***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Faustus
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benchmark said:

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russia-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-13
Quote:

Russian milbloggers criticized the Russian military on July 12 for sourcing Iranian UAVs to improve artillery targeting in Ukraine while failing to address the command issues that more severely limit the effectiveness of Russian artillery. Russian Telegram channel Rybar claimed on July 12 that Russian requests and approval for artillery fire pass through a convoluted chain of command, resulting in a delay of several hours to several days between Russian ground forces requesting artillery fire, Russian targeting, and conducting the actual strikes.[10] Rybar claimed that Russian forces in Syria reduced the time between targeting and striking to under an hour.[11] Rybar claimed that while the Russian need for more UAVs is clear and that Iranian UAVs helped achieve a target-to-fire time of 40 minutes in Syrian training grounds additional UAVs do not solve the problems of overcentralized Russian command and overreliance on artillery in Ukraine.[12] Russian milblogger Voyennyi Osvedomitel' claimed that Russian forces had faced the same overcentralized command during the First Chechen War, wherein the inability of Russian ground forces to request artillery support without going through a chain of command inhibited responses to enemy offensive actions.[13] Milblogger Yuzhnyi Veter claimed that Ukrainian artillery forces' target-to-response time is under 40 seconds



You'd think they'd just be happy Iran is willing to lend a hand given the reticence of the Russian satellite countries.
Colonel Nonreg
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RogerEnright said:

Correct me if I am wrong, but Ukraine doesn't even have to match Russia with military parity. They just need to stall the advance of Russia and make the cost of occupying the Crimea and Donbass unpalatable for the Russian people.

The correct artillery/rocket systems to supply isn't parity, it is enough to stall the Russian Military and to increase the expense in lives and material for their war.
Roger I do not believe this to be a valid strategy. What (I think) you are suggesting is that Ukr halts any advances and makes life in Ukr so hard for the Russians they eventually withdraw, Is that correct?

That strategy won't work for the following reasons:
1) Ukr doesn't have ~10 years. This strategy will require a LOT of time during which Russia will be mutilating the land and people under their dominion.
2) The "West" does not have the "long haul" persistence to see this war extend beyond a year or so. The amount of interest and media coverage has fallen 80%(?) in the last two weeks.
3) unlike China to NVA in the '70's, Ukr doesn't have a Superpower on their border to back/support them.
4) simply stated, Russia can outlast Ukr for supplies/resources.

So what does need to happen?

A) Ukr needs to get personnel trained in Britain and back in country
B) a plan for extraction of RF invaders needs development and execution

Ukr needs to get the Russians OUT of the country. That includes Donbas, Crimea and the entirety of the southern coast. If that doesn't happen quickly, I believe the cost in human terms (both organically and financially) will rise exponentially the more weeks/months the Russians are "guests."
“Indecision is the cornerstone of defeat”
Colonel Nonreg
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JFABNRGR said:

RogerEnright said:

Correct me if I am wrong, but Ukraine doesn't even have to match Russia with military parity. They just need to stall the advance of Russia and make the cost of occupying the Crimea and Donbass unpalatable for the Russian people.

The correct artillery/rocket systems to supply isn't parity, it is enough to stall the Russian Military and to increase the expense in lives and material for their war.
More and more reports that peoples of crimea, LPR, & DPR have had enough of the orcs and want them out and go back under Ukraine control. Likely since 2014, only those in control really wanted to be part of russia benefitting through whatever privilege's or compensation putin was giving them.

Having returned from Ukraine in June, I concur that local partisan opinion is to be rid of the Russians. What is a newer development is that many locals that formerly favored Russia,,.now want them gone.
“Indecision is the cornerstone of defeat”
RogerEnright
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Hoof Hearted89 said:


1) Ukr doesn't have ~10 years. This strategy will require a LOT of time during which Russia will be mutilating the land and people under their dominion.
2) The "West" does not have the "long haul" persistence to see this war extend beyond a year or so. The amount of interest and media coverage has fallen 80%(?) in the last two weeks.
3) unlike China to NVA in the '70's, Ukr doesn't have a Superpower on their border to back/support them.
4) simply stated, Russia can outlast Ukr for supplies/resources.


