Maybe I'm in the minority but I actually really like this draft. I think the class as a whole is getting less love because there aren't any elite QB prospects. I think that's a good thing for us so that we're not tempted. I think the QB class is so bad that even teams that are QB desperate like Carolina and Atlanta don't take one in the first round and just let it fly, and be bad to try and take one of the guys next year.
One thing that's really nice is that no one knows what Caserio is thinking. I haven't heard anything in the press about who they really like. We know who they've brought in for meetings, that's it, which I kind of love that his board is on lock down.
I'm not trying to overthink things here, this is what I think right now, only going through pick 13 since that will most likely wrap up day 1 unless he tries to move back into the end of the first.
1) Jags: Aiden Hutchinson, by all accounts Trent Baalke is a guy that could go with Travon Walker because he might just be blown away by the measurables vs the production. I'm going to assume there's not a surprise at the top of the draft, but it could happen.
2) Lions: Kyle Hamilton, Detroit had a horrendous secondary last season and a guy like Hamilton can really help them in a number of ways on defense. I could see Dan Campbell looking at him for all the different ways he can help, he just fits there.
3) Texans: Ikem Ekwonu, Caserio goes with the guy that is immediately a plug and play starting offensive lineman. This is the first time he gets a first round pick, he goes with the safe pick here. I think I like Gardner here the most, but I think he tries to build around Mills before looking at the defense. Mills showed too much promise to not try to improve the offensive line.
4) Jets: Kayvon Thibodaux, a lot of ways they could go here, I'm mainly making this call because of a friend of mine in the area that said the Jets are high on Thibodaux and the fans are in on him as well, they like that he'll have a chip on his shoulder and think he will fit with Salah.
5) Giants: Ahmad Gardner, they are going to try and move on from James Bradberry most likely, if so then take the best CB in the draft, Gardner.
6) Panthers: Travon Walker, they are kind of a lost cause next season and don't have any other picks until the 4th round. There are no QBs worth it IMO this year, they decide to say screw it, lets take a guy with potential huge upside. This is a pick that is for the future, not for today, it's a lottery ticket.
7) Giants: Evan Neal, they need offensive line help as well, I've heard several members of the media talk about how much they like Charles Cross, perhaps that's true, perhaps it's posturing, I think they take Neal.
8) Falcons: Garrett Wilson, it doesn't matter who their QB is with Ridley out for the entire season they need to put a WR on the field and Wilson can play on day 1. If Jameson Williams is healthy he gets the nod but he's hurt, Wilson is the best fit after him.
9) Seahawks: Charles Cross, I think they let Duane Brown walk, Cross makes too much sense if they do. I think they just make due with whoever they can at QB.
10) Jets: Jameson Williams, this pick is difficult because I feel like this doesn't help them immediately but they need to get Zach Wilson some weapons, and he has the ability to be an elite weapon once healthy. There are other guys that can step in immediately, I think this pick is about patience.
11) Washington: Drake London, Wentz doesn't really throw downfield, he likes to make shorter throws and have the receivers get yards after catch. That's London's deal, he doesn't have elite speed, but he does get downfield with the ball.
12) Vikings: Derek Stingley Jr, Aaron Rodgers is still there to be played twice a year, assuming he gets a clean bill from the doctors I think the Vikings would jump at this chance, plus they seem to like LSU guys, he can also learn from Patrick Peterson.
13) Texans: Jermaine Johnson, the first pick is about need, this is about value. I think with the runs on OL and WR a defender is going to drop that shouldn't be there and if Stingley is gone and Johnson is there we take the best defender available.
If anyone out there likes one of the QBs then that moves some of the guys back, I just don't see it, hope I'm wrong because that gives us more options at 13. I also think that if there's any chance to move back it's going to be at 13 but if we have the chance to get a top notch OL and DE/LB in the first, I'll take that all day long. Addressing WR and RB can be done on day 2.
One thing that's really nice is that no one knows what Caserio is thinking. I haven't heard anything in the press about who they really like. We know who they've brought in for meetings, that's it, which I kind of love that his board is on lock down.
I'm not trying to overthink things here, this is what I think right now, only going through pick 13 since that will most likely wrap up day 1 unless he tries to move back into the end of the first.
1) Jags: Aiden Hutchinson, by all accounts Trent Baalke is a guy that could go with Travon Walker because he might just be blown away by the measurables vs the production. I'm going to assume there's not a surprise at the top of the draft, but it could happen.
2) Lions: Kyle Hamilton, Detroit had a horrendous secondary last season and a guy like Hamilton can really help them in a number of ways on defense. I could see Dan Campbell looking at him for all the different ways he can help, he just fits there.
3) Texans: Ikem Ekwonu, Caserio goes with the guy that is immediately a plug and play starting offensive lineman. This is the first time he gets a first round pick, he goes with the safe pick here. I think I like Gardner here the most, but I think he tries to build around Mills before looking at the defense. Mills showed too much promise to not try to improve the offensive line.
4) Jets: Kayvon Thibodaux, a lot of ways they could go here, I'm mainly making this call because of a friend of mine in the area that said the Jets are high on Thibodaux and the fans are in on him as well, they like that he'll have a chip on his shoulder and think he will fit with Salah.
5) Giants: Ahmad Gardner, they are going to try and move on from James Bradberry most likely, if so then take the best CB in the draft, Gardner.
6) Panthers: Travon Walker, they are kind of a lost cause next season and don't have any other picks until the 4th round. There are no QBs worth it IMO this year, they decide to say screw it, lets take a guy with potential huge upside. This is a pick that is for the future, not for today, it's a lottery ticket.
7) Giants: Evan Neal, they need offensive line help as well, I've heard several members of the media talk about how much they like Charles Cross, perhaps that's true, perhaps it's posturing, I think they take Neal.
8) Falcons: Garrett Wilson, it doesn't matter who their QB is with Ridley out for the entire season they need to put a WR on the field and Wilson can play on day 1. If Jameson Williams is healthy he gets the nod but he's hurt, Wilson is the best fit after him.
9) Seahawks: Charles Cross, I think they let Duane Brown walk, Cross makes too much sense if they do. I think they just make due with whoever they can at QB.
10) Jets: Jameson Williams, this pick is difficult because I feel like this doesn't help them immediately but they need to get Zach Wilson some weapons, and he has the ability to be an elite weapon once healthy. There are other guys that can step in immediately, I think this pick is about patience.
11) Washington: Drake London, Wentz doesn't really throw downfield, he likes to make shorter throws and have the receivers get yards after catch. That's London's deal, he doesn't have elite speed, but he does get downfield with the ball.
12) Vikings: Derek Stingley Jr, Aaron Rodgers is still there to be played twice a year, assuming he gets a clean bill from the doctors I think the Vikings would jump at this chance, plus they seem to like LSU guys, he can also learn from Patrick Peterson.
13) Texans: Jermaine Johnson, the first pick is about need, this is about value. I think with the runs on OL and WR a defender is going to drop that shouldn't be there and if Stingley is gone and Johnson is there we take the best defender available.
If anyone out there likes one of the QBs then that moves some of the guys back, I just don't see it, hope I'm wrong because that gives us more options at 13. I also think that if there's any chance to move back it's going to be at 13 but if we have the chance to get a top notch OL and DE/LB in the first, I'll take that all day long. Addressing WR and RB can be done on day 2.
