Notes from Putin address:

PUTIN: WESTERN SANCTIONS ARE A DECLARATION OF WAR

— Breaking News | FinancialJuice (@Financialjuice1) March 5, 2022

This must be for his people - presenting the image that Russia is under attack and he alone is aiming for peace. Clearly he isn't acting as if it is a declaration of war.

And regarding Elon's comment on opening up O&G. I bet there are some drilling companies that will cut him a deal if he ponies up the cash for a multi year deal.

Also, the list of destroyed or captured Russian equipment is concerningly low in artillery.

G-Town Cracker said:

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Looks like he was buds with Urban Meyer

The Russian pilot just shot down had experience in Syria, here is pictured next to Assad. https://t.co/niyKACfuax

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 5, 2022

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Could this be the pilot?

Eliminatus said:

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This is an absolutely fantastic quick and dirty primer to what has occurred to date.

For those stepping into this new or those who want a good, easy to follow and quick breakdown I highly recommend this video. It's a panel of three experts with about ten minutes each. One economic, one Ukrainian defense, and one Russian military doctrine. Bout the first 35 mins or so. The rest is Q&A and more nuanced stuff.

Still highly recommend yall watch it but Clifs of what to expect if you do:

• Eco guy goes into the sanctions, the effect they are having and why they are having that effect. Actually pretty fascinating in it's own right for the financially dumb like myself.
• Uke defense guy goes into background of how Ukraine prepared for this fight, and make no mistake, they have been preparing for this. Also how much they leaned on the West to make it happen.
• Russian doctrine guy is extremely candid. Russia ****ed up. Explains why in about 8 mins in a way that took me about five days to piece together myself. He explains what they should have been able to do and what they did instead. Then what expects moving forward. Spoiler: Russia ain't out yet.

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Thanks

Anyone speak Russian or Ukrainian?

Fitch said:

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Eliminatus said:

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This is an absolutely fantastic quick and dirty primer to what has occurred to date.

For those stepping into this new or those who want a good, easy to follow and quick breakdown I highly recommend this video. It's a panel of three experts with about ten minutes each. One economic, one Ukrainian defense, and one Russian military doctrine. Bout the first 35 mins or so. The rest is Q&A and more nuanced stuff.

Still highly recommend yall watch it but Clifs of what to expect if you do:

• Eco guy goes into the sanctions, the effect they are having and why they are having that effect. Actually pretty fascinating in it's own right for the financially dumb like myself.
• Uke defense guy goes into background of how Ukraine prepared for this fight, and make no mistake, they have been preparing for this. Also how much they leaned on the West to make it happen.
• Russian doctrine guy is extremely candid. Russia ****ed up. Explains why in about 8 mins in a way that took me about five days to piece together myself. He explains what they should have been able to do and what they did instead. Then what expects moving forward. Spoiler: Russia ain't out yet.

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Thanks

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Good find. Thanks

That's him. If you dig you can find more pics and videos of him post capture.

RoadkillBBQ said:

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AggieLostinDallas said:

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He's wearing an American flag.
He insinuating that's US SoF or a former SoF member.

I am sure there are quite a few there, officially or not.

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I may be wrong but I believe that video is older from before this invasion.

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Fair enough. Here's one uploaded yesterday. Oh, and the quote from the guys over at FUNKER530 who are all former/active military:

"You'll probably want some context for this video. That's too bad. If you're interested in knowing more, you're gonna have to follow Forward Observations on YouTube. They've been in Ukraine since January."

Great job at the face blurring

I can understand having fat bomber pilots but are Russia's most experienced (elite) fighter pilots really this old and fat?

04TXAg007 said:

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RoadkillBBQ said:

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AggieLostinDallas said:

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He's wearing an American flag.
He insinuating that's US SoF or a former SoF member.

I am sure there are quite a few there, officially or not.

---

I may be wrong but I believe that video is older from before this invasion.

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Fair enough. Here's one uploaded yesterday. Oh, and the quote from the guys over at FUNKER530 who are all former/active military:

"You'll probably want some context for this video. That's too bad. If you're interested in knowing more, you're gonna have to follow Forward Observations on YouTube. They've been in Ukraine since January."

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Night fighting guns of SOF right there.

UKRAINE HAS OFFERED TO CONVENE THE NEXT ROUND OF NEGOTIATIONS WITH RUSSIA ON MARCH 7TH - UP.

