https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/24-march-the-kuibyshevsky-oil-refinery-suspended-operationsQuote:
The Kuibyshevsky Oil Refinery suspended operations after a UAV attack on March 23. One of the units was damaged. ASTRA sources: As a result of the attack on the oil refinery in Samara, the AVT-4 unit was damaged and the plant's production cycle was stopped.
***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]
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Last: 48 min ago by AtticusMatlock
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/24-march-at-a-meeting-in-tallinn-on-march-2324-the-standingQuote:
At a meeting in Tallinn on March 23-24, the Standing Committee of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly decided to grant the delegation of Ukraine to the PA the status of a candidate for NATO
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/24-march-in-kharkiv-all-transformer-substations-and-a-thermalQuote:
In Kharkiv, all transformer substations and a thermal power plant were destroyed due to Russian strikes. At present, about 40% of houses in Kharkiv have electricity, but it is impossible to say when the supply will be fully restored: the situation is "very difficult", said the mayor of Kharkiv Igor Terekhov.
While Congress disappears on yet another break, the Pentagon is searching everywhere for any loose change to fund Ukraine aid.
DESPERATION
DESPERATION
No wonder they have failed the last six audits!
They're hitting Odessa, too, per LiveUaMap.
After the ISIS massacre: "Yet as the world voices its compassion for the relatives of the dead and the hundreds recovering from their wounds, what does Vladimir Putin do? He seeks to involve Ukraine in the blame and then orders a massive missile strike on Kyiv. This is a new low even by the Russian president's standards, but it is done deliberately to deflect any blame from himself. The Kremlin had been tipped off by Western intelligence to the possibility of an attack from an IS splinter organization operating in the Khorasan region but ignored the warnings, calling it a provocation."
CONTEMPTIBLE
CONTEMPTIBLE
74OA said:
Russia continues to hammer Kyiv and Lviv, plus other notes.
UPDATES
Too bad we just don't position several batteries inside Poland and shoot down as many of the Russian missiles over Ukraine that they can reach. Should be off limits to Russia being in a NATO country and no Ukranian troops needed.
More on Ukraine's recent ship attacks and the strike on a Crimea communications center, plus a boatload of tactical notes from the frontlines.
Today's SITREP.
Today's SITREP.
They will continue to find money in the couch cushions through "reprogramming." When a program like the Future Attack Reconnaissance Aircraft is cancelled there is funding already "programmed" into not only the current fiscal year budget but also planned amounts across the four fiscal years to follow. These five years are referred to as the Future Years Defense Program or FYDP. In the Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution System (PPBES) the amounts of funding in the out-years does not just disappear from the future years budgets, it gets reprogrammed to use on other programs or, offering it up as funding for Ukraine.74OA said:
While Congress disappears on yet another break, the Pentagon is searching everywhere for any loose change to fund Ukraine aid.
DESPERATION
The DoD is allowed to reprogram small amounts of $20 million or less without notifying Congress because that is "decimal-dust" in an $800 billion annual budget. This is called below threshold reprogramming or BTR. Amounts over $20million from any single program customarily require prior notification of Congress and are called above threshold reprogramming. The $300M of found-money was probably a combination of BTRs and ATRs from across the service components and OSD.
The cancellation of the Future Attack Reconnaissance Aircraft (FARA) left $5 billion to be reprogrammed over the coming years.
https://www.defensenews.com/air/2024/02/08/us-army-spent-billions-on-a-new-helicopter-that-now-will-never-fly/
There are lots of program cancellations and "re-baselining" where a new less expensive design or a smaller quantity of procurement is authorized.
