*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

1,113,796 Views | 8902 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by will25u
vwbug
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Maroon Elephant
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AG
Seeing reports on X right now that the rural turnout in Minneapolis/St. Paul suburbs has been crazy high!
TexAgs Firestorm Survivor
11.25.23
#NeverForget
aginlakeway
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AG
vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.



What is not a good sign? Be specific.
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
agjacent
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FireAg said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Says who?

Reports from PA have noted that there don't seem to be long wait times in several blue counties...
I don't think there's a way to get an exact number. Like, the state itself isn't publishing it. But there's a website where people can self-report their voter number - I guess when you go vote in your precinct, your ballot is numbered and the higher the number, the more people before you have voted? Anyway, according to this estimate:

The website is down now, but the last update I saw had the projected Philly voter turnout (based on the self-reported numbers up to whenever the site pooped out) at approaching 90%. There are 1.2M registered voters in Philly. That kind of turnout would mean something like 1.1M votes. I think the typical Dem percentage in Philly is in the high 80s? Which would mean Harris getting around 900,000 votes from Philly alone.
txags92
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richardag said:

FTAG 2000 said:

No Spin Ag said:

agracer said:

No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.
More people voting ELECTRONIC does not add DAYS to counting process.

Before 2020, it was done on election night in most states. Now, suddenly it takes several days for this to get done.

FL is much larger than GA or NV or AZ yet they get done by 10 PM.


Their (Florida) system should be copied by the other states.

That doesn't take away the fact that the other states aren't doing anything illegal by doing things at a slower pace.

Again, some states being slower isn't anything new. Is it frustrating, sure as sh*t it is, but it's nothing new or illegal.
There is zero reason for a state (Nevada) to allow ballots to come in for three days post election without a postmark.

Zero.
Zero legitimate reasons, but there are reasons.
Given the recent ruling by SCOTUS for another state that ED is ED, and no ballot after ED are acceptable, is there a reason the NV ruling can't be appealed? Particularly for ballots with no postmark, accepting them after ED just seems to be crazy.
vwbug
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I hope I'm wrong, just don't trust the Dems ... at all.
General Jack D. Ripper
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AG512 said:

vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.


context would be nice.
Yes. I have no idea what this poster is saying. If anything, PA looks like it's heading towards a trump win. Either they are trying to troll or they aren't understanding the posts.
Well…you sounded taller on radio.
Toptierag2018
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vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.




Did you forget to add the rest of the post?
Hungry Ojos
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vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.


This should be an auto perma-ban. Just ridiculous.
will25u
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FL already went hard right. AZ may be close on its heels.


Silvertaps
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AG
A lot of drive by posts in this thread.

If you don't have context / links, your comments will more than likely be flagged for trolling.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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US Space Force plans launch a Minuteman III nuclear missile (unarmed) tonight at 11pm.

No really.
aggietony2010
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vwbug said:






That turnout graph is not real data. It's modeled from crowd sourced data.
rgag12
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FTAG 2000 said:




This is important, not for the presidential race, but for house races.
Drahknor03
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I feel like I've seen a picture of every rural town in America with lines down the county road and a parking lot full of 3/4 ton pickups.

I haven't seen a picture of this high urban turnout.

Anecdotal, but while both sides are CLAIMING record turnout, only one side is SHOWING it.
Line Ate Member
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vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.


Not sure what to make of X material:

oh no
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AG
Quo Vadis?
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.


I've heard this is based off some guys spreadsheet bogus numbers that are crowdsourced
TxAgPreacher
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S
Does anyone have an idea of how many mail in ballots are in already? Particularly in the swing states.

Looks like Trump is taking a lead again just wanting to know if a ballot dump is even possible.
nortex97
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NY feedback is excellent today. It's nearing 4 o'clock there as I type, too.

As a reminder, if Trump somehow just wins the sunbelt (incl. NV/AZ), and NH, we are spared the drama of the iron belt states taking a week to see what they can produce.



How ironic would it be if…Lily Tang Williams actually is the one with coat tails that drags Trump across the line to put this one to bed tonight?
Aglaw97
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vwbug said:

I hope I'm wrong, just don't trust the Dems ... at all.
Nothing other than a random twitter post here or there is indicating anything worrisome at this point
D-Dubya-09
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jr15aggie said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.