Interesting and your comment certainly has me rethinking my Afghanistan / Russian invasion mental model. I was suggesting Russia / Afghanistan was more in my thinking than Vietnam. Although, in Afg / Russian war, Afghanistan didn't have a neighbor Superpower. It has been a while, but I doubt the media was tied to it during the whole period, yet the US continued the supply of goods.


Quote:

So what does need to happen?

Ukr needs to get the Russians OUT of the country. That includes Donbas, Crimea and the entirety of the southern coast. If that doesn't happen quickly, I believe the cost in human terms (both organically and financially) will rise exponentially the more weeks/months the Russians are "guests."
My concern is that this may be a tough task.
Colonel Nonreg
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RogerEnright said:

Hoof Hearted89 said:


1) Ukr doesn't have ~10 years. This strategy will require a LOT of time during which Russia will be mutilating the land and people under their dominion.
2) The "West" does not have the "long haul" persistence to see this war extend beyond a year or so. The amount of interest and media coverage has fallen 80%(?) in the last two weeks.
3) unlike China to NVA in the '70's, Ukr doesn't have a Superpower on their border to back/support them.
4) simply stated, Russia can outlast Ukr for supplies/resources.


Interesting and your comment certainly has me rethinking my Afghanistan / Russian invasion mental model. I was suggesting Russia / Afghanistan was more in my thinking than Vietnam. Although, in Afg / Russian war, Afghanistan didn't have a neighbor Superpower. It has been a while, but I doubt the media was tied to it during the whole period, yet the US continued the supply of goods.


Quote:

So what does need to happen?

Ukr needs to get the Russians OUT of the country. That includes Donbas, Crimea and the entirety of the southern coast. If that doesn't happen quickly, I believe the cost in human terms (both organically and financially) will rise exponentially the more weeks/months the Russians are "guests."
My concern is that this may be a tough task.
I shared your view, full of hope that Ukr might simply "wear them down" w/ Vn/Afg serving as historical models and predecessors to success. While Afg did not have a superpower neighbor, their Rocky Mountain-esque/arid topography acted like one it (topography acted as a delimiter of enemy advantage; zero help w/ Afg resupply). Both Russian and US resupply were strained severely. The US is simply far better at the TO&E (supplies) side of warfare than Russia.

What I saw first hand was a Biblical level of incompetence (Russia) but unfortunately I didn't also see a Biblical level of Divine intervention resulting in Israel's enemy being smitten (think: the entire book of Judges).

Opinion: Ukr just "feels different" to me. Remember that Vn/Afg expended very few supplies but exacted significant pain over time to US/Russia (aka guerilla warfare or more recently, asymmetrical fighting). Ukr is expending SIGNIFICANT stores of ammo and I don't see any way they can possibly keep up with Russia from a supplies standpoint. I believe Ukr needs a Ukr version of Battle of the Bulge…but one that is successful. A rapid/lightning strike that separates Russian troops from resupply and the has the fortitude to eliminate or capture large swaths of personnel/equipment as well as repatriation of Ukr lands.

So, if you can read between the lines of that last paragraph, I agree w/ you that success may be difficult to grasp for the Ukrs. Clearly, I am hoping for a near miraculous ending. But frontline troops have no reserves to rotate in/out of danger. I am concerned that if something significant doesn't happen quickly…blah blah.

“Indecision is the cornerstone of defeat”
sclaff
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Thread ending with speculation on southern offensive strategy








MouthBQ98
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They have to get them out of the south first in order to open up economic activity and exports.
black_ice
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The south is vital men. Vital.
RogerEnright
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Interesting.

To summarize your two points that resonate the most with me:
1. The terrain isn't as favorable as it was in Vietnam and Afghanistan for a prolonged insurgence / gorilla style success. As a side note, I believe Vietnam (a predecessor) gave Mongols several military defeats (Link).

