So should NO and surrounding areas start peaking in the next week or so? If so, and its able to be relatively handled by the healthcare system shouldn't that be a considered a positive sign especially knowing the generally unhealthy population (no offense cajuns)?Nuclear Scramjet said:planoaggie123 said:
I am a bit confused on Mardi Gras being to blame...wasnt that a month ago? The people showing up in hospitals now, were they infected by someone who got it at Mardi Gras? Surely this isnt showing up 1 month later in people, right???
The incubation rate can be upwards of 14 to 28 days and then it takes another 6/10 days for you to deteriorate enough for you to need a hospital. It's not that surprising it's taken about a month for the situation to get that bad there.
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.Nuclear Scramjet said:
New Orleans is ****ed as bad as NYC. That Mardi Gras event has screwed that city.
Also, just based upon the massive apparent spread in Florida that heat and humidity is doing nothing to slow it down.
planoaggie123 said:
Ok. Those are longer than i have seen or thought but good to know!
edit: i have just seen Johns Hopkins which mentions mean of 6 days with a range of 2 - 12 but they are way off based on what you are saying....
And they got swarmed for Spring Break.Quote:
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.
Florida also has the least restrictive social distancing.
tysker said:So should NO and surrounding areas start peaking in the next week or so? If so, and its able to be relatively handled by the healthcare system shouldn't that be a considered a positive sign especially knowing the generally unhealthy population (no offense cajuns)?Nuclear Scramjet said:planoaggie123 said:
I am a bit confused on Mardi Gras being to blame...wasnt that a month ago? The people showing up in hospitals now, were they infected by someone who got it at Mardi Gras? Surely this isnt showing up 1 month later in people, right???
The incubation rate can be upwards of 14 to 28 days and then it takes another 6/10 days for you to deteriorate enough for you to need a hospital. It's not that surprising it's taken about a month for the situation to get that bad there.
Rapier108 said:And they got swarmed for Spring Break.Quote:
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.
Florida also has the least restrictive social distancing.
Also, they have a ton of people coming there from NYC.Nuclear Scramjet said:Rapier108 said:And they got swarmed for Spring Break.Quote:
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.
Florida also has the least restrictive social distancing.
Yeah this why Florida is going to get bad. Spring Breakers carried it everywhere.
I missed the post predicting 1M cases by 4/1, but we're currently at 55K US cases and this ******* has organic growth of ~20% per day (that is, not due to increased testing).yukmonkey said:
A million cases in the US by April 1? What the hell are you guys smoking?
I get how exponential functions work, but this is not a computer simulation.
Plus the exodus from NYC will carry the virus with them to Florida.Nuclear Scramjet said:Rapier108 said:And they got swarmed for Spring Break.Quote:
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.
Florida also has the least restrictive social distancing.
Yeah this why Florida is going to get bad. Spring Breakers carried it everywhere.
That horse left the barn decades ago.aggiehawg said:Plus the exodus from NYC will carry the virus with them to Florida.Nuclear Scramjet said:Rapier108 said:And they got swarmed for Spring Break.Quote:
My opinion is that heat and humidity help, but only outdoors. Everything is air conditioned now and that protects the virus.
Florida also has the least restrictive social distancing.
Yeah this why Florida is going to get bad. Spring Breakers carried it everywhere.
You want the country to hate anyone from New York City? Because this is the way you get the country to hate anyone from New York City.
Disagree. They had a lot of good will after 9/11 and for some years afterward. And that wasn't affected too much other than the silly Big Gulp and Meatless Mondays and other SJW virtue signalling the last few years. They had buffoons as Mayors after Rudy.Quote:
That horse left the barn decades ago.
Quote:
NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) - Governor John Bel Edwards believes that Mardi Gras had a lot to do with the number of coronavirus cases in the New Orleans metro area.
The first confirmed case in the state of Louisiana who tested positive did so 13 days after Fat Tuesday and did so in the New Orleans area, and if you look at how long it takes from exposure and people becoming symptomatic that's the period of time that you are talking about between two and three weeks.
"I happen to believe that people coming from all over the country and over the world that a fair amount of virus was seeded if that's the word," Edwards said. He said the impact of self-isolating will likely take weeks to show up.
With an incubation period of up to two weeks for the virus, many may spread it before they feel symptoms.
The governor explained numbers will continue to rise significantly and the effort to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus will take time to show up.
...
Edwards is warning that the New Orleans area could run out of hospital beds by April 4.
cone said:
that incubation period is an extreme tail
most people get symptoms in 3-4 days
planoaggie123 said:
Using the most extreme of that you would be talking last week but i was under the impression the incubation period was average closer to the 5 - 7 days...
Test came back negative. But they're "highly skeptical" (it was a national news story, after all) so they want to retest.aginlakeway said:PJYoung said:
"Her test results have still not come back.
Anderson, 40, said what happened to his former girlfriend should be a wake-up call for anyone who still believes COVID-19 isn't as deadly as experts have claimed."
**** the media. The journalist that wrote that POS clickbait article should be led out to pasture.North Dallas Forty oz. said:Test came back negative. But they're "highly skeptical" (it was a national news story, after all) so they want to retest.aginlakeway said:PJYoung said:
"Her test results have still not come back.
Anderson, 40, said what happened to his former girlfriend should be a wake-up call for anyone who still believes COVID-19 isn't as deadly as experts have claimed."
https://nypost.com/2020/03/25/new-orleans-woman-found-dead-tests-negative-for-coronavirus-but-doctor-skeptical/
Ah, the random Twitter videos that many were rushing here to post.planoaggie123 said:
One thing i was thinking about....why are we not seeing videos in the US similar to what we saw in China? Where people collapse randomly in airports, on trains, etc?
Is it because they had no idea and got that bad or were they fake / old videos?
planoaggie123 said:
Right. So its not the people that were at Mardi Gras currently overwhelming the hospitals...its the people they infected and the people those people infected....
It just seemed like they were saying its the people who walked the streets but those people are done w/ it by now...
planoaggie123 said:
Not arguing the potential multiplier of such events.
I guess i was thinking "man, if these guys got sick 1 month later then we have major issue" but i think its been clarified that these are likely people infected by people that were at mardi gras...
Or conversely there could be a enough mutated versions of bacteria that gang up on and knock-off the virus.TheCougarHunter said:You ever been to Bourbon Street? Coronavirus can probably survive on that surface for yearsplanoaggie123 said:
I am a bit confused on Mardi Gras being to blame...wasnt that a month ago? The people showing up in hospitals now, were they infected by someone who got it at Mardi Gras? Surely this isnt showing up 1 month later in people, right???
