***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Waffledynamics
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txags92 said:

Waffledynamics said:

Quote:

Explosions near Kherson: at Antonivsky bridge, Chornobaivka and Inzhenerne


https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/26-august-explosions-near-kherson-at-antonivsky-bridge-chornobaivka

Wonder what they were targeting?

Why does Russia even bother to keep trying with these bridges and river crossings there? It just seems like a lost cause.
I am assuming with the pontoons being used as ferries, there are times when an orc convoy of supplies gets stacked up on one side waiting. Wouldn't be surprised if they are hitting those when they park to wait. And the orcs have to keep trying because they have something like 30% of their forces on the west side of the river by some reports. Why they keep trying at exactly the same spot that is already punched into the Ukrainian targeting computers on their MLRS launchers, I have no idea. But thank God the orcs are this dumb, because it is probably all that kept Ukraine from getting steamrolled this summer.
I just remembered that this was supposed to be the time of year that Russia could make a lot of progress due to dryer conditions.

What utter failure. That makes this even worse for them.
Not a Bot
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knj2417
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Private PoopyPants said:




Missed opportunity or psychological warfare?
AgLA06
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Yes
The Fife
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From that thing landing what looks like 3-4' away I'm surprised he was able to run off like that
2000AgPhD
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I have to wonder how many of these videos are staged. I must say, the Ukrainians appear to be past masters at propaganda. The Russian agitprop on the other hand is about as ham-fisted as you could want.
JFABNRGR
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The Fife said:

From that thing landing what looks like 3-4' away I'm surprised he was able to run off like that
Inches and degrees matter. I think the grenade landed on the top of the trench allowing the blast cone to mostly pass over him. It wasn't his time whereas the ones below did not get so lucky.

FYI I don't think you have to download reddit or get a membership if your on a laptop. I do not have a membership but there is 3-4 groups or communities that post new info the fastest. Seems like the other sites are 12+ hours or more behind.

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/wydewg/ukrainian_drones_drop_bomb_on_russian_soldiers/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

HIMARS hit on the bridge. GORE WARNING. It appears there were at least two trucks on the bridge when it was hit. The bodies appear to be more geared up as infantry and not truck drivers, so there is a good chance the trucks were full of soldiers.

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/wyawru/the_result_of_himars_impact_on_the_kakhovskaya/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Direct hit on orc soldier by drone dropping grenade.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/wy7375/direct_hit_on_russian_soldier_sitting_in_trench/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Monkey See Monkey Do. 5th russian tank attempts to pass through mine field.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/wy8sgm/fifth_russian_tank_attempts_to_pass_four_other/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Also seeing reports the previous HIMARS hit on the base killed as many as 200 russian paratroopers.

lb3
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JFABNRGR said:

The Fife said:

From that thing landing what looks like 3-4' away I'm surprised he was able to run off like that
Inches and degrees matter. I think the grenade landed on the top of the trench allowing the blast cone to mostly pass over him. It wasn't his time whereas the ones below did not get so lucky.

FYI I don't think you have to download reddit or get a membership if your on a laptop. I do not have a membership but there is 3-4 groups or communities that post new info the fastest. Seems like the other sites are 12+ hours or more behind.

https://old.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/wydewg/ukrainian_drones_drop_bomb_on_russian_soldiers/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

HIMARS hit on the bridge. GORE WARNING. It appears there were at least two trucks on the bridge when it was hit. The bodies appear to be more geared up as infantry and not truck drivers, so there is a good chance the trucks were full of soldiers.

https://old.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/wyawru/the_result_of_himars_impact_on_the_kakhovskaya/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Direct hit on orc soldier by drone dropping grenade.

https://old.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/wy7375/direct_hit_on_russian_soldier_sitting_in_trench/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Monkey See Monkey Do. 5th russian tank attempts to pass through mine field.
https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/wy8sgm/fifth_russian_tank_attempts_to_pass_four_other/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Also seeing reports the previous HIMARS hit on the base killed as many as 200 russian paratroopers.


