yes and he made steps to cut them out of it.

The Fall Guy said:

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Iran President responds to Trump that Iran will determine the end of the war.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/responding-to-trump-irans-irgc-says-it-will-determine-the-end-of-the-war/

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Kill me next, please!!!

jwhaby said:

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Saw this in Instagram but not sure it's accurate. The guy is saying that Itmar Ben-Gavr, Israel's Director of National Security, was injured in an Iranian attack. The BBC is claiming it's a car crash. Someone is lying. There's a ton of propaganda on both sides. It's really hard to get a real feel for what's going on.


https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVrZEjMjElk/?igsh=MWI1NTB0d3pxeXI2OA==

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I can't believe either side isn't telling the truth during a war…

Syria accused Hezbohla of firing shells at Syrian positions in Syria.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/syria-accuses-hezbollah-of-firing-shells-into-its-territory/

Secolobo said:

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jwhaby said:

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Saw this in Instagram but not sure it's accurate. The guy is saying that Itmar Ben-Gavr, Israel's Director of National Security, was injured in an Iranian attack. The BBC is claiming it's a car crash. Someone is lying. There's a ton of propaganda on both sides. It's really hard to get a real feel for what's going on.


https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVrZEjMjElk/?igsh=MWI1NTB0d3pxeXI2OA==

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I can't believe either side isn't telling the truth during a war…

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Yup. Hard to believe.

ErnestEndeavor said:

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Massive, insane bunker-buster strikes just hit regime sites in Karaj. Locals: ‘First time we’ve seen anything like this since the attacks started’ Check this wild footage from Karaj moments ago !

09 MAR 2026 | 18:38 ET ET
SOURCE: Amir Tsarfati (@beholdisraelchannel) pic.twitter.com/jc94Qgoy5f

— Inside_Israel_Intel (@inside_IL_intel) March 9, 2026

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That one looks like some kind of secondary explosion. They might have hit a major weapons/ammo bunker.

Guess it could also be the B-2s are dropping GBU-57s tonight.

there is a longer video of that one that starts with a bright blue "arc light" flash/explosion then that huge fireball explosion shown in that video.


eta. this video shows it. I think it is more likely we hit some sort of electrical infrastructure but who knows

Just catching up here. Are there any decent watches/follows out there? Otherwise you guys are it for me.

Shahrud was, to my knowledge, the last Iranian solid propellant production site to survive unmolested in the current conflict. Deeper in Iran than the others, it was harder to get at.

It's been struck now, though, and suffered substantial damage. https://t.co/iFegH53ral

— Michael Duitsman (@DuitsmanMS) March 9, 2026

His analysis is a little hyperbolic but it does appear that we're deploying energy weapons.

Air raid sirens sounding now in Bahrain.

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 10, 2026

Reports of a major explosion near the Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas this morning. pic.twitter.com/YKFFdVhPgp

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 10, 2026

Dirty_Mike&the_boys said:

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Newtonag said:

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Curious (for those who know things), can tankers turn off their transponders and lights to avoid Iranian anti ship missiles at night? If the Iranians use radar/IR to scan for ships can we not lock on and destroy those scanning systems??

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That's already happening, Trump gave Lloyds the finger and the US Navy is insuring their safe passage with raw firepower. Ships have been passing through the Strait of Hormuz all day and night.

BREAKING - Following the near-total obliteration of the Iranian Navy by U.S. forces, oil tankers have begun crossing the Strait of Hormuz with their transponders turned off, as oil prices drop 20 percent from recent highs. pic.twitter.com/OgVUZ1r1Si

— Right Angle News Network (@Rightanglenews) March 9, 2026

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not correct.

IRAN: Shimi Azar Jam, a chemical complex located in the Shokuhiye industrial zone in Iran’s Qom province, was struck on Friday, March 6, 2026.

Completely decimated. pic.twitter.com/MV90KYlrqq

— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) March 10, 2026

furthermore, this is the official position (referenced from the above video) indicating vessels should stay out of the strait

2026-0001B-Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, and Arabian Sea-Military Operations and Potential Retaliatory Strikes by Iranian Forces and Proxy Forces | MARAD

Quote:

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Significant military activity continues in the geographic areas listed above. It is recommended that vessels keep clear of this area if possible. Any U.S.-flagged, owned, or crewed commercial vessels that are operating in these areas should maintain a minimum standoff of 30 nautical miles from U.S. military vessels to reduce the risk of being mistaken as a threat and are strongly encouraged to maintain close contact with Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT) Naval Coordination and Guidance for Shipping (NCAGS) and review the latest UKMTO and Joint Maritime Information Center Advisories at https://www.ukmto.org/ukmtoproducts/advisories/2026 and https://www.ukmto.org/partner-products/jmic-products. The risk mitigation measures addressed in U.S. Maritime Advisory 2026-001 (Iranian Illegal Boarding/Detention/Seizure Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman) should also be reviewed and implemented well in advance of entering this region. Further updates will be provided when available.
This alert will automatically expire on March 13th, 2026.

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It takes a long time to replenish/rebuild solid rocket motor production capacity if lost (or to ramp it up significantly, which we also face for A2A and ground interceptors alike).

