Why the Solar Eclipse Prepping?

26,372 Views | 225 Replies | Last: 10 mo ago by Tabasco
TyHolden
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C@LAg said:

TyHolden said:

C@LAg said:

TyHolden said:

Again, are we sure this is visible from Augusta, Georgia?
partial, yes. total? no.
I'm just trying to get in a humble brag. I'll watch it at Hooters with Daly.
oh it was a banal golf reference.

how droll.

any day with John Daly beats a solar eclipse. If you can get both in one setting, it's almost erotic.
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TyHolden
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C@LAg said:

TyHolden said:



any day with John Daly beats a solar eclipse. If you can get both in one setting, it's almost erotic.
no clue who he is, so your humble brag is wasted on me.
John Daly is/was the Babe Ruth of golf. He's done but he has a thing at the Hooters in Augusta every Masters tournament. It's not much of a brag. I'm not 100% going so it's been more of a US election thing...smoke and mirrors
TexAgs91
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AC Hopper said:

BCG Disciple said:

This is a total solar eclipse, not a partial like in October. The last total solar eclipse anywhere in the mainland US was 2017, and before that was 1979 (barely touched the northeast)! There won't be another one in mainland US until 2044 (in Montana and the Dakotas only).

In Texas, it has been more than a century since we have had a total solar eclipse. The last is technically in 1919, but it was an annular solar eclipse (the moon is in its closest orbital pattern to the sun and doesn't have totality like a total solar eclipse).

In short, it is a very rare occurrence and no one alive has ever seen one in the state of Texas. Im in my early 40s and have only experienced the 2017 even in my lifetime. It is a fascinating event and something that will be memorable to you and your family and help us all put down our devices and get outdoors and experience a very rare event!
Can you describe the experience? Tell us what it was like .... total darkness? ... did you need a flashlight? ... how long did it last? ... did anything strange happen? ... etc., etc., etc.


I took this video of the 2017 eclipse in Wyoming from my drone. It's a 360 so you can scroll around and see in any direction. This eclipse was about 2.5 mins. The one coming up with be over 4 mins. Hope it's not too cloudy.

No, I don't care what CNN or MSNBC said this time
Ad Lunam
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evan_aggie
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Tanya 93 said:

As someone who was in the path of the total eclipse in 2017, you have 1000's of people coming to your city. No hotel room available for 60 miles. 2 hour waits for restaurants. Lines at gas stations.

I get it.


Sounds like a typical Saturday in Austin.
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aggiehawg
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Quote:

The world's largest and most powerful particle accelerator is set smash protons together on April 8 to search for invisible particles secretly powering our universe.

Theories have suggested there are 17 different particle groups and the European Organization for Nuclear Research, better known as CERN, confirmed the existence of one using its Large Hadron Collider (LHC) in 2012.

Now, the team has restarted the LHC after a two-year hibernation with hopes of unraveling more mysterious specifically dark matter.
LINK


Hhmm. Interesting timing, no?
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TexAgs91
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This sucks. Next total eclipse in the US is in 21 years

Tabasco
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Looks good for Texas, but that said, 82 percent of weather predictions are false (I totally made up that stat, kinda like weather predictions... especially a week plus out).
TexAgs91
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Tabasco said:

Looks good for Texas, but that said, 82 percent of weather predictions are false (I totally made up that stat, kinda like weather predictions... especially a week plus out).
uh, no... blue is cloud cover. See the scale at the bottom which shows % cloud cover
Tabasco
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I'm gonna take the opposite view of you. I see what you are saying of the 0-100 percent scale, but it does not say "cloud cover." I think it is pretty obvious, based on every weather map I have ever looked at in my 56 years, that the white is clouds, and the blue is "clear." I do not have any dog in this fight though, and am open to be wrong. That said, I cannot imagine that this map would show the reverse of everything we have ever seen and known about weather. Maybe it's just me thought?
AggieAces06
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Even if it's cloudy, I'd think it's still going to get dark during totality… right?
Tabasco
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So I went to the website.

They say:
This map shows the cloud cover (0-100%) averaged across dozens of weather model simulations within the ensemble at 1:00 PM CDT on April 8, near the time of totality. Brighter blue indicates greater cloud cover (worse visibility) in the simulations. The more cloud cover occurs around a location the afternoon of April 8, the less likely the eclipse will be directly visible. However, if clouds are thin or relatively high in the sky, a spectacular show is still possible.

