Rossticus said:Video reportedly shows Russian air defence trying to fire missiles at air targets but missiles hit the ground instead. pic.twitter.com/EDwCe0vdvW
— marqs (@MarQs__) May 13, 2022
More highlights from our May 12 campaign assessment with @criticalthreats:
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) May 13, 2022
1. Continued and expanding reports of demoralization and refusals to fight among Russian units suggests the effective combat power of Russian troops in the east continues to be low and may drop further. https://t.co/tRwdhnYgDs
4. The Ukrainian counteroffensive near Kharkiv is starting to look very similar to the counteroffensive that ultimately drove Russian troops away from Kyiv and out of western Ukraine entirely, although it is too soon to tell if the Russians will make a similar decision here.
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) May 13, 2022
It's unclear if Russian forces can encircle/capture Severodonetsk and Lysychansk even if their efforts focus on that much-reduced objective. Russian offensives have bogged down every time they hit a built-up area throughout this war, and these areas are unlikely to be different.
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) May 13, 2022
Erdogan says Turkey not supportive of Finland, Sweden joining NATO https://t.co/rAsMYdWAyD pic.twitter.com/gX5UJ2jQej
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 13, 2022
Erdogan says Turkey won’t repeat the same mistake which it has done during Greece’s accession to NATO.
— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 13, 2022
“They are using the NATO against us,”
Greece returned to NATO’s military wing in 1980 after withdrawing in 1974.
Swedish foreign minister says they know NATO membership ratification process entails uncertainties
— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 13, 2022
...says Dmitry Poliansky, First Deputy Permanent Representative of Russia to the UN. https://t.co/QPlQWB4Ebe
— Janis Kluge (@jakluge) May 12, 2022
Actually an Osa not a Tor
— Woofers (@NotWoofers) May 13, 2022
Keegan99 said:ABATTBQ11 said:txags92 said:Yeah, I took what he said to mean when his term was up he was planning to "peace out" of his unit and make his way home.Demosthenes81 said:From what I've seen it is entirely possible he may just lay down his rifle and start walking back home when his term is up, officially released or no.Keegan99 said:aggiehawg said:Point being, he's served 5 years, making him one of the few more experienced soldiers Russia has. Not easily replaceable.Keegan99 said:
They think Russian laws will protect them?!
Point being, he's not going home unless they let him go home. His contract end date doesn't matter.
And I doubt any other soldiers are going to be willing to enforce making him stay after his contract is up. Not really in their best interest to set that precedent.
I'm also not sure he's safe at home. Being ordered to stay and then deserting sounds like a good way for you and maybe your family to end up gulag'd.
The idea that Russian "law" or "contracts" mean anything beyond what Putin says they mean is foolish.
Satellite imagery from yesterday (May 12) shows 16 Su-25 fighters and one An-12 among other aircraft, at the Millerovo air base. The aircraft present at this air base are likely being used to support Russian forces in eastern Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/bYaDlU2rqF
— Orion Intel (@Orion__int) May 13, 2022
For more context about airbases near Ukraine: https://t.co/PbieTCpZLW
— Orion Intel (@Orion__int) May 13, 2022
The first war crimes trial opens in #kyiv. A Russian soldier, 21 year old Vadym Shyshimarin, is accused of killing an unarmed 62-year-old civilian on February 28, firing an automatic rifle from a car window in #sumy region of #ukraine pic.twitter.com/DQO7Vn2K0o
— Melissa Bell (@MelissaBellCNN) May 13, 2022
Video is dated back to March, filmed by a Russian IFV driver who later got captured after his IFV was destroyed.
— BlueSauron👁️ (@Blue_Sauron) May 13, 2022
More details : https://t.co/kiwsXQ0Fk0#Russia #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/pHYjiTzbwk
I don't think you'll ever see a bigger weirdness:
— Mikhail Khodorkovsky (English) (@mbk_center) May 13, 2022
Russian Orthodox Church☦️ leaders blessing a rocket called Satan. pic.twitter.com/KcyP49qQ2Z
South Izium Map (May 13 8:00AM)🇺🇦
— Ukraine Battle Map (@ukraine_map) May 13, 2022
Ukrainian Forces successfully advanced through a large forest and hold a large piece of territory West of Izium for a couple days
Russian Forces hold Velyka Komyshuvakha, 5 km West is their next target Hrushuvakha#UkraineWar #Kharkiv #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/9uyMZC93Eg
I've been alerted by a specialist in home appliances that it's actually a dryer, not washing machine.