True, but there's not enough in those budgetary cushions to save Ukraine. We're talking about scrounging for money that is a fraction of a percent of the huge DoD budget and even that assumes Congress is ok with diverting money it appropriated for DOD to Ukraine aid.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/ng6Bjh4ez5
Hopefully they do this. Shooting down Russian missiles that come close to NATO airspace
Hopefully they do this. Shooting down Russian missiles that come close to NATO airspace
docb said:
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/ng6Bjh4ez5
Hopefully they do this. Shooting down Russian missiles that come close to NATO airspace
Hello WWIII
I have 3 kids that are of age to serve. I just don't understand people's urge to kick this thing off. I'm not necessarily against supporting Ukraine, but to have NATO start shooting is a step over a line.
This entire conflict just seems to be purposefully dragging out to prepare us and justify another war. We get desensitized and see all the videos from the conflict to stir emotions.
Eyeballs on a brewing orc offensive north of Kupiansk
they just keep finding fresh meatsclaff said:
Eyeballs on a brewing orc offensive north of Kupiansk
Keeping my fingers crossed.
Not one of the ISIS dudes caught after the Moscow massacre went down fighting or by suicide. That's very uncharacteristic of them. Makes me wonder about it all.
ISIS-K
ISIS-K
74OA said:
Not one of the ISIS dudes caught after the Moscow massacre went down fighting or by suicide. That's very uncharacteristic of them. Makes me wonder about it all.
ISIS-K
Not all of them are suicidal. Some of them want to escape to continue their activities. They might not have been prepared to resist capture since they got pretty far trying to escape.
MouthBQ98 said:74OA said:
Not one of the ISIS dudes caught after the Moscow massacre went down fighting or by suicide. That's very uncharacteristic of them. Makes me wonder about it all.
ISIS-K
Not all of them are suicidal. Some of them want to escape to continue their activities. They might not have been prepared to resist capture since they got pretty far trying to escape.
Guys who are really interested in fighting to free their province from Russia that ended up linked into ISIS are likely to have a different mindset from the true Jihadis that just want to die for Allah while killing infidels.
...if they're actually from Ukraine.txags92 said:MouthBQ98 said:74OA said:
Not one of the ISIS dudes caught after the Moscow massacre went down fighting or by suicide. That's very uncharacteristic of them. Makes me wonder about it all.
ISIS-K
Not all of them are suicidal. Some of them want to escape to continue their activities. They might not have been prepared to resist capture since they got pretty far trying to escape.
Guys who are really interested in fighting to free their province from Russia that ended up linked into ISIS are likely to have a different mindset from the true Jihadis that just want to die for Allah while killing infidels.
Remember, just because Putin says it doesn't mean it's true.
Also have to remember there are several muslim groups in the area, including the Chechens, that hate Russia
Naveronski said:...if they're actually from Ukraine.txags92 said:MouthBQ98 said:74OA said:
Not one of the ISIS dudes caught after the Moscow massacre went down fighting or by suicide. That's very uncharacteristic of them. Makes me wonder about it all.
ISIS-K
Not all of them are suicidal. Some of them want to escape to continue their activities. They might not have been prepared to resist capture since they got pretty far trying to escape.
Guys who are really interested in fighting to free their province from Russia that ended up linked into ISIS are likely to have a different mindset from the true Jihadis that just want to die for Allah while killing infidels.
Remember, just because Putin says it doesn't mean it's true.
I wasn't talking about Ukraine. Places like Chechnya and other small provinces that are officially part of Russia (not just claimed as part of Russia like Ukraine) want to be free from Russia too and have a lot more muslims than Ukraine.
As usual, ISW gets it.
"The notion that the war is unwinnable because of Russia's dominance is a Russian information operation, which gives us a glimpse of the Kremlin's real strategy and only real hope of success. The Kremlin must get the United States to the sidelines, allowing Russia to fight Ukraine in isolation and then proceed to Moscow's next targets, which Russia will also seek to isolate. The Kremlin needs the United States to choose inaction and embrace the false inevitability that Russia will prevail in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin's center of gravity is his ability to shape the will and decisions of the West, Ukraine, and Russia itself. The Russian strategy that matters most, therefore, is not Moscow's warfighting strategy, but rather the Kremlin's strategy to cause us to see the world as it wishes us to see it and make decisions in that Kremlin-generated alternative reality that will allow Russia to win in the real world."
