FireAg said:
SCOTUS is going to hear the CO ballot exclusion case…DeSantis's BEST chance to win the R Primary this year would be for SCOTUS to rule in favor of the CO SoS…
If they do that, then other liberal and swing states will attempt to do the same thing, and all of a sudden, Trump won't have the required number of electors, and either there's a brokered convention, or DeSantis (or Haley) wins outright…
Now, if SCOTUS rules in favor of CO, don't be surprised if there is violence in the streets…. I'm very much interested to see how SCOTUS applies the insurrection part of the 14th in a case where POTUS was never convicted of such…
That would be a disaster if CO or any state keeps Trump off the ballot. There certainly isn't a "win" for DeSantis if that happens. First off, people would just write in Trump. Second, if DeSantis won because of Trump being disqualified he would not be considered legitimate to Republicans and thus would lose if he accepted the nomination because of that.
BTW this isn't remotely the big fight either. That's going to happen when Trump starts racking up convictions and that's almost certain to happen (whether it is right or wrong is irrelevant to the political question).
The ONLY paths out are 1) Trump beats all the charges with his crack legal team (lol) or they are dismissed (double lol). 2) Trump drops out and says for the good of the Party and endorses someone else and we have a primary between them (basically too late for this and lol anyway) or 3) Trump loses the primary straight up and takes the L (most likely of the 3 but a longshot at best).
So buckle up kids, we are picking up speed as we drive off the cliff.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."
Ronald Reagan