Russians posted the video of them targeting and bombing a mall/shopping center in #Kyiv.
They are praising their “victory” over civilians and non-combatants.#RussiaInvadedUkraine#RussianWarCrimes #RussianWarCrimesInUkraine #war #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/7gF9WY3wzf

— Walter Lekh🇺🇦 (@walterlekh) March 21, 2022

A genuinely interesting development. Either these will be models the UAF is already trained on, or they’ll be flown by someone else while in UAF service. We’re unlikely (and shouldn’t) know for sure. https://t.co/XalMWU9BTp

— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) March 21, 2022

Rossticus said:

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For the millionth time, this isn’t over. It’ll get worse before it gets better. Both sides are still conducting offensive operations. https://t.co/VDWxVdmKQQ

— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) March 21, 2022

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Ukraine/Russia: Reports Ukrainian forces have pushed back north the last Russian units in Makariv west of Kyiv and control the immediate area. This likely isolates those advance elements of the 37th and some possible SOF/Recce units down towards Fastiv in southwest.

— The Cavell Group (@TCG_CrisisRisks) March 21, 2022

Evacuation buses from Mariupol, carrying children, were shelled by Russians, there are severely injured - head of Zaporizhia military administration in a comment for Ukrainian public broadcaster

— Olga Tokariuk (@olgatokariuk) March 21, 2022

If it's the switchblades, it doesn't look like a lot of training is required

GAC06 said:

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If it's the switchblades, it doesn't look like a lot of training is required

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EDIT

Poster below confirmed that Switchblades already in-country so, between this and the below tweet, these do indeed appear to be a different drone. Kick ass.

The most recent package of military aid approved by President Biden has not reached Ukraine yet, the senior defense official says.

That package included, for the first time, tactical drones.

— Dan Lamothe (@DanLamothe) March 21, 2022

Reports of Ukrainian Air Force Ground Attack aircraft operating in the area earlier today is 100% something to note.

If they can make a push South with integrated Close Air Support from Su-24s/25s, Ukrainian Forces will find themselves in a good position.

— Sierra Alpha 🇺🇦 (@Sierra__Alpha) March 21, 2022

#Ukraine: Something fascinating from #Kyiv; tho used against a land target, it seems that Ru used an 3M-51 "Alfa" anti-ship missile, which has secondary land-attack capabilities. Likely what we see is the the subsonic carrier stage of the 3-stage 3M-51.

Thank you @blueboy1969! pic.twitter.com/EhiE2V6X1D

— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) March 21, 2022

Salute CornPops Message said:

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GAC06 said:

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There's not any evidence that Putin is irrational. He miscalculated but that's not the same thing.

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So you agree in his rational reason for attacking Ukraine to free Russian speaking people from Nazi bioweapon creating terrorists????

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Putin is absolutely ruthless in his pursuits and barbaric in his methods but that doesn't make him irrational. Not only is he currently a rational actor, he can be relied upon to pursue his vision for Russia and the world.

As other Russian officials have stated, this is about altering the current world order more so than any military objective that could be achieved in Ukraine. It is NOT now and never was about denazification.

One can believe he is acting rationally within his value structure without agreeing with his values.

To bring this discussion back to tactics and strategy; faced with crippling economic sanctions, Putin is likely to start using his remaining economic tools in an attempt to get the West to withdraw support for Ukraine. Then after capturing the Ukrainian costal areas he will seek an off-ramp.

But again, Ukraine isn't his objective, breaking up the EU and NATO are bigger goals and he has done a masterful job exposing Germany's unwillingness to make sacrifices for the good of the alliance. That fissure will not be soon forgotten by Poland or the Baltic states.

Waffledynamics said:

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LMCane said:

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Waffledynamics said:

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Looking at https://liveuamap.com/ today, the South seems much more red. What happened to the Uke counter attacks? All dead?

Mariupol is so deep in that sea of red. My God.

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That doesn't look accurate compared to what our boy drawing his own maps was stating last night.

Melitopol has been discussed here and I have never heard that it is surrounded- yet on THIS map it is completely surrounded.

Mariopol can't hold out for very long before it is going to be entirely destroyed.

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Can you link to the particular post?

Also, is there any Uke counterattack in the South that we know of?

