*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

1,101,304 Views | 8899 Replies | Last: 4 hrs ago by hunter2012
agcrock2005
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will25u said:

Ralston is probably NOT happy.


He keeps mentioning "keep in mind this doesn't count the ballots being dropped in boxes" like he knows that's how they're going to win it. I've been watching his messages for last week and he keeps mentioning them like he's confident of what's in them.
rathAG05
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Link?
Definitely Not A Cop
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No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.


I agree with most of your points. But I also believe there are large urban counties, particularly in swing states, who consistently have issues with managing their elections properly.

The first count should not take 5 days to figure out. That should be done by midnight on Tuesday. Period.
Billy Moose
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Trump up to -182 on Action Network. Was -162 at noon ET.
FireAg
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Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

If he wins NH, then you can turn out the lights and go to bed early.

That's the play because then she has no path except sweeping rust belt and one of the sun belts.
This 100%...
aggiehawg
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AGAIN JUST A REMINDER THIS IS UNIQUE IN MARICOPA COUNTY SINCE THEY HAVE COUNTYWIDE AND NOT PRECINCT BASED VOTING CENTERS.

Won't work in other states that don't have countywide voting like that.
Toptierag2018
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What's the current vibe check?

Seems things are pretty steady, as they were going into the day, if not trending slightly upward.
texsn95
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FireAg said:

Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

If he wins NH, then you can turn out the lights and go to bed early.

That's the play because then she has no path except sweeping rust belt and one of the sun belts.
This 100%...


Is AZ Red this year?
LMCane
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Polymarket still hanging in at

Trump 61% to Harris 39%
J. Walter Weatherman
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Who?mikejones! said:

Who?mikejones! said:

aggiehawg said:

Who?mikejones! said:

Which house certifies the election? The existing one or the new one?
New.


Is that what tasking was droning on about?





People really need to be careful sharing stuff that's unsourced like this. Plenty of twitter accounts will use today to engagement farm with ridiculous stories that will get shared and immediately taken as fact because people want to believe it, much like the black insurrectionist scammer.
LilSebastian13
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Just ready for this cycle to be over
No Spin Ag
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Definitely Not A Cop said:

No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.


I agree with most of your points. But I also believe there are large urban counties, particularly in swing states, who consistently have issues with managing their elections properly.

The first count should not take 5 days to figure out. That should be done by midnight on Tuesday. Period.


I agree, it should, but I'll digress because we're not arguing with each other, just about the system, and i don't want to go any further for no reason.

So, on this issue well Disagree, and that's fine. Besides, once this freaking election is over we can go back to arguing about important things, like our horrible tackling.
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
nortex97
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LMCane
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Billy Moose said:

Trump up to -182 on Action Network. Was -162 at noon ET.
that is a positive move for Trump?
CedarParkAg2014
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Yes.
TheBonifaceOption
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LMCane said:

Billy Moose said:

Trump up to -182 on Action Network. Was -162 at noon ET.
that is a positive move for Trump?
Positive move for Trump

The closer to ZERO the closer to "even money," either candidate.
GigEmJake17
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LMCane said:

Billy Moose said:

Trump up to -182 on Action Network. Was -162 at noon ET.
that is a positive move for Trump?
yes. It means youd have to bet 182 to win 100. The more you'd have to bet to win 100, the better the odds.
rgag12
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Seems like Trump's got a lead, hopefully Buzz isn't coaching the final minutes
agjacent
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JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Chef Elko
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Not sure what to make of it but $DJT tanked and was halted not too long ago. Trading is back up but the stock hasn't recovered much. Betting markets seem to be moving more towards Trump though.
dreyOO
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Rattler12 said:

On a lighter note. Stopped in traffic oming back from the HEBery on 46 west of 281, there was a guy in a T-Rex suit carrying a big sign that read ........

"$5 .....or I vote for Harris"

Random anecdotes from south of Denver today. Went to FedEx, Whole Foods, and Mad Greens (salad joint) with my red triggering hat on. All women helped me out. The first two places were black and the last was white. All three of them liked the hat, had big ol smiles, and wished me a very good day. The last one actually had a Mexican dude next to her that said the same.
FireAg
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Sure is looking like it will be...
CedarParkAg2014
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Trump was -1000 or so election night in 2020. Anything can happen.
Toptierag2018
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.


Can we see the data behind that projection?
FTAG 2000
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LMCane said:

Billy Moose said:

Trump up to -182 on Action Network. Was -162 at noon ET.
that is a positive move for Trump?
Uptick of about 3%.

the most cool guy
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Can you post a link that projection so we can see it?
rathAG05
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Link?
JohnFootball2
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Toptierag2018 said:

What's the current vibe check?

Seems things are pretty steady, as they were going into the day, if not trending slightly upward.


So far positive and optimistic. Moving in the right direction compared to around 9-11AMEST
Hungry Ojos
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
And even if they don't get the turnout they need, they still have three more days to manufacture it.
MagnumLoad
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.

Source?
1836er
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
I have not seen this credibly suggested anywhere.
Vance in '28
FireAg
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agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Says who?

Reports from PA have noted that there don't seem to be long wait times in several blue counties...
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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agjacent said:

Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

If he wins NH, then you can turn out the lights and go to bed early.

That's the play because then she has no path except sweeping rust belt and one of the sun belts.
What makes you think trump has a chance to win NH?


A) I was at lunch, and they asked Wasserman on CNBC to name a surprise. He said NH, then paused, and said I don't know if I'll be surprised if Trump wins NH based off the data I have at this point.

B). I was giving a scenario where it becomes almost impossible for her to win.

PS

I think Trump has PA in the bag already.
rgag12
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the most cool guy said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
Can you post a link that projection so we can see it?


Found it

FTAG 2000
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Hungry Ojos said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.
And even if they don't get the turnout they need, they still have three more days to manufacture it.
10/29 was the deadline in PA to request a ballot.

So that number of outstanding ballots not returned is known.

Haven't seen that info anywhere yet though.

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