I will never buy an electric powered vehicle.

525,670 Views | 7787 Replies | Last: 28 days ago by techno-ag
GAC06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Kansas Kid said:

tk for tu juan said:

I actually do not want either of those taxes. It was an exaggeration post about how the average American doesn't care about curb weight and tire dust on the ICE vehicles they drive now, why would they care about it for EVs?

Nortex cares about the environment as much as he posts about. He is our resident tree hugger along with techno.


You aren't concerned about tire particles?!?
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
You are taking a scenario where the product consumes the whole of the battery passively throughout 24 hours without any use, and if used in a normal capacity will consume the whole of the battery multiple times per day and comparing it to a product where the average person is going to consume around 11-18% of the battery daily inclusive of passive drain (dependent upon what settings the car idles at and range of the vehicle).

Meaning that a person with an EV has 3-6 days for an NCM based battery and 5-8 days with an LFP battery to plug their car in at the end of the day with more consistent memory cues of "I get home, I'm exiting my car, I charge" rather than "I go to bed, I may or may not have my phone on me, I need to get my phone and charge it" and even then the frequency with which people don't actually plug their phone in at night is low. The reason people are perpetually low on charge is not because they are forgetful, but rather the nature of the product itself. Passive battery drain and small battery size relative to normal daily use. If a smartphone battery lasted for 3 days and people were told that charging every day increases the useful life of their phone, you know what they'd do? Charge every day and rarely ever be low on battery.

You are anticipating that people are going to be anywhere from 3 to 6 times more forgetful and that they are then going to resolve that forgetfulness not by visiting a supercharger and charging their $30-80,000 vehicle to manufacturer recommendations when warned that not doing so could degrade the useful life of their vehicle, but that they're going to rectify that lapse in memory by routinely charging beyond recommendations.

Will that kind of person exist? Sure, it's not going to be the norm. Because the norm person looks at that warning and says "This car takes up 10-40% of my income, I don't want to damage it." It's a comparison that makes sense if you ignore the details, kind of like comparing an EV battery to a power tool battery or golf cart battery and thinking they're relevant comparisons when there is differentiation in how the product is designed and used.
tk for tu juan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Here is some nice unintentional comedy. Hope Rivian's R2 reveal on Thursday is more professional

Teslag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Ag with kids said:

hph6203 said:

There is very little upkeep knowledge necessary. It's just follow the warnings the vehicle presents to you. If the vehicle says to charge to 80% daily, charge to 80% daily. If the vehicle says charge to 100% daily, charge to 100%. If the vehicle says DC fast charging past 80% can accelerate battery degradation, don't DC fast charge past 80%. Simple.

Even absent following what the vehicle says with respect to fast charging it is actually a net waste of time for the owner and that would be fairly clear after the first time they do it. The time to charge 10-80% is roughly the same as charging 80-100%.

The argument is basically that a person is going to ignore warnings that they're potentially accelerating battery degradation and that they're going to do that so they can waste their own time. Then they're going to turn around and hack their car to modify the battery health data. Dumb enough to damage it beyond the norm, smart enough to find hacking tools. Seems like a small population.

I can see manipulation of range estimates happening, but that's an easy thing to suss out.
Half the people out there are 5 min away from a dead cell phone and their car's low fuel light came on 2 days ago, but they'll be fastidious with how they charge their cars...Ok.

Being facetious with that, but, the point is still there. The next gen of just ordinary buyers will be less careful about how they do things. They'll charge to 100% when it says to charge to 80% (so they don't run out of charge later, etc.). They'll ignore warnings like many people ignore the check engine light.

These are just real world issues - not a ding on EVs at all. These same people will treat their ICE car no better.

BTW, I'm not making a comment on hacking the EV...just human behavioral patterns.


