2024 National GE:

Trump 51% (+2)
Harris 49%
.
Trump 47% (+2)
Harris 45%
Kennedy 8%
.
Trump 46% (+1)
Harris 45%
Kennedy 8%
West 1%
Stein 1%

.@HarrisXdata/@Forbes, 2,472 LV, 7/24-25https://t.co/1SXoPRwmzo

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 28, 2024

Got to give credit to the progressives for ditching Joe. It was a choice between two turd sandwiches that became a turd sandwich and a turd sandwich with a side of **** soup. They masterfully orchestrated it once the GOP locked in Trump as the nominee.

Honestly, the country would be better off had Trump lost the debate badly and he decided to step down to focus on his lawsuits, but he wouldn't be magnanimous enough to put the country's needs above his.

oh no rightly is pointing out the Senate polls don't match the Presidential polls. Despite how poorly Biden has performed, the generic Congressional ballots shows the Democrats are leading the GOP. The voting public isn't taking the GOP seriously so long as they clownishly slobber over Trump. The general public still hates Trump. You can expect Harris to easily gain and surpass Trump in the polls with puff piece after puff piece from the main stream media. Harris is winning the Twitter impression game despite Elon's best effort.

Despite the bubble here, Harris is -2 in enthusiastic/not enthusiastic metric compared to Trump's -21 and +9 when just looking at enthusiasm. That's why you're seeing the $200 million in donations this week and a large volunteer army gathering. Be prepared.

“At 78 years old, Donald Trump is too old to work in government”

Agree 53%
Disagree 43%

———

“Kamala Harris is mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges“

Agree 56%
Disagree 37%

.@Reuters/@Ipsos, 1,018 RV, 7/22-23 https://t.co/mdkE0aygyN

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 23, 2024

Who do you trust more on?

Healthcare
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Education
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Guarding Democracy
🔵 Harris 51% (+6)
🔴 Trump 45%

Cleaning corruption
🔵 Harris 48% (+3)
🔴 Trump 45%

Atlas Intel A+ - 1980 RV

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 28, 2024

We are such a non-serious country if those polls are accurate.

Barnyard96 said:

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Didnt help her in the 2020 primaries.

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Not the same race at all. The election has now become a referendum on Trump. He needs to turn that back around if he wants the polls to change in his favor.

Our country is lost

Artorias said:

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Our country is lost

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If those number are accurate, yep. Weapons grade stupidity.

Early voting starts in about 60 days. Harris and the media will be running out the clock with promoting things about Kamala being a lifestyle brand and saving democracy as well as first female president. With the Olympics, then the DNC, it will be hard for republicans to break through the news for the next month. The vast majority of people don't follow politics closely and have no idea what Kamala's views are.

Waffledynamics said:

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We are such a non-serious country if those polls are accurate.

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Depends on where it was taken.

Long way to go and Harris hasn't had to talk to anyone yet. She's literally the dumbest candidate, outside of SJL, I have seen in my lifetime.

ttha_aggie_09 said:

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Long way to go and Harris hasn't had to talk to anyone yet. She's literally the dumbest candidate, outside of SJL, I have seen in my lifetime.

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She a total idiot and no way she can run a country. However puppets seem to be what the dems want. Hope the voting public gets a clue.

outofstateaggie said:

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Artorias said:

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Our country is lost

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If those number are accurate, yep. Weapons grade stupidity.

---

Id bet they are not. Remember the left thinks Trump is going to march them into camps. Of course they will do any thing to cheat. They think their lives depend on it. Thus able to moraly justify ANY action.

Think about that. Is this a functioning Republic in the year 2024?

Waffledynamics said:

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Barnyard96 said:

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Didnt help her in the 2020 primaries.

---

Not the same race at all. The election has now become a referendum on Trump. He needs to turn that back around if he wants the polls to change in his favor.

---

Disagree, this race is two choices.

1. DJT, who everyone knows
2 Kamala who many know and the rest are getting fed a media narrative.

R's just gotta keep exposing her

Don't mistake Kamala with proving our stupidity…we have proven that long ago in many ways prior. Kamala is a symptom of the virus, not the virus herself.

