Paxton vs Crenshaw

14,254 Views | 271 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Thaddeus Beauregard
J. Walter Weatherman
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TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


We hear this every election year yet in 2022 Abbott completely stomped Beto. Someone like Paxton or Patrick would probably make it closer than it should be but I'll believe it when I see it. Crenshaw would win by Abbott level margins.
Teslag
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TXAGFAN said:

Teslag said:

TXAGFAN said:

WestAustinAg said:

We need better choices. Competency. Strong. Stand up to the left at every chance he gets. Someone like DeSantis.
I don't know if you've been paying attention, but except for Desantis Bros he's not looking that competent lately. His unhealthy obsession with Disney is going to tank him, what kind of Republican is anti business - especially one of your major employers in state. Besides that, his messaging is bizarre. He's concerned about kids, so he wants to open a prison next to a major theme park? Plus he's outmatched with Iger back at helm, he's going to look foolish when this is over (think Pence level stupid after he almost tanked Indiana with his lgbt legislation).

Besides all that, his commentary seems awful hollow. The man was married at Disney, he is a literal member of the "Disney adult" cult.

We get it, he slammed your Gay God Disney and now you're in a tizzy.
Not a big Disney guy, but he is. Lot of your fellow conservatives here are active posters on the Disney property threads on Entertainment forum (marvel, Star Wars, etc). More of that very successful "go woke go broke" attitude in action haha…

Disney should be treated the same as all other companies in florida. No special treatment. That's conservatism in action.
barbacoa taco
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Frederick Palowaski said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


It will be fun to bump old posts and prove you wrong with all of your "tHe GoP hAs OuTdAtEd IdEaS".

But we'd have to sift through all of the crying and whining.
The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.
Frederick Palowaski
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


We hear this every election year yet in 2022 Abbott completely stomped Beto. Someone like Paxton or Patrick would probably make it closer than it should be but I'll believe it when I see it. Crenshaw would win by Abbott level margins.
Slicer97
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barbacoa taco said:


The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.
And the Democrat Party has very worthless, even downright harmful ideas. It's why they're not popular at all with people that believe in Constitutionally-protected rights.
Teslag
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barbacoa taco said:

Frederick Palowaski said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


It will be fun to bump old posts and prove you wrong with all of your "tHe GoP hAs OuTdAtEd IdEaS".

But we'd have to sift through all of the crying and whining.
The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.

I remember hearing this 20 years ago as well.

Now claim that Gen X, dammit I mean Gen Z is different.
barbacoa taco
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My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.
Tom Kazansky 2012
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Crenshaw is a snake piece of ***** I'd be all Paxton.
Tom Kazansky 2012
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barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.
It was minus mail-in ballots in the same areas as in 2020. Again.
jrdaustin
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PaulsBunions said:

Whatever happened to Col Allen West? I don't really like any GOP politicians in-state besides Chip Roy
Don't know. Don't care. We need to rid the Republican party of candidates who are talking heads and who are not willing to roll up their sleeves and actually do the job.

West had his chance to make a splash when he came out of nowhere to win the Texas Chair position. However, he was so busy trying to build his own brand, he neglected his responsibility of doing the job. James Dickey was doing a great job of cleaning up the finances, while working at the county level to support and build membership in the party. West screwed it all up.

He's fine for spots on Fox News. He does not know how to actually govern.
aggie93
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barbacoa taco said:

here's my honest response to all of your points


Quote:

Abortion bans with no exceptions-First off Life of the Mother is always an exception in every state and always will be. The polling on abortion keeps trending more Pro Life btw, there are very few people that want the Dem position in places like Cali and NY where you can literally be in labor and still get an abortion because there are ZERO restrictions. The 6 week-15 week laws seem to be the most popular.
As I've stated before, I dont count "life of the mother" as a real exception. It's just something we tell ourselves to make ourselves feel better. But in reality it means let the mother get sick, go to the hospital, suffer, and be on death's doorstep, and THEN we can do it. Not buying it.

Though, you are partly right about the rest. Most Americans favor legal abortion to some degree. Few Americans believe it should be legal without restriction. Which is why I have pushed hard for a reasonable middle ground. However, the GOP is not willing to budge on the issue. It is also completely insane, and I mean ****ing intolerable that we do not allow an exception for minor rape victims. This is so far beyond the pale, I can't believe we are even discussing it. But we are, because of laws our legislature has enacted and Abbott signed.

