Im Gipper said:

---

JWinTX said:

---

Cyanide15 said:

---

schmendeler said:

---

Ellis Wyatt said:

---

Lots of people do. Those trans mailers underscored it for a lot of people.

---

Yeah a lot of people were pissed that Paxton sent them out. Typical dirty tricks.

---

Yet still not as dirty as Talafreako's actual policies…

---

Absolutely one of the very best tactics ever used by a conservative in political campaigning--make the left live up to their unpopular beliefs.

---

Definitely this.

I'd add that is also a great campaign strategy in this specific election.

The Cornyn Crybababies are not going to be convinced to vote because they see how great Paxton did as AG. They aren't going to have their minds changed on what they deem to be problems with Paxton.

But will get them to the polls is seeing the alternative is not just not getting a tax cut or some increased spending here and there. Talarico has a radical agenda and the Paxton campaign is making sure Cornyn Crybabies know it!

I think he has run a fantastic campaign. This "negative ads" strategy is going to work!

---

To what degree will Republicans publicly announcing a vote for Talarico, or coming out to vote against Bo French and other down ballot candidates who they oppose while skipping the senate race, impact the results? Surely those announcements may embolden some to vote blue in the senate race, or may be impacting the data we see, but skew how that data should be interpreted. How many Rs vote for Talarico, simply skip the senate race, and how many "no party" voters vote for Talarico seem to make this anybody's guess right now. I question anybody feeling confident this race is in the bag, which is why both sides are spending an obscene amount of money on this race.

https://www.statesman.com/opinion/columns/your-voice/article/republican-case-voting-james-talarico-22494993.php

https://archive.is/KJ8SP

https://archive.is/sfTLa

Joe Deertay said:

---

For those who say they want affordability, help me with a math problem…

I have (x)dollars… if I vote for a democrat they want to tax me (y)

If you subtract x from y… how is that more…

---

Dude, you're not supposed to think. Just vote (D). They'll do your thinking for you.

Iraq2xVeteran said:

---

I shared that I voted red all the way down the ballot on Instagram and Facebook last Friday. Yesterday, someone responded with, "I voted straight red down the ballot, except one! Guess who? He is the one who IMO is morally bankrupt. Very sad." I said, "I'm guessing Paxton. Sounds like that's where we differed, but we agreed on pretty much everything else."

I think Paxton underperforms Abbott due to some crossover Republican votes. I'd project Paxton at 50-51% (R+2 to R+4) and Abbott at 52-53% (R+6 to R+8).

---

Could have been Bo French.

There's a stink over him, too...

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

True Republicans don't vote for far left candidates. The end.

schmendeler said:

---

current by the hour real numbers for texas..
the 30.7% first timers are breaking for the Ds about 70% from exit polls pic.twitter.com/M1bM2lowDK

— david D. (@secretsqrl123) October 26, 2026

---

Just FYI those numbers have not been updated today to account for the weekend. Only a few counties (the big blue ones) reported over the weekend. I expect R's to retake the lead once today's updates are made.

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Anybody that would vote for Talarico is not a Republican, even if they call themselves one.

That would go way beyond sending a message.

So basically any numbers so far are BS and use mathemagics to paint whatever picture someone wants? I've seen numbers skew each way as different 'models' project different things (based on different things/weights such as primaries, only registered voters, how counties have historically voted, etc.)

I'm hoping for a Paxton rout but I don't think there is any reliable data yet.

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Leaving it blank is one thing. Actually voting for a far left psycho like Talarico means you are no longer a conservative or a republican. Not really any debate there.

Iced-T14 said:

---

schmendeler said:

---

current by the hour real numbers for texas..
the 30.7% first timers are breaking for the Ds about 70% from exit polls pic.twitter.com/M1bM2lowDK

— david D. (@secretsqrl123) October 26, 2026

---

Followed the link but can't find any of the exit polls.

---

Same. Can't find any exit poll data, and Google indicates that exit poll data won't come out until Election Day evening. I would guess to avoid influencing the election.