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https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-War-in-Ukraine/091194

The map above mostly concurs, but remember they're also mainly concentrated on roads though in the south they may be a lot more spread out on more stable ground.

The Uke counter in the south was also hit with missile that killed over 45 soldiers so that likely put a big check on that counter.

Other large Uke ammo dumps/trans, the big hit on 4-5 MRLS, and the shooting down now of several TB2s is going to hurt. In my estimates for the Ukes to stall advance need to maintain 1:3 losses; to repel that needs to jump to 1:4-5. Now that the russians are using drones and a lot of long range precision munitions its going to be very hard to maintain 1:3 and I bet when we check Orynx tomorrow we will sadly see this begin to digress for Ukraine. Any improvements to air defense including anti-drone need to get operational ASAP, until then we can pray for several days of very low cloud cover.

I suspect once the first images/videos emerge of Ukrainian military using Switchblades against Russian armor, the U.S. will send more. Washington likes proof of concept, even when it dresses it up grandly as moral imperative. https://t.co/s80POjqzgU

— Michael Weiss 🌻🇺🇸🇮🇪 (@michaeldweiss) March 21, 2022

“The West’s biggest obstacle to accepting success, though, is that we have become accustomed over the past 20 years to think of our side as being stymied, ineffective, or incompetent.” Ukraine Is Winning - an outstanding article from ⁦@EliotACohen⁩ https://t.co/HE9m6WWTvL

— Major General (just retired!) Mick Ryan (@WarintheFuture) March 21, 2022

As noted widely in the media, fighting in and around Mariupol is fierce, the senior defense official says. It remains isolated.

— Dan Lamothe (@DanLamothe) March 21, 2022

When was that info released/confirmed? If you could post it that would be a big help since the video of the missile hit didn't appear to show any MLRS presence or active military presence.

worse it was housing 4-5 MRLS units probably just knocked out 30-40% of what was defending Kviv.

https://funker530.com/video/russian-mod-releases-footage-of-missile-strike-on-kyiv-shopping-mall/

Rossticus said:

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When was that info released/confirmed? If you could post it that would be a big help since the video of the missile hit didn't appear to show any MLRS presence or active military presence.

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pic.twitter.com/jxeUYITDnm

— Russians With Attitude (@RWApodcast) March 21, 2022

☝️The #Russian Defense Ministry has published UAV footage showing how the #Ukrainian military is using this closed for general public shopping center and the surrounding area to deliver MLRS strikes on the Russian Armed Forces. pic.twitter.com/91OEQccvFF

— R&U Videos (@r_u_vid) March 21, 2022

Rossticus said:

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When was that info released/confirmed? If you could post it that would be a big help since the video of the missile hit didn't appear to show any MLRS presence or active military presence.

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Photographs have emerged that appear to show Ukrainian military equipment being stored at the 'Sport Life' gym in the Retroville shopping mall ahead of a Russian military strike yesterday that allegedly killed 8 civilians. pic.twitter.com/1VM4Pna3i5

— Kyle Glen (@KyleJGlen) March 21, 2022

See my post above with russian drone footage.

Thx. Appreciate addition of the extra detail as I hadn't come across it yet. Hadn't seen the rest of the video released by Russian MOD yet.

Dawg6 said:

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USA*** said:

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ABATTBQ11 said:

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cbr said:

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Green2Maroon said:

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Ukraine does have over 800 tanks. I hope they understand how best to utilize them in this. May be pretty important to keep the supply lines to Kyiv open, for one thing.

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From what i am seeing, it appears that the era of the armored vehicle is over. They appear to be obsoleted by man portable missiles now. Hell close air aupport may not be far behind.

Id be advancing those darpa/heinlein armored infantry suits now and forget about tanks. Theyre only useful against civilians now it seems.

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No. Armor will catch up. We'll likely see more scuff countermeasures to defeat ATGM's, like electronic countermeasures to defeat their seeker heads or lasers or something to actively shoot them down.

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Right...the "gun v. armor" race will continue. And the Russians aren't/can't using them right. The tank is "dead" has been a mantra for decades that has been proven wrong again and again.

