China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,339,909 Views | 21818 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by Krombopulos Michael
IrishTxAggie
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AG
Cowbird
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Wait are you upset at the results?
backintexas2013
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This won't be welcomed here.
Redstone
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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1SesxgaPnpT6OfCYuaFSwXzDK4cDKMbivoALprcVFj48/preview

MAYBE NONSENSE
MAYBE NOT

I SAID CHECK IT OUT

Rapier108
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Quote:

A 40th birthday bash that a Connecticut woman held earlier this month is now being eyed by health experts as a suspected coronavirus "super-spreading event" after more than half of its 50 guests later tested positive for the sickness, a report says.

The March 5 gathering at a home in the small town of Westport which the New York Times is dubbing "Party Zero" occurred when Connecticut had no confirmed cases of COVID-19. As of Tuesday, the state is now dealing with 415 cases, 270 of which are in Fairfield County, where Westport is located, according to statistics from Johns Hopkins University.

The Westport celebration "may be an example of the kind of thing we call a super-spreading event," William Hanage, an associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard University, told the New York Times.

"Some of the early cases in Northern Italy were associated with small towns, and people thought, 'Oh, it's just in the small towns,'" he added. "But then you suddenly find cases emerging from Milan Fashion Week and spreading internationally. Everywhere you think the virus is, it's ahead of you."

A New York Times report on the gathering said its attendees left afterward for South Africa, New York City and other parts of Connecticut, while their children continued life as normal.

A 43-year-old partygoer boarded an international flight to Johannesburg, then reportedly started feeling sick during the trip.
https://www.foxnews.com/us/connecticut-gathering-of-50-people-dubbed-party-zero-for-coronavirus-spread-in-state
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
IrishTxAggie
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backintexas2013 said:

This won't be welcomed here.


I'm not exactly liked by the doomsdayers in here, so I'm happy to share information that runs counter to their crap
Punked Shank
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Think I've been actively fighting the doom n gloomers on this thread for awhile with you.

I've been banned 3 times or so now. The only other times I've been banned was back around JFF days and I boob blasted the zoo.

Good work.
Redstone
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This is not complicated as we search for info.

Listen to MDs / the credentialed and named only

All my posts link directly to named MDs saying X or Y or Z

Read the letter linked above

I hope he is correct
Stat Monitor Repairman
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coastsrs said:

The only other times I've been banned was back around JFF days and I boob blasted the zoo.
Thank you for your service.
Wildcat
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The thing about Epi is that no one ever does a real experiment. It's just modeling (similar to economics, but with healthcare data). So the results you get are entirely a function of the assumptions you make.

The old adage of "assume a ladder" applies here.
Aegrescit medendo
aginlakeway
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Pence: 60 percent of country's new cases were in NYC.
CFTXAG10
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Trump w/ the Texas shoutout when asked about states that are doing really well
Jet Black
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aggie2812-2 said:

Wait are you upset at the results?


Yep.
TCTTS
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Redstone said:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1SesxgaPnpT6OfCYuaFSwXzDK4cDKMbivoALprcVFj48/preview

MAYBE NONSENSE
MAYBE NOT

I SAID CHECK IT OUT



This is incredibly encouraging. Thanks for posting.
TCTTS
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riverrataggie
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Good news isn't welcome here.

There are lies, damn lies, and statistics. Mark Twain.
aginlakeway
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TCTTS said:




How about NY?
riverrataggie
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TCTTS said:




Fear fear your boat!
TCTTS
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riverrataggie said:

TCTTS said:




Fear fear your boat!

I read that tweet as a positive, not a negative.
OnlyForNow
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This is the kind of information that really intrigues me about the virus.

With that kind of potency, its R0 is way more than 2.5
Pasquale Liucci
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nm
riverrataggie
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TCTTS said:

riverrataggie said:

TCTTS said:




Fear fear your boat!

I read that tweet as a positive, not a negative.


Dumb people will only focus on the million number, like me.
Bobcat06
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TCTTS said:

riverrataggie said:

TCTTS said:




Fear fear your boat!

I read that tweet as a positive, not a negative.
Half the posters on this thread believe that any news that isn't 100% sunshine is fear mongering.
OnlyForNow
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It's a fear mongering tweet, and stating everyone should basically stay in bed to run away from the virus.... it's the only way to be safe.

Since this really kicked off, all experts were saying that we're going to see big jumps in numbers as testing becomes more readily available - not necessarily more infections are taking place.
riverrataggie
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Bobcat06 said:

TCTTS said:

riverrataggie said:

TCTTS said:




Fear fear your boat!

I read that tweet as a positive, not a negative.
Half the posters on this thread believe that any news that isn't 100% sunshine is fear mongering.


No she could have said, early indications social distancing is working. California aas doubling # of cases each x day to 5.
cone
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I think it's more that super spreaders exist and they are what makes it such a high R0 compared to normal flus and colds
riverrataggie
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cone said:

I think it's more that super spreaders exist and they are what makes it such a high R0 compared to normal flus and colds


I know a girl like this.
Texaggie7nine
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IrishTxAggie said:





If half of UK has it today then all of em would have it tomorrow.
7nine
TCTTS
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I mean, it's just comical at this point...

aggiehawg
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aginlakeway said:

TCTTS said:




How about NY?
Gee, you think the fact that California has a population that is way more spread out without mass transit systems in only but the most densely populated urban centers might have something to do with that??

California has built in social distancing. They are called cars on a freeway.
AgResearch
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TCTTS said:


This is what happens when they are still clearing up the massive backlog of tests. We still haven't hit a 24-hour cycle of testing.
Zobel
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Test numbers are declining again.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/testing-in-us.html

Does that mean we're through the backlog?
Joe Exotic
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Redstone said:

Worth watching closely




This combined with social distancing and buying time may be the silver bullet we needed.
CDub06
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AgResearch said:

TCTTS said:


This is what happens when they are still clearing up the massive backlog of tests. We still haven't hit a 24-hour cycle of testing.

Yeah, that's a bad conclusion by that doctor. I've said all along, we can't project anything from our confirmed numbers. If the number of tests have explored, of course the confirmed cases have followed suit.

For the record: I know someone still awaiting results from Friday, so there's still quite a bit of lag.
Wife of Chas Satterfield
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cone said:

so what was the initial condition of all 350 patients?

were they all hypoxic and needing O2?

i'm calling bull****
Call the doc and ask him.

ETA in the twitter thread the doc has a letter describing 500 treatments with no deaths.

His phone number is on the letter.
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