It's really hard to forget. Our car reminds us to charge on our phones and has a schedule of when we leave for work. Also has the cabin at the right temp ready to go. Even if you leave a door open it will send messages through the phone to remind you to close it.
MaxPower
How long do you want to ignore this user?
CanyonAg77 said:

Fairest tax would be curb weight x miles driven

But I'm not going to let the govt put on a gps tracker
I'm going to ask this because I truly don't know, is an ICE or BEV more likely to spill liquids and other debris that needs to be cleaned or decreasing lifespan of roads?
Kansas Kid
How long do you want to ignore this user?
MaxPower said:

CanyonAg77 said:

Fairest tax would be curb weight x miles driven

But I'm not going to let the govt put on a gps tracker
I'm going to ask this because I truly don't know, is an ICE or BEV more likely to spill liquids and other debris that needs to be cleaned or decreasing lifespan of roads?

An ice is a lot more likely to leak liquids requiring cleanup (oil and antifreeze) but neither is likely to affect road life. Think about after any frontal accident how often you see leaks on the road.

An ICE is more likely to catch fire but an EV will burn hotter which would have a bigger impact on the road. Fire is more likely to impact road life than liquid spills.
aggiehawg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Quote:

Think about after any frontal accident how often you see leaks on the road.
With ICE, The Hubs used kitty liiter to soak up gas and oil, hydraulics. Same with aircraft fires.

Metal burns much differently, Class D fire. Way different.
Ag with kids
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
hph6203 said:

You are taking a scenario where the product consumes the whole of the battery passively throughout 24 hours without any use, and if used in a normal capacity will consume the whole of the battery multiple times per day and comparing it to a product where the average person is going to consume around 11-18% of the battery daily inclusive of passive drain (dependent upon what settings the car idles at and range of the vehicle).

Meaning that a person with an EV has 3-6 days for an NCM based battery and 5-8 days with an LFP battery to plug their car in at the end of the day with more consistent memory cues of "I get home, I'm exiting my car, I charge" rather than "I go to bed, I may or may not have my phone on me, I need to get my phone and charge it" and even then the frequency with which people don't actually plug their phone in at night is low. The reason people are perpetually low on charge is not because they are forgetful, but rather the nature of the product itself. Passive battery drain and small battery size relative to normal daily use. If a smartphone battery lasted for 3 days and people were told that charging every day increases the useful life of their phone, you know what they'd do? Charge every day and rarely ever be low on battery.

You are anticipating that people are going to be anywhere from 3 to 6 times more forgetful and that they are then going to resolve that forgetfulness not by visiting a supercharger and charging their $30-80,000 vehicle to manufacturer recommendations when warned that not doing so could degrade the useful life of their vehicle, but that they're going to rectify that lapse in memory by routinely charging beyond recommendations.

Will that kind of person exist? Sure, it's not going to be the norm. Because the norm person looks at that warning and says "This car takes up 10-40% of my income, I don't want to damage it." It's a comparison that makes sense if you ignore the details, kind of like comparing an EV battery to a power tool battery or golf cart battery and thinking they're relevant comparisons when there is differentiation in how the product is designed and used.
And just like clockwork...you handwave away issues with, well, that's not the norm....

It's almost as if you've never met people outside of your EV bubble...

I'm not even criticizing EVs...I'm pointing out human behavior. These same people mistreat their ICE cars and phones, too.

People are dumb a lot of the time.

As the anecdotal saying goes..."There is considerable overlap between the intelligence of the smartest bears and the dumbest tourists" is a quote by a forest ranger at Yosemite National Park. The ranger is reportedly making this comment in response to the difficulty of designing a garbage bin that can keep bears out.

This same dynamic occurs with everything else people do...
Ag with kids
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Teslag said:

Ag with kids said:

hph6203 said:

There is very little upkeep knowledge necessary. It's just follow the warnings the vehicle presents to you. If the vehicle says to charge to 80% daily, charge to 80% daily. If the vehicle says charge to 100% daily, charge to 100%. If the vehicle says DC fast charging past 80% can accelerate battery degradation, don't DC fast charge past 80%. Simple.