White voters in Texas are some of the most inelastic voters in the country.

While all other racial crosstabs here are plausible, thinking they move 22 points to the left from 2024 is absurd. https://t.co/lc9PyGcvqu

— Red Eagle Politics (@RedEaglePatriot) October 26, 2026

J. Walter Weatherman said:

---

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Leaving it blank is one thing. Actually voting for a far left psycho like Talarico means you are no longer a conservative or a republican. Not really any debate there.

---

There is little difference IMO.

You may think that by leaving it blank you are making a statement or whatever, but the fact of the matter is that doing so means that Talirico needs one less vote to win because you are thinking you are making some kind of statement.

The time to make the statement you want to make so bad is before and during the primaries. That is literally what they are there for. It is not in the general election.

schmellba99 said:

---

J. Walter Weatherman said:

---

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Leaving it blank is one thing. Actually voting for a far left psycho like Talarico means you are no longer a conservative or a republican. Not really any debate there.

---

There is little difference IMO.

You may think that by leaving it blank you are making a statement or whatever, but the fact of the matter is that doing so means that Talirico needs one less vote to win because you are thinking you are making some kind of statement.

The time to make the statement you want to make so bad is before and during the primaries. That is literally what they are there for. It is not in the general election.

---

Um, there is twice the difference.

Leaving it blank = Talarico needs 1 less vote to win.

Voting for him = Talarico needs 2 less votes to win.

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Same reason that the second you and your bretheren don't vote blue, you are considered the enemy of the democrat party.

The difference is that you and your lefties keep trying to tie everything back to MAGA/Trump, when the reality is that phenomenon is pretty much wholly a creation of the left and perpetuated by the left. The irony is that you think those that are MAGA are somehow lemmings but apparently cannot see your entire side goose stepping to the orders of your exhalted leaders in blue.

Aggies2009 said:

---

schmellba99 said:

---

J. Walter Weatherman said:

---

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Leaving it blank is one thing. Actually voting for a far left psycho like Talarico means you are no longer a conservative or a republican. Not really any debate there.

---

There is little difference IMO.

You may think that by leaving it blank you are making a statement or whatever, but the fact of the matter is that doing so means that Talirico needs one less vote to win because you are thinking you are making some kind of statement.

The time to make the statement you want to make so bad is before and during the primaries. That is literally what they are there for. It is not in the general election.

---

Um, there is twice the difference.

Leaving it blank = Talarico needs 1 less vote to win.

Voting for him = Talarico needs 2 less votes to win.

---

You got me.

I was thinking more on the fact that no matter what, it is an advantage for Talarico.

No legit organization is going to release exit polls a week before the election. Even the garbage MSM will refrain from doing that.

The media did it in 2000 to try to give the election to Al Gore by releasing exit polls for Florida while the panhandle was still voting. Numerous people went home because of it.

Not only were the exit polls grossly off, but they cost the Republicans only God knows how many votes in not only Florida, but numerous other states. The outcry was so bad that the media stopped doing it.

It won't stop news outlets from going to polling places to find "Trump voters" who are now full on DSA voters, but everyone knows that are nearly always fake.

Have fun hosting Ken!

Voted this afternoon. Actually went to a college station place because I was over that way instead of in Bryan like I usually do. There were tons of signs all the way along the street lining up to it, and I swear I didn't see one Talarico sign, or at least very few if there were, because I was looking right and left as I was driving in.

However, I saw a lot of young college age kids coming in and I figured they were voting blue.

Silly young dummies.

Prosperdick said:

---

White voters in Texas are some of the most inelastic voters in the country.