This is extremely unpopular and will hurt them in future elections, just like it did in 2022.


Quote:

"Trying to legislate trans people out of existence"-So where is this happening exactly? The only legislation around this have to do with restricting teaching Gender Theory to small children, stopping surgeries and hormone blockers for minors, restricting Drag Shows to 18 and above similar to how other adult entertainment is treated, keeping gender specific bathrooms so that women don't have to have someone with male genitalia in the bathroom with them, and protecting women's sports. Trans adults can do their thing just as long as they don't want to sexualize and confuse children and don't want to invade female spaces. None of that was controversial until about 5 minutes ago and if you want to get a liberal woman to start voting Republican just have them go undress at the gym next to a 6'4 Dude with makeup on and a ***** or tell them their daughter has to do the same.
Yeah so you picked the easy stuff. No surgeries for minors? Fine. I dont think that really happens at all, but fine. They should be 18. Drag shows? Also fine. Not for kids. BUt I have problems with laws that are overly broad and could potentially criminalize certain theatrical performances or drag shows that "could potentially be viewed by someone under 18." Because they are too broad. The bathroom stuff is old hat, a solution in search of a problem. Reminds me of the fearmongering we heard about it in 2015 about men following little girls into the bathroom. It's not something that is happening in reality, and sexual predators like that can and should be arrested anyway. Regular trans people are minding their own business, they dont want to draw attention to themselves.

I do have a huge problem with states making it illegal for trans minors and their families to make personal medical decisions, essentially practicing medicine and overruling doctors. It's a highly personal decision to treat a VERY REAL AND DOCUMENTED condition of gender dysphoria. Especially knowing that this is all culture war based, and is at odds with every reputable medical association in the country. They are saying "we know better than you, and we dont approve of this, so we're making it illegal." I also have an even bigger problem with Abbott/Paxton investigating these families and trying to take the kids out of the house and charge the parents with child abuse. That is pure evil, I'll never be okay with that, ever.

Also, there is a small effort that could gain steam that regulates ADULTS who seek hormonal/surgical treatments. Not law yet, but Desantis is certainly weighing it.

Quote:

Book Banning- Books on sex in school libraries are always going to be regulated. You can go buy "Gender Queer" on Amazon to your hearts content. Who the hell even gets books from a library anyway? Especially younger people?
I mean fine, take out the explicit stuff (if it's even there). But these book bans go way farther than that and we all know it. Not only banning explicit books, but pretty much anything that touches on uncomfortable subjects. I blame the Karen parents who are trying to shelter their kids from everything, way beyond sexual content.


Quote:

Legislating Child Labor- So you think that 14 and 15 year olds that want to work at McDonalds to make some extra money is a problem? If you actually cared about child labor you would stop pushing Green policies that result in child slavery in places like Congo to get the rare minerals you need for your EV as they destroy the environment by using acids after strip mining the land with little kids who will be lucky to make it to 18.
It's not about "extra money" at all. These laws are not there to help these kids. They are there to help employers who don't want to pay a fair wage or treat their workers right.

Also, how sad that we live in a society where any family needs their kids to drop out of school and work, just to get by.

Quote:

Unnecessary voting restrictions- So expecting someone to show an ID to prove they are actually the person they claim to be is unnecessary? You also support political groups paying people by the vote to go into poor neighborhoods and nursing homes to collect ballots and fill them out so they can mail them? Do you just like fraud?
Nice try. People always say stuff like this. It's not about IDs. Every year there is more effort to restrict voting. Changing signature requirements, moving polling places off college campuses (hello Brazos County!), not allowing college IDs as an acceptable form, shutting down polling places in dense areas to make the lines longer. The list goes on, these are just a few examples.

I always get smartass replies like "well if you cant do any of that then you shouldnt vote anyway." But these laws are passed because the lawmakers KNOW it will result in smaller turnout. It just does, as a matter of statistics. Working class and poor people do not have the luxury of taking hours off work to vote, like rich people do.

I think voting should be as easy as possible, with reasonable restrictions. I believe everyone should be automatically registered to vote when they get a government ID, for example. And that registration should last forever, until you move elsewhere. Other countries do this, and it works out great. No reason we can't do it too.


Quote:

Abolishing gun laws- Yes, let's make sure that only the police and the Government have legal weapons so that criminals who don't care about laws can do as they please to regular citizens. What could go wrong?
Another straw man. I've always pushed for reasonable, common sense laws, because what we have now clearly is not working out well. But things have gotten so damn polarized lately that any gun law is seen as an extreme infringement on rights. We're at an impasse here.

