*****OFFICIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

2,695,857 Views | 20889 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Whistle Pig
4stringAg
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Fox has Trump up 108k in WI with 94% reporting
bmks270
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Trump has won.
His leads everywhere are too big except maybe GA.

Not a Bot
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4stringAg said:

Fox has Trump up 108k in WI with 94% reporting


Only 48% of Milwaukee has reported. That being said, Biden is only ahead by about 70,000 votes there right now. A few Trump areas around Green Bay are also at around 60%.

If Milwaukee dumps 100,000 votes overall in favor of Biden it would be a very bad thing.
cctexagMD
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redsquirrelAG said:

A vote for Biden supports is a Pedophiles. Time to start shaming people the support this sickness.
FIFY
"I wanna go home with the Armadillo."- Gary P. Nunn
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91AggieLawyer
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Hemmer on Fox just said 2 things:

1. Biden is underperforming Hillary by about 10 percent or so in urban areas in the midwest cities that they are "waiting" to count; and,
2. Trump outperformed himself in several PA counties with outstanding ballots according to votes already counted.

Trump's right; this is bull*****
astros4545
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91AggieLawyer said:

Hemmer on Fox just said 2 things:

1. Biden is underperforming Hillary by about 10 percent or so in urban areas in the midwest cities that they are "waiting" to count; and,
2. Trump outperformed himself in several PA counties with outstanding ballots according to votes already counted.

Trump's right; this is bull*****
Yep, Trump is outperforming rural area

Biden underperforming urban area vs Hillary
Not a Bot
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91AggieLawyer said:

Hemmer on Fox just said 2 things:

1. Biden is underperforming Hillary by about 10 percent or so in urban areas in the midwest cities that they are "waiting" to count; and,
2. Trump outperformed himself in several PA counties with outstanding ballots according to votes already counted.

Trump's right; this is bull*****


All that depends on the mail in ballots. If the mail in ballots have been factored in, then yes that's great. But if Trump is performing well in light of not all of the mail in ballots, which will skew Biden, being counted
BigHead 04
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C@LAg said:

redsquirrelAG said:

A vote for Biden supports Pedophiles. Time to start shaming people the support this sickness.
dems don't care about that.


Amen to that. They don't care about murdering babies. Why would they care about diddling children?
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Verne Lundquist
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Is this math right?
lobwedgephil
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No, but Trump should hold on there.
Not a Bot
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?


Sure, but Biden will likely get 70 to 75% of the mail in ballots.
FireAg
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?

Yes...
theeyetest
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?


Biden needs 75%+ of remaining uncounted votes to win
fooz
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Trump wins with 294. BRB though, need another beer to solidify my math.
Faustus
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C@LAg said:

redsquirrelAG said:

A vote for Biden supports Pedophiles. Time to start shaming people the support this sickness.
dems don't care about that.


They already watch pedo Tom Hanks flicks. It's not like additional shame will stop them from supporting that sickness. They're probably fine with his acting awards.
FrioAg 00
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?


I expect Biden to win PA mail in votes by a lot more than 60%.

I still give the overall edge to Trump, but PA is very tight.
theeyetest
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Cactus Jack said:

Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?


Sure, but Biden will likely get 70 to 75% of the mail in ballots.


Not true. Some of the uncounted votes are heavy Trump lean
74Ag1
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?

No
Twice an Aggie
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Math is simple. 1.4 million times the percent for each candidate. Add to current total. Then determine winner. Trump wins easily at 60% for Joe and 40% for Trump. He even wins at 70/30....this should be called
CharlieBrown17
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Texas can get 3 of the largest cities in the country counted in 2-3 hours from poll close but AZ hasn't moved at all in an hour. This **** is so dumb.
Legal Custodian
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Wisconsin should be called, right? Real clear politics has it as 97.4% reporting and trump still has a 100k+ Lead. It's saying Milwaukee county is at 96% reporting.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/live_results/2020/state/wi/president/
cctexagMD
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Verne Lundquist said:


Is this math right?
"I wanna go home with the Armadillo."- Gary P. Nunn
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
astros4545
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I'm calling Wisconsin

Biden needs like 78% of the reminaing 6% of the vote to catch up

94% reporting and a 110K vote lead
Teslag
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Collins up big in Maine at 85% but counting there has stopped too...
Artorias
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Fox said 1.4 million mail votes left. Said Biden winning 60% of mail ins. So Biden would get 840k votes and Trump 560k votes. Trump leads by almost 700k now. Biden not even close.

Trump wins PA without shenanigans

Fox also said alot of the remaining mail in counties are huge Trump counties
BigHead 04
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Took me a minute on that one too. It's late.

But I think so. Biden gets 840k, trump gets 560k. Net 280k

For ****s and giggles if Biden gets 70% he nets 560k.

He would have to get 73% or more of those 1.4 mil to tie
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
TxAgPreacher
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S
astros4545 said:

I'm calling Wisconsin

Biden needs like 78% of the reminaing 6% of the vote to catch up

94% reporting and a 110K vote lead


If true
ANSC Ag
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Stirewalt looking like death
FrioAg 00
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Legal Custodian said:

Wisconsin should be called, right? Real clear politics has it as 97.4% reporting and trump still has a 100k+ Lead. It's saying Milwaukee county is at 96% reporting.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/live_results/2020/state/wi/president/


Really interesting, as NYT has basically the same total but estimates this at only 83% of expected vote total
Twice an Aggie
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And then there are the western, heavily Trump counties holding their totals...
Faustus
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texrover91 said:

Ok I thought the 1.4 was inclusive of the possible contested ballots

FOX just said about 40% of the 1.4 have already been counted


They've already been counted because there's no reason to exclude mail in votes that were timely received by the election date on 11/3. There's no theory floating about that excludes those (apart from states that have a signature comparison requirement).
Aggies2009
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TxAgPreacher said:

astros4545 said:

I'm calling Wisconsin

Biden needs like 78% of the reminaing 6% of the vote to catch up

94% reporting and a 110K vote lead


If true

Fix Arizona and make it blue.

And make Georgia "up in the air" like Michigan.
AggieUSMC
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Quote:

Trump has won.

His leads everywhere are too big except maybe GA.
Not even GA. Fulton CO is the only blue county with votes left to count and they're already 94% reported. They're not making up 100k+ votes with only 6% of their votes left.
Not a Bot
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That's where the model messes up. The model is giving Trump Arizona, which he has already lost.
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