GAC06 said:
ErnestEndeavor said:
Iran, at least in my opinion, would have already closed Bab al Mandab if they could. I'm almost convinced, but not really sure, that the Houthis have been bought off by the Saudis.
Closing that strait pretty much only impacts Asia/China I would imagine. The Red Sea pipeline can still get supply to Europe but closing mandeb would force a very long transit through the med and around Africa to Asia.
Still somewhat surprised they didn't close it just as further pressure
The straight's closure impacts everyone, including us, thanks globalism. If you're referring to energy, specifically oil, it is traded on the global market and prices are set on the global market, not localized to just the US. Global geopolitical events, like a war with Iran and the closure of the straight increases gas prices here at home, even if we produce enough O&G here. We also have strong allies in Asia - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, etc. - who this severely negatively impacts.
We're giving more opportunities for our Asian allies to cozy up to China, the longer this drags on. Is Iran a bigger threat than China to the US? No way in hell. Iran is a bigger threat to Israel, yes, but not the US. We're hurting many of our other strategically important allies at the behest of Israel. Not a good trade off.