Muh Polls

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outofstateaggie
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3:52p, 7/26/24
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Captn_Ag05
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4:18p, 7/26/24
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4:21p, 7/26/24
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4:29p, 7/26/24
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4:34p, 7/26/24
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FireAg
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 4:53p, 7/26/24
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Barnyard96 said:

This is what everyone should watch...
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sanangelo
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In reply to JDUB08AG • 5:00p, 7/26/24
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JDUB08AG said:
will25u said:
This has been the best visual I've seen that lays everything out
Can you explain it like I'm a building construction major? Not sure I get it. (-;
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Captn_Ag05
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6:54p, 7/26/24
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Captn_Ag05
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6:55p, 7/26/24
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Latest bettings odds

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Irish 2.0
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 6:57p, 7/26/24
As long as Sheehy beats Tester, the GOP has the Senate since Manchin is gone
Of course it was for that. In what universe did you think it was okay to post a naked man spreading open his butt cheeks on our platform?
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BoDog
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8:17p, 7/26/24
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Penn and Wisconsin not looking good but a very long way to go before November.... The fact that it is this close tells me this nation has **** for brains!
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to BoDog • 8:20p, 7/26/24
I think Penn is seeing a bump based on the belief Shapiro will be tapped as Harris' VP. If he is, kiss PA goodbye for Trump.
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BoDog
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8:28p, 7/26/24
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I still dont get how the Vance pick moves the needle. I know she is not ideal but from a strategic standpoint I wish he would have picked Haley.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 8:30p, 7/26/24
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Irish 2.0 said:
I think Penn is seeing a bump based on the belief Shapiro will be tapped as Harris' VP. If he is, kiss PA goodbye for Trump.


Isnt he Jewish?
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 8:32p, 7/26/24
Barnyard96 said:
Irish 2.0 said:
I think Penn is seeing a bump based on the belief Shapiro will be tapped as Harris' VP. If he is, kiss PA goodbye for Trump.


Isnt he Jewish?


Yes. Which is why the DNC needs him. As much as dems hate Jews, they hate losing power more.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 8:35p, 7/26/24
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Ammo for Vance in the debate.
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Kentucky Jeff
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In reply to Jabin • 8:46p, 7/26/24
Jabin said:
People look at politics differently than that. They may vote for President freely, but at state level races, what their union or precinct chair tells them to do, for example, may drive their votes.

PA has a very strong union presence, plus the Democratic machines in Philly, Pittsburgh, and some of their outlying counties are strong.

MT, believe it or not, also has a strong union presence in Butte, a mining town.

I have no idea about AZ.


Bro, the average union member guy doesn't vote democrat. I'd bet my union brothers are voting Trump at 85% of the union membership (IBEW, UWUA). Democrats lost that voting demographic about 15-20 years ago.
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samurai_science
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In reply to Kentucky Jeff • 9:36p, 7/26/24
Kentucky Jeff said:
Jabin said:
People look at politics differently than that. They may vote for President freely, but at state level races, what their union or precinct chair tells them to do, for example, may drive their votes.

PA has a very strong union presence, plus the Democratic machines in Philly, Pittsburgh, and some of their outlying counties are strong.

MT, believe it or not, also has a strong union presence in Butte, a mining town.

I have no idea about AZ.


Bro, the average union member guy doesn't vote democrat. I'd bet my union brothers are voting Trump at 85% of the union membership (IBEW, UWUA). Democrats lost that voting demographic about 15-20 years ago.
Its not about the vote, its about the 10s of millions of dollars of union dues funneled to Democrats.
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Kentucky Jeff
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In reply to samurai_science • 9:51p, 7/26/24
samurai_science said:
Kentucky Jeff said:
Jabin said:
People look at politics differently than that. They may vote for President freely, but at state level races, what their union or precinct chair tells them to do, for example, may drive their votes.

PA has a very strong union presence, plus the Democratic machines in Philly, Pittsburgh, and some of their outlying counties are strong.

MT, believe it or not, also has a strong union presence in Butte, a mining town.

I have no idea about AZ.


Bro, the average union member guy doesn't vote democrat. I'd bet my union brothers are voting Trump at 85% of the union membership (IBEW, UWUA). Democrats lost that voting demographic about 15-20 years ago.
Its not about the vote, its about the 10s of millions of dollars of union dues funneled to Democrats.


That would make sense. We have nearly no control over that. Hell, we went to our union asking to get out of the local (took it all the way to our DC office). They said no. Unions are for the wrong people, definitely not for your average guy who wants to turn wrenches.
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techno-ag
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In reply to Kentucky Jeff • 10:40p, 7/26/24
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Kentucky Jeff said:
Jabin said:
People look at politics differently than that. They may vote for President freely, but at state level races, what their union or precinct chair tells them to do, for example, may drive their votes.