Thanks for the response. It actually gives me hope because you are Red Pilling and don't even realize i. By your own admission you agree the Dem policies on most of those issues are too extreme and in reality you just are not at the point where you are willing to really look at them yet. Look at the laws they are passing in California and Washington and NY. Look at Chicago. That's what they want everywhere and it is explicit when you look at bills proposed in the Senate by Democrats that are just as extreme and almost always get a Party Line vote approval.

The problem with the Democrats is they have been completely coopted by the Hard Left. The Hard Left doesn't compromise and they don't believe in Democracy, they are Socialists where the ends always justifies the means. Any compromise is only a part of a path towards that Socialism, look at the Gun Law from last year that has already been memory holed. It's like it didn't even happen as they just moved straight to the next restrictions. So your choice isn't going to be a nuanced view of compromise, the Democrats have pushed out anyone willing to compromise from a position of power. Wasn't long ago when Nancy Pelosi, Bernie Sanders, and Chuck Schumer were the extreme of the Dems and now they are almost Moderates compared to The Squad and others like them.

I have hope for you that you will see that eventually, you are already on the path even if you don't realize it.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."

Ronald Reagan
The Kraken
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Crenshaw all day over Paxton. Don't get the Crenshaw hate.
plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose
J. Walter Weatherman
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Slicer97 said:

barbacoa taco said:


The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.
And the Democrat Party has very worthless, even downright harmful ideas. It's why they're not popular at all with people that believe in Constitutionally-protected rights.


Not to mention that in Texas they are in a catch-22 because they aren't the majority. They can't nominate a far left extremist like Beto because he turns off the middle of the road swing voters, but they also can't nominate a standard democrat either because all of the GenZ morons will stay home. They have no options that can win.
Teslag
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barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
Slicer97
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Geddy Lee soul patch said:

Crenshaw all day over Paxton. Don't get the Crenshaw hate.
He's ok with the idea of Red Flag laws. Screw that noise.
Teslag
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And when you look at the raw ballots across the country the GOP did exceptionally well. The election came down to close races in a few localized regions. Again, ditch trump and those small margins go the other way. And in Texas they had no issues at all. So again, in 10 years it's still blood red.
jrdaustin
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Booma94 said:

jrdaustin said:

Dawn Buckingham should run for governor. She would be an ideal replacement for Abbott, without the baggage of Paxton, or the waffling history of Crenshaw.
No chance. I have no idea who that is and I have already forgotten her name.
She's the Texas Land Commissioner.

If you don't know this, why are you even on the politics board?
Charpie
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You'd be shocked about how many people here no nothing about anything other than national politics and call themselves experts
TXAGFAN
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Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
He's pervasive in your party (elected officials, rhetoric, etc) and its voters at this point, can't unring that bell. Even if you could, do you want to? Party is lacking in numbers unable to replace aging voters and those MAGA ONLY voters are needed to win an election. You're screwed if the philosophy is to ignore Trumps people while continuing to push away moderates.
barbacoa taco
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Not 100% sure what you mean when you say "red pilled" in this context, but one thing I can assure you is I'm not alone in this. What people dont realize about many of those in my generation is we really dont like the Democratic Party either. I see them as mostly a bunch of snobby, insufferable elites (Pelosi, Kamala, Schumer, to name a few). We just really, really, really do not like what the GOP is doing now and the direction they are going.
jrdaustin
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aggie93 said:

barbacoa taco said:

aggie93 said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.
Actually in the last elections Millennials started to trend more GOP. They still vote Dem but less and less each cycle. Gen X was +14 GOP and the Boomers are just barely GOP. Gen X is by far the most conservative generation but we are now and always have been outnumbered.

Oh and LOL on the "extremism". Maybe you forgot that it wasn't that long ago that Obama ran for President opposing Gay Marriage and that was a solid majority opinion. Now "extremism" is saying you don't think someone with a ***** should be able to shower with little girls and that 1st Graders shouldn't watch a Drag Queen twerk for them and ask for tips in their G String.
Wrong. Extremism in reality is complete abortion bans with no exceptions, trying to legislate trans people out of existence, book banning, legalizing child labor, creating more unnecessary voting restrictions, abolishing gun laws, just to name a few. Real things that are happening in red states.