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As a former tanker I am amazed at the lack of combined arms used by the Russians. Additionally, the lack of training, poor PMCS (maintenance) and logistics is shockingly bad. Tanks should rarely operate alone but that's what I'm seeing.
Tanks aren't dead if operated correctly. The lack of a professional NCO corps is a huge problem as well.

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It's speculated that a lot of the solo tanks you see are just plain lost. Lack of comms is a huge issue for the Russians.

I also don’t think this video may come across as Russia intended, it shows them destroying a mall with a ballistic missile in order to take out 4-5 Ukrainian vehicles.

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 21, 2022

I presume this means consultations with Slovakia on S-300s but maybe also Bulgaria, which has resisted arms transfers. Turkey’s S-400s are unlikely to figure, as Ukraine hasn’t been trained to use it pic.twitter.com/NSB27PrFnz

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) March 21, 2022

In case you wanted to see Ukrainian 203-millimeter 2S7 Pion guns pic.twitter.com/LpMurT5gZN

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) March 21, 2022

Rossticus said:

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In case you wanted to see Ukrainian 203-millimeter 2S7 Pion guns pic.twitter.com/LpMurT5gZN

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) March 21, 2022

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I want to see what those shells can do when they hit!

JFABNRGR said:

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Waffledynamics said:

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LMCane said:

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Waffledynamics said:

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Looking at https://liveuamap.com/ today, the South seems much more red. What happened to the Uke counter attacks? All dead?

Mariupol is so deep in that sea of red. My God.

---

That doesn't look accurate compared to what our boy drawing his own maps was stating last night.

Melitopol has been discussed here and I have never heard that it is surrounded- yet on THIS map it is completely surrounded.

Mariopol can't hold out for very long before it is going to be entirely destroyed.

---

Can you link to the particular post?

Also, is there any Uke counterattack in the South that we know of?

---

https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-War-in-Ukraine/091194

The map above mostly concurs, but remember they're also mainly concentrated on roads though in the south they may be a lot more spread out on more stable ground.

The Uke counter in the south was also hit with missile that killed over 45 soldiers so that likely put a big check on that counter.

Other large Uke ammo dumps/trans, the big hit on 4-5 MRLS, and the shooting down now of several TB2s is going to hurt. In my estimates for the Ukes to stall advance need to maintain 1:3 losses; to repel that needs to jump to 1:4-5. Now that the russians are using drones and a lot of long range precision munitions its going to be very hard to maintain 1:3 and I bet when we check Orynx tomorrow we will sadly see this begin to digress for Ukraine. Any improvements to air defense including anti-drone need to get operational ASAP, until then we can pray for several days of very low cloud cover.

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This thing will inevitably have its ups and downs for both sides, but the trend line is against the Russians so far.

Navalnyy just needs to hold his nerve and let the body count continue to stack up with Russian families back home.

SITREP

The West seems to be oscillating between minimal action conducted with the utmost reluctance, and hysterical aggression advocated with seemingly no forethought as to what results it might produce. https://t.co/UuQK7Xa0xb

— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) March 21, 2022

Morawiecki, Kaczynski and Czech/Slovenian PM trip to Kyiv was 'like Lenin's trip in a German-funded armoured train', promised Zelensky friendship - but 'lied, of course'

— Max Fras (@maxfras) March 21, 2022

Zelensky: "We can't accept an ultimatum from Russia. How can we? After our people were killed... It's impossible, simply impossible."

Source: Zelensky's interview to Suspilne, a Ukrainian public broadcaster.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 21, 2022

Any increased action would have to be done unilaterally by willing countries as Hungary signals to block any unified action by NATO or EU. Wouldn't surprise me if they blocked a legit Article 5 response, were it necessary, based on their posture.

😬Orbán's foreign minister: “An agreement regarding possible EU sanctions against Russian energy supplies or their interruption will most likely not be reached (...) We will not support sanctions that could pose a risk to energy supplies for Hungary.”https://t.co/FxvIZmHnos

— Szabolcs Panyi (@panyiszabolcs) March 21, 2022

Zelensky: "And then we need to calm down and say – ok, there are NATO member countries that can provide us security guarantees without a membership in NATO."

Source: Zelensky's interview to Suspilne, a Ukrainian public broadcaster.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 21, 2022