Even absent following what the vehicle says with respect to fast charging it is actually a net waste of time for the owner and that would be fairly clear after the first time they do it. The time to charge 10-80% is roughly the same as charging 80-100%.

The argument is basically that a person is going to ignore warnings that they're potentially accelerating battery degradation and that they're going to do that so they can waste their own time. Then they're going to turn around and hack their car to modify the battery health data. Dumb enough to damage it beyond the norm, smart enough to find hacking tools. Seems like a small population.

I can see manipulation of range estimates happening, but that's an easy thing to suss out.
Half the people out there are 5 min away from a dead cell phone and their car's low fuel light came on 2 days ago, but they'll be fastidious with how they charge their cars...Ok.

Being facetious with that, but, the point is still there. The next gen of just ordinary buyers will be less careful about how they do things. They'll charge to 100% when it says to charge to 80% (so they don't run out of charge later, etc.). They'll ignore warnings like many people ignore the check engine light.

These are just real world issues - not a ding on EVs at all. These same people will treat their ICE car no better.

BTW, I'm not making a comment on hacking the EV...just human behavioral patterns.


It's really hard to forget. Our car reminds us to charge on our phones and has a schedule of when we leave for work. Also has the cabin at the right temp ready to go. Even if you leave a door open it will send messages through the phone to remind you to close it.
My PHONE tells me what the battery level is and sometimes I forget and I am responsible guy. My GF forgets to charge hers all the time when she has the chance and and her phone often lives on the edge of dying.

I'm not saying that EVs are bad or don't warn you or anything. I'm saying people suck. Which is why they run out of gas, have dead phones, have their engines **** up because they ignored that warning light, etc.

BTW, ICE cars COULD do a whole lot of that, too...they just don't right now, I assume because the car makers don't want to spend the money to do it.
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Two cybertrucks crash in LA on the same day.

https://people.com/tesla-cybertruck-crashes-into-beverly-hills-hotel-sign-elon-musk-responds-8604689
Trump will fix it.
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It is not handwaving. You are not arguing that dumb people exist and that those situations can arise, you are arguing that they are frequent enough that the secondary market of electric vehicles should be looked upon with concern. Concern of the secondary market may be (and is) justified, but it is not derived from people forgetting to charge their car or even broadly abusing their batteries. What you're proposing is a set of nested if statements that result in a conclusion that requires a belief that people are broadly deranged and lacking in self-interest.

People will forget to charge their vehicles->They will do this exceedingly frequently->They will respond to this frequency of failing to charge by supercharging/charging their vehicle beyond the recommended threshold despite warnings->they will engage in that activity repeatedly despite warnings->they will obfuscate the excess degradation of the battery when selling the vehicle->the buyer is unable to uncover this degradation.

The incidences of all of those scenarios returning a "yes" is low, which results in the claim being of low significance, which is what I'm arguing. It occurs, it is not significant.

That is what this thread typically entails. An intention by people to accumulate as many "this is a bad news story/scenario relating to EVs" statements and then utilize that "bad news" as an argument against EVs whether or not it is unique to EVs or whether or not it is significant. I am not unaware of the irresponsibility/stupidity of people, I just do not agree with you on the frequency of it occurring or on the consistency of the response to that stupidity.

This thread would be significantly better if a higher proportion of posts answered yes to all of these questions:
Is this related to EVs?
Is it unique to EVs?
Is it significant?

Because there are relevant, unique, and significant issues related to EVs, but generally speaking the posts on this thread fail on both of those last two questions at too high of a rate and that kind of posting is generally not interesting. When either one of those questions is potentially "yes" there can be discussion about it. The most consistent poster critical of EVs following that hierarchy is Nortex, while I don't necessarily agree with his interpretation of severity or durability of a problem, the concerns he brings generally answer "yes" to all of those questions. The most consistent violator of that hierarchy is techno, who generally posts things that answer "no" to both uniqueness and significance, like a Cybertruck crashing into a sign. It is hard to discern if he does it intentionally or if he is totally unaware of how inconsequential 95% of the things he posts on this thread are.

