*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

1,102,722 Views | 8901 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by AtticusMatlock
Who?mikejones!
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45-70Ag said:

What's the link for the New York Times needle that calls elections. I hate the times but their election stuff is pretty good.


Not joking. They're on strike

https://www.theverge.com/2024/11/4/24288107/the-new-york-times-election-needle-just-got-even-more-stressful
Dale Earnhardts Stache
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TxAgPreacher
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S
jr15aggie said:

TxAgPreacher said:

gigemJTH12 said:

Serious question..

Why are we just assuming the Others will vote for trump?


Polling says independents break slightly for trump.


Another way it's said is that Indy's will many times break with the pack.

In this particular case, the Dems turnout is absolutely awful. Do you really think that a majority of those Indy voters are breaking for Harris when even the registered Dems aren't?
Ya... remember when all the bellwether counties went Trump, but magically 100% of mail in ballots broke Biden.

Hopefully with no Covid they cannot do that, especially with Trump so close in the popular vote.
Who?mikejones!
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No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.


Only if those votes happened before poll closing time

No. I don't think mib received after the closing of polls on election day should count, not even ones with a postmark of election day
Texas velvet maestro
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aggie93 said:

will25u said:

Just tried this. It is true.


Well Google is the largest single donor to the Democrats so that's not a surprise.
did this. no maps. no precincts .

top headline
Trump is a convicted felon. Here's why he can still vote today
Keller6Ag91
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Who?mikejones! said:



Lol. Trump going to disallow history books folks.
It is truly amazing how Joe Scarborough has literally "jumped the shark".
Gig'Em and God Bless,

JB'91
policywonk98
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45-70Ag said:

What's the link for the New York Times needle that calls elections. I hate the times but their election stuff is pretty good.


You want peoplespunditdaily.com I don't believe it will be behind a paywall and it's going to likely be just as realtime accurate. As already mentioned, there are questions as to what NYTimes will even be able to do tonight with their data.
aTm2004
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First results from Michigan coming in.

Who?mikejones!
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Who?mikejones! said:

aggiehawg said:

Who?mikejones! said:

Which house certifies the election? The existing one or the new one?
New.


Is that what tasking was droning on about?


Reginald Cousins
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Texas velvet maestro said:

aggie93 said:

will25u said:

Just tried this. It is true.


Well Google is the largest single donor to the Democrats so that's not a surprise.
did this. no maps. no precincts .

top headline
Trump is a convicted felon. Here's why he can still vote today


Yup. Still working.
Cromagnum
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MemphisAg1 said:

will25u said:




What was the RCP average spread for Florida, Trump vs Harris?


Polls were biased towards the Dems? You don't say...
coolerguy12
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No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.
When you have ballots mailed to every household in certain states and they say they will receive ballots up to 3 days after the election and they do nothing about ballot harvesting it's pretty easy to connect the dots on which side benefits from the count dragging out for days.
Gigem314
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Cromagnum said:

will25u said:

Trump 2016: A New Hope

Trump 2020: The Empire Strikes Back

Trump 2024: Return of the Jedi



If it's Kamala or floating garbage...

No Spin Ag
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Gigem314 said:

Cromagnum said:

will25u said:

Trump 2016: A New Hope

Trump 2020: The Empire Strikes Back

Trump 2024: Return of the Jedi



If it's Kamala or floating garbage...




LOL!
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
oh no
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fc2112
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Shaping up for the Dems to teach a lesson on just how bad Jan 6 can REALLY be.

Keep in mind in 2021, a GOP house certified Biden. If a Dem house refuses to certify trump, aren't they now 10X worse than the protestors from 2021 that AOC was hoping would rape her?
nortex97
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Trump is up just under 19 percent on ED voters in FL.

texsn95
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NV on Bovada recently went from Rs -120 to -125, so trending in the right direction.
will25u
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And here are my thoughts.

oh no
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No Spin Ag
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coolerguy12 said:

No Spin Ag said:

Jbob04 said:

Captn_Ag05 said:



If this happens, he won't win


Why would it matter when it's called? Doesn't ever citizen deserve it have their vote counted even if it takes time?