While all other racial crosstabs here are plausible, thinking they move 22 points to the left from 2024 is absurd. https://t.co/lc9PyGcvqu

— Red Eagle Politics (@RedEaglePatriot) October 26, 2026

---

I don't disagree that a 22 point shift in white voters would be dramatic, but I don't think that's what the infographic says. It says whites were R+33.8 in 2024 and he's projecting R+25.6 this year. That's...not 22 points. Maybe Red Eagle can't read good.

oldyeller said:

---

Im Gipper said:

---

JWinTX said:

---

Cyanide15 said:

---

schmendeler said:

---

Ellis Wyatt said:

---

Lots of people do. Those trans mailers underscored it for a lot of people.

---

Yeah a lot of people were pissed that Paxton sent them out. Typical dirty tricks.

---

Yet still not as dirty as Talafreako's actual policies…

---

Absolutely one of the very best tactics ever used by a conservative in political campaigning--make the left live up to their unpopular beliefs.

---

Definitely this.

I'd add that is also a great campaign strategy in this specific election.

The Cornyn Crybababies are not going to be convinced to vote because they see how great Paxton did as AG. They aren't going to have their minds changed on what they deem to be problems with Paxton.

But will get them to the polls is seeing the alternative is not just not getting a tax cut or some increased spending here and there. Talarico has a radical agenda and the Paxton campaign is making sure Cornyn Crybabies know it!

I think he has run a fantastic campaign. This "negative ads" strategy is going to work!

---

To what degree will Republicans publicly announcing a vote for Talarico

---

I would say 98% of any R's coming out saying they are voting for Low T is either bitterness (John), jealously (Bushes over George P Bush losing to him in 2024), or ignorance on the baggage (the sex offender stuff being just one example).

Let's be honest, most of the crap he is accused of is misinformation or outright false but granny only watches the local news and never looks into anything.

annie88 said:

---

Voted this afternoon. Actually went to a college station place because I was over that way instead of in Bryan like I usually do. There were tons of signs all the way along the street lining up to it, and I swear I didn't see one Talarico sign, or at least very few if there were, because I was looking right and left as I was driving in.

However, I saw a lot of young college age kids coming in and I figured they were voting blue.

Silly young dummies.

---

Thankfully A&M's student body isn't as far left as many universities. At worst it is 50-50 and probably leans a little more to the right thanks to the Corps and so many people majoring in Ag related fields.

If we remember all of the protests for various leftwing causes on campus in the last 6 years, they could only muster up a few dozen to maybe 100 people on their best days, many of which weren't event students.

Teslag said:

---

M.C. Swag said:

---

Joe Deertay said:

---

For those who say they want affordability, help me with a math problem…

I have (x)dollars… if I vote for a democrat they want to tax me (y)

If you subtract x from y… how is that more…

---

Well for one, the Democrats won't enact tariffs or start never ending wars that jack up oil prices.

---

But will they attack businesses with regulations and import 3rd world labor here in droves that sucks our economy dry?

---

They already tried to force Elon to hire temporary green card holders at his SpaceX facilities in Texas.

schmellba99 said:

---

J. Walter Weatherman said:

---

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

Leaving it blank is one thing. Actually voting for a far left psycho like Talarico means you are no longer a conservative or a republican. Not really any debate there.

---

There is little difference IMO.

You may think that by leaving it blank you are making a statement or whatever, but the fact of the matter is that doing so means that Talirico needs one less vote to win because you are thinking you are making some kind of statement.

The time to make the statement you want to make so bad is before and during the primaries. That is literally what they are there for. It is not in the general election.

---

Paxton wasn't my choice in the primary but I'm fine pulling the lever for him given how much of an extremist Talarico is. Was more speaking to the point that someone who actually votes for Talarico instead of leaving it blank is definitely not just a minor disagreement with the party.

Rapier108 said:

---

No legit organization is going to release exit polls a week before the election. Even the garbage MSM will refrain from doing that.

The media did it in 2000 to try to give the election to Al Gore by releasing exit polls for Florida while the panhandle was still voting. Numerous people went home because of it.

Not only were the exit polls grossly off, but they cost the Republicans only God knows how many votes in not only Florida, but numerous other states. The outcry was so bad that the media stopped doing it.

