Here's an insightful look at the strategic imperatives driving Putin and his impact on Russian society. Good read.

CZAR

JFABNRGR said:

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Reddit says another su34 and 1260 KIAs in last 24 hours. Also FSB fighting against Chechens in Grozny.

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feels like if you pull on the thread of the sweater the whole thing will come unraveled

My take is that there is a new CIC and was given an ultimatum by putin to take ground at all costs. That was 4-5 weeks ago and may have coincided with all the talk of Ukraine is desperately out of ammo & weapons.

Now within the last 48 hours someone reported to putin the total losses in this 4-5 weeks especially the aircraft and ships, which will lead to another balcony accident and a new CIC and the cycle will continue with happy sunflowers in the spring.

Given Russia's strength at defense and advantages in arms and personnel, I don't understand why they aren't expanding the front and taking another bite at Sumy and Kharkiv.

lb3 said:

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Given Russia's strength at defense and advantages in arms and personnel, I don't understand why they aren't expanding the front and taking another bite at Sumy and Kharkiv.

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Because they simply don't have the logistics, men, and equipment to do so.

74OA said:

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UK intelligence says Russia sustained its highest number of average daily casualties of the war last month.

UPDATES

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They have to be digging at the bottom of the barrel. Are the children of Moscow being shuffled into the fight yet? You have to wonder.

Russian disinformation programs working to undercut US public support for aid to Ukraine.

LIES

Almost 100 casualties a freaking day for the Russians. Russia may be one of 3 countries in the world that can have 30k soldiers not be able to fight and keep going

All these videos with Bradley's are just crazy. They just drop guys in some open space who appear to have no training other than to run for cover and get chewed up. Guess they are just wanting to soak up the Ukes ammo, drones and artillery shells. What stupidity and waste. Just can't believe the mass populace of Russia is OK with this even in their dumbed down state.

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can't believe the mass populace of Russia is OK with this even in their dumbed down state.

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They know only what they are told and do not question. It's a culture thing there.

P.U.T.U said:

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Almost 100 casualties a freaking day for the Russians. Russia may be one of 3 countries in the world that can have 30k soldiers not be able to fight and keep going.

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Add a zero. Almost 1000 a day, roughly 30K for just last month.

P.U.T.U said:

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Almost 100 casualties a freaking day for the Russians. Russia may be one of 3 countries in the world that can have 30k soldiers not be able to fight and keep going

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I am not sure that being able to "keep going" really means anything in that context. Keep going towards what? Sure, they can keep throwing away thousands of bodies every month, and occasionally they are able to claim some pyrrhic victory over a meaningless village like Andivka or Bahkmut, but what are they really accomplishing besides the demographic destruction of their own country? They simply don't have the numbers to keep throwing away thousands of troops for every little podunk village in Ukraine. and there is zero chance they are going to have the troops and mobility to advance and exploit it even if they do somehow stage a breakthrough somewhere. Just such an incredible waste of life for Russia to keep trying to advance.

I don't know their numbers, but for how much longer can they realistically throw 20-30,000 casualties at this? At some point you're just out of people you can grab without openly showing the populace that things are going much worse than could have been imagined and risking revolution within?

The Fife said:

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I don't know their numbers, but for how much longer can they realistically throw 20-30,000 casualties at this? At some point you're just out of people you can grab without openly showing the populace that things are going much worse than could have been imagined and risking revolution within?

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Sounds like a great strategy for a country already having demographic problems

The Ukrainian government needs eight taxpayers per soldier to ensure the state budget has enough funding for the military, Denys Shmyhal said during a press conference on March 4 attended by a Kyiv Independent reporter.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 4, 2024

Sustainment challenges.

60th Brigade of Ukraine repels Russian attack on the Kreminna front. A column of Russian AFVs, including T-90M, took part in the attack. As well as a column of Chinese Desertcross 1000-3, which were apparently used to transport Russian infantry closer to the front line.… pic.twitter.com/y90mJb5KDD

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 4, 2024

I wonder how an assault in UTV's would fare against DPICM

To date they have mostly sourced replacements from non slavic ethnicities from the East, the destitute uneducated who see front line service as their best "Life" opportunity, Ukranians from Donetsk/Luhansk (DPR Forces), prisoners especially beginning with their push to take Bakhmut last year, and reading more recently from foreign fighters.

