AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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Rasmussen Reports said about 30 minutes ago Trump has Iowa no problem and finishes with about 300 EV. I'm going with that. Feels right.

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Confirmation bias. Just because it's something you want to hear, it does not make it so.

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Sorry but I get an opinion just like everyone else.

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Of course you can have your own opinion but just because Rasmussen confirms it, it does not make it more valid.

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Really?

Texas velvet maestro said:

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Trump wins election
Dems will try and muddy it, cheat and attempt a steal, and while deliberation is going on during the so-called vote- counting, much will come to light and Dems will be publicly destroyed for their lying and illegal activity.
and we win.

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You had me up until the "Dems will be publicly destroyed" part.
No, they will totally get away with it.

backintexas2013 said:

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Currently class warfare is winning this. The stick it to the rich and the evil corporations price gouging is playing to idiots. They never do research. There is a poster on here who when faced with facts about tax rates ran away from the discussion.

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Exactly. People get so wrapped up each election in the individual candidates that they ignore the reality that for 95% of the people it's all about party loyalty and branding. And by and large for many decades the media and all of pop culture and academia has successfully branded both parties; Republicans are greedy racists and Democrats "care" about people. That's hard to overcome. But add to it in recent years the most demonized candidate in history and I just don't think most people can or will get past that. Truth matters a lot less than perception.

The best poll from 2020 also confirms it.

The NYT poll admits its flawed.

Sorry misspell. Wasn't paying attention

samurai_science said:

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AgsWin2011 said:

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I've seen a lot of betting sites and odds showing Trump's lead go way down. Don't have anything saved but will post some photos if I see some later from X. Also, never know what to believe on the internet anymore.

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Two people placed large bets on Kamala in PA on Polymarket and shifted the odds. That’s it. It’s not “real.”

Assume everything you see on the “news” is a psy-op intended to discourage Trump voters from voting from now thru Tues. pic.twitter.com/yauu6xVNkM

— Liz Wheeler (@Liz_Wheeler) November 3, 2024

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I'm pro trump but this lady has no clue what she is talking about. Those two bets she is referring to total only $52k. That might be enough to move the poly market bet one percent or so but it's such a small fraction of the overall bet there and not the cause of Trump going from 66% to 54% in a couple days. For reference, The French guy that invested over 15million a few weeks ago drove the price up a lot for Trump. But $50k isn't moving the needle much. Also $50k bet isn't going to cause PredictiIT, Bovada, and all the other sites to dramatically lower the Trump odds. So don't believe everything you read on twitter.

I thought for a while that Trump would win somewhat comfortably, but I honestly don't know now. It seems like a toss up.

I keep thinking if we had any other candidate running against Harris, they would win by a landslide. The average person that isn't in the MAGA camp simply detests the man. It's similar to Ted Cruz. It's always a closer race than it should because most Republican or Moderate Texans just don't like the guy but hold their nose and vote because they have to.

Rockdoc said:

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AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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Rasmussen Reports said about 30 minutes ago Trump has Iowa no problem and finishes with about 300 EV. I'm going with that. Feels right.

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Confirmation bias. Just because it's something you want to hear, it does not make it so.

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Sorry but I get an opinion just like everyone else.

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Of course you can have your own opinion but just because Rasmussen confirms it, it does not make it more valid.

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Really?

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Yes, Really. Rasmussen is just one right leaning polling firm that, while reputable, has been wildly wrong in the past.

Absolutely. Ask people what the "rich" pay in income tax and they will say 15% and the poor pay a higher percentage. Neither is even close to truth but it's their belief.

AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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AggieUSMC said:

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Rockdoc said:

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Rasmussen Reports said about 30 minutes ago Trump has Iowa no problem and finishes with about 300 EV. I'm going with that. Feels right.

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Confirmation bias. Just because it's something you want to hear, it does not make it so.

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Sorry but I get an opinion just like everyone else.

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Of course you can have your own opinion but just because Rasmussen confirms it, it does not make it more valid.

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Really?

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Yes, Really. Rasmussen is just one right leaning polling firm that, while reputable, has been wildly wrong in the past.

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Thank you. You sure showed me.

backintexas2013 said:

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The best pole from 2020 also confirms it.

The NYT poll admits its flawed.

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Ok, fine. I sincerely hope you're right. But we're far away from thinking the Trump team should be measuring the drapes in the White House right now.

DanielDay said:

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If your life changes due to Tuesday's results, you have other problems to address.

