Dan Scott said:

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I was refreshing my memory on Iraq war and reminded it took 3 weeks to capture Baghdad. It wasn't until May when Bush declared mission accomplished. The war began in mid March.

Maybe we're being a little too harsh expecting Russia to capture Kyiv over a weekend.

This is how we started the war. We started stronger than Russia.

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To me that is very different. The main reason is 1) the populace wasn't united against the attacker as they were factions and 2) it was half a world away not next door.

That said, I don't disagree that a few days is not a quagmire (not that anyone has made that claim).

Exactly

JobSecurity said:

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Looks really similar to some other pics that turned out to be anti air. If there are really just 8 guys dropping in they would be taken out immediately

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Looks more like a supply drop? To troops that are really far from their supply lines

Thanks to all you tech savvy guys for this thread!

No links, just from reading on Jim Scuitto's twitter and posts on reddit. The "partial" kicking of SWIFT might be more impactful. The populace will most likely make a run on the banks and could cause a lot of small fires that have to be dealt with.

Found a link again
https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1497702615349698574?s=20&t=eW2O6krq_QgAh1XwcXdpmA

Dan Scott said:

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I was refreshing my memory on Iraq war and reminded it took 3 weeks to capture Baghdad. It wasn't until May when Bush declared mission accomplished. The war began in mid March.

Maybe we're being a little too harsh expecting Russia to capture Kyiv over a weekend.

This is how we started the war. We started stronger than Russia.

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The Russian border is what, 200 miles from Kyiv?

Also, the Russians do not have to ship supplies halfway around the world to the battle zone.

Most of the Russian troops are conscripts. They are not very well trained, their equipment is likely not in great shape, and they do not know why they are fighting. They're not very motivated to risk their lives for this. They are also pretty much limited to daylight operations. They have little night vision gear and don't train to use it.

deddog said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Looks really similar to some other pics that turned out to be anti air. If there are really just 8 guys dropping in they would be taken out immediately

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Looks more like a supply drop? To troops that are really far from their supply lines

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Multiple pages on Twitter are confirming that it was not a drop but instead AAA fire.

CNN reporting live of a pulsing glow in the SW part of Kiev. It's in the direction of the other airport in town. I'm watching it live

jabberwalkie09 said:

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deddog said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Looks really similar to some other pics that turned out to be anti air. If there are really just 8 guys dropping in they would be taken out immediately

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Looks more like a supply drop? To troops that are really far from their supply lines

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Multiple pages on Twitter are confirming that it was not a drop but instead AAA fire.

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I saw a report that it was reflection of street lamps on the window they were filming out of.

Kyiv right now pic.twitter.com/pUw5cZyFEg

— Trey Yingst (@TreyYingst) February 26, 2022

JobSecurity said:

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Elon Musk says, Starlink is now active in Ukraine, SpaceX is sending terminalshttps://t.co/MDrBVtfmhh

— Forbes Ukraine (@forbes_ukraine) February 26, 2022

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Help me out, what's this actually mean?

Wireless internet connection formed by a network of low earth orbit satellites. Basically, can keep internet access going for Ukraine I believe.

High speed satellite internet access even if local infrastructure is destroyed

IDaggie06 said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Elon Musk says, Starlink is now active in Ukraine, SpaceX is sending terminalshttps://t.co/MDrBVtfmhh

— Forbes Ukraine (@forbes_ukraine) February 26, 2022

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Help me out, what's this actually mean?

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It means for those that have a signal from those terminals will not need wired internet to remain connected. Basically the Russians will not be able to cut of their communications by cutting lines. This assumes they will have the terminals setup.

Nm

I believe it's owned by SpaceX? Is Musk going to be the only one controlling space access soon with the rates he's charging?

Looks like Ivan going to be making a BIG push for Kiev tonight. Folks seem ready to fight block by city block.