At 30,000 per month they probably have the ability to push for another two years, reducing current active force manpower in half. However, if they trade casualties at 3:1 they probably would have completely defeated Ukranian armed forces. Ukraine won't win a war of attrition, as they would likely have their own revolt from within before the Russians.

Now, if Kadyrov and the Chechens sense weakness and have some CIA help tipping the $cale$ maybe they make another run at independence.

Right now Ukraine needs to find a way to shore up lines after losing Avdiivka. The way things have been going Slovyansk, Kramatosk, and Zaporizhia will be at risk this year.

In my opinion the result that Ukraine should be working towards is making Crimea a liability-sever the Kerch Bridge and saturate airfields & ports with drones & long range missiles. Then make access to the Black Sea untenable for both Russia's commercial and military ships. India - one of Russia's biggest buyers or arms and oil will force them to the table if/when those supplies become threatened.

GAC06 said:

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60th Brigade of Ukraine repels Russian attack on the Kreminna front. A column of Russian AFVs, including T-90M, took part in the attack. As well as a column of Chinese Desertcross 1000-3, which were apparently used to transport Russian infantry closer to the front line.… pic.twitter.com/y90mJb5KDD

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 4, 2024

I wonder how an assault in UTV's would fare against DPICM

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Whats amazing is that, this is there improved attack AFTER TWO YEARS of experience.

• No cover of darkness.
• No smoke.
• No feints.
• Does not appear to have any air cover via drone, fixed, or rotary wing.
• Does not appear to have indirect fire covers.
• XXX
• YYY
• ZZZ

One really has to wonder if the current Uke strategy doesn't fall in line with Mark Geist's famous "Let em Come" from Benghazi.

A few more LONG range weapons with above really ought to reshape the battlefield....come on Scholtz and the rest of you limp wristed supporters.

They are losing a reinforced battalion A DAY in men and equipment. No military can sustain that today and continue to function effectively for very long.

Their capabilities will continue to degrade as they continue to lose and body of trained and experienced veterans to wasteful attrition, though I am sure they do concentrate some of those on special units that are effective.

When you combine that with recent aircraft losses it's pretty clear Russia will have massive problems trying to extend any offensive past the current stalemated front.

P.U.T.U said:

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Almost 100 casualties a freaking day for the Russians. Russia may be one of 3 countries in the world that can have 30k soldiers not be able to fight and keep going

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1000 not 100

After a disastrous couple of years, Russia's spies are back and causing problems around the world.

SPIES

74OA said:

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What once was old is new again.

Use by Ukrainians of spikes dropped from drones to damage russian vehicles and hurt logistics. Judging by the commentary, this tactic is effective and easy to deploy. pic.twitter.com/MvcQ01JNBO

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) March 2, 2024

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I was thinking Flechettes before watching the video.

More and more commentators are describing 2024 as a make-or-break year for Russia. Passing the latest US aid package for Ukraine would make the break scenario far more likely.

TIME

Interesting conversation on drones from the UV, especially on UAV controlling and even dropping UGVs.

https://ukrainevolunteer297689472.wordpress.com/2024/03/04/one-million-dollars/

seems like all has gotten very quiet on the Orc side of things with the Shaheed drones. Maybe their supplier is having difficulties.

I haven't heard anything about the Iranian ballistic missiles being used yet.

nortex97 said:

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The Ukrainian government needs eight taxpayers per soldier to ensure the state budget has enough funding for the military, Denys Shmyhal said during a press conference on March 4 attended by a Kyiv Independent reporter.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 4, 2024

Sustainment challenges.

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Eight (8) US taxpayers per soldier since we are giving Ukraine $1Billion per month to fund their government

GAC06 said:

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I haven't heard anything about the Iranian ballistic missiles being used yet.

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Perhaps they will be used in weeks.

MaroonStain said:

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nortex97 said:

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The Ukrainian government needs eight taxpayers per soldier to ensure the state budget has enough funding for the military, Denys Shmyhal said during a press conference on March 4 attended by a Kyiv Independent reporter.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 4, 2024

Sustainment challenges.

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Eight (8) US taxpayers per soldier since we are giving Ukraine $1Billion per month to fund their government

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Fixed and added comment.

Eight (8) US taxpayers per Ukrainian soldier since we are giving Ukraine $1Billion per month to fund their government.

If we DONT pay this now it is almost certain it will be the following in the future:

Thirty-Two (32) US taxpayers per American soldier since we are giving Poland/Romania $2Billion per month to fund their government. Then of course there is the real price in American Blood.

Hell it may be a 100+ IDK.