STRATEGY
"The notion that the war is unwinnable because of Russia's dominance is a Russian information operation, which gives us a glimpse of the Kremlin's real strategy and only real hope of success. The Kremlin must get the United States to the sidelines, allowing Russia to fight Ukraine in isolation and then proceed to Moscow's next targets, which Russia will also seek to isolate. The Kremlin needs the United States to choose inaction and embrace the false inevitability that Russia will prevail in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin's center of gravity is his ability to shape the will and decisions of the West, Ukraine, and Russia itself. The Russian strategy that matters most, therefore, is not Moscow's warfighting strategy, but rather the Kremlin's strategy to cause us to see the world as it wishes us to see it and make decisions in that Kremlin-generated alternative reality that will allow Russia to win in the real world."
STRATEGY
Chinese academic: "The terrorist attack may become a factor that changes the nature of the crisis in Ukraine. A major turning point. As a result, Russia may launch a larger-scale military mobilization, increase the scale and intensity of battlefield operations in Ukraine,…
— David P. Goldman (@davidpgoldman) March 27, 2024
I sincerely doubt Russia ramps up further their mobilization pace/rate (not sure they would have the materiel to equip a much larger force quickly), but an interesting report from China.
Power outages:
Odesa plunged into darkness after a wave of Russian rocket and drone attacks. Local businesses face huge losses as most unprepared for a repeat of the outages from last winter. My video report lays it out #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/RLyX3yv2E1
— Michael Bociurkiw (@WorldAffairsPro) March 25, 2024
Clever. Innovative.
"Ukrainians have put 8,000 cell phones with microphones to poles across the country to help track the direction of the Shahed drones," General James B. Hecker, commander of United States Air Forces in Europe.
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) March 26, 2024
Necessity is truly the mother of invention. Glory!
📹: WSJ opinion pic.twitter.com/CgbFClZYnK
Some analysis of the Zircon missiles in use over Ukraine (consider the source is Ukrainian defense contractors).
They think the missile is kind of a fraud. Smaller warhead than the Kinzhal and only just over half as fast as advertised.
They think the missile is kind of a fraud. Smaller warhead than the Kinzhal and only just over half as fast as advertised.
Putin blusters that any Western air base hosting U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets that are slated for deployment in Ukraine would be a "legitimate target" for the Kremlin's forces.
CAMPAIGN
CAMPAIGN
74OA said:
Putin blusters that any Western air base hosting U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets that are slated for deployment in Ukraine would be a "legitimate target" for the Kremlin's forces.
CAMPAIGN
That would be a major FAFO moment!74OA said:
Putin blusters that any Western air base hosting U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets that are slated for deployment in Ukraine would be a "legitimate target" for the Kremlin's forces.
CAMPAIGN
It would take about 30 minutes to crater the runways in Kaliningrad and turn all their aircraft into smoldering piles of debris.Gilligan said:That would be a major FAFO moment!74OA said:
Putin blusters that any Western air base hosting U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets that are slated for deployment in Ukraine would be a "legitimate target" for the Kremlin's forces.
CAMPAIGN
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/28-march-security-service-of-ukraine-detained-a-man-gatheringQuote:
Security Service of Ukraine detained a man, gathering data for missile strikes at military hospital and power plant in Dnipro city on behalf of Russian FSB
Oops!
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/28-march-an-aircraft-was-shot-down-over-occupied-sevastopolQuote:
An aircraft was shot down over occupied Sevastopol
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/28-march-su35-plane-crashed-in-occupied-sevastopol-Quote:
Su-35 plane crashed in occupied Sevastopol
Russian Su-35 falls into the Black Sea after being shot down by its own air defenses in Sevastopol pic.twitter.com/qBTJ5eAVtE
— Ukraine Battle Map (@ukraine_map) March 28, 2024
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