not be able to handle. The resulting damage from a rainfall event such as the 1998 Guadulupe River flood would be of a magnitude that is difficult to imagine.
agree. As a witness first hand of the '98 and '02 flooding it will happen again. The rapid development in the hill country has stripped a lot of the top soil down to the limestone or better asphalt roads. The drainage systems all point to the rivers as a catch all. It is not sustainable.
I'm just nit-picking here. You're right, but your timelines are WAY off. The changes in the hill country go back to at least the start of the 20th century and possibly go back even further. I recall from Geology field trips that Longhorn Caverns was dug out during the depression as a CCC project and there are areas of the cavern where you can see a marked change in the sedimentation that was carried into parts of the cavern. That sediment likely correlates to changes in land use as a result of European arrival.

Also, if you read LBJ's biography he talks about the denudation of the hills during his childhood. When the first settlers arrived in the region it was most likely rolling grass-covered hills and valleys. Not the rocky, brush, and oak outcrops we're familiar with today. Don't get me wrong there were probably plenty of places where the soil was quite thin, and natural springs and shallow GW tables were likely plentiful. (GW pumping is a totally other discussion).

Those rivers have possibly been overloaded for quite some time.
coyote68
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Invasive cedar, the removal of sheep, and reduced farming have reduced the amount of water runoff in the hill country in recent years.
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coyote68
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It was designed during the 1930's. I believe there was a study done after the the 98 Guadalupe flood and the San Antonio flood that asked the question: What would happen if either of those events occurred on the Pedernsles and or Llano watersheds? Probably devastation on a very large scale.
AggieOO
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quote:
quote:
Not long ago people on here were claiming it would take years of rainfall to fill the lakes.




They weren't really all that wrong....it took last May's record setting rainfall (4xavg) to get the lake where it is today. Travis went up 29 ft last May alone. 25 of that was in one week. That one week accounted for half of the total rise of the lake in 2015 (51ft)

http://www.golaketravis.com/waterlevel/index.php?year=2015

Since then the lake has only gone up another 11 feet.
I'm aware we got a **** ton of rain last may. That was my point. When people claimed it would take years, my response is it would only take a lot of rainfall in the right area and the lake would come up.

Yes, without heavy rainfall, it would have taken years...but we live in texas and rainfall tends to come in big doses. so, it didn't take years of rainfall.
 
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