Also, it's not as if when Trump has been running that it sometimes took longer hours of not a day or so to count votes.

On top of that, there are much more people voting these past couple of elections than prior ones, so it just makes sense it'll take longer. Not everything is a conspiracy.
When you have ballots mailed to every household in certain states and they say they will receive ballots up to 3 days after the election and they do nothing about ballot harvesting it's pretty easy to connect the dots on which side benefits from the count dragging out for days.


If those see the rules and they've been known at least for the past four years, what's the surprise? It's nothing new and it's not as if those ballots are being counted more than once.

There's nothing illegal with your scenario.

The only thing that it seems like is that you want to call them game so long as you're ahead, even if there's still time left on the clock.
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
Chef Elko
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Who?mikejones! said:



Lol. Trump going to disallow history books folks.
MSNBC is the Ministry of Truth
oh no
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FireAg
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fc2112 said:

Shaping up for the Dems to teach a lesson on just how bad Jan 6 can REALLY be.

Keep in mind in 2021, a GOP house certified Biden. If a Dem house refuses to certify trump, aren't they now 10X worse than the protestors from 2021 that AOC was hoping would rape her?
If Trump wins...and there is a D House...the will STILL certify the vote...

Don't buy into the bull*****..

If they didn't, blood would run in the streets...

All this nonsense about not certifying is complete garbage...
No Spin Ag
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oh no said:




Was Clark County a big county for Trump last time?
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
Who?mikejones!
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I'd presume Clark county is a democrat stronghold
jokershady
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AG
do we have any updates on PA????
Burdizzo
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FTAG 2000 said:

WhoopN06 said:

Infection_Ag11 said:

aggie93 said:

Infection_Ag11 said:

Aggie_2463 said:

Infection_Ag11 said:

Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today
I haven't been following the house race, are we in danger of losing the majority there?


Yes, in fact if you look at the individual races it would be a mild surprise if the democrats don't achieve a very slight majority in the house. Republicans have to either pull a few mild upsets, or sweep 5 genuinely 50/50 races.

The problem is so many close races this year in the house are in purple districts within blue states, or blue districts in red states. So Trump will have a hard time carrying many of these races over the finish line even if he wins.
Lose the House and lose the Leg agenda for Trump.


Personally I prefer a lot of deadlock at the federal level. My ideal scenario is always the republicans controlling the presidency and one house of congress, preferably the senate, while the democrats control the other. Allows for a republican to wield the executive powers while keeping government expansion via long lasting policy to a minimum.
I never agree with InfectionAg but this is spot on.

Generally I'd agree but we really need a full GOP sweep of control so that they can wind back the last four years legislatively (and wipe all of Biden's executive orders).

Plus do some election reform to address the nonsense of the last two elections.



Yeah, my problem with gridlock is that it does nothing to reduce the bloat and self-sealing that goes on. I guess you have to pick your battles.
dreyOO
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SpreadsheetAg said:



The rage in these unlikeable women (Hilldawg and Cackles) is telling. This isn't misogyny. It's being a horrible ***** that even your staff hates.
Phat32
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oh no
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No Spin Ag said:

oh no said:




Was Clark County a big county for Trump last time?
It includes Las Vegas, the city of sin and the only major urban center in the state. It's traditionally D. The rest of the state is deep red, but very rural. Need increase from 2020 in Clark co for Trump and Sam Brown to win.

open border fiasco, Trump's no tax on tips, far fewer mail in ballots requested this time, etc. could get it there.
Gigem314
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Clay Travis just now "I may still be drunk when we go on live tomorrow"
Emotional Support Cobra
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Prosperdick
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will25u said:


AtticusMatlock
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Nevada delivers a mail-in ballot to every voter. What people are tracking are the ballot returns not the requests. They have in person options.

The ruling about not needing a postmark after election day theoretically means that the Democrats can continue to canvas and have people fill out ballots after election day is over once they realize how many votes they need.

That being said I still have not gotten clarification as to whether they will allow in person drop off of these ballots or whether they have to arrive via the mail.

If they arrive via the mail it would take a pretty big conspiracy among post office employees to deliberately not postmark these.
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