You could even argue she'll need more than that... sounds like rural PA is turning out to vote this morning. Lots and lots of men and, based on the work boots & flannel shirts they are wearing, they don't appear to be part of the 'white dudes for Harris' crowd!
I had seen something via social media (must be true) last week discussing the Amish and how local Dem authorities were disrupting some of their businesses negatively. Anyways, this person went on to say, don't be surprised if the the Amish vote makes a difference in the PA elections this year. Appears that may be the case.
Toptierag2018
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agjacent said:

FireAg said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Says who?

Reports from PA have noted that there don't seem to be long wait times in several blue counties...
I don't think there's a way to get an exact number. Like, the state itself isn't publishing it. But there's a website where people can self-report their voter number - I guess when you go vote in your precinct, your ballot is numbered and the higher the number, the more people before you have voted? Anyway, according to this estimate:

The website is down now, but the last update I saw had the projected Philly voter turnout (based on the self-reported numbers up to whenever the site pooped out) at approaching 90%. There are 1.2M registered voters in Philly. That kind of turnout would mean something like 1.1M votes. I think the typical Dem percentage in Philly is in the high 80s? Which would mean Harris getting around 900,000 votes from Philly alone.


Has a #HarrisWalz in this twitter accounts profile.

I'm sure they are very data driven.
smstork1007
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AG
vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.


**** post like this with no context, no presentation of factual reports, are total BS, and mods hopefully take out the trash soon.
LMCane
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Anyone think that right now the leftists on the Sip Politics board

have a 24 page thread about how Kamala is winning?
RedHand
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agjacent said:

FireAg said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Says who?

Reports from PA have noted that there don't seem to be long wait times in several blue counties...
I don't think there's a way to get an exact number. Like, the state itself isn't publishing it. But there's a website where people can self-report their voter number - I guess when you go vote in your precinct, your ballot is numbered and the higher the number, the more people before you have voted? Anyway, according to this estimate:

The website is down now, but the last update I saw had the projected Philly voter turnout (based on the self-reported numbers up to whenever the site pooped out) at approaching 90%. There are 1.2M registered voters in Philly. That kind of turnout would mean something like 1.1M votes. I think the typical Dem percentage in Philly is in the high 80s? Which would mean Harris getting around 900,000 votes from Philly alone.
The self reported data for Philly is trash. I can go in and update it from Texas.
Yukon Cornelius
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AG
The country was birthed at Philadelphia and it will live or die there again tonight.
NPH-
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Hungry Ojos said:

vwbug said:

Not a good sign in Pennysylvania for Trump. Ugh, buckle up.


This should be an auto perma-ban. Just ridiculous.
Seriously, I hope mods look at this. No different than a Chicago-style drive-by shooting.
Leander
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AG
Yeah PA basically decides the election barring any huge upset (NH)
Leander
BowSowy
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aggietony2010 said:

vwbug said:






That turnout graph is not real data. It's modeled from crowd sourced data.
He's using a self-reported sample size of 571 people
Barnyard96
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AG
Justice for Peanut
will25u
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EVERYONE SAY IT WITH ME!!!

PA HAS NOT RELEASED DATA ON A SINGLE VOTE!

All these huge numbers are crowd sourced, and likely bogus.

LETS WAIT UNTIL VOTES START ROLLING OUT UNTIL WE FREAK THE HELL OUT!
will25u
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Yukon Cornelius said:

The country was birthed at Philadelphia and it will live or die there again tonight.
Trump just needs 1 of the rust belt, doesn't matter which.
mslags97
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AG
nortex97 said:

NY feedback is excellent today. It's nearing 4 o'clock there as I type, too.

As a reminder, if Trump somehow just wins the sunbelt (incl. NV/AZ), and NH, we are spared the drama of the iron belt states taking a week to see what they can produce.



How ironic would it be if…Lily Tang Williams actually is the one with coat tails that drags Trump across the line to put this one to bed tonight?



This would be awesome.

And maybe the same thing happens with Hung Cao in VA!!!!

LMCane
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will25u said:

EVERYONE SAY IT WITH ME!!!

PA HAS NOT RELEASED DATA ON A SINGLE VOTE!

All these huge numbers are crowd sourced, and likely bogus.

LETS WAIT UNTIL VOTES START ROLLING OUT UNTIL WE FREAK THE HELL OUT!
who is freaking out?

most republicans have been in good spirits all day long.

including when analyzing Pennsylvania data.
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