Based on reports the main bridge out of Mykolaiv is rigged to blow. https://t.co/UfgNyXOZbD pic.twitter.com/m2hlR4QIrh
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 4, 2022
Based on reports the main bridge out of Mykolaiv is rigged to blow. https://t.co/UfgNyXOZbD pic.twitter.com/m2hlR4QIrh
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 4, 2022
rathAG05 said:RebelE Infantry said:LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
I'm afraid this is exactly what we're hurtling headlong towards and no one seems to be interested in talking about it. Private corporations are going far beyond the official sanctions and only making this even more likely.
Yeah, but what choice does the global community have? If Putin is unwilling to relent and pull out, and we are unwilling to directly engage, I don't see another option. We can't blame ourselves for the actions of an evil dictator. This totally sucks, but what he is doing is devastating.
Bad bull on Shell. Once one western buys the others will begin to as wellIrish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
NEW: This video shows clear damage from heavy weapons on the elevated walkways between the reactor buildings at Zaporizhzhya NPP. This is well inside the plant perimeter. pic.twitter.com/dWcsuhYoYf
— Geoff Brumfiel (@gbrumfiel) March 4, 2022
wangus12 said:I will say I think the younger Russian has much more exposure to to the West via technology. We do have a chance if Putin is oustedMule said:aggiehawg said:Or there is further fractioning into more independent sovereign states like what happened the last time?LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
We (the West) missed our opportunity when Gorbachev did the right thing and brought the communist experiment to an end. We did not support (get involved enough) to ensure that democratic rule was being established on as many levels as possible. The old cronies and Putin stepped into the power vacuum and the rest is history.
We may get a second chance. Let's see how this plays out and demand more from our leaders. The world may not survive Putin 2.0 let alone Putin 1.0.
Actually, this is a good thing. Forcing them to sell at steep discounts (losing the large profit they were expecting) leads to less production from Russia if the profit margin isn't there. Costs more to extract that they can get on the market.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
Im sure I don't have to say this but anything that Russia demands in return for a surrender/peace agreement will almost certainly be outrageous and l likely unpalatable to most Ukrainians.RebelE Infantry said:rathAG05 said:RebelE Infantry said:LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
I'm afraid this is exactly what we're hurtling headlong towards and no one seems to be interested in talking about it. Private corporations are going far beyond the official sanctions and only making this even more likely.
Yeah, but what choice does the global community have? If Putin is unwilling to relent and pull out, and we are unwilling to directly engage, I don't see another option. We can't blame ourselves for the actions of an evil dictator. This totally sucks, but what he is doing is devastating.
You pressure Zelensky to come to the table for a negotiated peace to end a war he can't possibly win.
There aren't any negotiations though. Its very much, we want everything and you get nothing.RebelE Infantry said:rathAG05 said:RebelE Infantry said:LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
I'm afraid this is exactly what we're hurtling headlong towards and no one seems to be interested in talking about it. Private corporations are going far beyond the official sanctions and only making this even more likely.
Yeah, but what choice does the global community have? If Putin is unwilling to relent and pull out, and we are unwilling to directly engage, I don't see another option. We can't blame ourselves for the actions of an evil dictator. This totally sucks, but what he is doing is devastating.
You pressure Zelensky to come to the table for a negotiated peace to end a war he can't possibly win.
"we are shocked by how dumb their behavior is"PJYoung said:There is a very clear return on investment for Ukraine's SOF. They're an effective force multiplier, and the fighting in northwest Kyiv is strategically critical as it is preventing Russia from enveloping the city from the west.
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) March 4, 2022
JobSecurity said:BREAKING - Russia has blocked Twitter, Interfax says
— Phil Stewart (@phildstewart) March 4, 2022
Sadly, selling at a $28 discount when Brent is at >$100 will not lead to less Russian production.aggiehawg said:Actually, this is a good thing. Forcing them to sell at steep discounts (losing the large profit they were expecting) leads to less production from Russia if the profit margin isn't there. Costs more to extract that they can get on the market.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
When we were energy independent the prices went way down but ours was by oversupply. Their discounts are necessary to move any product at all. Big difference.
Quote:
Throughout the morning, Golub received calls from relatives saying their loved ones were unwilling to fight in Ukraine.