2. While genocide is an dirty word; it is effective and Russia's proficiency with using genocide may give Russia the edge in a prolonged war. Move people out of the country, kill opposition, move loyal Russians into their place. This seems like a tried and true strategy for Russia over hundreds of years. I wonder if this is the backdrop of Fiddler on the Roof.
TXAggie2011
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I feel like the "the terrain won't support an insurgency" argument is where those who thought before the war that Ukraine had no chance to defend itself and the west should push for a deal have now progressed after Ukraine has forced Russia into a grinding war of attrition.

And I think it misses the idea that Ukraine is nearly 250,000 square miles and home to 40 million people who mostly don't want Russia there...and therefore misses the amount of resources Russia would have to expend to govern the country.

Tongue twister...If a government doesn't expend lots of resources to govern a population that doesn't want to be governed by said government, you don't need jungles and mountains.
74OA
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It's a good thing for NATO that eastern European member countries are steadily culling their residual ex-Soviet military inventories to give to Ukraine and are ordering NATO-standard replacement materiel. But it'll be interesting to watch them compete for factory orders--particularly for munitions--with western European countries which are now steadily donating more and more of their NATO-standard inventory to Ukraine and are also ordering replacement stocks.

STOCKPILES
BusterAg
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Hoof Hearted89 said:

RogerEnright said:

Hoof Hearted89 said:


1) Ukr doesn't have ~10 years. This strategy will require a LOT of time during which Russia will be mutilating the land and people under their dominion.
2) The "West" does not have the "long haul" persistence to see this war extend beyond a year or so. The amount of interest and media coverage has fallen 80%(?) in the last two weeks.
3) unlike China to NVA in the '70's, Ukr doesn't have a Superpower on their border to back/support them.
4) simply stated, Russia can outlast Ukr for supplies/resources.


Interesting and your comment certainly has me rethinking my Afghanistan / Russian invasion mental model. I was suggesting Russia / Afghanistan was more in my thinking than Vietnam. Although, in Afg / Russian war, Afghanistan didn't have a neighbor Superpower. It has been a while, but I doubt the media was tied to it during the whole period, yet the US continued the supply of goods.


Quote:

So what does need to happen?

Ukr needs to get the Russians OUT of the country. That includes Donbas, Crimea and the entirety of the southern coast. If that doesn't happen quickly, I believe the cost in human terms (both organically and financially) will rise exponentially the more weeks/months the Russians are "guests."
My concern is that this may be a tough task.
I shared your view, full of hope that Ukr might simply "wear them down" w/ Vn/Afg serving as historical models and predecessors to success. While Afg did not have a superpower neighbor, their Rocky Mountain-esque/arid topography acted like one it (topography acted as a delimiter of enemy advantage; zero help w/ Afg resupply). Both Russian and US resupply were strained severely. The US is simply far better at the TO&E (supplies) side of warfare than Russia.

What I saw first hand was a Biblical level of incompetence (Russia) but unfortunately I didn't also see a Biblical level of Divine intervention resulting in Israel's enemy being smitten (think: the entire book of Judges).

Opinion: Ukr just "feels different" to me. Remember that Vn/Afg expended very few supplies but exacted significant pain over time to US/Russia (aka guerilla warfare or more recently, asymmetrical fighting). Ukr is expending SIGNIFICANT stores of ammo and I don't see any way they can possibly keep up with Russia from a supplies standpoint. I believe Ukr needs a Ukr version of Battle of the Bulge…but one that is successful. A rapid/lightning strike that separates Russian troops from resupply and the has the fortitude to eliminate or capture large swaths of personnel/equipment as well as repatriation of Ukr lands.

So, if you can read between the lines of that last paragraph, I agree w/ you that success may be difficult to grasp for the Ukrs. Clearly, I am hoping for a near miraculous ending. But frontline troops have no reserves to rotate in/out of danger. I am concerned that if something significant doesn't happen quickly…blah blah.


The miracle that I am hoping for is Putin dying. That could throw a wrench into everything.
"Laws that forbid the carrying of arms … disarm only those who are neither inclined nor determined to commit crimes… . Such laws make things worse for the assaulted and better for the assailants; they serve rather to encourage than to prevent homicides, for an unarmed man may be attacked with greater confidence than an armed man.”

