Aggie Hunter said:

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RangerRick9211 said:

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https://www.flightradar24.com/CL30/2afa942e

Private, unmarked jet out of Istanbul in the middle of the night. Sure looks like it's heading to Moscow.

Oligarch coming home to file their moan?

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Looks like Minsk?

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Makes sense.

Details, details…

RangerRick9211 said:

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https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1498504991195160577?s=20&t=gD_scRYWXHe5YlJhUEW08A

****s getting closer to Poland.

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Beginning to cut off supplies coming in from Poland?

If anyone is particularly nerdy I've been trying to figure out where this is. I haven't seen it located on twitter but the caption in the news articles say east of Antonov airport which should be near the southern end of the convoy

GAC06 said:

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10thYrSr said:

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AggieChemE09 said:

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Fyi: you can quickly translate text with Google lens

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.google.ar.lens

Just take a screen shot, select text, translate, ezpz

And now back to the thread

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To anyone scared of nukes, most of the sub launched nukes are 10mT which means a 5 mile range of influence. We can hope that the larger ICBMs will be intercepted. So if it all goes to ****, many people close to targets will die, but the severe damage for a 10mT nuke is limited to .5 miles. Heavy is limited to 1 mile and light is limited to 5 miles. Light is survivable.

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Russian subs have missiles with 100-150 kiloton warheads. 10 megatons is huge.

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10 MT is 100X more powerful than the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombs

Sunrise in 30 minutes.

Game has changed though. can the world get enough supplies to Kyiv before it's encircled? Can the Russians bomb it into surrender from a range where the Ukrainians can't hit them? Not sure the Russians have any appetite for fighting into the city. Probably don't give a **** about leveling it from a distance though.

E said:

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RangerRick9211 said:

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https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1498504991195160577?s=20&t=gD_scRYWXHe5YlJhUEW08A

****s getting closer to Poland.

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Beginning to cut off supplies coming in from Poland?

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Russia knows a lot of aid is coming. There is only one real avenue for the Ukes to use to actually get them. Russia has been rather incompetent to date but even they will recognize the need to exert more power in the west.

He is really good. Heard him about a month ago give a long interview on some satellite station while I was driving across Texas.

He HATES Putin.

Good read

https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasion-day-5-summary/

aeroag14 said:

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GAC06 said:

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10thYrSr said:

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AggieChemE09 said:

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Fyi: you can quickly translate text with Google lens

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.google.ar.lens

Just take a screen shot, select text, translate, ezpz

And now back to the thread

---

To anyone scared of nukes, most of the sub launched nukes are 10mT which means a 5 mile range of influence. We can hope that the larger ICBMs will be intercepted. So if it all goes to ****, many people close to targets will die, but the severe damage for a 10mT nuke is limited to .5 miles. Heavy is limited to 1 mile and light is limited to 5 miles. Light is survivable.

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Russian subs have missiles with 100-150 kiloton warheads. 10 megatons is huge.

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10 MT is 100X more powerful than the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombs

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Little boy was 15kt. 15,000 tons of TNT equivalent

10MT is ten million tons of TNT equivalent

So 666 times more powerful? Am I off on math?

amercer said:

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Sunrise in 30 minutes.

Game has changed though. can the world get enough supplies to Kyiv before it's encircled? Can the Russians bomb it into surrender from a range where the Ukrainians can't hit them? Not sure the Russians have any appetite for fighting into the city. Probably don't give a **** about leveling it from a distance though.

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Reads like a *********episode of 24. Yet, I've seen so much **** on Twitter today that just really hurts. I'm out on the doom scrolling tonight.

#BREAKING: More than 70 Ukrainian soldiers were killed after Russian artillery hit a military base in Okhtyrka, a city between Kharkiv and Kyiv, the head of the region wrote on Telegram- AP https://t.co/xxxpb1XF3j

— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 1, 2022

For some reason I thought Little boy was 10 KT. Which would make 10MT 1000X.

I was off by a favor of 10.

Either way, 10MT is not realistic haha

Big deal, a Russian flight is over Poland. Looked like it was going to kalingrad then took a change straight southwest

Vda5956

They should get themselves some Iranian Fateh-313 missiles

— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 1, 2022

Well, I guess that explains why the Ukrainian Air Force has been able to operate still. Their missiles couldn't hit the intended target.

amercer said:

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Sunrise in 30 minutes.

Game has changed though. can the world get enough supplies to Kyiv before it's encircled? Can the Russians bomb it into surrender from a range where the Ukrainians can't hit them? Not sure the Russians have any appetite for fighting into the city. Probably don't give a **** about leveling it from a distance though.