You can make fun of me all you want and throw some dumb pedophilia accusations at me, but this is something I pay attention to closely and I can assure you, the under 30 crowd absolutely hates this *****
The problem with your arguments here are they are based on propaganda and not actual policy and eventually people wake up to reality and start thinking for themselves. Point by point:


Legislating Child Labor- So you think that 14 and 15 year olds that want to work at McDonalds to make some extra money is a problem? If you actually cared about child labor you would stop pushing Green policies that result in child slavery in places like Congo to get the rare minerals you need for your EV as they destroy the environment by using acids after strip mining the land with little kids who will be lucky to make it to 18.

You don't even have to go to Congo to expose taco's hypocricy. We now have child labor, child trafficking, and a multitude of other childrens' issues right here in the good ol' USA thanks to Democrat policies regarding an open border.

Taco amazingly brings up children while ignoring the child rape, death, being sold into sex slavery, or being made indentured servants due to the policies of his side.

While I agree Texas abortion policies have perhaps gone too far and have resulted in alienating many of Gen Z, at least the motivation was protection of children. Current Democrat policy at the border is SACRIFICING children - daily.
barbacoa taco
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Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
Good luck with that. Right now I think the nomination is his to lose. I know, a ton can change in a year and a half.

I think it was Trump, plus a few other things, that hurt the Republicans in '22.
TXAGFAN
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

Slicer97 said:

barbacoa taco said:


The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.
And the Democrat Party has very worthless, even downright harmful ideas. It's why they're not popular at all with people that believe in Constitutionally-protected rights.


Not to mention that in Texas they are in a catch-22 because they aren't the majority. They can't nominate a far left extremist like Beto because he turns off the middle of the road swing voters, but they also can't nominate a standard democrat either because all of the GenZ morons will stay home. They have no options that can win.
Hard disagree. They will come out and vote for a dem who goes to even the more conservative end of party if it means avoiding GOP candidates and platforms of guys like Patrick/Abbott, etc.
BoydCrowder13
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


We hear this every election year yet in 2022 Abbott completely stomped Beto. Someone like Paxton or Patrick would probably make it closer than it should be but I'll believe it when I see it. Crenshaw would win by Abbott level margins.


I mean it may not happen overnight and we are still solidly red but the gap has been narrowing over time.

20 years ago, Perry was winning the governor's race by 15-17%. Other than the absolute destruction of Wendy Davis in 2014, the last couple elections have been decided by 10-13%. Trump won Texas by 5%. It may not be 2030, but Texas is moving towards the center.
Teslag
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TXAGFAN said:

Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
He's pervasive in your party (elected officials, rhetoric, etc) and its voters at this point, can't unring that bell. Even if you could, do you want to? Party is lacking in numbers unable to replace aging voters and those MAGA ONLY voters are needed to win an election. You're screwed if the philosophy is to ignore Trumps people while continuing to push away moderates.


Like all the moderates DeSantis pushed away in Florida?
J. Walter Weatherman
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barbacoa taco said:

Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
Good luck with that. Right now I think the nomination is his to lose. I know, a ton can change in a year and a half.

I think it was Trump, plus a few other things, that hurt the Republicans in '22.


He will thankfully be gone by '26 one way or the other, either after losing the primary or the general (again), and the adults will be in charge of the party again.
jrdaustin
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To be completely honest, if Abbott bows out and Patrick and Crenshaw are the two primary candidates, I would feel better if Beto ran again. I think he would lose again.

The Democrats do have a prayer in Texas, though. With the right messaging and a weak Republican candidate, McConaughey might make a race of it. He's well liked, he's moderate, and I've not seen him strongly ideologically driven. Just as Arnold was able to be successful on the Republican side in California, McConaughey could be dangerous in Texas.
barbacoa taco
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jrdaustin said:

To be completely honest, if Abbott bows out and Patrick and Crenshaw are the two primary candidates, I would feel better if Beto ran again. I think he would lose again.

The Democrats do have a prayer in Texas, though. With the right messaging and a weak Republican candidate, McConaughey might make a race of it. He's well liked, he's moderate, and I've not seen him strongly ideologically driven. Just as Arnold was able to be successful on the Republican side in California, McConaughey could be dangerous in Texas.
Not gonna happen. Beto's time is done. If you run a candidate who lost twice, in 2 different races, you're an idiot to try a third time.

The TX Dems need to ditch the leftwing media darlings and go with a populist candidate who pushes a popular message and appeals to the working class.