— Breaking News | FinancialJuice (@Financialjuice1) March 5, 2022

Quite the detour it had to take

US STATE DEPARTMENT: WE HAVE APPROVED A FLIGHT FOR A RUSSIAN PLANE TO EVACUATE RUSSIAN EMPLOYEES EXPELLED FROM THE UNITED NATIONS

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 5, 2022

Kremlin Jet Headed To Washington To Fetch Expelled Russian Diplomats https://t.co/IAUyOoAnot

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 5, 2022

Ernest Tucker said:

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I'm also starting to think Putin truly sees himself as a Tsar.

The image above looks like a royal court. Putin on his throne set apart from the others.

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Very likely.

In his unhinged rants, Putin freely blasts the Bolsheviks. So it's likely he dreams of a rebirth of the Russian Empire, not the Soviets.

04TXAg007 said:

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RoadkillBBQ said:

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AggieLostinDallas said:

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He's wearing an American flag.
He insinuating that's US SoF or a former SoF member.

I am sure there are quite a few there, officially or not.

---

I may be wrong but I believe that video is older from before this invasion.

---

Fair enough. Here's one uploaded yesterday. Oh, and the quote from the guys over at FUNKER530 who are all former/active military:

"You'll probably want some context for this video. That's too bad. If you're interested in knowing more, you're gonna have to follow Forward Observations on YouTube. They've been in Ukraine since January."

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For those interested, I've provided a summary of this two page analysis.

Russian Military and Security Strategy Documents
The 2014 Military Doctrine divides the perceived nature of threats to Russia into two categories: military risks and military threats. Military risks are a lesser designation, defined as situations that could "lead to a military threat under certain conditions." A military threat is "characterized by area real possibility of an outbreak of a military conflict."

New Generation Warfare
Russia's conception of the nature of war in the modern era, defining it by the use of nonmilitary tools and politically led conflict. Subsequent Russian actions in Ukraine strongly reflected this view, as they were characterized by the extensive use of non-state armed actors, information and disinformation operations, and other non-kinetic strategies.

Use of Force
Russia's preference for the measured use of force, however, does not imply a trade-off between the decisive use of military power and escalation management. Russian military strategy prioritizes the threat of further punishment.

Military Doctrine
Operationally, Russia has historically emphasized mass fire offensive strategies. The concentrated use of artillery and rocket artillery, along with large tank units, remains at the core of Russian military doctrine.

Strategic Deterrence and Escalation Management
Russian military doctrine emphasizes a concept of deterrence that is broader than just nuclear deterrence. Referred to as strategic deterrence in officialRussian military doctrine, this concept includes nuclear weapons, strategic conventional weapons, and nonmilitary measures including concepts such as NGW across both peace time and conflict.

Congressional Research Service: Russian Armed Forces. Military Doctrine and Strategy August 20, 2020

Eliminatus said:

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H2Ag said:

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Eliminatus said:

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Looks like an M24/35 or a 28 from what I can tell from freeze frame.

Either way, no one survived that and current estimates has each one of those models at <150 airframes in inventory total.

Incredible footage, albeit at the expense of at least 2 men who never had a chance. War is hell.

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A stinger I assume?

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The Ukes have Stingers and also Strelas and Iglas in their inventories that I know of. Latter two Russian versions but still effective.

Definitely would assume a MANPAD just from conditions on the ground and the corkscrewing motion of it. Hell of a shot. Hit a fuel tank I presume because that was quite a fireball from the missile hit. MANPADS actually have relatively tiny warheads on them that don't normally produce those kinds of fireballs on their own.

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Stingers don't corkscrew

The West has never been as galvanized as this since WWII. What kind of world will we have? China is next and the greatest threat to freedom of speech and assembly. We in the West must become more aware and strategic with our long term policies. We must evolve and work together.

Président @ZelenskyyUa speaking to the demonstrators in Prague !pic.twitter.com/miv60wapZW

— Simone Rodan-Benzaquen (@srodan) March 4, 2022

🇬🇪 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/Ix1rrlzWtW

— Molly McKew (@MollyMcKew) March 4, 2022

JoeAggie1010 said:

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04TXAg007 said:

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RoadkillBBQ said:

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AggieLostinDallas said:

---

He's wearing an American flag.
He insinuating that's US SoF or a former SoF member.

