The Russian Foreign Ministry stated today that they are prepared to discuss “Really Serious Propositions” with the Ukrainian Government and other Western Nations to assist with Ending the War in Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/6EjfM1mqQn

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 18, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin conducted a Visit to the Occupied-Territory of Crimea today for the 9-Year-Anniversary of the “Treaty on the Admission of the Republic of Crimea to the Russian Federation”, which subsequently Annexed the Crimean Territory from Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/ugMy0m5CSL

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 18, 2023

This appears to be the location he was Filmed visiting in Sevastopol, Thank You to @PaxLusitanica for the Geolocation. https://t.co/UtEuDhcknA

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 18, 2023

Not a Bot said:

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The Russian Foreign Ministry stated today that they are prepared to discuss “Really Serious Propositions” with the Ukrainian Government and other Western Nations to assist with Ending the War in Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/6EjfM1mqQn

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 18, 2023

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Russia's baseline for negotiations is that the annexed (i.e., stolen) provinces of Ukraine are non-negotiable.

Three guesses what Ukraine's interest in negotiating on that basis is............

pic.twitter.com/sgo7x7wVzq

— Ukrainian Memes Forces (@uamemesforces) March 19, 2023

#Ukraine: Everyone heard about the recent MQ-9 incident- but we received a recent video that shows a Russian fighter unsuccessfully attempting to take down a much lighter Bayraktar TB-2 over the Black Sea near the coast of Crimea using jet wash in a similar manner. pic.twitter.com/YFAxqaaLz9

— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) March 19, 2023

This Evacuation comes a few days after it was reported that Russian/Wagner Forces had Captured some of the High-Ground to the Northeast of the City near Bohdanivka.

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 19, 2023

Not a Bot said:

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#Ukraine: Everyone heard about the recent MQ-9 incident- but we received a recent video that shows a Russian fighter unsuccessfully attempting to take down a much lighter Bayraktar TB-2 over the Black Sea near the coast of Crimea using jet wash in a similar manner. pic.twitter.com/YFAxqaaLz9

— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) March 19, 2023

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Begs the question why they aren't firing on them with missiles or guns

2/ I didn't have a chance to take a look at it personally but according to the information provided by the fighters on the ground, the dropped beacon is believed to be an ACR RLB-37 (or 35) "GlobalFix" emergency radio beacon. pic.twitter.com/yIBHNyFLal

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) March 19, 2023

4/ The device has a certificate of approval from the russian Maritime Register of Shipping.

It appears that the emergency radio beacons are available for sale. The link in the image description is included. pic.twitter.com/ijZYj70d4Q

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) March 19, 2023

EU foreign ministers should be able to sign of its ammunition plan for #Ukraine tomorrow - with the goal of providing 1 million artillery rounds for Kyiv in the course of the upcoming 12 months. Impressive diplomatic work by #Estonia that got the ball rolling on this file. https://t.co/bzYy8XjgQK

— Rikard Jozwiak (@RikardJozwiak) March 19, 2023

There are three parts to this counter on a Wagner assault. Several killed and double that wounded. Orcs were hit with Artillery, mortars, and what I believe to be RPGs/MK19 grenades. #3 is UKE INF doing BDA on the ground and may be NSFW for some. In video #1 guy behind big tree shown several times trying to dig a safe spot with his bare hands while others seek refuge in the blast craters. The airburst at beginning of #2 was extremely effective and in #3 you can see how perforated some of their uniforms and kit are from the shrapnel both direct and from the tree splinters. If you watch #3 you will understand why he is digging with his bare hands and why you should not complain about having to dig fox holes and trenches should you ever find your self under indirect fire.

Key notes: There was likely 2-3 weeks delay in posting of the vids (opsec). NO ATGM weapons, no mines, no NVGS (at least shown), No red dots/scopes/or LR bolt guns. Ukes gather up the rifles to demo and set aside two shovels (thats how valuable they are) translation at end on radio is call for taxi. They do not gather up for demo or taking any of the ammo or grenades which do not appear to be that many.

Meanwhile if you have been following the old guy blog they are going out every night on LRS, lay mines, use E warfare, and lately installing ground sensors and setting up coordinated fires not requiring a drone. My team R&Dd a brand new sensor system in the war on drugs. Employed properly and with practice can tell you a lot about what is passing by without seeing or having to be danger close.