Then the discussion revolves around how unique it is, how significant it is, and how resolvable the issue is. I have no problem reading criticisms or concerns, I have them myself, but I'm not just going to co-sign them as significant, unique, or rational just because an analogy can be made to another life scenario.
Kansas Kid
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I think the issue you are underestimating is the owners that can't easily charge overnight where they live. Those people have to charge at public chargers which do take the time to drive there and back along with charge time. Those are the users that will push the battery limits saying I have enough charge for tomorrow and then for whatever reason, they run really low and without having chargers throughout a community like there are with gas stations, some will run out of juice. These will also be the people most likely to charge to high levels and run it down low on a regular basis which does raise the issue of faster degradation of the battery.

For those that can charge at home easily, they shouldn't have issues with extreme battery levels or running out because they can charge essentially every night when they get home.
Medaggie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
until you own an EV, you will not understand that charging becomes a habit. Like before I go into the house, I take my shoes off. After I drive out of the garage, I close the door. After I potty, I flush the toilet. After i brush my teeth, I wash my face.

It is really not that difficult to do. I may have forgot to charge twice in the 4 yrs I own it. No big deal b/c both times I had plenty for the next day.

The beauty of having a Tesla in a Tesla Plus ICE household is not only do I not need to pour gas BUT we drop the ICE car pouring to half. The Tesla is the 1st car to leave the garage so the ICE sits idle much more often.

I had a busy sport day, drove 200 miles, drove back home around 10pm with 20 miles left. Plugged in, woke up at 7am with 80% and 250 miles. Once you get a tesla, its hard to ever go back.

In the past, I used to pour gas on both ICE cars b/c my wife hates pouring gas. I can go close to a month without pouring gas now b/c the ICE is only used when both cars are used.

My lifestyle has improved greatly. Its like once you get a microwave, its hard to live without one.

hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It still culminates in a question of whether the additional degradation of the battery is frequently obfuscated by the owner when selling the vehicle, and that the obfuscation can't be uncovered easily by a potential buyer.

I also contend that it is neither a net savings of time or money for a person that does not have the ability to charge at home, because non-Tesla chargers have a habit of charging by time rather than kWh and that even on Tesla chargers the user is subject to congestion fees of $1 per minute when charging at over 90%.

Even ignoring the potential for additional per kWh costs the actual time investment for remaining at the charger is not a net savings in time/effort. The time for a Tesla Model Y Performance (NCM batteries) to charge from 0-80% is equivalent to the time to charge from 80-100% (~32 minutes).



The time for a Tesla Model 3 with LFP batteries took 32 minutes to charge 0-80% and an additional 19 minutes to go from 80-100%. And a person would do this in order to maybe extend the time between charging by 1 day?



I'd argue it's actually more likely that a person with access to free work charging or the ability to charge at home would choose to push the battery charge limits just out of pure ignorance, but I'd still say it is a rarity not worth much consideration when talking about the secondary market for EVs.


The current concern with the EV secondary market is whether theory meets reality. There are examples of early battery failure, there are examples of champions of longevity, the question is what is the present norm.
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Medaggie said:

until you own an EV, you will not understand that charging becomes a habit. Like before I go into the house, I take my shoes off. After I drive out of the garage, I close the door. After I potty, I flush the toilet. After i brush my teeth, I wash my face.

It is really not that difficult to do. I may have forgot to charge twice in the 4 yrs I own it. No big deal b/c both times I had plenty for the next day.

The beauty of having a Tesla in a Tesla Plus ICE household is not only do I not need to pour gas BUT we drop the ICE car pouring to half. The Tesla is the 1st car to leave the garage so the ICE sits idle much more often.