— Expat in Kyiv (@expatua) May 13, 2022
MeatDr said:
This doesn't seem like it would be very effective at all when you compare to what the Ukrainians are using? It also looks like it's not even mounted when they actually launch the UAV. With it being such a light aircraft, would putting these on just one wing cause balance issues?This is interesting. Russian forces are using Orlan-10 UAVs to drop VOG grenades in Ukraine. A possible indication that they lack sufficient UCAVs, loitering munitions, and PGMs.https://t.co/KGvx8GLwJI pic.twitter.com/17zRjS5TWw
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 13, 2022Orlan-10 aren't a very useful UAV for dropping munitions. Quadcopter UAVs would be far more accurate, and the munitions they're using have a small casualty producing radius. 3/
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 13, 2022
This cartoon from today’s edition of The Times gives an indication of the damage done to Russia’s reputation as a military superpower by Putin’s disastrous invasion of Ukraine pic.twitter.com/UpiCbNbgc4
— Business Ukraine mag (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag) May 13, 2022
Sounding like Scholz’s visit to Bundestag’s Defence Committee has gone terribly. Reports FDP members left the room - unsatisfied with his answers on #Ukraine. Remember, FDP is part of his coalition government! 👀
— Trent Murray (@trent_murray) May 13, 2022
We’ll likely hear the SPD background briefings soon enough challenging the course of events but regardless, it seems it hasn’t been a kum ba yah moment between Chancellery & Parliament’s powerful defence voices.
— Trent Murray (@trent_murray) May 13, 2022
💬CinC AF of Ukraine:
— Defence of Ukraine (@DefenceU) May 13, 2022
Special greetings and thanks from our artillerymen to the American people for the M777 howitzer.
My guys know the price of artillery. First of all, they wanted to convey that this is a high-precision and very effective weapon.
Together to Victory! pic.twitter.com/x5mNB4YEmM
Igor Girkin talks about Severskyi Donetsk defeat and mentions 'senior staff losses' which he won't be going into any detail about. pic.twitter.com/PcQOJfcG8B
— Dmitri 🇺🇦 (@mdmitri91) May 13, 2022
The first well-known footage of the presence of Czech self-propelled artillery installations Dana in the combat units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/VpFeLNMT0s
— ТРУХА⚡️English (@TpyxaNews) May 13, 2022
The full details of Britain's latest sanctions announcement here pic.twitter.com/NGtCNmhwIs
— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) May 13, 2022
The Georgian Breakaway Region of South Ossetia have announced their plan for a Referendum in July in order to unify with the Russian Federation, I expect if this does in fact go through that many other “Breakaway Regions” like Transnistria, Abkhazia, and Donetsk will follow. pic.twitter.com/zflstmUuTB
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) May 13, 2022
Robk said:Igor Girkin talks about Severskyi Donetsk defeat and mentions 'senior staff losses' which he won't be going into any detail about. pic.twitter.com/PcQOJfcG8B
— Dmitri 🇺🇦 (@mdmitri91) May 13, 2022
All of the Black Sea’s Fleets Kilo-Class Attack Submarines and possibly other Russian Navy Submarines have reportedly been put to Sea from the Port of Sevastopol today, all Kilo-Class Submarines are more than likely Fully-Armed with around 4 3M-54 Kalibr Cruise Missiles each. pic.twitter.com/EAF7Gh4ABg
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) May 13, 2022
aggiehawg said:
That's not good. What can the Ukes use to find and target subs?
aggiehawg said:
That's not good. What can the Ukes use to find and target subs?
Ukes have no planes that can drop sonar buoys or torpedoes?Rossticus said:aggiehawg said:
That's not good. What can the Ukes use to find and target subs?
Same thing they've been using thus far. Not a damn thing. Russians have been lobbing sub based missiles at them for a while.
aggiehawg said:Ukes have no planes that can drop sonar buoys or torpedoes?Rossticus said:aggiehawg said:
That's not good. What can the Ukes use to find and target subs?
Same thing they've been using thus far. Not a damn thing. Russians have been lobbing sub based missiles at them for a while.
GAC06 said:
Visually confirmed losses are about an entire BTG's vehicles so losing just one battalion commander may be a low estimate
One of the biggest losses would be the bridging engineers and equipment. Those are fairly specialized units and killing a good number of them and tearing up their equipment will make a difference in how easily the orcs can attempt another crossing.ABATTBQ11 said:GAC06 said:
Visually confirmed losses are about an entire BTG's vehicles so losing just one battalion commander may be a low estimate
Well, it's most of their infantry, armor, and engineering/logistics vehicles. Their AA assets were probably in a rear area and escaped. I would venture that all of their company commanders and platoon leaders are dead too though. Probably looking at some majors and an LTC or full colonel. Not sure their entire command staff would be there, but maybe.
aggiehawg said:Ukes have no planes that can drop sonar buoys or torpedoes?Rossticus said:aggiehawg said:
That's not good. What can the Ukes use to find and target subs?
Same thing they've been using thus far. Not a damn thing. Russians have been lobbing sub based missiles at them for a while.