PA has a very strong union presence, plus the Democratic machines in Philly, Pittsburgh, and some of their outlying counties are strong.

MT, believe it or not, also has a strong union presence in Butte, a mining town.

I have no idea about AZ.


Bro, the average union member guy doesn't vote democrat. I'd bet my union brothers are voting Trump at 85% of the union membership (IBEW, UWUA). Democrats lost that voting demographic about 15-20 years ago.

The Republicans are the party of the working man. D*ms are for socialist elitists.
Trump will fix it.
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YokelRidesAgain
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 10:55p, 7/26/24
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Barnyard96 said:
Ammo for Vance in the debate.


You're suggesting that Vance tell a Jewish guy that his party doesn't like Jews during a debate?
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LMCane
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In reply to techno-ag • 11:12p, 7/26/24
techno-ag said:
Captn_Ag05 said:
All of the Senate polls from that Tweet. It looks like Maryland could still be a chance for a pickup, although the Republican is a never Trumper. He would be 1000x better than the radical liberal candidate and the best Republicans could hope for from a state like Maryland. It would be a great pickup.




Agreed. Anytime you can pick up a New England state, that's great.
are you claiming that Maryland is a New England state? because the initial post was about Larry Hogan.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to YokelRidesAgain • 7:21a, 7/27/24
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YokelRidesAgain said:
Barnyard96 said:
Ammo for Vance in the debate.


You're suggesting that Vance tell a Jewish guy that his party doesn't like Jews during a debate?


Yes, I would go at it exactly like that
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Jack Boyette
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In reply to YokelRidesAgain • 7:51a, 7/27/24
YokelRidesAgain said:
Barnyard96 said:
Ammo for Vance in the debate.


You're suggesting that Vance tell a Jewish guy that his party doesn't like Jews during a debate?


Yes. I would. Make him defend them.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to Jack Boyette • 8:09a, 7/27/24
AG
Or simply ask the Jewish democrat what is his party's position on palestine/hamas?

See if it lines up.
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Jack Boyette
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 9:18a, 7/27/24
Barnyard96 said:
Or simply ask the Jewish democrat what is his party's position on palestine/hamas?

See if it lines up.


I like that too.
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Captn_Ag05
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11:09a, 7/27/24
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AggieUSMC
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11:23a, 7/27/24
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My prediction (at this time), is that Trump will win with a map like 2016 except he'll ad NV as well. MN and NH will be close but no cigar just like 2016 as well. He'll also barely squeak out PV but with a plurality vice majority.
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JDUB08AG
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11:30a, 7/27/24
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Lets not forget Trump's sentencing in September. That is going to impact polling and is close to when early voting starts in some states. I'd like to sit here and pretend it won't matter, but it likely will have an impact - at least short term.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to JDUB08AG • 11:49a, 7/27/24
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JDUB08AG said:
Lets not forget Trump's sentencing in September. That is going to impact polling and is close to when early voting starts in some states. I'd like to sit here and pretend it won't matter, but it likely will have an impact - at least short term.
That is probabky going to be delayed further, assuming it ever happens, that is. Merchan still has to go back over the evidence he mistakenly (being generous here) allowed in light of SCOTUS immunity ruling.
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techno-ag
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In reply to JDUB08AG • 4:52p, 7/27/24
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JDUB08AG said:
Lets not forget Trump's sentencing in September. That is going to impact polling and is close to when early voting starts in some states. I'd like to sit here and pretend it won't matter, but it likely will have an impact - at least short term.

So far, all their lawfare has only helped. He looks unfairly persecuted for political reasons.
Trump will fix it.
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McInnis 03
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6:17p, 7/27/24
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Predictit betting market Trump 53 Harris 49

The Dems have put up a candidate now that never trumpers will be OK with
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Twice an Aggie
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 7:34p, 7/27/24
AG
People are reacting to the polls that were released. And several were absolutely garbage. 0% of the black vote, Dem+6 assumptions and more. How many people actually look deeper than the tweet put out? Trump may very well fail to get elected, but what is currently being seen is selective polling combined with non-stop positive coverage. 100% expected - we will see where it is in a month and then before early voting.
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Drahknor03
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7:36p, 7/27/24
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All the polls show is a reset to April. Trump still up. It just means we have a race instead of a coronation.
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Barnyard96
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7:38p, 7/27/24
AG
Wait till she starts talking more.
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