I had a busy sport day, drove 200 miles, drove back home around 10pm with 20 miles left. Plugged in, woke up at 7am with 80% and 250 miles. Once you get a tesla, its hard to ever go back.

In the past, I used to pour gas on both ICE cars b/c my wife hates pouring gas. I can go close to a month without pouring gas now b/c the ICE is only used when both cars are used.

My lifestyle has improved greatly. Its like once you get a microwave, its hard to live without one.


You're in that upper middle class demo that can afford an EV.

1. You own a home.

2. You own an ICE car.

3. You can afford to indulge in an EV.
Trump will fix it.
Teslag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Endulge in an EV?

On the same thread we have a poster saying it's cheap and not a real vehicle because we can't afford a Lambo and another saying it's an upper class luxury item.

And is a two year old Tesla for less than $30k and almost all of its battery warranty left really a car for the rich?
nortex97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
LOL. I can't probably cite more, but good article; "More Hidden Risks of EV's"

Quote:

An EV will likely not exceed five digits on the odometer because the cost to replace the battery in the typical 10-year span of a battery life will exceed the vehicle's resale value, therefore making it economically impractical.

Other authors have all cited valid facts about the impracticality of charging these things on long trips, the stress they will add to a fragile electric grid, the lack of enthusiasm in this country for adding additional reliable energy power plants, etc. None of this has made me want to rush right out and buy an EV, but just for the sake of developing a more complete picture, let's peel another layer off the onion.

It should come as no surprise that insurance costs are also higher, not only because of their higher sticker price but because of the cost of specialty parts (including batteries), the lack of a specially-trained workforce to fix them, and the possibility that even a younger vehicle may be totaled if there was a damaged battery simply because of the cost of the battery.

Progressive Insurance sums it up nicely:
Quote:

"Insurance costs for EVs and hybrid cars can be higher than for internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles largely because they can be more expensive to repair and replace. For example, a new EV battery ranges between $4,000 and $20,000 depending on the make and model of your EV, compared to $100-200 for an ICE car battery. If the battery of an EV is damaged in an accident, that's a significantly more expensive replacement cost.

On top of more expensive parts, there also aren't as many repair shops with technicians trained to fix electric vehicles versus traditional vehicles. That means those qualified facilities may charge more for repairs because of the specialized training required."
But wait! There's more!

I serve on my township's Board of Advisors, with responsibility for maintaining a top-notch fire department. We keep a lot of different supplies and chemicals on hand that they may need to address in various residential and commercial situations. I asked our fire chief recently how they would handle an EV fire. His answer, because of the unique danger a battery fire poses, since there's not enough water to extinguish it, and the lack of any recommended protocol from the US Fire Administration or any other resource, is to "try to isolate it and let it burn out."

While much of the press is devoted to claiming that EV fires are rare, I have found no credible statistics that prove they are less rare than comparable ICE vehicle fires. By "comparable," I'm referring to age-corrected vehicle statistics to modern EVs, not overall statistics for vehicles of all ages which is not a fair comparison. We all know that grandpa's 1976 Cadillac with its carbureted engine and rotting rubber fuel hoses will far more likely catch fire than a 2021 fuel-injected Tacoma with stainless steel fuel lines. That being said, regardless of credible, comparable statistics of fire risk there is no argument that the consequence of an EV fire is far more severe because of the difficulty, if not the impossibility, of extinguishing it unlike an ICE vehicle fire and the length of time it will burn.
Teslag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG

Quote:

This site works hard to claim it's no big deal, that batteries will cost less in future years, and that aftermarket competition will drive price down, but it also admits they're only good for eight years or 100,000 miles.

Always good when the author starts out with an outright lie.
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
All valid arguments and discussed here and elsewhere. Caveat emptor.
Trump will fix it.
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Spin instructor says batteries won't last 100,000 miles.

Battery researcher/designer says current batteries can last up to 3,000,000.

Who to trust.