Updated Reddit links for those without accounts.
txags92
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knj2417 said:

Private PoopyPants said:




Missed opportunity or psychological warfare?


Fake news. That dude was clearly french. He left his rifle behind when he ran…
AGS-R-TUFF
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Private PoopyPants said:


Looked like it dropped into a hole with a depth elevated above his sleeping level. The explosion was absorbed by the dirt mound between him and the impact point. Dude got incredibly lucky. He should get some civilian clothing, melt into the countryside and never look back.
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Ukrainian military conducted missile strikes at Russian bases in Chernihivka and Verkhniy Tokmak Pershiy of Zaporizhzhia region


https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/26-august-ukrainian-military-conducted-missile-strikes-at
Not a Bot
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The Iranian drones are allegedly the low-profile Shahed. They load them up on racks and fire them like rockets but then they are guided to the targets. Bigger and longer range than Switchblades with some stealthy attributes. These are very capable weapons. The anti-drone stuff the US is sending can't be implemented soon enough.
aggiehawg
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Private PoopyPants said:

The Iranian drones are allegedly the low-profile Shahed. They load them up on racks and fire them like rockets but then they are guided to the targets. Bigger and longer range than Switchblades with some stealthy attributes. These are very capable weapons. The anti-drone stuff the US is sending can't be implemented soon enough.
Pardon my lack of the correct vernacular but how big of an explosive do they carry?

TIA.
AgLA06
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https://www.nbcnews.com/video/saudi-aramco-oil-depot-blazes-after-houthi-drone-attack-136258629771
JFABNRGR
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Private PoopyPants said:

The Iranian drones are allegedly the low-profile Shahed. They load them up on racks and fire them like rockets but then they are guided to the targets. Bigger and longer range than Switchblades with some stealthy attributes. These are very capable weapons. The anti-drone stuff the US is sending can't be implemented soon enough.
Again this could have been prevented, how many times are we going to allow the Iranians to kill Americans or American friends from afar. Another Solemani type hit should have been made in the previous month with a stern warning....maybe the warning could have come first such as; from the NYT "Sources state if the Iranians provide orcs with arms then Pentagon will green light ATACAMS and other long range weapons to Ukraine"
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agent-maroon
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JFABNRGR said:

Private PoopyPants said:

The Iranian drones are allegedly the low-profile Shahed. They load them up on racks and fire them like rockets but then they are guided to the targets. Bigger and longer range than Switchblades with some stealthy attributes. These are very capable weapons. The anti-drone stuff the US is sending can't be implemented soon enough.
Again this could have been prevented, how many times are we going to allow the Iranians to kill Americans or American friends from afar. Another Solemani type hit should have been made in the previous month with a stern warning....maybe the warning could have come first such as; from the NYT "Sources state if the Iranians provide orcs with arms then Pentagon will green light ATACAMS and other long range weapons to Ukraine"
The only thing this administration is going to hit the Iranians with are pallets of cash for their nuclear weapons program.
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JFABNRGR
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Before and after SAT pics of HQ hit in Kherson. This is on the outskirts of the Kherson airport to the NE on the T2215. These are all 4-5 story buildings and could have housed a lot of soldiers. Further down the tweet thread is an enhanced pic which really shows the extent of damage much better than the first couple of pics. The biggest bldg on right now appears as two bldgs but its not. A good 1/3rd of it is completely gone from roof to ground.

Waffledynamics
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/24/russia-iran-drones-sanctions/

Quote:


With China and India refusing to sell weapons to Russia, Iran could become an essential pipeline for weapons and money.
"They know all the tricks in the book," in terms of evading sanctions, the intelligence official said of Iran. Iran can tap its existing infrastructure network of shell companies and other financial institutions in this sanctions-busting campaign. Iranian financial aid for Russia would be even easier if sanctions against Tehran are lifted as part of a renewal of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the intelligence officials warned.


