CPI remains elevated at 3.4%

4,364 Views | 74 Replies | Last: 3 days ago by bobbranco
Logos Stick
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Fed probably going to raise rates next week.

10 year treasury yield spiked to almost 5%! Wow! Mortgage rates are going up.

Quote:

  • The consumer price index rose 0.4% in August, putting the 12-month increase at 3.4%, both in line with estimates.
  • However, the core CPI accelerated 0.3% for the month, a bit higher than expected, as the annual inflation rate stood at 2.4%.
  • Traders responded to the report by increasing odds for a Fed rate hike next week




https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/cpi-inflation-report-august-2026.html
Logos Stick
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billydean05
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This "transitory" inflation has remained elevated for six years now.
txwxman
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Let's give everyone $5k. That'll help with inflation.
CDUB98
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AG
"Where's the data that the economy is bad?" /resident morons
BusterAg
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AG
Congress needs to quit spending our money for this to change.

The end.

There is no alternative.

Quit. Spending. Money.

Especially on entitlement fraud, which is rampant, and needs to stop.
HTownAg98
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You could fix all the fraud, and it would amount to taking a piss in the ocean. The entire problem is we spend way too much money.
bobbranco
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AG
I look at the OP and the OP's graph and question how 3.4% is elevated.
EDHEC Ag
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We spend too much money because it enables the fraud and makes it look like just pissing in the ocean. Eliminating the fraud removes the incentive for spending too much money and for political careers.
Heineken-Ashi
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Reminder that CPI data says healthcare costs have only increased 16-17% since 2020.
Claude!
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txwxman said:

Let's give everyone $5k. That'll help with inflation.

It'd sell a hell of a lot of iPhone Duos, that's for sure.
MemphisAg1
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AG
bobbranco said:

I look at the OP and the OP's graph and question how 3.4% is elevated.

It's not hard. Look at the 10 year period from 2010-20 where it averaged around 2%.

That's what fed all the low-cost mortgages that allowed people to buy nice homes and nice cars. Their real wages also increased during that time period. Life was good, especially in Trump 1.0 before the pandemic.

Significant difference between 2% and 3.4%. The fact it's lower now than Biden doesn't matter much to people. That's an old talking point. It's still too damn high for people who aren't wealthy.
Logos Stick
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bobbranco said:

I look at the OP and the OP's graph and question how 3.4% is elevated.


3.4% > 2% target

HTH
bobbranco
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Cherry pick and cherry pick.

I can remember buying my first house and doing backflips that the rate was less than 8%.
BusterAg
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HTownAg98 said:

You could fix all the fraud, and it would amount to taking a piss in the ocean. The entire problem is we spend way too much money.

Okay, I am guessing you are focusing on entitlement fraud, because your comment makes zero sense if you focus on all fraud and graft in the US budget.

Even if you just eliminate Medicare fraud in the US, you are looking at something like 1.5% to 2% of the national budget. Even the GAO, which has an incentive to be overly conservative, estimates entitlement fraud to be something like $500 billion annually compared to a $7 trillion budget.

That is not taking a piss in the ocean.

It won't fix all our problems, but the issue is not small, it is massive, and it is not acceptable. This should be an easy fix. A 10% or so shaving of the federal budget with zero spending decreases.
BusterAg
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MemphisAg1 said:

bobbranco said:

I look at the OP and the OP's graph and question how 3.4% is elevated.

It's not hard. Look at the 10 year period from 2010-20 where it averaged around 2%.

That's what fed all the low-cost mortgages that allowed people to buy nice homes and nice cars. Their real wages also increased during that time period. Life was good, especially in Trump 1.0 before the pandemic.

Significant difference between 2% and 3.4%. The fact it's lower now than Biden doesn't matter much to people. That's an old talking point. It's still too damn high for people who aren't wealthy.

Is 2% sustainable long-term?
bobbranco
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Average 1914 to 2025 is about 3.26%

Biden's cumulative inflation was about 21.1%

More at this page. Run some numbers.
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/consumer-price-index-and-annual-percent-changes-from-1913-to-2008/

BigRobSA
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$500B here, $500B there.....





......soon you're talking real money!!!
Kvetch
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How much of that is driven by high energy costs?
Yesterday
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Funny, just read a headline "stocks jump after oil prices ease and CPI update comes in near expectations."
No Spin Ag
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txwxman said:

Let's give everyone $5k. That'll help with inflation.


It'll help my bank account, so, deal.
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
Logos Stick
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bobbranco said:

Average 1914 to 2025 is about 3.26%

Biden's cumulative inflation was about 21.1%

More at this page. Run some numbers.
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/consumer-price-index-and-annual-percent-changes-from-1913-to-2008/





LOL yeah lets go back - 110 years - to the turn of the 20th century and include the great depression, etc... in our measure.

