Overall though, stats aren't the determining factor here with Evans, value is. Look at it this way, CJ Stroud was 8th in passing yards and 14th in passing TDs this year, even though he missed 2 games. If we could just add in Evans stats he would have been first in both categories even missing 2 games. That would be great, and let's assume that Evans doesn't take a whole lot of the production away from someone else, so CJ does get to the top in both categories. Is that worth signing Evans?3B Paul 97 said:The Porkchop Express said:It's not apples to apples. Moss played in an era where running the ball was way more prominent.Infection_Ag11 said:Texan_Aggie said:
Randy Moss and Mike are not comparable, and I love Mike.
Through their first 10 seasons Evans has more targets, more catches, a higher catch %, fewer drops, averages 0.8 less yards per reception and has about 200 fewer yards. Other than touchdowns they are actually remarkably comparable, statistically speaking. And the big touchdowns difference is in large part due to that 10th year, where Moss set the 23 TD record. Through 9 years Moss only had 12 more touchdowns.
In his rookie season of 1998, there were 20 guys with at least 1,000 yards rushing, and Terrell Davis had 2,000.
Of those 20, 4 were at least 1,400 and 10 were at least 1,200.
In 2024, 12 guys had 1,000 yards rushing, and only CMC was over 1,200. Eight of the 12 were between 1,005-1,049.
Moss led the league in WR touchdowns 5 times. 2024 was Mike's first year to do so.
Mike is a really good player. Moss was the most feared WR in the game for a decade.
I agree in theory, but it it a true view? Bell cow backs used to be the norm. Now you see more shared carries.
Where I've been trying to go with this, is that CJ was in the upper half of total QB stats across the board in his rookie season missing 2 games, and missing one of his top targets for half the season. So just through natural progression, health, and getting Tank Dell back his production will increase next year. Mike Evans only would raise his overall passing stats by 25 to 30% at most? Is that maximum increase of maybe even around a third of the passing production worth close to tripling the salary pool for WRs on this team? Not to mention taking up over 10% of the salary cap on this team?
CJ hit all of those numbers with his highest paid receiver being Robert Woods at 6 million a year. So the question will be is an investment in Mike Evans going to help the team overall enough that it will be greater than the loss of funds for other positions on the team? And I don't think Nick or DeMeco will think it will be if Evans is at 20 or more million a year.