I doubt McConaughey wants to run but if it's him vs Paxton I think he would win.
TXAGFAN
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Teslag said:

TXAGFAN said:

Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
He's pervasive in your party (elected officials, rhetoric, etc) and its voters at this point, can't unring that bell. Even if you could, do you want to? Party is lacking in numbers unable to replace aging voters and those MAGA ONLY voters are needed to win an election. You're screwed if the philosophy is to ignore Trumps people while continuing to push away moderates.


Like all the moderates DeSantis pushed away in Florida?
Is he running for President of Florida? No.
TXAGFAN
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barbacoa taco said:

jrdaustin said:

To be completely honest, if Abbott bows out and Patrick and Crenshaw are the two primary candidates, I would feel better if Beto ran again. I think he would lose again.

The Democrats do have a prayer in Texas, though. With the right messaging and a weak Republican candidate, McConaughey might make a race of it. He's well liked, he's moderate, and I've not seen him strongly ideologically driven. Just as Arnold was able to be successful on the Republican side in California, McConaughey could be dangerous in Texas.
Not gonna happen. Beto's time is done. If you run a candidate who lost twice, in 2 different races, you're an idiot to try a third time.

The TX Dems need to ditch the leftwing media darlings and go with a populist candidate who pushes a popular message and appeals to the working class.

I doubt McConaughey wants to run but if it's him vs Paxton I think he would win.
Not sure on candidate, but agree with the commentary.
Teslag
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TXAGFAN said:

Teslag said:

TXAGFAN said:

Teslag said:

barbacoa taco said:

My guy, for all of 2022 I heard constant gloating about how it was slated to be the biggest red wave of all time. An absolute bloodbath. And to be honest, I believed it. Biden sucks, inflation was high, and people weren't happy.

And the GOP ****ing blew it. Biden had a historically strong performance for a president in his first midterm. The Dems kept the damn senate and gained a seat. Leading up to the election people thought the GOP was going to gain like 5-6 seats!

How is that not making you do some serious soul searching? Like I said, I'm not a Democrat homer and there's so much to criticize the party on. It's good to look at your own party with a critical eye and ask what went wrong.

Also Gen Z absolutely is different. Not sure how much attention you pay to sociological trends, but if you are mocking me for saying Gen Z hates the Republican Party, you're in for a rude awakening.

The problem was and is Trump. Ditch him and they are fine.
He's pervasive in your party (elected officials, rhetoric, etc) and its voters at this point, can't unring that bell. Even if you could, do you want to? Party is lacking in numbers unable to replace aging voters and those MAGA ONLY voters are needed to win an election. You're screwed if the philosophy is to ignore Trumps people while continuing to push away moderates.


Like all the moderates DeSantis pushed away in Florida?
Is he running for President of Florida? No.

Nope but Florida is one of the purple aspirations of Democrats. And it has a mix of demographics that other states don't have. DeSantis was able to resonate his message with a huge swath of moderates and centrist democrats by avoiding Trump and staying on message.
Teslag
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barbacoa taco said:

jrdaustin said:

To be completely honest, if Abbott bows out and Patrick and Crenshaw are the two primary candidates, I would feel better if Beto ran again. I think he would lose again.

The Democrats do have a prayer in Texas, though. With the right messaging and a weak Republican candidate, McConaughey might make a race of it. He's well liked, he's moderate, and I've not seen him strongly ideologically driven. Just as Arnold was able to be successful on the Republican side in California, McConaughey could be dangerous in Texas.
Not gonna happen. Beto's time is done. If you run a candidate who lost twice, in 2 different races, you're an idiot to try a third time.

The TX Dems need to ditch the leftwing media darlings and go with a populist candidate who pushes a popular message and appeals to the working class.

I doubt McConaughey wants to run but if it's him vs Paxton I think he would win.

Quote:

The TX Dems need to ditch the leftwing media darlings and go with a populist candidate who pushes a popular message and appeals to the working class.

This is exactly what they painted Beto to be. And almost pulled it off. The problem is that the democrat you describe doesn't exist. Especially not in Texas. Democrats loathe the very people you need to vote for you.
Booma94
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jrdaustin said:

Booma94 said:

jrdaustin said:

Dawn Buckingham should run for governor. She would be an ideal replacement for Abbott, without the baggage of Paxton, or the waffling history of Crenshaw.
No chance. I have no idea who that is and I have already forgotten her name.
She's the Texas Land Commissioner.

