***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,636,251 Views | 47866 Replies | Last: 10 hrs ago by EastSideAg2002
Waffledynamics
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Found another map that provides useful information.

https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1eBdC3XtGg1_43DuLfyl-T4nz2dfrXPnj&ll=48.00800873698704%2C38.27488678145397&z=10
Waffledynamics
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If true, that's not far from Izyum.

Ulysses90
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AgLA06 said:

docb said:

Some chatter on Reddit that the Kherson offensive has begun and the Russians have evacuated their command center to the other side of the river out of the city.


That should instill confidence in their troops.

Nothing says we've got this like "You guys stay here. We're pulling anyone important back across the river."


It's reminiscent of the surrender of Fort Donelson in 1862. After two days of fighting, the two senior Confederate Generals, John Floyd and Gideon Pillow, decided that they were beaten and that they would surrender the Fort the following morning. They ordered Brigadier General Simon Bolivar Buckner to deliver the surrender to US Grant while Floyd and Pillow escaped across the river under cover of darkness. They escaped on boats that had just arrived with a Mississippi regiment of fresh reinforcements that never fired a shot.

Colonel Nathan Forrest exfiltrated his entire regiment past the Union forces under cover of darkness and did not surrender. He later testified at Pillow's Court Martial for cowardice.

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Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
benchmark
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Good read. ISW: RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, AUGUST 13
Quote:

Indicators of degraded Russian supplies resulting from the disruption of Russian GLOCs over the Dnipro River would include: observed fuel and ammunition shortages among Russian forces in western Kherson Oblast; abandoned Russian vehicles; decreased intensity and, finally, cessation of Russian ground assaults and artillery attacks; possibly increased instances of Russian looting; increased reports from Russian soldiers about supply shortfalls; increased numbers of Russian prisoners of war taken by Ukrainian forces; and an observed absence of new heavy machinery transported to western Kherson.

Such indicators could take days or weeks to observe depending on how much Russian forces have been able to stockpile supplies on the west bank of the Dnipro and how successful Ukrainian forces are at finding and destroying those stockpiles while keeping the bridges inoperable.
Waffledynamics
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Waffledynamics
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Waffledynamics
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JFABNRGR
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Waffledynamics said:




If there hasn't been reason enough yet for other countries to conduct direct attacks on russia, the prevention of nuclear disaster certainly ought to be, as has been the direct targeting of women, children, and or several other atrocities.
Waffledynamics
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Waffledynamics
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80sGeorge
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May 2022 interview with American consultant to the UK Cdr in Chief.

Discusses RU and UK strengths/weaknesses, UK adaptability to Western weapons, RU equipment pros/cons.

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3544330-dan-rice-special-advisor-to-cinc-valeriy-zaluzhnyi.html
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Ukrainian military hit a base of Russian mercenaries in Popasna in a missile strike
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-august-ukrainian-military-hit-a-base-of-russian-mercenaries
Waffledynamics
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EastSideAg2002
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Waffledynamics said:




Cant decide if this is a good or bad thing.
74OA
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EastSideAg2002 said:

Waffledynamics said:




Cant decide if this is a good or bad thing.
Half of St Petersburg just now vanished on a long "vacation" in next-door Finland.
Gilligan
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If St. Petersburg and Moscow residents start getting called to arms. It sounds like Putin has a bad hand and going all in.

If the wealthier families start ponying up to die won't Putin be finished?
74OA
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Gilligan said:

If St. Petersburg and Moscow residents start getting called to arms. It sounds like Putin has a bad hand and going all in.

If the wealthier families start ponying up to die won't Putin be finished?
It won't help, but the Russian system of repression is so finally tuned right now I don't know that it will result in any sort of major rebellion.
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Gilligan said:

If St. Petersburg and Moscow residents start getting called to arms. It sounds like Putin has a bad hand and going all in.
They're drained and without a better option. That said, there's likely a long list of exemptions based on privilege, education, employment, and marital status, etc.
AgLA06
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Seems to indicate they can't take what they want in the east or even potentially scared of Ukraine in the south. They've pretty much thrown the majority of their standing army at this special operation.

Embarrassing for the supposed super power of Europe.
Waffledynamics
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benchmark said:

Gilligan said:

If St. Petersburg and Moscow residents start getting called to arms. It sounds like Putin has a bad hand and going all in.
They're drained and without a better option. That said, there's likely a long list of exemptions based on privilege, education, employment, and marital status, etc.
Well, there is one better option...

Leave Ukraine.
AGS-R-TUFF
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Waffledynamics said:




The reality here is that these poor civilians who are being forced into this war, will become nothing but meat for the grinder. They will have near zero training and likely be outfitted with crap kits and muskets.

Putin wiping out generations of Russians for his maniacal vision.

aggiehawg
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Quote:

Putin wiping out generations of Russians for his maniacal vision.
And he already had a demographic time bomb, he just advanced the clock.
Ag In Ok
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AgLA06 said:

Seems to indicate they can't take what they want in the east or even potentially scared of Ukraine in the south. They've pretty much thrown the majority of their standing army at this special operation.

Embarrassing for the supposed super power of Europe.


And they are now committing to a multi-year campaign in Ukraine. The quicker Europe can stop buying anything and everything Russia can't happen fast enough.
2wealfth Man
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aggiehawg said:

Quote:

Putin wiping out generations of Russians for his maniacal vision.
And he already had a demographic time bomb, he just advanced the clock.
perfect place to send our border crossing hoard….maybe Abbot can arrange buses to Moscow!
Mowdy Ag
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Russia falls on its sword in Ukraine. The rest of the world then has the privilege of dealing with its nuclear remnants - possibly for generations.

Kobayashi Maru.

Better than the alternative, I hope.
RONA Ag
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EastSideAg2002 said:

Waffledynamics said:




Cant decide if this is a good or bad thing.


It's a good thing. Fresh recruits with little to no training. Russian citizens will not take well to this and will see people leave to Finland and calling for Change
Not a Bot
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Things are getting hot elsewhere in the region…
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