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haven't seen the word "surrender" mentioned a whole lot...

but as the humanitarian situation in Kyiv and Kharkiv turns into a disaster...

Zelensky will have to consider it...and move what's left of the government to the Polish border

Interesting perspective first 30 seconds. Russians under fire and at least two ditching their fighting vehicle for unknown reasons. Lot of propaganda but also a lot of smoke. Supply or morale issues are taking at least SOME effect on the Russian forces. There is no doubt about that now.

From my side, I was a grunt. I hated every ****ing second I had to be in a vehicle overseas. Death traps. Would rather walk my happy ass around. And we weren't facing nearly the threat these Russians are in terms of anti armor. Don't blame them for ditching. They had to have seen the other burning assault vehicles torn open like a tin can around a farm boy with a rifle.

W said:

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amercer said:

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Sunrise in 30 minutes.

Game has changed though. can the world get enough supplies to Kyiv before it's encircled? Can the Russians bomb it into surrender from a range where the Ukrainians can't hit them? Not sure the Russians have any appetite for fighting into the city. Probably don't give a **** about leveling it from a distance though.

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haven't seen the word "surrender" mentioned a whole lot...

but as the humanitarian situation in Kyiv and Kharkiv turns into a disaster...

Zelensky will have to consider it...and move what's left of the government to the Polish border

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Putin won't just walk away. He'll wipe them out unless he gives away Ukraine. Putin didn't come this far to leave a free Ukraine breathing in any iteration.

Captain Positivity said:

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Interesting take on the role of money in Putin's calculations. The oligarchs actually have/control a lot of his wealth.

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I have been saying this since last week, the oligarchs can control this, Putin has to have his money hidden somewhere and it's with these oligarchs, if their money is seized , Putin's money is also seized. Huge financial hit on all his / oligarchs money in Western banks and the Russian people's money is also sinking… things are getting hot at home for the guy

JobSecurity said:

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If anyone is particularly nerdy I've been trying to figure out where this is. I haven't seen it located on twitter but the caption in the news articles say east of Antonov airport which should be near the southern end of the convoy

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Believe this photo is from the north of this location.

50.6256730607863, 30.174748435035603

Basically, photo is upside down relative to the map, and the convoy is at the north end of the runway.

https://www.google.com/maps/place/Antonov+International+Airport+(GML)/@50.6253129,30.1745162,492m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m5!3m4!1s0x472b2fc4c0e43f09:0xf0732526eacb3413!8m2!3d50.5910657!4d30.2073829

Looks correct to me

TAMUallen said:

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Big deal, a Russian flight is over Poland. Looked like it was going to kalingrad then took a change straight southwest

Vda5956

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Flight is an IL76 that has departed from Moscow. Destination not declared.

Rumors that it has been diverted and escorted

Nice. The line running up (in the photo) is the runway lights.

TAMUallen said:

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TAMUallen said:

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Big deal, a Russian flight is over Poland. Looked like it was going to kalingrad then took a change straight southwest

Vda5956

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Flight is an IL76 that has departed from Moscow. Destination not declared.

Rumors that it has been diverted and escorted

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Flight on east side of Warsaw..still at 33k+ ft southwest path hasn't changed

So what do we think this means?

TX04Aggie said:

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So what do we think this means?

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Its the Russians giving an F U to the Poles

Jayhawk said:

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TX04Aggie said:

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So what do we think this means?

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Its the Russians giving an F U to the Poles

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Supposedly it's going to Slovakia. Really weird route and the fact it'd be escorted is suspect

Good morning from #Kyiv. It shows now. City completley silent at the moment. pic.twitter.com/dk52G6q8OI

— Mircea Barbu (@_MirceaBarbu) March 1, 2022

Snowy morning in Kyiv pic.twitter.com/MJY8hisc73

— Trey Yingst (@TreyYingst) March 1, 2022

TAMUallen said:

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Jayhawk said:

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TX04Aggie said:

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So what do we think this means?

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Its the Russians giving an F U to the Poles

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Supposedly it's going to Slovakia. Really weird route and the fact it'd be escorted is suspect

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Could this be the big one?

Really hoping it's some of our diplomats getting sent out.

GAC06 said:

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black_ice said:

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TAMUallen said:

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Jayhawk said:

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TX04Aggie said:

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So what do we think this means?

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Its the Russians giving an F U to the Poles

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Supposedly it's going to Slovakia. Really weird route and the fact it'd be escorted is suspect

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Could this be the big one?

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Big one what? It's a cargo plane.

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Yes we know it's a cargo plane. But what could be inside. Enquiring minds want to know.