Quote:



Russia's drone deal with Iran is a sign of how serious Moscow's weapons-supply problems have become after six months of war in Ukraine. Intelligence officials say that Moscow was initially hesitant to reach out to Tehran, whose leaders it mistrusts and whose nuclear ambitions it has consistently opposed. Russia likes to think that it's a superpower that doesn't need help from a troublesome neighbor.
"It shows a lot of desperation on the Russians' part that they're dependent on the Iranians here," the senior administration official said.




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2wealfth Man
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Private PoopyPants said:


https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/24/russia-iran-drones-sanctions/

Quote:


With China and India refusing to sell weapons to Russia, Iran could become an essential pipeline for weapons and money.
"They know all the tricks in the book," in terms of evading sanctions, the intelligence official said of Iran. Iran can tap its existing infrastructure network of shell companies and other financial institutions in this sanctions-busting campaign. Iranian financial aid for Russia would be even easier if sanctions against Tehran are lifted as part of a renewal of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the intelligence officials warned.


Quote:



Russia's drone deal with Iran is a sign of how serious Moscow's weapons-supply problems have become after six months of war in Ukraine. Intelligence officials say that Moscow was initially hesitant to reach out to Tehran, whose leaders it mistrusts and whose nuclear ambitions it has consistently opposed. Russia likes to think that it's a superpower that doesn't need help from a troublesome neighbor.
"It shows a lot of desperation on the Russians' part that they're dependent on the Iranians here," the senior administration official said.





I am seriously doubting the Russians have anyone who can capably operate these on any kind of scale. They will wind up in a destroyed supply dump somewhere.
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2wealfth Man said:

Private PoopyPants said:


https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/24/russia-iran-drones-sanctions/

Quote:


With China and India refusing to sell weapons to Russia, Iran could become an essential pipeline for weapons and money.
"They know all the tricks in the book," in terms of evading sanctions, the intelligence official said of Iran. Iran can tap its existing infrastructure network of shell companies and other financial institutions in this sanctions-busting campaign. Iranian financial aid for Russia would be even easier if sanctions against Tehran are lifted as part of a renewal of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the intelligence officials warned.


Quote:



Russia's drone deal with Iran is a sign of how serious Moscow's weapons-supply problems have become after six months of war in Ukraine. Intelligence officials say that Moscow was initially hesitant to reach out to Tehran, whose leaders it mistrusts and whose nuclear ambitions it has consistently opposed. Russia likes to think that it's a superpower that doesn't need help from a troublesome neighbor.
"It shows a lot of desperation on the Russians' part that they're dependent on the Iranians here," the senior administration official said.





I am seriously doubting the Russians have anyone who can capably operate these on any kind of scale. They will wind up in a destroyed supply dump somewhere.
Would love that to be the case. But I suspect the Iranians have personnel on the ground in Russia, providing training and tactical use info. Hopefully the Ukes are able to counter/contain the effectiveness of these on the battlefield.
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Reports that Mi-28 helicopters shelling Nikopol
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-august-reports-that-mi28-helicopters-shelling-nikopol

I don't really understand Russia's targeting of Nikopol so much. It's across a big reservoir. They would have to go around that reservoir to get to it. I'd be surprised if Ukraine had really important assets there. Why are they bothering?
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Russian units attempted to advance near Soledar, Zaitseve and Mayorsk without success, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-august-russian-units-attempted-to-advance-near-soledar

Just keep beating your heads against the wall around Bakhmut, guys.



Also, Russia still can't get rid of those guys that were in Blohorivka. They had to move back, but they're still frustrating the Russians. I swear it's been roughly the same in this area since Severodonetsk and Lysychansk fell almost two months ago.


Quote:

Ukrainian military repelled Russian advance attempt near Hryhorivka, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report

https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-august-ukrainian-military-repelled-russian-advance-attempt

Waffledynamics
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I'd like more corroboration on this, but:
Quote:

Russia is sending the recently formed third army corps to the border with Ukraine
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-august-russia-is-sending-the-recently-formed-third-army

https://censor.net/en/photo_news/3363505/russia_transfers_to_ukraine_recently_formed_3rd_army_corps_cit_photos



Quote:

Russia, apparently, is sending the recently formed 3rd Army Corps to the front.