If you don't know this, why are you even on the politics board?
I know who she is. It was a jestful way of saying she's basically a nobody and 90% of Texas households have no clue who she is.
Gigem314
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barbacoa taco said:

Frederick Palowaski said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


It will be fun to bump old posts and prove you wrong with all of your "tHe GoP hAs OuTdAtEd IdEaS".

But we'd have to sift through all of the crying and whining.
The GOP has very outdated ideas. It's why they are not popular at all with younger generations.

Ignore this at your own peril. I thought 2022 was a warning sign for the party but apparently it was not.
And the party of Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Diane Feinstein, Chuck Schumer, 'FDR during the Great Depression' language, and rehashed 1960's social justice ideas are new and fresh?

The only thing 'fresh' about your party's ideas are pushing social engineering on children at younger ages. Everything else is the same collectivist bs that's been tried over and over and over again for decades by the fringe...just repackaged with fresh emotionally-charged wording.
aggie93
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BoydCrowder13 said:

J. Walter Weatherman said:

TXAGFAN said:

Definitely Not A Cop said:

barbacoa taco said:

TXAGFAN said:

You think Texas is +10 GOP? Lol, no. By what measure? Definitely not in another four years, your base is dying and a couple generations of young people aren't impressed by ANY of your social platforms as you noted to an extent yourself.

I think in either 2026 or 2028 Gen Z/Millennials will finally outnumber boomers in the voting population. That's the only thing that gives me hope as the GOP goes deeper and deeper into their extremism and hard right Christian nationalism.

Unlike previous generations, millennials are not getting more conservative as they age. There are a number of reasons for this but the simple explanation is they got ****ed by the selfish boomers who voted for policies that only benefitted themselves and gave the finger to younger generations. Add the fact that Gen Z absolutely despises the GOP's insanity and Christian nationalism. The GOP as we know it is dying, which is why they've become so much more angry and aggressive lately, and are doing everything they can to make it harder for young people and other left leaning groups to vote.

We all see the writing on the wall, it just sucks seeing how much damage is being done by a group on its way out.


A lot of lies
Truth will be in election results the next 10 years, but those are lies too according to many GOP voters. Quite a conondrum.


We hear this every election year yet in 2022 Abbott completely stomped Beto. Someone like Paxton or Patrick would probably make it closer than it should be but I'll believe it when I see it. Crenshaw would win by Abbott level margins.


I mean it may not happen overnight and we are still solidly red but the gap has been narrowing over time.

20 years ago, Perry was winning the governor's race by 15-17%. Other than the absolute destruction of Wendy Davis in 2014, the last couple elections have been decided by 10-13%. Trump won Texas by 5%. It may not be 2030, but Texas is moving towards the center.
If you look at the cycles the base number has been around 10-13% with waves of about 5-7 points either way. 2022 was a pretty good baseline election with neither side having a great candidate but having decent candidates. The key numbers to look at as I have pointed out is the Down Ballot races. Very few people have a strong opinion on most down ballot races and they just vote Party line. That's the number to watch. In '14 it was the GOP Highwater mark and '18 was the Dem as both were "Wave" years. Also the surveys have shown that people moving to Texas are skewing Red and that doesn't seem to be changing and the litany of conservative policies will continue to push that trend as people flee Blue States and some Texans flee for Blue States.

They have been saying Texas was inevitably going to be Blue since the first election I voted in in 1990 which is ironically the last time the Dems dominated Statewide and House elections. Rick Perry was the lone Republican who barely won Ag Commissioner in '90 and the Dems had firm control of everything. '94 was split with Bush beating Richards but several Dems staying in power and '98 was the first time the GOP swept the Statewide offices and have not lost since.

Part of the issue for Dems now is they have been Gerrymandered into controlling Dark Blue Districts both in the Leg and the House, they have no bench of Statewide winners anymore. Since those are Dark Blue you end up with Hard Left folks that can't beat even mediocre GOP candidates because they are so out of synch. It's a deep hole to dig out of and it is made worse because the period of prosperity Texas has had under the GOP is absolutely incredible. In 1990 you had 17 million Texans, now you have 30 million. We have dominated "Best places to Live" and "Best places for business" lists for so long people just take it for granted. At the current rate Texas will surpass California in many categories in the next 2 decades as our population explodes and their contracts. To people that aren't very political that's hard to justify a change.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."

Ronald Reagan
 
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