In one, a mother from the southern region of Dagestan said her son, who was on the frontline, had told his officers that he didn't want to participate in the conflict. They told him he had no choice.
"This really shouldn't be going on," Golub said.
It's quiet in SiberiaKenneth_2003 said:TheEternalPessimist said:Great point.ABATTBQ11 said:GAC06 said:
I don't necessarily doubt they've killed 7,000 Russians but I definitely doubt they took real pictures of 7,000 dead Russian soldiers
7000 pictures of dead Russian soldiers <> pictures of 7000 dead Russian soldiers
Could be many pictures of the sane scene from different angles.
But it's quite clear Russia military is paying a heavy price in casualties.
I think minimum 5000+ casualties on low side. < 10,000 high side.
Will be catastrophic to morale and public support back home --- assuming the truth is revealed and made known to Russian people.
How do you silence 10,000 mammas?
The count isn't done going up either
There were 2 kids that were 16, 3 kids that were 17, 2 kids that were 18, and 5 that were 19 that died defending the Alamo, along with numerous others of unknown age.RebelE Infantry said:PJYoung said:18 year old Ukrainian volunteers off to war in Kyiv. Three days training and they will be on the front line. pic.twitter.com/xWudDwhpXS
— Jeremy Bowen (@BowenBBC) March 4, 2022
>18 year olds with 3 days training, haphazard gear, and no uniform
>Ukraine is winning, or even doing all that well.
Pick one
Russian commanders moving further forward to get more control and impetus behind operations which have, in some cases, badly stalled. Those commanders are trying to impose their own personality on the battlefield but this in turn, is placing them at greater risk, w. officials say
— Gordon Corera (@gordoncorera) March 4, 2022
Quote:
Fragilities in systems,combined with remarkable Ukrainian resistance,has shocked Russian commanders, western officials say, and is having a psychological impact on Russian troops because of ferocity of the fight. But for all the problems, they are likely to adapt,say w. officials
Just as Russia's military plans have faltered, so have some of the FSB's plans for covert action and political change. And just as military is moving to more indiscriminate attacks, there are concerns that occupation of cities will see heavier repression.
RebelE Infantry said:rathAG05 said:RebelE Infantry said:LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
I'm afraid this is exactly what we're hurtling headlong towards and no one seems to be interested in talking about it. Private corporations are going far beyond the official sanctions and only making this even more likely.
Yeah, but what choice does the global community have? If Putin is unwilling to relent and pull out, and we are unwilling to directly engage, I don't see another option. We can't blame ourselves for the actions of an evil dictator. This totally sucks, but what he is doing is devastating.
You pressure Zelensky to come to the table for a negotiated peace to end a war he can't possibly win.
Short answer: Extremely.bangobango said:
This is probably a stupid question for you guys who really know this stuff, but I was wondering with how effective these Javalins seem to be in fighting tanks, are tanks basically obsolete now?
I don't have any first hand knowledge so i'm open to correction, but from keeping up with all of these discussions and reading from those who do, my takeaway is that it wouldn't seem that tanks are necessarily obsolete now, its more that the addition of these highly portable and effective anti armor weapons to the battle field in mass really steps up the importance of armored columns having proper infantry protection.bangobango said:
This is probably a stupid question for you guys who really know this stuff, but I was wondering with how effective these Javalins seem to be in fighting tanks, are tanks basically obsolete now?
fifybangobango said:
This is probably a stupid question for you guys who really know this stuff, but I was wondering with how effective these Javalins seem to be in fighting tanks, is symmetrical warfare basically obsolete now?
And how do you do that? How do you apply more pressure on him than what he is dealing with already? That man is ready to die to defend his country and its freedom.RebelE Infantry said:rathAG05 said:RebelE Infantry said:LostInLA07 said:
That's already happening. O&G is their last source of outside cash but the impact to everyday Russians from the current sanctions will be substantial, particularly in the cities where many of their citizens are accustomed to daily interaction with western people, products and tech.
The iPhone they are currently holding is likely the last one they will ever have. Most of their apps don't work anymore. Eventually the russian stock market will have to reopen and anyone with capital in that market is going to take crushing losses that they will likely never recover from.
Frankly, the biggest risk here is that we inadvertently re-create a post WW1 Germany and end up with a population in Russia that hates us because of the sanctions imposed by the west. They'll kick out Putin but who knows what the sentiment will be when they are figuring out who the replacement will be. It could be another militaristic nationalist who rallies a desperate and humiliated population.