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Except if she lets the tax cuts expire and I pay even more it does impact me. I will still make it just means fewer vacations so I can help pay for losers who make poor choices.

And please don't say poor me. I have put myself in position to do the things I do because I don't make dumb decisions. I shouldn't be punished because others can't make good decisions.

I don't think they should be. I think people are all in on the Iowa poll showing something. The NYT poll says how it probably underrepresented republicans.

If this election requires the belief that over 85M people voted for this unpopilar idiot, you will know that it was stolen.

backintexas2013 said:

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I don't think they should be. I think people are all in on the Iowa poll showing something. The NYT poll says how it probably underrepresented republicans.

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Maybe. I hope you're right. But just maybe Selzer is catching something that none of the other pollsters are catching a la what Trafalgar caught in 2016.

BadMoonRisin said:

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If this election requires the belief that over 85M people voted for this unpopilar idiot, you will know that it was stolen.

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Or maybe some of the those 85M people didn't vote FOR the unpopular idiot but voted AGAINST the other unpopular idiot.

IDK, just spit balling here

Keep telling yourself that's what happened.

Joes said:

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I still think the moron wins, and cheating won't have much to do with it. This country has become far more center-left than people here will admit. This population is nothing like the 1980s. Trump is the most socially liberal Republican president we've ever had and the masses still view him as far right. It's insane. I obviously hope I'm wrong, but the candidates aren't the problem, it's the people. My expectations of them are at rock bottom.

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Don't worry, your wrong.

It's true though. The most popular response by a large margin from Dems voting for Harris is "she's not Trump." A small minority actually cite any of her policies as their reason for supporting her.

backintexas2013 said:

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DanielDay said:

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If your life changes due to Tuesday's results, you have other problems to address.

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Except if she lets the tax cuts expire and I pay even more it does impact me. I will still make it just means fewer vacations so I can help pay for losers who make poor choices.

And please don't say poor me. I have put myself in position to do the things I do because I don't make dumb decisions. I shouldn't be punished because others can't make good decisions.

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Stop being so damn selfish with your money AND PAY YOUR FAIR SHARE

I'm not confident at all that Trump will win. I'm very confident that regardless of who is in the White House, God will be on His throne. That's where I'm putting my faith.

I think Trump wins by a larger margin than 2016 and it's conceded on election night.

Ha yep. Those bottom 50% who only pay about 3% income tax rate need to get a cut because muh feelings.

Somewhere, there exists pallots of ballots, and we are to trust gov employees and "civic volunteers" to oversee it all.

yall simply dont believe in reality, between women wanting to kill babies in utero and cheating Harris is your next pres

BigFred said:

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Feeling great,... confident. The wheels came off the Trump campaign the last few weeks and we got some insurance votes as a result.

We got this!!!

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Imagine feeling great and confident for the continued destruction everything that the USA was founded on.

Leftism and traditional American values are incompatible.

backintexas2013 said:

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The best poll from 2020 also confirms it.

The NYT poll admits its flawed.

Sorry misspell. Wasn't paying attention

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Comrade,

Polls don't confirm anything. They only give a snapshot of where the race is.
The only thing that will be confirmed will be the counted votes after the election ends.

BusterAg said:

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Joes said:

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I still think the moron wins, and cheating won't have much to do with it. This country has become far more center-left than people here will admit. This population is nothing like the 1980s. Trump is the most socially liberal Republican president we've ever had and the masses still view him as far right. It's insane. I obviously hope I'm wrong, but the candidates aren't the problem, it's the people. My expectations of them are at rock bottom.

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Don't worry, your wrong.

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My wrong? I don't own a wrong.

Right now? Feeling fine, but I've been drinking for almost 4 hours.

Go back and see what I was replying to. The poster accused a poster of confirmation bias because of the poll he referenced. I was saying that the most accurate poll confirmed his belief so it wasn't only one poll.

I have no idea who wins and don't believe the Iowa poll anymore than I believe atlas that shows trump winning. Both are probably really flawed. At least NYT admits why they may be completely wrong.

C@LAg said:

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This might be the best leftist meme I have ever seen.

It must have been created by a GOP campaign consultant.

Kellso said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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The best poll from 2020 also confirms it.

The NYT poll admits its flawed.

Sorry misspell. Wasn't paying attention

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Comrade,

Polls don't confirm anything. They only give a snapshot of where the race is.
The only thing that will be confirmed will be the counted votes after the election ends.

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Are you certain about it this time??