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There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on July 6 for the first time in 133 days of war, supporting ISW's assessment that Russian forces have largely initiated an operational pause. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed territorial gains every day from the start of the war but has not claimed any new territory or ground force movements since completing the encirclement of Lysychansk on July 3. However, Russian forces still conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults across all axes on July 6. Such attempts are consistent with a Russian operational pause, which does not imply or require the complete cessation of active hostilities. It means, in this case, that Russian forces will likely confine themselves to relatively small-scale offensive actions as they attempt to set conditions for more significant offensive operations and rebuild the combat power needed to attempt those more ambitious undertakings.

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benchmark said:

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ISW July 6 Update

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There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on July 6 for the first time in 133 days of war, supporting ISW's assessment that Russian forces have largely initiated an operational pause. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed territorial gains every day from the start of the war but has not claimed any new territory or ground force movements since completing the encirclement of Lysychansk on July 3. However, Russian forces still conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults across all axes on July 6. Such attempts are consistent with a Russian operational pause, which does not imply or require the complete cessation of active hostilities. It means, in this case, that Russian forces will likely confine themselves to relatively small-scale offensive actions as they attempt to set conditions for more significant offensive operations and rebuild the combat power needed to attempt those more ambitious undertakings.

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ABATTBQ11 said:

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TRM said:

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ABATTBQ11 said:

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JFABNRGR said:

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Surprised they have not hit the temporary bridges or locomotives loaded with supplies directly.

We know they have hit at least 8 ammo dumps and one major C&C center.

What will be the next priority targets for the long range artillery?
ADA, TOS, Comms, allowing them to be more effective with their limited air power?

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Maybe they have

But another thing to consider is you need to know when a train will be where well beforehand to hit it with artillery or MLRS. You need time to get to firing positions, set up, fire, and have your rounds travel. If you start moving when the train pulls into the station, you'll be late by the time the rounds get there. Russian trains are likely not on set schedules for this very reason, though if anyone were stupid enough to have ammo trains running on time, it would be the Russians.

I think they'll continue to hit C2 and logistics.

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I want to say much like their trucks, I believe all the Russian trains are loaded and unloaded by hand.

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You can do almost anything with enough manpower, including unload a train in an hour or two. That's probably not enough time to communicate arrival, move and deploy artillery from staging areas, setup, and fire.

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🤦The level of degradation in Russia is growing every day

Silicone breast implants "Rosgrud" with Russian tricolour and camouflage appeared in #Russia. pic.twitter.com/6L0qXVZp3T

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) May 30, 2022

Waffledynamics said:

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benchmark said:

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ISW July 6 Update

Quote:

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There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on July 6 for the first time in 133 days of war, supporting ISW's assessment that Russian forces have largely initiated an operational pause. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed territorial gains every day from the start of the war but has not claimed any new territory or ground force movements since completing the encirclement of Lysychansk on July 3. However, Russian forces still conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults across all axes on July 6. Such attempts are consistent with a Russian operational pause, which does not imply or require the complete cessation of active hostilities. It means, in this case, that Russian forces will likely confine themselves to relatively small-scale offensive actions as they attempt to set conditions for more significant offensive operations and rebuild the combat power needed to attempt those more ambitious undertakings.

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Would this imply vulnerability that could be exploited by Ukrainian counteroffensives?

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agent-maroon said:

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Russia uses silicone implants instead of saline? Are they unaware of the health risks and the Dow Corning lawsuits?

Going to have to do more research on Russian breast implants and get the full story on this...

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AGS-R-TUFF said:

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Waffledynamics said:

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benchmark said:

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ISW July 6 Update

Quote:

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There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on July 6 for the first time in 133 days of war, supporting ISW's assessment that Russian forces have largely initiated an operational pause. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed territorial gains every day from the start of the war but has not claimed any new territory or ground force movements since completing the encirclement of Lysychansk on July 3. However, Russian forces still conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults across all axes on July 6. Such attempts are consistent with a Russian operational pause, which does not imply or require the complete cessation of active hostilities. It means, in this case, that Russian forces will likely confine themselves to relatively small-scale offensive actions as they attempt to set conditions for more significant offensive operations and rebuild the combat power needed to attempt those more ambitious undertakings.

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Would this imply vulnerability that could be exploited by Ukrainian counteroffensives?

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Definitely sounds like an opportunity to light up every ammo dump within striking distance. And maybe launch a theater wide tire slashing (sugar in the gas tank) guerilla campaign to cripple as many Orc trucks as possible.

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“Nine #HIMARS and similar missile systems are already operating in #Ukraine, the #Russians are defenseless against them and are very worried.” 2/2#UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar

— 🇺🇦Ukraine News Live🇺🇦 (@UkraineNewsLive) July 7, 2022

benchmark said:

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Plus 9 more on the way from Europe including M270's. Sure would be nice if they would sneak in a few ATACMS or the new extended-range GMLRS.

“Nine #HIMARS and similar missile systems are already operating in #Ukraine, the #Russians are defenseless against them and are very worried.” 2/2#UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar

— 🇺🇦Ukraine News Live🇺🇦 (@UkraineNewsLive) July 7, 2022

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Military counterintelligence conducts searches at the military commissioner of Crimea Lymar on suspicion of corruption

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Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign affairs has summoned Ambassador of Trkiye to protest release of the vessel with stolen Ukrainian grain

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Bridge between Novobohdanivka-Troitske destroyed in Zaporizhzhia region

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During another air strike on Odesa, 2 Kh-31 missiles were fired from the Su-30 aircraft. One hit the tanker Millennial Spirit (Under Moldova flag), which is drifting in the territorial sea without a crew, with the remains of diesel fuel on board)

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Occupied Ilovaisk now
Something is burning😉 pic.twitter.com/PKz4ZVb1z2

— WarMonitor🇺🇦 (@WarMonitor3) July 7, 2022

Waffledynamics said:

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To play devil's advocate even though we know the numbers are probably inflated:

Ukraine has been provided with additional aircraft and helicopters, IIRC. Their supply at the beginning of the invasion does not mean that is their cap.

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AgLA06 said:

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Must have learned how to count kills from WW2 Luftwaffe.

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Nagler said:

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Someone read Red Storm Rising recently

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Nagler said:

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Someone read Red Storm Rising recently

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Get Off My Lawn said:

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Effective fire support begins with accurate target identification / location.

If GMLRs are really having a significant impact, it means real-time observation of these positions is being employed. Deep observation is challenging: risky for people and aerial platforms. It seems to point toward (American) satellite dedication.

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