I'm afraid this is exactly what we're hurtling headlong towards and no one seems to be interested in talking about it. Private corporations are going far beyond the official sanctions and only making this even more likely.
Yeah, but what choice does the global community have? If Putin is unwilling to relent and pull out, and we are unwilling to directly engage, I don't see another option. We can't blame ourselves for the actions of an evil dictator. This totally sucks, but what he is doing is devastating.
You pressure Zelensky to come to the table for a negotiated peace to end a war he can't possibly win.
Quote:
Is this just throwing stuff on the wall time? You are seeing a war in real time, where Russia is unprepared. Please tell me an instance where human nature you throw in the "B" team.
As for DOD logistics, the Russian's couldn't hold our jock.
aggiehawg said:Actually, this is a good thing. Forcing them to sell at steep discounts (losing the large profit they were expecting) leads to less production from Russia if the profit margin isn't there. Costs more to extract that they can get on the market.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
When we were energy independent the prices went way down but ours was by oversupply. Their discounts are necessary to move any product at all. Big difference.
Looks like the Ukrainian commander doesn’t believe Ukrainian opposition MP Nestor Shufrych (Pro-Russian), who was caught for "taking pictures of the movement of troops and setting up beacons". pic.twitter.com/LB2HSmkTZz
— CaucasusWarReport (@Caucasuswar) March 4, 2022
Most of them aren't owned by Shell, they're owned by a local mom and pop and only the pumps are leased to a supplier that may have licensing to use the Shell brand name, but actual financial connection to Shell is little or none. Few things in real estate are more complex than gas stations and it is usually best to use whatever newer gas station (because newer ones have cleaner tanks) is most convenient and not think about it.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
The Debt said:Quote:
Is this just throwing stuff on the wall time? You are seeing a war in real time, where Russia is unprepared. Please tell me an instance where human nature you throw in the "B" team.
As for DOD logistics, the Russian's couldn't hold our jock.
I guess it's not common knowledge, so let me explain it to you. During the cold war the west had intel on the quality of equipment in case things got hot. All the satellite states had 3rd and 4rh rate equipment, and tons of it. They saved their best equipment (tanks/jets) for Russia proper.
The idea behind this is that when nato invades, nato will send their best, just like you suggest. The best will grind through substandard equipment. They will put thousands of miles and hours on the shiny new equipment, causing erosion and maintenance, and by the time the allies get to Russia, the Soviets unleash fresh equipment that was tactically comparable, but with less wear.
I was not surprised when we saw 30year old tanks and trucks with half a tank of gas being thrown at Ukraine. Its consistent with their m.o.
Plus you have to remember Russians play chess from age 5. Do you lead with a rook, or with a pawn? Pawns, in this war, probe enemy positions, flush them out, Ukrainians throw the kitchen sink at the pawns, then a queen shows up and they are all fked.
You can always tell the people that have never camped on cold ground before...HarryJ33tamu said:ATX_AG_08 said:PJYoung said:18 year old Ukrainian volunteers off to war in Kyiv. Three days training and they will be on the front line. pic.twitter.com/xWudDwhpXS
— Jeremy Bowen (@BowenBBC) March 4, 2022
I've never seen anyone look so brave while wearing skinny jeans.
Good thing that one guy has his yoga mat
I don't think so. I think they're still trying to hold advances and there are one's behind the lines hitting supply routes.Ag In Ok said:
Has the eastern Uke army pushed to cross to the western bank of the DNeiper river?
AggieLit said:Most of them aren't owned by Shell, they're owned by a local mom and pop and only the pumps are leased to a supplier that may have licensing to use the Shell brand name, but actual financial connection to Shell is little or none. Few things in real estate are more complex than gas stations and it is usually best to use whatever newer gas station (because newer ones have cleaner tanks) is most convenient and not think about it.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
Translation: Just in the Kiev region, near Severinovka, the Russian occupation forces came into battle with ... the Russian occupation forces. As a result, thanks to "friendly fire", 9 tanks and 4 armored personnel carriers were destroyed. Accordingly, it saved us 13 Јavelin./1
— ChrisO (@ChrisO_wiki) March 4, 2022