#1
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/11trix2/the_k2_battalion_of_the_54th_ombr_repels_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3


#2
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/11ukw8c/part_2_of_the_wagner_assault_stopped_by_artillery/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

#3 NSFW mostly greyed out.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/11vr4cd/afu_all_that_remained_of_the_two_enemy_assault/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

China provided 12 shipments of drone parts to Russia via Turkey

Turkey and the UAE are also using their territory as a conduit for Chinese body armour shipments to Russia

US allies and partners in the Middle East continue to drive a wrench into the US sanctions regime

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) March 19, 2023

These propositions invariably start with a ceasefire in place. So that Russia may fortify the territory it has captured unmolested by the UAF. https://t.co/4q46Y5W33m

— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) March 19, 2023

MouthBQ98 said:

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It's a play for time to reorganize and refit their military or a tacit admission that they can't take much more ground at current loss rates so they want to keep what they have now.

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Absolutely. If history teaches us anything it's that the Russian government cannot be trusted. I'm sure Ukraine is well aware of this. Usually the side that wants to talk cease fire is because it is not going well for them.

For the laymen here, why not take the ammo as well as the guns, assuming it's easy to grab? Concerns with misfires? As they would be similar guns to what the Uke's have are the AK's looked over by an armorer and re-issued to Ukes or just destroyed? I know after WW2 the Russians, inspected and resissued a bunch of Mausers to 3rd world revolutions.

MouthBQ98 said:

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It's a play for time to reorganize and refit their military or a tacit admission that they can't take much more ground at current loss rates so they want to keep what they have now.

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Indeed. Cease fires tend to favor the insurgents.

B-1 83 said:

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MouthBQ98 said:

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It's a play for time to reorganize and refit their military or a tacit admission that they can't take much more ground at current loss rates so they want to keep what they have now.

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Indeed. Cease fires tend to favor the insurgents.

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Tet Offensive anyone?

I agree. The whole thing is a joke. And from what I have been seeing last month or so is that Russia really does need to take an operational pause to shore up a lot of things. So why not just ask for it, right??

I don't know if a massive Uke counter attack is incoming but I am pretty sure Russia thinks that one is possible. They have been observed lately with civilian level construction equipment furiously trying to throw up earth works and similar defenses.

I also doubt the Ukes will be truly receptive to it but I am sure there is going to be massive international pressure to "at least stop and talk about it". Which benefits Russia fully. Call me biased but I don't think there is a single iota of sincerity in the Russian offer. Zero. Remember, this whole thing is the result of just a few madmen. Proven duplicitous men.

MouthBQ98 said:

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Well, that's good to know. If that is the case, then containment through NATO treaty may remain a viable strategy.

I think in the end NATO can help Ukraine fight for a new defensible border to be established but they'll probably have to negotiate away territory to end the war. I'd say they have until 2024 to get in a better position if they can but after that, there will be increasing pressure to negotiate versus fight. I think Russia knows this, too, and is willing to grind forward to keep as much as they can until talks start.

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This may be happening now.

A l’instant, image de la première rencontre entre Xi Jingping et Vladimir Poutine au Kremlin pic.twitter.com/5F0I7cRAOY

— Lionel Feuerstein (@olesmains) March 20, 2023

But, Ukrainians are sticking to 100 percent surrender demands at the moment.

🇨🇳🇷🇺visit. The formula for the successful implementation of China’s “Peace Plan”. The first and major point is the capitulation or withdrawal of the russian occupation troops from 🇺🇦 territory in accordance with the norms of international law and the UN Charter.

— Oleksiy Danilov (@OleksiyDanilov) March 20, 2023

The Situation in Avdiivka is beginning to look even worse than the Bakhmut Front with Russian Ground Forces slowly inching closer to Capturing the Last Road out of the City. pic.twitter.com/mmdSKGX2jw

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 20, 2023

It appears from the Video that the Lancet set off the RM-70s Munitions which caused the Large Explosion.

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 20, 2023

Putin is to Xi as Mussolini was to Hitler

Jetpilot86 said:

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For the laymen here, why not take the ammo as well as the guns, assuming it's easy to grab? Concerns with misfires? As they would be similar guns to what the Uke's have are the AK's looked over by an armorer and re-issued to Ukes or just destroyed? I know after WW2 the Russians, inspected and resissued a bunch of Mausers to 3rd world revolutions.