--Thomas Jefferson
74OA
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TXAggie2011 said:

I feel like the "the terrain won't support an insurgency" argument is where those who thought before the war that Ukraine had no chance to defend itself and the west should push for a deal have now progressed after Ukraine has forced Russia into a grinding war of attrition.

And I think it misses the idea that Ukraine is nearly 250,000 square miles and home to 40 million people who mostly don't want Russia there...and therefore misses the amount of resources Russia would have to expend to govern the country.

Tongue twister...If a government doesn't expend lots of resources to govern a population that doesn't want to be governed by said government, you don't need jungles and mountains.
Ukraine passed a law in '21 mandating citizen resistance as part of national defense planning. It's not surprising that the Russians have a growing problem pacifying occupied areas. RESIST
benchmark
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sclaff said:


Interesting thread. Thanks for sharing. Add to note ... a HIMARS warhead probably isn't large enough to drop this RR bridge near Kherson. However, the bridge is already within artillery range and even though a 155 may not be large enough either ... it's worth taking multiple shots mid-span using GPS guided artillery to see what happens. Good place for M892 Excalibur to make it's debut.

.
P.U.T.U
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You don't need to destroy it, just damage it enough where it would take months to repair.

Guy has a good plan but don't think the Russians know what splitting that area would do. I also don't know if UA has the manpower to cover their rear.
ABATTBQ11
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P.U.T.U said:

You don't need to destroy it, just damage it enough where it would take months to repair.

Guy has a good plan but don't think the Russians know what splitting that area would do. I also don't know if UA has the manpower to cover their rear.


This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
74OA
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Today's SITREP.
benchmark
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ABATTBQ11 said:

This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
Certainly worth a try. However, unless there's almost catastrophic damage - steel bridges can be repaired fairly easily and the Russian army is organized for this. They're probably very good at this and likely have engineers, welders, fitters, and repair crews on 24/7 standby nearby. Just say'n.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/21/russias-military-has-a-railroad-problem/
Quote:

Unlike any other standing army, Russia has an auxiliary service known as the Railway Troops (or "zheleznodorozhniye voiska"), which protect and maintain the railway services for use during combat. Their 10 brigades are attached to military districts and work to repair damaged lines, build or reconstruct bridges, and assist the armed forces in concealment. They can also supply fuel, clothing, and weapons to the front as well as restore road and rail access if they are bombed in combat.
74OA
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benchmark said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
Certainly worth a try. However, unless there's almost catastrophic damage - steel bridges can be repaired fairly easily and the Russian army is organized for this. They're probably very good at this and likely have engineers, welders, fitters, and repair crews on 24/7 standby nearby. Just say'n.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/21/russias-military-has-a-railroad-problem/
Quote:

Unlike any other standing army, Russia has an auxiliary service known as the Railway Troops (or "zheleznodorozhniye voiska"), which protect and maintain the railway services for use during combat. Their 10 brigades are attached to military districts and work to repair damaged lines, build or reconstruct bridges, and assist the armed forces in concealment. They can also supply fuel, clothing, and weapons to the front as well as restore road and rail access if they are bombed in combat.

Priorities. The Russians have undoubtedly assembled a sizeable munitions stockpile in-theater partly to ensure that any temporary resupply interruption doesn't impact immediate operations.

But once that in-theater buffer is whittled down by the Ukrainians, then they will shift focus to attacking rail links so the Russians can't restock at the rate needed to fully service their profligate expenditure of munitions.

At that point the Ukrainians don't need to wholesale destroy rail infrastructure, just inject enough of a transportation delay so the Russians can't maintain sufficient in-theater stocks to overwhelm with raw firepower.