But she's an Idiocracy type leader, which is what we are now. Hell, Trump, who I will vote for and clearly support, sounded like President Camacho with Dana White, Kidd Rock, and Hulk Hogan pitching for his reelection at the convention.

Gone are the days of having serious people run for the White House. Today, it's carnival barkers, puppets, and deluded fools running for President. Both sides, too.

I think Reuters polls are nonsense they oversample libs

ImSoDumb said:

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They masterfully orchestrated it once the GOP locked in Trump as the nominee.

---

Yep, the timing is not a coincidence.

The Democrats are a better and smarter party than the GOP, and it ****ing sucks.

ImSoDumb said:

---

Got to give credit to the progressives for ditching Joe. It was a choice between two turd sandwiches that became a turd sandwich and a turd sandwich with a side of **** soup. They masterfully orchestrated it once the GOP locked in Trump as the nominee.

Honestly, the country would be better off had Trump lost the debate badly and he decided to step down to focus on his lawsuits, but he wouldn't be magnanimous enough to put the country's needs above his.

oh no rightly is pointing out the Senate polls don't match the Presidential polls. Despite how poorly Biden has performed, the generic Congressional ballots shows the Democrats are leading the GOP. The voting public isn't taking the GOP seriously so long as they clownishly slobber over Trump. The general public still hates Trump. You can expect Harris to easily gain and surpass Trump in the polls with puff piece after puff piece from the main stream media. Harris is winning the Twitter impression game despite Elon's best effort.

Despite the bubble here, Harris is -2 in enthusiastic/not enthusiastic metric compared to Trump's -21 and +9 when just looking at enthusiasm. That's why you're seeing the $200 million in donations this week and a large volunteer army gathering. Be prepared.

“At 78 years old, Donald Trump is too old to work in government”

Agree 53%
Disagree 43%

———

“Kamala Harris is mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges“

Agree 56%
Disagree 37%

.@Reuters/@Ipsos, 1,018 RV, 7/22-23 https://t.co/mdkE0aygyN

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 23, 2024

Who do you trust more on?

Healthcare
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Education
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Guarding Democracy
🔵 Harris 51% (+6)
🔴 Trump 45%

Cleaning corruption
🔵 Harris 48% (+3)
🔴 Trump 45%

Atlas Intel A+ - 1980 RV

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 28, 2024

---

Registered voters <> likely voters.

HTH

Waffledynamics said:

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ImSoDumb said:

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They masterfully orchestrated it once the GOP locked in Trump as the nominee.

---

Yep, the timing is not a coincidence.

The Democrats are a better and smarter party than the GOP, and it ****ing sucks.

---

You actually think Trumpers were going to switch candidates if we knew Biden was going to be out earlier in the year? They were dead set on driving everyone off the cliff with Trump no matter what.

Some folks just take Dem messaging polls too seriously, imho.

Sunday Afternoon Crosstabs: Trump 50%, Harris 43% https://t.co/UvXVKreZCp pic.twitter.com/ksX9osHoes

— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) July 28, 2024

As always, look for trends among LV surveys:

2024 Generic Congressional Ballot:

Republicans 45% (+1)
Democrats 44%

.@HarrisXdata/@Forbes, 2,472 LV, 7/24-25 https://t.co/BPlI65Kbx5

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 29, 2024

Sounds like Silver is releasing a big update/model tomorrow…and Michigan ain't looking too good for the commies;

Full model coming ~Tuesday but here are current tipping state probabilities for Harris-Trump:
PA: 30%
MI: 23%
WI: 12%
NC: 10%
GA: 8%
AZ: 4%
FL: 3%
NV: 2%

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 28, 2024

AggieUSMC said:

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My prediction (at this time), is that Trump will win with a map like 2016 except he'll ad NV as well. MN and NH will be close but no cigar just like 2016 as well. He'll also barely squeak out PV but with a plurality vice majority.

---

not a chance

Not a chance? That's one of the likely scenarios

[Keep it to discussion of polls. Take the memes to a different thread -- Staff]

nortex97 said:

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Some folks just take Dem messaging polls too seriously, imho.