DCPD158 said:

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jabberwalkie09 said:

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deddog said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Looks really similar to some other pics that turned out to be anti air. If there are really just 8 guys dropping in they would be taken out immediately

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Looks more like a supply drop? To troops that are really far from their supply lines

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Multiple pages on Twitter are confirming that it was not a drop but instead AAA fire.

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I saw a report that it was reflection of street lamps on the window they were filming out of.

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Either way: not paratroopers.

2wealfth Man said:

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Looks like Ivan going to be making a BIG push for Kiev tonight. Folks seem ready to fight block by city block.

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Ruskies are running out of resources.

Earlier Twitter thread

❗️New video from Vasilkova

Thick pillars of smoke in the sky and intense fire

❗️Mayor Vasilkova confirmed that an oil depot is on fire as a result of an enemy missile hit pic.twitter.com/qax74X5MNm

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) February 26, 2022

An oil depot seems like a pretty important strategic target to me since if would likely eventually become fuel. Wonder why it took so long for the Russians to get around to hitting this.

Ironically could well be Russian oil.

Cruz has been saying for a while Putins years ago push into Crimea stopped with just Crimea to not put at rush Russian pipelines that cross Ukraine. This is an a massive rain that NordStream2 was so crucial for Putin.

Latest Defence Intelligence update on Ukraine pic.twitter.com/1Ytw6jkz3Y

— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) February 26, 2022

Alright everyone, I've been out of pocket since 0500 this morning. Can someone give a bullet point update of major events and where everything stand as of now? There's been lots of posts since this morning.

How about a live blog of the day?

https://kyivindependent.com/national/russias-war-on-ukraine-where-fighting-is-on-now-feb-26-live-updates/

hunter2012 said:

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IDaggie06 said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Elon Musk says, Starlink is now active in Ukraine, SpaceX is sending terminalshttps://t.co/MDrBVtfmhh

— Forbes Ukraine (@forbes_ukraine) February 26, 2022

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Help me out, what's this actually mean?

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It means for those that have a signal from those terminals will not need wired internet to remain connected. Basically the Russians will not be able to cut of their communications by cutting lines. This assumes they will have the terminals setup.

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Starlink must have a base station within view to downlink the data back to the internet. Best I can tell after a short review is that the nearest ground station is in Wola Krobowska, Poland. I'm not sure how much of Ukraine can be covered with that ground station.

Here is a picture of the Polish ground station:


Here is on in Turkey for comparison:


Here is a pic showing the ground stations near Ukraine and satellites overhead. The hexagon grid are active commercial service areas around each ground station. Musk obviously turned on the grids over Ukraine but those satellites will be low on the horizon and bandwidth could be impacted.
live view here: https://satellitemap.space/

🇺🇦Ukraine’s military: all attacks on Kharkiv have been repelled. Many buildings damaged. Shelling has stopped now.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@IAPonomarenko) February 26, 2022

We are creating an IT army. We need digital talents. All operational tasks will be given here: https://t.co/Ie4ESfxoSn. There will be tasks for everyone. We continue to fight on the cyber front. The first task is on the channel for cyber specialists.

— Mykhailo Fedorov (@FedorovMykhailo) February 26, 2022

OSINT Live Feed reporting on ground sources identified 3 columns of tanks moving toward Kyiv; estimated 500 tanks in total.

GarryowenAg said:

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OSINT Live Feed reporting on ground sources identified 3 columns of tanks moving toward Kyiv; estimated 500 tanks in total.

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they are sitting ducks in columns if there are any Javelin's or NLAW's around. Guess they are going to make a dash for the capital building.

GarryowenAg said:

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OSINT Live Feed reporting on ground sources identified 3 columns of tanks moving toward Kyiv; estimated 500 tanks in total.

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Kyiv now. Continuous rocket shelling. And three convoys of tanks - almost 500 in total - approaching the city from different directions. It will be hellish tonight. pic.twitter.com/pgkjvSnVT1

— Christo Grozev (@christogrozev) February 26, 2022