Ideally, the Ukrainians would do both simultaneously, but they don't have the resources.
benchmark
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BusterAg said:

The miracle that I am hoping for is Putin dying. That could throw a wrench into everything.
Sadly, the Russia problem seems to be intrinsic and systemic. The next guy could actually be worse.
ABATTBQ11
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benchmark said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
Certainly worth a try. However, unless there's almost catastrophic damage - steel bridges can be repaired fairly easily and the Russian army is organized for this. They're probably very good at this and likely have engineers, welders, fitters, and repair crews on 24/7 standby nearby. Just say'n.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/21/russias-military-has-a-railroad-problem/
Quote:

Unlike any other standing army, Russia has an auxiliary service known as the Railway Troops (or "zheleznodorozhniye voiska"), which protect and maintain the railway services for use during combat. Their 10 brigades are attached to military districts and work to repair damaged lines, build or reconstruct bridges, and assist the armed forces in concealment. They can also supply fuel, clothing, and weapons to the front as well as restore road and rail access if they are bombed in combat.



Shell it once. Shell it 2 hours later when the repair crews should be in full swing.
Demosthenes81
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benchmark said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
Certainly worth a try. However, unless there's almost catastrophic damage - steel bridges can be repaired fairly easily and the Russian army is organized for this. They're probably very good at this and likely have engineers, welders, fitters, and repair crews on 24/7 standby nearby. Just say'n.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/21/russias-military-has-a-railroad-problem/
Quote:

Unlike any other standing army, Russia has an auxiliary service known as the Railway Troops (or "zheleznodorozhniye voiska"), which protect and maintain the railway services for use during combat. Their 10 brigades are attached to military districts and work to repair damaged lines, build or reconstruct bridges, and assist the armed forces in concealment. They can also supply fuel, clothing, and weapons to the front as well as restore road and rail access if they are bombed in combat.

That's assuming their senior officers have not sold everything on the black market and got rid of half the force while still collecting their pay from Moscow..
Seven and three are ten, not only now, but forever. There has never been a time when seven and three were not ten, nor will there ever be a time when they are not ten. Therefore, I have said that the truth of number is incorruptible and common to all who think. — St. Augustine
lb3
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74OA said:

benchmark said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

This. That bridge has to support trains. You don't need to to drop it. You just need to weaken it to the point it can't support a locomotive. Also, trains run on rails. Damage a span and the rails and the bridge must be repaired to prevent a derail on that line. It's not like a highway where you can drive around a pothole or a damaged lane.
Certainly worth a try. However, unless there's almost catastrophic damage - steel bridges can be repaired fairly easily and the Russian army is organized for this. They're probably very good at this and likely have engineers, welders, fitters, and repair crews on 24/7 standby nearby. Just say'n.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/21/russias-military-has-a-railroad-problem/
Quote:

Unlike any other standing army, Russia has an auxiliary service known as the Railway Troops (or "zheleznodorozhniye voiska"), which protect and maintain the railway services for use during combat. Their 10 brigades are attached to military districts and work to repair damaged lines, build or reconstruct bridges, and assist the armed forces in concealment. They can also supply fuel, clothing, and weapons to the front as well as restore road and rail access if they are bombed in combat.

Priorities. The Russians have undoubtedly assembled a sizeable munitions stockpile in-theater partly to ensure that any temporary resupply interruption doesn't impact immediate operations.

But once that in-theater buffer is whittled down by the Ukrainians, then they will shift focus to attacking rail links so the Russians can't restock at the rate needed to fully service their profligate expenditure of munitions.

At that point the Ukrainians don't need to wholesale destroy rail infrastructure, just inject enough of a transportation delay so the Russians can't maintain sufficient in-theater stocks to overwhelm with raw firepower.

Ideally, the Ukrainians would do both simultaneously, but they don't have the resources.
If the Ukes can destroy enough supply routes, things will slowly start to turn in their favor. Then it will turn faster.

When armies collapse, it happens suddenly. Doesn't matter if it's the Battle of First Manassas, Kabul, Saigon. Panic is contagious. Russian morale is poor and if a few units run out of ammo a rout could happen more easily than the other way around.
74OA
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Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Fire at Satelit plant in Mariupol
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-july-fire-at-satelit-plant-in-mariupol

Quote:

Explosions near Kherson
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-july-explosions-near-kherson-



Quote:

Explosion reported at Russian base in Snihurivka of Mykolaiv region
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-july-explosion-reported-at-russian-base-in-snihurivka

Quote:

Explosions in Mykolaiv
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-july-explosions-in-mykolaiv
fullback44
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74OA said:


Terrible .. so sad .. prayer for her
ABATTBQ11
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74OA said:




Russians can't burn in Hell long enough
Eliminatus
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ABATTBQ11 said:

74OA said:




Russians can't burn in Hell long enough


Can't confirm personally but have seen it reported elsewhere that the mother has also passed.