Sunday Afternoon Crosstabs: Trump 50%, Harris 43% https://t.co/UvXVKreZCp pic.twitter.com/ksX9osHoes

— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) July 28, 2024

As always, look for trends among LV surveys:

2024 Generic Congressional Ballot:

Republicans 45% (+1)
Democrats 44%

.@HarrisXdata/@Forbes, 2,472 LV, 7/24-25 https://t.co/BPlI65Kbx5

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 29, 2024

Sounds like Silver is releasing a big update/model tomorrow…and Michigan ain't looking too good for the commies;

Full model coming ~Tuesday but here are current tipping state probabilities for Harris-Trump:
PA: 30%
MI: 23%
WI: 12%
NC: 10%
GA: 8%
AZ: 4%
FL: 3%
NV: 2%

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 28, 2024

---

The Rasmussen Polls have been weird this cycle with Biden and now Harris. There is a reason they were rated F on their accuracy in races compared to results.

They have Trump beating Harris with women by 2 points. The 20 other polls out have Harris (and before that Biden) beating Trump with women handily. Maybe Rasmussen is right and every other pollster is wrong, but their recent track record since Rasmussen left the company says otherwise.

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Angus Reid Institute

🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 42%

#80 (2.0/3.0) | 1,743 RV | July 23-25https://t.co/YHiul0GY9U pic.twitter.com/T8CUYiBlq0

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 29, 2024

These pollsters that get results in low 40s for each need to push for learners. No way 14% are currently undecided or voting third party.

Any chance Lamb could pull this out still? I think he would be a much stronger candidate in the general election and could really hammer law and order and border issues, which would further help Trump.

Arizona Senate Republican Primary

Kari Lake - 50%
Mark Lamb - 38%
Elizabeth Reye - 3%@NoblePredictive | 438 LV | 7/22-23 | ±4.65%https://t.co/vKmalLqfpb pic.twitter.com/04yPCf3vLF

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 29, 2024

FTAG 2000 said:

---

ImSoDumb said:

---

Got to give credit to the progressives for ditching Joe. It was a choice between two turd sandwiches that became a turd sandwich and a turd sandwich with a side of **** soup. They masterfully orchestrated it once the GOP locked in Trump as the nominee.

Honestly, the country would be better off had Trump lost the debate badly and he decided to step down to focus on his lawsuits, but he wouldn't be magnanimous enough to put the country's needs above his.

oh no rightly is pointing out the Senate polls don't match the Presidential polls. Despite how poorly Biden has performed, the generic Congressional ballots shows the Democrats are leading the GOP. The voting public isn't taking the GOP seriously so long as they clownishly slobber over Trump. The general public still hates Trump. You can expect Harris to easily gain and surpass Trump in the polls with puff piece after puff piece from the main stream media. Harris is winning the Twitter impression game despite Elon's best effort.

Despite the bubble here, Harris is -2 in enthusiastic/not enthusiastic metric compared to Trump's -21 and +9 when just looking at enthusiasm. That's why you're seeing the $200 million in donations this week and a large volunteer army gathering. Be prepared.

“At 78 years old, Donald Trump is too old to work in government”

Agree 53%
Disagree 43%

———

“Kamala Harris is mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges“

Agree 56%
Disagree 37%

.@Reuters/@Ipsos, 1,018 RV, 7/22-23 https://t.co/mdkE0aygyN

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 23, 2024

Who do you trust more on?

Healthcare
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Education
🔵 Harris 53% (+10)
🔴 Trump 43%

Guarding Democracy
🔵 Harris 51% (+6)
🔴 Trump 45%

Cleaning corruption
🔵 Harris 48% (+3)
🔴 Trump 45%

Atlas Intel A+ - 1980 RV

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 28, 2024

---

Registered voters <> likely voters.

HTH

---

The fact that they are polling voters on "Guarding democracy" shows how effective the Democrats and Pravda have been in telling the soft brained people who vote for them and follow their media that there is some existential threat to "democracy" which really doesn't exist (other than that one party is putting forth a candidate that not a single person voted for and that that same party is considering having one branch of government change another branch's makeup against the Constitution).

No. Lake isn't losing the primary because they still believe she didn't lose the Governor's race. They're viewing this as their proof of concept election

Lake should already be governor. She is tough on crime and immigration/border security. Lamb seems great too.

