Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

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yeah; senate should be closer to 95% just because of MT and WV alone, right? ...or is Cruz in trouble in TX? even if so, Moreno in OH should cover.

...concerning the house could be flipping though..

Make the patriarchy great again!

SpreadsheetAg said:

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"Morale couldn't be lower right now, it's not even noon and they're already raging on about misogyny" - per WH official

— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024

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????....sounds like hearsay. While I hope it's correct, I find it hard to believe.

I'm not sure what to think of Posobic . Seems like he just pulls stuff out of his ass sometimes.

dreyOO said:

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45-70Ag said:

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BREAKING: per a W.H. official the Harris campaign is already FIRING staffers due to being “useless”

— Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) November 5, 2024

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They send Cackles packing?

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Oh look anther purge. Leftest sure do love them some purges.

Looks like what I would expect her presidency to be like in a nutshell. By all accounts, she is not easy to work for, and I am surprised it has taken this long for cracks begin to show up around her campaign organization.

Ralston is probably NOT happy.

10 AM turnout stats in NV:

57K voted

D--16,799 (30%)

R--20,905 (37%)

O-- 19,154 (33%)

9K rural votes and R advantage in Washoe making up for D edge in Clark. But indies are the story. pic.twitter.com/Wg57ck7kpr

— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) November 5, 2024

Aggie_2463 said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

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I haven't been following the house race, are we in danger of losing the majority there?

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Yes, in fact if you look at the individual races it would be a mild surprise if the democrats don't achieve a very slight majority in the house. Republicans have to either pull a few mild upsets, or sweep 5 genuinely 50/50 races.

The problem is so many close races this year in the house are in purple districts within blue states, or blue districts in red states. So Trump will have a hard time carrying many of these races over the finish line even if he wins.

Infection_Ag11 said:

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Aggie_2463 said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

---

I haven't been following the house race, are we in danger of losing the majority there?

---

Yes, in fact if you look at the individual races it would be a mild surprise if the democrats don't achieve a very slight majority in the house. Republicans have to either pull a few mild upsets, or sweep 5 genuinely 50/50 races.

The problem is so many close races this year in the house are in purple districts within blue states, or blue districts in red states. So Trump will have a hard time carrying many of these races over the finish line even if he wins.

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I don't really mind gridlock.

Senate & Presidency would suffice.

From CNN exit polling, Independents broke 50% Biden, 44% Trump in NV. in 2020

Keller6Ag91 said:

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SpreadsheetAg said:

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"Morale couldn't be lower right now, it's not even noon and they're already raging on about misogyny" - per WH official

— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024

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????....sounds like hearsay. While I hope it's correct, I find it hard to believe.

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Lol yea, not sure id be confident in Jack Poso having a top secret White House source. Assuming it's made up for clicks is probably a safer bet.

BadMoonRisin said:

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I'm not sure what to think of Posobic . Seems like he just pulls stuff out of his ass sometimes.

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Sometimes?

Updated Nevada numbers adding in the 10AM report to the early vote. Note this does NOT include mail in ballots, so it will be a less rosy picture for Republicans, but still Clark County republicans (90% of the state pop is in Clark County) are keeping the margin tight enough that the rurals are expanding the vote lead a bit.

Russia is paying him remember

Infection_Ag11 said:

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Aggie_2463 said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

---

I haven't been following the house race, are we in danger of losing the majority there?

---

Yes, in fact if you look at the individual races it would be a mild surprise if the democrats don't achieve a very slight majority in the house. Republicans have to either pull a few mild upsets, or sweep 5 genuinely 50/50 races.

The problem is so many close races this year in the house are in purple districts within blue states, or blue districts in red states. So Trump will have a hard time carrying many of these races over the finish line even if he wins.

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Lose the House and lose the Leg agenda for Trump.

SpreadsheetAg said:

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Hearing Democrats are super nervous. The Trump surge is real. Smart Democrats are doing the math and very concerned.

Go vote!!

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) November 5, 2024

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Any guess on how Cruz is doing?

oh no said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

---

yeah; senate should be closer to 95% just because of MT and WV alone, right? ...or is Cruz in trouble in TX? even if so, Moreno in OH should cover.

...concerning the house could be flipping though..

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Cruz is fine

The only question regarding the senate is whether republicans have 51, 52, 53 or 54 seats. Looking more and more like 52 is probably what it will be.

If I was betting on it, I'd bet on the house to flip. If Kamala wins the general it's definitely going to flip because she will bring more over the finish line than Trump will be able to just based on where the races are.

BadMoonRisin said:

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I'm not sure what to think of Posobic . Seems like he just pulls stuff out of his ass sometimes.

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Sometimes?

aggie93 said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Aggie_2463 said:

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Infection_Ag11 said:

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Surprised by the senate being only 82%

It's a near mathematical impossibility at this point for the republicans to not have at least 51 senate seats after today

---

I haven't been following the house race, are we in danger of losing the majority there?

---

Yes, in fact if you look at the individual races it would be a mild surprise if the democrats don't achieve a very slight majority in the house. Republicans have to either pull a few mild upsets, or sweep 5 genuinely 50/50 races.

The problem is so many close races this year in the house are in purple districts within blue states, or blue districts in red states. So Trump will have a hard time carrying many of these races over the finish line even if he wins.

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Lose the House and lose the Leg agenda for Trump.

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Personally I prefer a lot of deadlock at the federal level. My ideal scenario is always the republicans controlling the presidency and one house of congress, preferably the senate, while the democrats control the other. Allows for a republican to wield the executive powers while keeping government expansion via long lasting policy to a minimum.

I think Ted Cruz will beat Colin Allred 52% to 47% in another close reelection bid to a 3rd term in the Senate, and the results will be announced by 10:00 PM.