I am sure there are quite a few there, officially or not.

---

I may be wrong but I believe that video is older from before this invasion.

---

Fair enough. Here's one uploaded yesterday. Oh, and the quote from the guys over at FUNKER530 who are all former/active military:

"You'll probably want some context for this video. That's too bad. If you're interested in knowing more, you're gonna have to follow Forward Observations on YouTube. They've been in Ukraine since January."

---

For those interested, I've provided a summary of this two page analysis.

Russian Military and Security Strategy Documents
The 2014 Military Doctrine divides the perceived nature of threats to Russia into two categories: military risks and military threats. Military risks are a lesser designation, defined as situations that could "lead to a military threat under certain conditions." A military threat is "characterized by area real possibility of an outbreak of a military conflict."

New Generation Warfare
Russia's conception of the nature of war in the modern era, defining it by the use of nonmilitary tools and politically led conflict. Subsequent Russian actions in Ukraine strongly reflected this view, as they were characterized by the extensive use of non-state armed actors, information and disinformation operations, and other non-kinetic strategies.

Use of Force
Russia's preference for the measured use of force, however, does not imply a trade-off between the decisive use of military power and escalation management. Russian military strategy prioritizes the threat of further punishment.

Military Doctrine
Operationally, Russia has historically emphasized mass fire offensive strategies. The concentrated use of artillery and rocket artillery, along with large tank units, remains at the core of Russian military doctrine.

Strategic Deterrence and Escalation Management
Russian military doctrine emphasizes a concept of deterrence that is broader than just nuclear deterrence. Referred to as strategic deterrence in officialRussian military doctrine, this concept includes nuclear weapons, strategic conventional weapons, and nonmilitary measuresincluding concepts such as NGWacross both peace time and conflict.

Congressional Research Service: Russian Armed Forces. Military Doctrine and Strategy August 20, 2020

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Russia perfected a Military Doctrine that is now 78 years old. Even by 1945 Panzerfaust, man portable rocket launchers, were eating the red army alive.

Today: Flood the Ukraine with Javelins and Mlaws to kill armor, soft targets, especially transport and stingers to keep the choppers and su25's honest. The Ukes can bleed them dry and starve them of supply.

The only problem is precision high altitude attacks not sure how to covertly deal with that.

Eliminatus said:

---

This is an absolutely fantastic quick and dirty primer to what has occurred to date.

For those stepping into this new or those who want a good, easy to follow and quick breakdown I highly recommend this video. It's a panel of three experts with about ten minutes each. One economic, one Ukrainian defense, and one Russian military doctrine. Bout the first 35 mins or so. The rest is Q&A and more nuanced stuff.

Still highly recommend yall watch it but Clifs of what to expect if you do:

• Eco guy goes into the sanctions, the effect they are having and why they are having that effect. Actually pretty fascinating in it's own right for the financially dumb like myself.
• Uke defense guy goes into background of how Ukraine prepared for this fight, and make no mistake, they have been preparing for this. Also how much they leaned on the West to make it happen.
• Russian doctrine guy is extremely candid. Russia ****ed up. Explains why in about 8 mins in a way that took me about five days to piece together myself. He explains what they should have been able to do and what they did instead. Then what expects moving forward. Spoiler: Russia ain't out yet.

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Where's the video or link?

#Ukraine People are queuing up to join the territorial defense units in Zaporizhzhia in south-eastern Ukraine pic.twitter.com/tYU85DMfuF

— Hanna Liubakova (@HannaLiubakova) March 5, 2022

Zaporizhzhia is where the nuclear reactor is. These Ukrainians man

Uh... the YouTube video is right there in the post you quoted.

Another shootout at the nuclear plant coming?

JobSecurity said:

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BREAKING: Israeli Prime Minister Bennett travelled secretly to Moscow. Meeting Putin now

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) March 5, 2022

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Kind of a ballsy move by Israel. Granted he should have nothing to fear from Putin since Israel could defeat Russia by itself.

JobSecurity said:

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BREAKING: Israeli Prime Minister Bennett travelled secretly to Moscow. Meeting Putin now

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) March 5, 2022

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Nice "secret"

Israel probably cares because Iran nuclear deal is almost complete. Russia apparently trying to sabotage it.