Unfortunately for Lake, the left and msm have made her out to be a nut bar for questioning election integrity and too many people have taken that bait. So maybe Lamb pulling ahead would be best for R victory, but it's unlikely. Lake will win the primary and then lose the senate race for Sinema's seat in the general to Gallego, an open border radical. What will be interesting is if Kamala Harris picks Kelly as her running mate. That would open AZ's other senate seat.

At this point in 2020 Trump was -8

— Dr. Theo 🇺🇸 (@Tedlinknews) July 29, 2024

I suspect Rasmussen is doing the same thing NBC does with their polls. Tilt it in order to tip the aggregate scales in the GOPs favor. I'm good with it.

ttu_85 said:

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aggiehawg said:

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MemphisAg1 said:

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Wait until Harris starts talking publicly. Her negatives will go way up and her favorables way down.

She's dumb as a box of rocks and a nasty creature.

---

As long as she hits her marks, deliver a canned speech, waves and manages to get off of a stage without falling down, can manage stairs both ascending and descending and takes no questions that are not scripted?

Not that hard for her if she can manage to stay on script and not laugh in inappropriate.places doing so..

---

And when she has to debate or has to think on her feet. Now those things are hard for her.

Let the comedy begin.

---

You said the same thing that Trump would demolish Biden in the 2020 debates

the same debates that Biden won and won him the Presidency.

Trump is such a great debater he was too afraid to debate during the GOP primaries.

LMCane said:

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ttu_85 said:

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aggiehawg said:

---

MemphisAg1 said:

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Wait until Harris starts talking publicly. Her negatives will go way up and her favorables way down.

She's dumb as a box of rocks and a nasty creature.

---

As long as she hits her marks, deliver a canned speech, waves and manages to get off of a stage without falling down, can manage stairs both ascending and descending and takes no questions that are not scripted?

Not that hard for her if she can manage to stay on script and not laugh in inappropriate.places doing so..

---

And when she has to debate or has to think on her feet. Now those things are hard for her.

Let the comedy begin.

---

You said the same thing that Trump would demolish Biden in the 2020 debates

the same debates that Biden won and won him the Presidency.

Trump is such a great debater he was too afraid to debate during the GOP primaries.

---

BIden did not "win" the debates. Trump beat himself in debate 1 by constantly yelling/interrupting and not allowing Biden to show his dementia. Trump destroyed Biden in debate 2.

I've seen zero polls showing Lamb surging/having a good shot at coming back late. I'm not real encouraged by the Noble poll:

Quote:

---

Despite her overall lead in the primary, there are potential warning signs for Lake in the general election should she win the GOP nomination. While Lake dominates among those who are very favorable towards her (85% to Lamb's 11%), she struggles significantly with voters who are only somewhat favorable (33% to 61%) or unfavorable (6% to 65%). Lake also faces challenges with some key groups:

Younger voters (42% to Lamb's 53%)

Party-first GOP (38% to 49%)

Rural counties (44% to 49%)

Independents (32% to 37%)

"Lake looks promising in overcoming the first challenge in the Senate race winning the primary but she'll have to shape her general election strategy to capture the key voter blocs she's currently struggling with to compete with the Democratic candidate," said Mike Noble, NPI Founder & CEO.

Trump's Enduring Influence

This poll underscored the enduring influence of former President Donald Trump in the upcoming Arizona GOP primary. An overwhelming 90% of likely GOP primary voters view Trump favorably, with 80% holding a very favorable opinion. Among those with a very favorable view of Trump, Lake leads (57%) by a significant 21-point margin over Lamb (36%). In contrast, Lamb does better among the 20% of voters with lukewarm or unfavorable opinions of Trump, but this group is not large enough to secure him a victory.

---

Captn_Ag05 said:

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🇺🇲 2024 GE: Angus Reid Institute

🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 42%

#80 (2.0/3.0) | 1,743 RV | July 23-25https://t.co/YHiul0GY9U pic.twitter.com/T8CUYiBlq0

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 29, 2024

These pollsters they get results in low 40s for each, need to push for learners. No way 14% are currently undecided or voting third party.

---

They're setting things up that will allow them to spin the narrative that "undecideds" broke for Harris. No freaking way 15% of the electorate hasn't made up their mind yet.