Pictures are floating around of the damage of this attack. Including the body of this little girl and another child as well. Extremely graphic. Many burned beyond recognition.

It's so infuriating to me as a man, a Texan, and veteran. This whole thing is so, so wrong and it pains me to see it. This is a just war of defence for the Ukes and that is one point I will never yield on.

I don't know what the future holds of course but I am hoping with everything I have that our aid makes a difference in the end. Evil industrial complex or not, we have the capacity to make that difference and save literal innocent lives. Just hope that our internecine politics does not poison our aid efforts further. I think it is going to get more and more testy closer to November we get though ....
benchmark
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Continued attacks like this today from Russian territory and yesterday from a submarine on civilian targets >250 miles behind the lines are begging for longer range Ukrainian capability. At some point I think the US provides them with a few ATACMS with a strict targeting agreement.

Sq 17
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benchmark said:

BusterAg said:

The miracle that I am hoping for is Putin dying. That could throw a wrench into everything.
Sadly, the Russia problem seems to be intrinsic and systemic. The next guy could actually be worse.

I would be willing to take my chances on that coin flip hopefully we'd get some Kleptocrat that wanted to live the life of an Oligarch and not want to reinvent the USSR
benchmark
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Circling back to cutting rail logistics as a southern offensive objective. This was reported about a week ago.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-7
Quote:

Ukrainian partisans in and around occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast are increasingly targeting Russian rail lines. The Ukrainian Resistance Center reported that Ukrainian partisans blew up a railway bridge about 25 km north of Melitopol between Novobohdanivka and Troitske on July 7, likely further obstructing Russian resupply efforts from Crimea to the Zaporizhia Oblast front line.[23] Ukrainian partisans had previously blown up a rail bridge near occupied Lyubimivka between Melitopol and Tokmak on July 3 and derailed a Russian armored train carrying ammunition near Melitopol on July 2.[24] The increase in reported activity supports ISW's prior assessment that a Ukrainian partisan campaign is targeting Russian rail lines near Melitopol.
JFABNRGR
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Eliminatus said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

74OA said:




Russians can't burn in Hell long enough


Can't confirm personally but have seen it reported elsewhere that the mother has also passed.

Pictures are floating around of the damage of this attack. Including the body of this little girl and another child as well. Extremely graphic. Many burned beyond recognition.

It's so infuriating to me as a man, a Texan, and veteran. This whole thing is so, so wrong and it pains me to see it. This is a just war of defence for the Ukes and that is one point I will never yield on.

I don't know what the future holds of course but I am hoping with everything I have that our aid makes a difference in the end. Evil industrial complex or not, we have the capacity to make that difference and save literal innocent lives. Just hope that our internecine politics does not poison our aid efforts further. I think it is going to get more and more testy closer to November we get though ....
Concur 100%. Give them everything they need and or even want.
Waffledynamics
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In the Kherson/Mykolaiv region:

Quote:

Reports of explosions in Kryvyi Rih
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/15-july-reports-of-explosions-in-kryvyi-rih

Quote:

Mykolaiv is under shelling - over 10 powerful explosions reported
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/15-july-mykolaiv-is-under-shelling--over-10-powerful-explosions

Quote:

At Pivdenny Buh direction Russian troops continued to shell civilian and military infrastructure. Russian aviation conducted airstrike near Velyke Artakove and Olhyne, missile strike in Mykolaiv, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/15-july-at-pivdenny-buh-direction-russian-troops-continued

Russia trying to blunt the offensive or even prepare for a counterattack?
Waffledynamics
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Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Russian ammunition warehouses are still burning after explosion overnight in Kadiivka
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/15-july-russian-ammunition-warehouses-are-still-burning-after

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