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This is a good question and I think the reason is the Ukrainians don't need it as compared to earlier in the war. This might be different across locations but here it appears the shovels were of most value to take. There were only two Ukes picking through the site and one could certainly grabbed a bag full of magazines quickly. If my observations of the launched grenades is correct the Ukes were about 2000M away as these were not accurate and this distance is 500M beyond effective range. Ranges are same listed for USA version of MK19 versus UKE UAG40 so they could have sent a larger group to pick through. The russians didn't return either which is the norm.

In one of the recent blogs from below, he talks about how much they had to remove ammo from dead russians in the beginning but not the last few months. In the most recent he explains that they are reporting to a new INTEL officer who wants to know everything and is very detailed and I suspect that this film went through INTEL first and was the main priority of the BDA. I am not saying its the same officer or the that the American below had anything to do with this just that they have amped up their INTEL.


https://ukrainevolunteer297689472.wordpress.com/2023/03/19/at-this-point-i-could-switch-to-a-higher-performance-more-sexy-rifle-but-i-dont-want-to-play-with-karma/

Those salients look absolutely delicious for the commander of any mobile reserve. Punch across it and cut off and isolate the attacking force and turn on the follow on rear troops and logistics trying to support the attack.

There's a reason Russians are making small incremental attacks. They have weak logistical capabilities to follow up any major movement and they have superior artillery in quantity, but not mobility, and want to remain under that artillery cover as they move forward. That results in their systematic slow plodding and grinding attack strategy. Where they achieve a breakthrough salient such as the above, they will have relatively poor logistical support and fire support and be extremely vulnerable to being cut off IF there is a mobile reserve prepared and equipped to do so.

Massive EU ammo plan for Ukraine: UPDATES

Not sure from the wording if those are additional Bradleys, just continued delivery of the original 109 or merely ammo for Bradley. "The latest package of aid includes a large amount of various types of ammunition, such as rockets for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, and an undisclosed number of fuel tanker trucks and riverine boats. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in a statement, said the package also provides more ammunition for howitzers, Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles, high-speed anti-radiation (HARM) missiles and anti-tank weapons."

AID

nm

74OA said:

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Not sure from the wording if those are additional Bradleys, just continued delivery of the original 109 or merely ammo for Bradley. "The latest package of aid includes a large amount of various types of ammunition, such as rockets for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, and an undisclosed number of fuel tanker trucks and riverine boats. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in a statement, said the package also provides more ammunition for howitzers, Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles, high-speed anti-radiation (HARM) missiles and anti-tank weapons."

AID

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This type of thing keeps sticking out to me.

Much of what we are sending (fighting vehicles and troop carriers) are amphibious. I'm almost wondering if the Ukes are going to cross a body of water the Orcs aren't expecting to bypass all these "fortifications" that have been built. Pair that with all these riverine and patrol boats and the German bridging system and I find it a very interesting possibility.

AgLA06 said:

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74OA said:

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Not sure from the wording if those are additional Bradleys, just continued delivery of the original 109 or merely ammo for Bradley. "The latest package of aid includes a large amount of various types of ammunition, such as rockets for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, and an undisclosed number of fuel tanker trucks and riverine boats. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in a statement, said the package also provides more ammunition for howitzers, Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles, high-speed anti-radiation (HARM) missiles and anti-tank weapons."

AID

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This type of thing keeps sticking out to me.

Much of what we are sending (fighting vehicles and troop carriers) are amphibious. I'm almost wondering if the Ukes are going to cross a body of water the Orcs aren't expecting to bypass all these "fortifications" that have been built. Pair that with all these riverine and patrol boats and the German bridging system and I find it a very interesting possibility.

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Which IFV or APC we've sent are amphibious?

The Bradley's and Strykers should be.

AgLA06 said:

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The Bradley's and Strykers should be.

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Not Stryker and Bradley is no longer capable. Too heavy. M113s may be if they have retained their trim vanes.

AgLA06 said:

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The Bradley's and Strykers should be.

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As someone who's operated a majority of our army's heavy armor, I can attest that they most certainly are not!

Got ya. I thought that was the reason we were purposefully sending the older models.

You're probably thinking of the Marine's AAV (Amphibious Assault Vehicle). I don't believe we've sent any of those vehicle types yet.

No I'm sure I'm just wrong.

I looked up the model / year of the ones supposedly sent when announced and it said they were amphibious rated. Probably just looked it up incorrectly as it was the armour upgrades and new models not amphibious rated.

I saw some youtube videos of the Ukes practicing riverine bridging with German floatable pontoons, some armored vehicles were on top of them

hopefully they will cross into Kherson from an undefended river position and send 300 tanks and IFVs all over the peninsula