***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Rossticus
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12:07p, 10/8/26
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Rossticus
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12:07p, 10/8/26
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Rossticus
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12:11p, 10/8/26
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Rossticus
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12:28p, 10/8/26
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PJYoung
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In reply to Rossticus • 12:32p, 10/8/26
in the north and the Dobropillya direction in the southwest, linking up near Barvinkove, Kharkiv Oblast. This wide encirclement would have largely completed the seizure of unoccupied Donetsk Oblast.

The Ukrainian counteroffensive known as Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction has completely disrupted this Russian plan by inflicting an operational defeat on the northern Russian pincer. This Ukrainian success will force the Russian military to reconstitute and likely fundamentally rethink its approach to accomplish its goals in this area.

There is therefore no basis to assess that Russian forces will be able to take the rest of Donetsk Oblast in any short period of time, as Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to claim, or even to forecast that Russian forces will ever be able to complete their seizure of this region by force.
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Rossticus
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12:43p, 10/8/26
Not a great look.

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Waffledynamics
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3:35p, 10/8/26
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Waffledynamics
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11:15a, 10/9/26


Turnabout is fair play, Vladimir.
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Rossticus
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2:03p, 10/9/26
Russia getting a cash infusion courtesy of the USA. I wonder if we'll help them protect their refineries and tankers?


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Rossticus
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2:08p, 10/9/26
Looks like blood for money all the way around.

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Blackbeard94
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3:42p, 10/9/26
And this is why Ukraine must use long range, kinetic sanctions.
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2wealfth Man
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4:16p, 10/9/26
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Hey Nav
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4:17p, 10/9/26
Don and Vlad can go take a flying **** at a rolling doughnut. Two chicken hawks deeply in love.
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JFABNRGR
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4:18p, 10/9/26
So much for the value of the Nuremberg Trials!
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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Gordo14
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5:31p, 10/9/26
It's almost like this was all predictable. We have a president who goes out of his way to submit to Putin because their "relationship" fuels his narcissism. The real irony is I'm skeptical that this is actually going to happen. What ships? Where are the ships? What entity is buying and who is selling? Is transit time being accounted for in these "deals". Are these deals even economic given the economically we are incentivized by the market to be diesel exporters? Does this just mean more diesel is exported? What are the pricing terms? Which port? Does Donald control them or does Vitol? What I think is most likely is our president has no ****ing clue. He just wants to cuddle up with Vladimir and do "business deals" with his hero and he wants a headline that he's totally lowering energy prices. Meanwhile Putin is leveraging undermining trust in America, reorienting our foreign policy in alignment with Russia against literally all our allies, and when Ukraine targets their refineries he can pretend that Ukraine is targeting meaningful American interests. Leaving Russia with an asymmetrical escalation ladder targeting Ukraine's energy this winter. Oh and Russia will still support Iran against America.

It's so pathetic. And so predictable.
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to Gordo14 • 5:52p, 10/9/26
I think part of the narcissism and lack of empathy to atrocities committed systematically in Ukraine is because President Z cozied up and paid the piper in the Biden Admin for much needed weapons to protect his people, which is purely logical for 99.99% of leaders in his position, but Trump cant get past this.

If my own home was under siege and it was only me to the rescue and the arms dealer gave me the terms + 10% to the big guy. I am paying that all day long and twice on Sunday!
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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Rossticus
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6:11p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:12p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:23p, 10/9/26
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txags92
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In reply to Rossticus • 6:24p, 10/9/26
Rossticus said:

I hope Ukraine immediately hits every diesel storage tank they can reach in Russia. If the price of Putin continuing to lose ground in Ukraine is $7 diesel, I am ok with that.
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Rossticus
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6:25p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:26p, 10/9/26

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Rossticus
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6:26p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:54p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:54p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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6:58p, 10/9/26
Can't blame them. It's what I'd do too.

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MaxPower
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In reply to Rossticus • 7:06p, 10/9/26
Rossticus said:
Can't blame them. It's what I'd do too.

Not necessarily good for us but good for them. I can only hope once mid terms are over we can put short sighted politics aside and come up with a more coherent position on all of this.
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EastSideAg2002
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8:05p, 10/9/26
I am sure one of his minions will make some serious dough off of this deal if not his family themselves. The amount of oil Russia adds to the market will not have any meaningful impact for the midterms if at all.
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Rossticus
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In reply to EastSideAg2002 • 8:37p, 10/9/26
EastSideAg2002 said:
I am sure one of his minions will make some serious dough off of this deal if not his family themselves. The amount of oil Russia adds to the market will not have any meaningful impact for the midterms if at all.


It's more cover to move in the direction the administration has long wanted to, and for the midterms, IMO. We announce this deal knowing Ukraine can't back off of attacking Russian refineries while Russia continues to pound civilian infrastructure across Ukraine.

Then Trump can say "I enacted a plan that would have eased the burden of fuel cost for everyone across Europe and the US, but Ukraine sabotaged your prosperity. You can't blame me."

And a whole lot of people will be too ignorant to know better and the tide of public opinion will (at least the administration hopes) turn against Ukraine and allow us force them into capitulation without suffering collateral political damage.
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to Rossticus • 8:50p, 10/9/26
Rossticus said:
EastSideAg2002 said:
I am sure one of his minions will make some serious dough off of this deal if not his family themselves. The amount of oil Russia adds to the market will not have any meaningful impact for the midterms if at all.


It's more cover to move in the direction the administration has long wanted to, and for the midterms, IMO. We announce this deal knowing Ukraine can't back off of attacking Russian refineries while Russia continues to pound civilian infrastructure across Ukraine.

Then Trump can say "I enacted a plan that would have eased the burden of fuel cost for everyone across Europe and the US, but Ukraine sabotaged your prosperity. You can't blame me."

And a whole lot of people will be too ignorant to know better and the tide of public opinion will (at least the administration hopes) turn against Ukraine and allow us force them into capitulation without suffering collateral political damage.


Ohhh the 4d chess bull**** when Occams razor prevails!
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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revvie
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8:54p, 10/9/26
I will just say this. I do not agree with the decision to buy diesel from Russia.
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Waffledynamics
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8:57p, 10/9/26
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Rossticus
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In reply to JFABNRGR • 8:59p, 10/9/26
JFABNRGR said:
Rossticus said:
EastSideAg2002 said:
I am sure one of his minions will make some serious dough off of this deal if not his family themselves. The amount of oil Russia adds to the market will not have any meaningful impact for the midterms if at all.


It's more cover to move in the direction the administration has long wanted to, and for the midterms, IMO. We announce this deal knowing Ukraine can't back off of attacking Russian refineries while Russia continues to pound civilian infrastructure across Ukraine.

Then Trump can say "I enacted a plan that would have eased the burden of fuel cost for everyone across Europe and the US, but Ukraine sabotaged your prosperity. You can't blame me."

And a whole lot of people will be too ignorant to know better and the tide of public opinion will (at least the administration hopes) turn against Ukraine and allow us force them into capitulation without suffering collateral political damage.


Ohhh the 4d chess bull**** when Occams razor prevails!


I'm trying really hard to find a world and a view where this makes any rational sense.
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PJYoung
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9:06p, 10/9/26
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Sq 17
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In reply to Rossticus • 9:12p, 10/9/26
Trump is on the side of Putin and the Russian Oligarchs

If you are willing to ignore traditional POV regarding right wrong and international order A case can be made for supporting Russia.

from a purely transactional perspective Allowing the genocide of Ukraine is better for the US than helping Ukraine fight on and possibly prevail

Don't overthink the situation
Trump wants this to end quickly and would prefer Putin and the Orcs to win
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