Such a conclusion was reached by the analytical team Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT), after studying photos and video recordings of the transportation of Russian military equipment by rail from Nizhny Novgorod to Rostov region, Censor.NET informs.

Eyewitnesses filmed full warehouses with "Buk" complexes and T-80BV and T-90M tanks. "The transportation of the Buk complexes indicates the overturning of a large unit, for example, the army. In this case, it can be assumed that the entire 3rd corps is being overturned, or at least that part of it that is considered combat-ready," CIT writes. Source: https://censor.net/en/p3363505
What's so interesting about the 3rd Army Corps? Well, it's really new. Per ISW's August 5th Assessment:

Quote:

Russian sources confirmed the formation of the 3rd Army Corps on August 5. Russian milblogger and military correspondent Sasha Kots announced recruitment for the "Samara" volunteer battalion in Samara Oblast and noted that the battalion will join the 3rd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces.[28] The battalion is recruiting men between the ages of 18 and 50 who have completed at least middle or high school education, without required prior military experience.[29] ISW has previously reported that Ukrainian officials believed that Russian forces were forming a 15,500-person-strong 3rd Army Corps within the Western Military District (WMD) based out of Mulino, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, but did not have official confirmation of its formation from Russian sources.[30] Sasha Kots' announcement also indicates that the Kremlin is likely planning to compose the 3rd Army Corps at least in part from volunteer battalions.
Considering their losses, should we expect a high % of conscripts with little training?
moldaggie
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Cool article: https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/27/politics/russia-ukraine-resistance-warfare/index.html
Waffledynamics
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moldaggie said:

Cool article: https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/27/politics/russia-ukraine-resistance-warfare/index.html
Archive link: https://archive.ph/K7jWl

The article discusses ROC, apparently a resistance doctrine developed by the United States and being employed in Ukraine. The article mentions some of the major events such as the recent attacks in Crimea as part of this, but I found this part very interesting:

Quote:

Early in the conflict, the Ukrainian government created a website that explains different ways to resist. The site describes ways of using of nonviolent actions, including boycotting public events, labor strikes, and even how to use humor and satire. The goal is to disrupt the ability of pro-Russian authorities to govern while reminding the population of Ukraine's rightful sovereignty. The resistance doctrine suggests violent actions as well, including using Molotov cocktails, deliberately starting fires and putting chemicals in gas tanks to sabotage enemy vehicles.

The doctrine also calls for a broad messaging campaign to control the narrative of the conflict, prevent an occupier's message from taking hold, and keeping the population united. Videos of Ukrainian strikes against Russian tanks, often to a soundtrack of pop music or heavy metal, have gone viral, as have clips of Ukrainian soldiers rescuing stray animals. Whether intentional or not, it becomes part of the resistance, allowing Ukraine to frame the headlines in western media in their favor and often humanizing Ukrainian service members in ways the Russian military has abjectly failed to do.

At the forefront of the resistance is Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky, who has not let the conflict fade out of sight with nightly speeches and frequent international appearances. His visits near the front-lines make news around the world, while Russian President Vladimir Putin is rarely seen outside the Kremlin or the resort of Sochi.

The ongoing messaging barrage has spurred a groundswell of overseas support and successfully increased on western governments to supply more arms and ammunition to Ukraine.
Indeed, it's been very obviously a coordinated strategy, and Ukraine is operating it really well. We've mentioned how effective they've been at the information war, and it's interesting to hear more about it.

Thanks for sharing!
Waffledynamics
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Reported 3 hours ago on LiveUAMap:

Quote:

Explosions at ammunition depots and equipment gatherings across Kherson region reported
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-august-explosions-at-ammunition-depots-and-equipment-gatherings

Waffledynamics
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Early on, Denys has video of a literal, self-proclaimed Russian Nazi.
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