So you are right, and in my opinion, pivotal weather people are stupid.
TexasAggiesWin
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S
Never trust a cloud cover forecast 9 days in the future (or a fart).
aggiehawg
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Tabasco said:

So I went to the website.

They say:
This map shows the cloud cover (0-100%) averaged across dozens of weather model simulations within the ensemble at 1:00 PM CDT on April 8, near the time of totality. Brighter blue indicates greater cloud cover (worse visibility) in the simulations. The more cloud cover occurs around a location the afternoon of April 8, the less likely the eclipse will be directly visible. However, if clouds are thin or relatively high in the sky, a spectacular show is still possible.

So you are right, and in my opinion, pivotal weather people are stupid.
So they did it bassackwards just to confuse people?
Tabasco
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In there defense, they do state on their website:


Quote:

Changing the way you use weather data

Old Army Ghost
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dont wear the tinfoil
Old Army has gone to hell.
Tabasco
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LOL at the bottom of their website... bruh:

Forecast data is produced manually by expert meteorologists at the National Weather Service. For the most up-to-date official forecasts, please check their website.



aggiehawg
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Old Army Ghost said:

dont wear the tinfoil
So which color is the sky on your planet? LOL.
Tabasco
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C@LAg said:

TexasAggiesWin said:

Never trust a cloud cover forecast 9 days in the future (or a fart).
also never trust Texags August/September assessment of the football team.
7-5... always
TexAgs91
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TexAgs91
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Tabasco said:

I'm gonna take the opposite view of you. I see what you are saying of the 0-100 percent scale, but it does not say "cloud cover." I think it is pretty obvious, based on every weather map I have ever looked at in my 56 years, that the white is clouds, and the blue is "clear." I do not have any dog in this fight though, and am open to be wrong. That said, I cannot imagine that this map would show the reverse of everything we have ever seen and known about weather. Maybe it's just me thought?


I know it seems backwards but the upper left label says cloud cover %
TexAgs91
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From elsewhere on the pivotal weather site, they have other forecast models including the NWS model, which integrates data from the other models.

This is looking a little better
aggiehawg
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LOL.

fullback44
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HTownAg98 said:

Imagine living in a town of 10,000 people or less, and having 100,000+ people descend on your town overnight, whiping out supplies, creating traffic, etc. they're declaring disaster areas to be proactive to better manage the influx.


It will be over in a day or two, no need to go crazy over it.. locals will have plenty of food for 2 days .. just deal with a few rough days and it will go back to normal pretty quick .. that' would be my take .. or just leave town early and go west away from all the coming traffic
Guppy91
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A little early to worry much. Pick 3 long term models and monitor. Pick 3 short term models (3 day) and montior… if the short term models agree, it's time for concern. ECMWF, ICON, GFS, NAM, HRRR
2023NCAggies
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aggiez03 said:

What I heard is that they are proactively declaring certain counties disasters so they can request additional police and the state/fed (I assume) will cover the cost of it.

Fredericksburg is supposed to be completely overwhelmed.


Lampasas is in the same boat. Crowds will be too big for the local police.
aggiehawg
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Quote:

Niagara Falls, Canada, has declared a state of emergency ahead of the April 8 total eclipse as 1 million people are expected to flood the area.

The Ontario side of the falls has started to prepare for the expected influx in visitors coming to see the total social eclipse in early April.

The famous falls have been listed by National Geographic as one of the best places to see the eclipse a phenomena not seen in the area since 1979. The city is within the path where the moon will entirely block the sun for a few minutes.

Mayor Jim Diodati estimated the city would see the most visitors in a single day on April 8 with an estimated 1 million expected. On average, the city see 14 million visit per year.

The state of emergency, which was announced Thursday, will allow the city to execute additional planning to help prepare for traffic jams, cell phone network overloads, and a higher need for emergency services, and more.
LINK

Hadn't thought about Niagara Falls being in the path. That would be pretty cool but not with a million people hanging around.
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gkaggie08
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I live 2-2.5 hours west of the path. We are supposed to have 94.5% coverage of the sun for about 4 minutes. A friend of mine is pulling his kids out of school and headed east to see the total eclipse. It's a bucket list thing for him.

Is a 2.5 he drive worth the extra 5.5%? If I go, I'm parking on some FM road in the middle of nowhere, not going to fight traffic for 4 minutes
Rapier108
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C@LAg said:

am considering a last minute flight to Austin to watch from our house outside of Georgetown but the weather is looking iffy....

anyone got updates from the local weather?
DFW would be a better bet weather wise.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
 
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