The damage to Shahroud is extensive

More or less every building in the solid motor production lines was damaged, many destroyed. Several mixing & casting buildings, along with what might be non-destructive testing & premix buildings.

Thanks to our partners @Airbus for the image https://t.co/lxTnSN8zTL pic.twitter.com/FTgBU9gGPI

— Sam Lair (@sam_lair) March 9, 2026

Trump: "Most of Iran’s naval power has been sunk... We continue to target Iran’s drone and missile capabilities... We've struck over 5,000 targets to date... and our B2 bombers recently dropped dozens of 2,000-pound bombs to destroy missile launchers all over Iran, buried deep in… pic.twitter.com/vVEs7vLoX5

— Polymarket Intel (@PolymarketIntel) March 10, 2026

Tehran got pounded overnight (as did Bandar Abbas), with bunker busters etc. it sounds like. Unclear if the newest 'supreme leader' is dead yet or not. Trump sort of equivocated about it being 'almost over' vs. 'just starting' as Hegseth said. Maersk cancelled all shipments thru gulf through the 21st of March (cargo not oil).

Aragchi is still talking trash, but the economic reality of the IRGC's oil revenues (and drug trade) getting taken off line will impact their ability to meet payroll imminently imho. I am looking for indications of Sepah bank's collapse/insolvency.

Qatar says Iran attacking Civilians.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/qatar-says-iran-attacking-civilian-infrastructure-also-warns-against-strikes-on-energy-facilities/

Captain Pablo said:

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The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this

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So what you are stating

is that you want the USA to not stop until the regime has been destroyed?

This is not a 'military action' per se but I don't think it's political either, and is a direct consequence of the US/IAF targetting their criminal enterprise operation/cashflow via oil storage sites, Tehran airport, and significant reduction in tankers getting filled, to say nothing of their involvment(s) in narcotics trade via Venezuela and Hezbollah/Europe etc. Something like half of their GDP runs through the IRGC which is a business empire in as much as anything else.

This morning, hundreds of thousands of Iranians woke up to frozen bank accounts. Customers of Bank Sepah and Bank Melli got an SMS saying their accounts were locked. The banks' websites and service channels are blocked, and it's not possible to log into accounts at all.

The… pic.twitter.com/A3jhzZyXE7

— Nariman Gharib (@NarimanGharib) March 10, 2026

Again, the next critical step would be the IRGC rank and file not getting paid. Still not ready to speculate that is happening yet, but it cannot be far from reality, after their economic collapse/currency collapse in January that triggered all of the protests in the first place.
ETA: apparently also related to a nominally Israeli hack attack today.

💥A hacking group opposed to the Iranian government, reportedly linked to Israel and known for carrying out destructive cyberattacks on Iran, claimed on social media Tuesday that it had wiped data from Iran’s state-owned Bank Sepah. pic.twitter.com/lvNYB9Jj2R

— LN24 International (@ln24_intl) March 10, 2026

Question for those with military background. Wondering about our stockpile of bombs/missiles, etc. Realistically how long at the current rate of use would it roughly last and how long to replenish to pre-operation levels?

Goldman Sachs report out a few hours ago:

jsc8116 said:

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Question for those with military background. Wondering about our stockpile of bombs/missiles, etc. Realistically how long at the current rate of use would it roughly last and how long to replenish to pre-operation levels?

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Depends the exact munition.

HIMARS we do not have a ton of as we also send them to Ukraine and they are in high demand.

we have probably a decade worth of JDAM available bombs.

The U.S. has produced and stockpiled JDAMs in the hundreds of thousands.

Boeing (the manufacturer) has produced over 500,000 JDAM guidance kits since the program began in the 1990s, with deliveries to the U.S. military and allied nations.

JDAMs are guidance kits (GPS/INS tail assemblies) that convert unguided "dumb" bombs into precision-guided munitions.

They're attached to standard bomb bodies (Mk-82, Mk-83, Mk-84, etc.), so the total count depends on both the kits and available bomb bodies.

You'll easily find a lot of doomsaying when that is asked, specifically to solid rocket motors. The typical lead time to ramp up production for these I think is around 14-18 months.

One of the few good news stories though from the Biden era is that we did manage to scale up industrially to produce these, somewhat of a consequence of another conflict. Not to support our rate of fire vs. Iran the past two weeks, but I expect that will continue to decrease over the next few weeks.

🇺🇸 Northrop Grumman solid rocket propellant production capacity:

2025 - 30 million lbs/year
2028 - 50 million lbs/year

Solid rocket motor production rate:

2024 - 13,000/year
2029 - 25,000/year pic.twitter.com/DhtkkEZehF

— Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (@ColbyBadhwar) June 2, 2025

I don't have any idea when we'd hit a critical inventory of Thaad/Standard/Pac3 interceptors. But we also need such (smaller) motors for many of our other (offensive) weapons like Tomahawks etc.

I am not responding claiming any real expertise in this stuff and I think it is a problem but one that is getting addressed;

Lockheed Martin announced Tuesday that it would be increasing its annual production rate of PAC-3 MSE (Missile Segment Enhancement) Interceptors for the MIM-104 “Patriot” Surface-to-Air Missile System from roughly 600, to 2,000 a year, under a new contract with the Department of… pic.twitter.com/aCkVK8xkqx

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) January 6, 2026