It won't stop news outlets from going to polling places to find "Trump voters" who are now full on DSA voters, but everyone knows that are nearly always fake.

---

oldyeller said:

---

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Which raises the question what makes one a "true" Republican? Blind fealty to the party, no matter how problematic their candidate is? Seems anyone who doesn't blindly support MAGA/Trump is considered a fake Republican. Why is that?

---

The time for party disputes is in the primary. If you claim to be a republican and your preferred candidate loses the primary, then you should vote for the republican candidate in the general. Because youre a republican.

The end.

1939 said:

---

There may be a small percentage that leave it blank but no true Republican is voting for Freako.

---

Rapier108 said:

---

annie88 said:

---

Voted this afternoon. Actually went to a college station place because I was over that way instead of in Bryan like I usually do. There were tons of signs all the way along the street lining up to it, and I swear I didn't see one Talarico sign, or at least very few if there were, because I was looking right and left as I was driving in.

However, I saw a lot of young college age kids coming in and I figured they were voting blue.

Silly young dummies.

---

Thankfully A&M's student body isn't as far left as many universities. At worst it is 50-50 and probably leans a little more to the right thanks to the Corps and so many people majoring in Ag related fields.

If we remember all of the protests for various leftwing causes on campus in the last 6 years, they could only muster up a few dozen to maybe 100 people on their best days, many of which weren't event students.

---

I hope you're right, but I had a few walking in pegged as liberals. Not just student age.

But I guess you never know.

Too much conflicting info on X so I just decided to go look at the data myself. It's on the SOS website. It's actually scary how much data is public. Kennedy County has the highest turnout but 104 total votes lol. Williamson is the biggest county with over 30% turnout so far. The other big counties are all around 27-28%

I think the takeaway: DFW and Austin metros are voting. Houston and San Antonio are behind. Lots of rural counties well below the state average.

Official Early Voting Turnout by Date - Early Voting Results

Coming into today, 23.77% is the voter turnout so far

These counties are above the state average ranked in order of cumulative votes so far.

DALLAS
TARRANT
TRAVIS
COLLIN
DENTON
FORT BEND
WILLIAMSON
BRAZORIA
GALVESTON
HAYS
LUBBOCK
ELLIS
SMITH
COMAL
JEFFERSON
PARKER
GRAYSON
RANDALL
ROCKWALL
BASTROP
WISE
KERR
KENDALL
BURNET
HARRISON
WILSON
MEDINA
NACOGDOCHES
WALKER
CALDWELL
LLANO
GILLESPIE
ARANSAS
BANDERA
LAMPASAS
COLORADO
BLANCO
MONTAGUE
ROBERTSON
GONZALES
LEE
SOMERVELL
BREWSTER
COLEMAN
JACK
GOLIAD
MASON
MILLS
CHILDRESS
KINNEY
JEFF DAVIS
CULBERSON
EDWARDS
ARMSTRONG
COTTLE
BORDEN
KENEDY

These counties are below the state turnout average so far ranked in order of votes.