Whether you agree or not, the target is 2%. It's ELEVATED by our current standard.

If you like 3.4% inflation, good for you. Most people don't.
Ducks4brkfast
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And Nucor announced another price increase yesterday. Due to nothing more than we've eliminated all their competition.

We are doing nothing to address inflation.

Yall better prepare for the blue wave coming.
CS78
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Kvetch said:

How much of that is driven by high energy costs?


It's huge. Diesel at $5.50 a gallon will bully out all kinds of other economic factors.
bobbranco
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I don't like 3.4% but your assessment is suspect given the data.

Promoting fear porn about the economy is a pure marxist psyop.
Logos Stick
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bobbranco said:

I don't like 3.4% but your assessment is suspect given the data.

Promoting fear porn about the economy is a pure marxist psyop.



Yeah, I'm engaged in a Marxist psyop.

CPI remains elevated. Mostly because of energy prices related to the Iran conflict. That's a fact. I posted it up to discuss it. This could very well cost us control of the congress.
bobbranco
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Spout absolute BS.

Play into the hands of the left.

That's the greatest strategy ever.
Canvasback
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HTownAg98 said:

You could fix all the fraud, and it would amount to taking a piss in the ocean. The entire problem is we spend way too much money.
And the party in power is????????
CanvasbackAg
Signel
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billydean05 said:

This "transitory" inflation has remained elevated for six years now.

By Uniparty design.. Trump has spent more than Biden despite DOGE and Drain the Swamp BS. (and I absolutely don't support the BS Biden and crew were doing either.)

How can they increase taxes -- inflation.... for those that don't get it:

Inflation functions as a tax by eroding the real value of money and nominal claims, transferring purchasing power from holders of cash, deposits, and fixed-income assets to the government (and other debtors).

Core Mechanism
When the money supply expands faster than the real economy (goods and services), the purchasing power of each unit of currency falls. Existing money buys less. This is equivalent to a tax on cash balances and nominal assets:
  • Holders of currency, checking accounts, and non-interest-bearing or under-indexed deposits lose real wealth.
  • The government (or central bank acting on its behalf) captures the difference through seignioragethe real resources it obtains by issuing new moneyor by reducing the real burden of its outstanding nominal debt.
  • Creditors and savers lose; debtors with fixed nominal obligations gain. Since governments are typically large net debtors in their own currency, they are major beneficiaries.
Easiest example is housing because we all get hammered as a result....

The climb is real enough that it doesn't need help. In 1980 a median home ran about 3.6 times a median household's yearly income; it peaked at 5.83 times in 2022 and sits near 5 today and right now none of the 50 largest U.S. metros meet the roughly 2.6 ratio considered affordable. Because it's price divided by income, the paycheck side is already baked in. This isn't the dollar shrinking; it's the thing itself pulling away from what people earn.
Here's the number that makes it concrete: if household income had kept pace with home prices since 1980, the typical household would earn about $115,000 today instead of roughly $84,000 around $31,000 a year that housing quietly absorbed. That's the closest thing to a real, wage-adjusted measure of your "hidden tax," and it's a big number.

On the cause two of the biggest levers here genuinely are government. Cheap money is one:
a decade-plus of very low interest rates after 2008, and again in 202021, flowed straight into assets and bid home prices up, which is the purest form of the transfer you're describing it rewards whoever already owns and penalizes anyone trying to buy in with cash savings. Restricted supply is the other, and it may be the single biggest structural driver: zoning and land-use rules mostly local-government decisions throttle how many homes get built, so demand keeps outrunning a supply that policy won't let expand.
mdruppe
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Still way below inflation under Biden.
ts5641
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txwxman said:

Let's give everyone $5k. That'll help with inflation.

The good thing is most will pump that back into the economy. Better than endless entitlement programs that were currently doing destroying our country on multiple levels.
samurai_science
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ts5641 said:

txwxman said:

Let's give everyone $5k. That'll help with inflation.

The good thing is most will pump that back into the economy. Better than endless entitlement programs that were currently doing destroying our country on multiple levels.


Until the inflation hits
DeschutesAg
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There's a reason the Democrats produce good economies and always have to clean up the Republican Party's messes.

The Republican Party's economic and fiscal theory, beliefs, practices, and dogma have always been a house of cards.
Logos Stick
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DeschutesAg said:

There's a reason the Democrats produce good economies and always have to clean up the Republican Party's messes.

The Republican Party's economic and fiscal theory, beliefs, practices, and dogma have always been a house of cards.


LOL, no they don't. The Great Depression and the two highest inflationary periods ever recorded in US history occurred during a Dem admin.

Kozmozag
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If we continue down this path we have about 20 years before economic collapse. We cannot run trillion dollar deficit s. We are 120% debt to gdp.
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