He does write for a blog, so maybe...
Teslag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Which is all the more ridiculous because the batteries are warrantied for 100,000 miles and 8 years minimum.
tk for tu juan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Rivian R2 reveal, their EV to compete with the Model Y. They are just now doing earthwork on the factory for it, so it probably isn't arriving until end of 2025 or beginning of 2026.

nortex97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
BMW will pay $1K out of desperation for EV conquest sales.

Anecdote, but I talked to a guy yesterday whose wife is pretty far up the Ford management chain, confirmed they are in fire sale/destruction full speed ahead with their former EV plans, rolling stuff back as fast as possible from production/investments. Was good to hear.
tk for tu juan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
If they were really desperate, they would offer to pay the negative equity to get current EV owners to switch.
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
They are going to sell a ton of those things.
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
More off-roading troubles for the cybertruck.

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-03-07/tesla-cybertruck-offroading-on-california-beach-ends-with-a-glitch
Trump will fix it.
Medaggie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
All/most of the issues brought up including cost/range/repair/charging will greatly improve with time. EVs are in their infancy and ice at the end.

Even at its infancy, EVs, imo are better cars than ice in 90% of real driver situations.

Price is the big hurdle and once evs go below 30k and esp below 25k, 95% with a house will get one.

Economics will decide which is a better platform. Maintenance is hands down Evs. At price parity to lower end cars, then it's a no brainer. Once this happens, even apt complexes will add chargers fixing the home charging problem.
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Medaggie said:

All/most of the issues brought up including cost/range/repair/charging will greatly improve with time. EVs are in their infancy and ice at the end.

Even at its infancy, EVs, imo are better cars than ice in 90% of real driver situations.

Price is the big hurdle and once evs go below 30k and esp below 25k, 95% with a house will get one.

Economics will decide which is a better platform. Maintenance is hands down Evs. At price parity to lower end cars, then it's a no brainer. Once this happens, even apt complexes will add chargers fixing the home charging problem.
This assumes prices will fall dramatically and no regulations will come along to increase prices (a foreign concept in the automotive industry).

Overall EVangelists seem to have a pollyannaish view of the future. Utopia is always just a few years away.
Trump will fix it.
tk for tu juan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
hph6203 said:

They are going to sell a ton of those things.

R3X, a modern Lancia Delta. Hope they get some investors so it can be made

hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Moreso just engage with the topic at a deeper level than "huh, huh, truck crash."
techno-ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Hey they can't get out of the sand or snow. Yet another reason not to buy one.
Trump will fix it.
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Weak troll. Try again.
hph6203
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Rivian from an aesthetic/design perspective makes my favorite of the EVs. Mildly annoyed they moved the charge connector to where they did.

cecil77
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
techno-ag said:

Medaggie said:

until you own an EV, you will not understand that charging becomes a habit. Like before I go into the house, I take my shoes off. After I drive out of the garage, I close the door. After I potty, I flush the toilet. After i brush my teeth, I wash my face.

It is really not that difficult to do. I may have forgot to charge twice in the 4 yrs I own it. No big deal b/c both times I had plenty for the next day.

The beauty of having a Tesla in a Tesla Plus ICE household is not only do I not need to pour gas BUT we drop the ICE car pouring to half. The Tesla is the 1st car to leave the garage so the ICE sits idle much more often.

I had a busy sport day, drove 200 miles, drove back home around 10pm with 20 miles left. Plugged in, woke up at 7am with 80% and 250 miles. Once you get a tesla, its hard to ever go back.

In the past, I used to pour gas on both ICE cars b/c my wife hates pouring gas. I can go close to a month without pouring gas now b/c the ICE is only used when both cars are used.

My lifestyle has improved greatly. Its like once you get a microwave, its hard to live without one.


You're in that upper middle class demo that can afford an EV.

1. You own a home.

2. You own an ICE car.

3. You can afford to indulge in an EV.

Also in the tiny demographic that uses the phrase "pours gas".
First Page Last Page
Page 133 of 223
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.