HARRIS
BEXAR
MONTGOMERY
HIDALGO
EL PASO
BELL
CAMERON
NUECES
MCLENNAN
JOHNSON
GUADALUPE
BRAZOS
KAUFMAN
WEBB
TAYLOR
MIDLAND
TOM GREEN
WICHITA
GREGG
HENDERSON
HUNT
ANGELINA
ORANGE
VICTORIA
BOWIE
POTTER
HOOD
LIBERTY
ECTOR
CORYELL
CHAMBERS
HARDIN
VAN ZANDT
WOOD
POLK
CHEROKEE
LAMAR
SAN PATRICIO
RUSK
COOKE
UPSHUR
ATASCOSA
ANDERSON
ERATH
VAL VERDE
WHARTON
NAVARRO
FANNIN
JASPER
HOPKINS
WASHINGTON
MAVERICK
AUSTIN
BROWN
STARR
HILL
MATAGORDA
CASS
WALLER
JIM WELLS
PALO PINTO
FAYETTE
SAN JACINTO
TITUS
UVALDE
MILAM
KLEBERG
BEE
GRIMES
HOWARD
LAVACA
BURLESON
LIMESTONE
YOUNG
HOUSTON
BOSQUE
HALE
SHELBY
TRINITY
HUTCHINSON
DEWITT
CALHOUN
HOCKLEY
TYLER
LEON
EASTLAND
GRAY
CALLAHAN
COMANCHE
RAINS
SABINE
CAMP
PANOLA
JACKSON
RED RIVER
WILLACY
REEVES
FRANKLIN
MARION
MORRIS
WILBARGER
DUVAL
ANDREWS
SCURRY
MOORE
MADISON
CLAY
GAINES
PECOS
ARCHER
JONES
LIVE OAK
ZAVALA
HAMILTON
FREESTONE
FALLS
SAN AUGUSTINE
DEAF SMITH
KARNES
NEWTON
NOLAN
STEPHENS
FRIO
ZAPATA
RUNNELS
DIMMIT
MCCULLOCH
TERRY
WARD
REFUGIO
DAWSON
LAMB
PRESIDIO
SAN SABA
BROOKS
KIMBLE
DELTA
OCHILTREE
LASALLE
WHEELER
MITCHELL
CARSON
YOAKUM
FLOYD
REAL
JIM HOGG
SHACKELFORD
DONLEY
HASKELL
COKE
LYNN
HARTLEY
SUTTON
FISHER
SWISHER
BAYLOR
HANSFORD
CROSBY
BAILEY
MARTIN
SCHLEICHER
HEMPHILL
PARMER
CRANE
CASTRO
CROCKETT
GARZA
UPTON
COLLINGSWORTH
MENARD
HARDEMAN
CONCHO
DALLAM
REAGAN
COCHRAN
SHERMAN
DICKENS
BRISCOE
IRION
OLDHAM
HALL
WINKLER
KNOX
GLASSCOCK
MOTLEY
LIPSCOMB
FOARD
ROBERTS
STERLING
MCMULLEN
THROCKMORTON
TERRELL
HUDSPETH
KENT
KING
STONEWALL
LOVING

There was the typical nose ring type in front of me at the voting line. She voted for Paxton.

Barnyard96 said:

---

There was the typical nose ring type in front of me at the voting line. She voted for Paxton.

---

That's good to hear, but I cannot stand those disgusting nose rings. Why anyone wants to put something in their nose that looks like crap is hanging out of it is beyond me. It is the most unflattering thing. And you usually see it on the ugliest people.

How did you know she voted for Paxton?

M.C. Swag said:

---

Joe Deertay said:

---

For those who say they want affordability, help me with a math problem…

I have (x)dollars… if I vote for a democrat they want to tax me (y)

If you subtract x from y… how is that more…

---

Well for one, the Democrats won't enact tariffs or start never ending wars that jack up oil prices.

---

Yes, they'll just try to destroy the oil industry and capitalism. Huge win, right?

Ag87H2O said:

---

Anybody that would vote for Talarico is not an American Republican, even if they call themselves one.

That would go way beyond sending a message.

---

Again, it's no longer enough yo consider those who vote for socialism and destruction of our values to be just the "opposition party" or "the other guys on the left side of the aisle"
.
Dems have chosen completely un-American ideals and concepts. They have chosen to HATE America and all it stands for. They have chosen to ignore our sovereignty. They have chosen to ignore law and order. They have chosen to kill babies. They have chosen to mutilate children. They have chosen Marxism over capitalism. They have chosen other governments over our own. They have chosen hate and discourse over peace and prosperity.

Dems are racists. And they HATE America.

Compromise is fleeting. James Talarico is an enemy of the state and needs to be treated as such.

Anyone casting a vote for him is not your friend, not your family, not your neighbor, and not your fellow American.

Seriously, do we think Paxton wins?

I put $4,547on Paxton via Kalshi.

Yes, Paxton wins. High single digits to low double digits.