to a point, yes. the mud during the thaw is very problematic to multi ton tracked vehicles and their support crews. But when you are getting picked off on the roads, you get off the damned roads.BlueSmoke said:With all the apparent mud, does that explain why they been on the roads so much and why incursions into open territory would be difficult?oldmanguy said:
East/SE Ukraine is steppe country. Expect the Russians, although with seemingly very poor soldiers, to make gains especailly after a buildup. Armor running in open country (assuming they get off the damned roads, finally) is going to eat up real estate and pose an engulfment issue for infantry that it flanks.
I will say this, though. Given the amount of ATGMs the Ukes have and the swarms of older RPGs. If Russia doesn't get on their horse quickly, any anti armor infantry will eat their lunch.
hold onto your butts!
The timing of the invasion I think was delayed due to China's Olympics. That put the Russians advancing during some really inhospitable conditions. As this war moves into the next months and the ground firms up, it will open a lot more possiblities for each side. My hope is that this stall and repositioning gets the Ukes enough time so that every man behind every blade of grass not only has an AK but also has an anti tank weapon of at least inflicting a mobility kill. Maybe, hopefully, the Ukes get longer legged anti air assets too.
I think Belarus' refusal to jump in really has ****ed Putin in the rear. That would have opened up a front that would have been best at closing the resupply river from Poland.
take what I say with a spoonful of grains of salt. I'm a civilian that's slept at a Holiday Inn a time or two.
