China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

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cone
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In reply to aginlakeway • 12:43p, 3/24/20
AG
wear a mask when you go in public, it can even be improvised

keep social distancing as much as possible, even with the mask

check your temps regularly

get good sleep eat well exercise
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Nitro Power
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In reply to cone • 12:44p, 3/24/20
AG
For how long?
When you fall to your knees and ask God for help, don’t forget to fall back on your knees and say ‘thank you’ when He answers.- Steve Torrence
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cone
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In reply to 74OA • 12:44p, 3/24/20
AG
you want the economy restarted? so do I. but we can't just tamiflu this thing away.
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cone
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In reply to Nitro Power • 12:47p, 3/24/20
AG
mask wearing? for the next several months, if not longer. or until you catch the bug.

social distancing? will probably be relaxed in proportion to mask wearing and testing capacity.

if you're 65 and older, you'll probably want to be staying home as much as possible at least until July. maybe longer.
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74OA
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In reply to cone • 12:47p, 3/24/20
AG
cone said:
you want the economy restarted? so do I. but we can't just tamiflu this thing away.
You are a trip. There are very few silver bullets in real life. Most solutions are a combination of synergistic, complimentary steps. That drug combination could be one of them. Be glad.
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aginlakeway
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In reply to cone • 12:49p, 3/24/20
AG
cone said:
wear a mask when you go in public, it can even be improvised

keep social distancing as much as possible, even with the mask

check your temps regularly

get good sleep eat well exercise
OK. Thanks.

So if I do all of that, do I have to continue to read your posts telling everyone what to do?

Or is that like public TV used to be ... you had to listen to the sales speeches even if you donated ...
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cone
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In reply to aginlakeway • 12:50p, 3/24/20
AG
you can do anything you want, just stay where you are
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aginlakeway
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In reply to cone • 12:50p, 3/24/20
AG
cone said:
you can do anything you want, just stay where you are
I just did what I wanted.

Take care!
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Agsrback12
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1:35p, 3/24/20
What's the movie where that guy won't leave the house because the sun is going to melt him instantly (in his head). I get in this thread and picture it over and over again.
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BoydCrowder13
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In reply to Agsrback12 • 1:43p, 3/24/20
Agsrback12 said:
What's the movie where that guy won't leave the house because the sun is going to melt him instantly (in his head). I get in this thread and picture it over and over again.


Benchwarmers
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gigemJTH12
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1:46p, 3/24/20
AG
My sister works for Landry's corporate. She was at a Willie G's today volunteering to serve free food to the laid off workers.

4 gunmen came in. One got killed by the cops. My sister is fine.

Make sure you're carrying right now.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to cone • 1:50p, 3/24/20
AG
cone said:
you can do anything you want, just stay where you are
No. We can't do anything we want right now. How about people that are concerned stay the **** home in their 'shelter at home' and the rest of us get on with our lives and work to help rebuild the economy?

We don't live in a bubble. We take an intrinsic risk every time we step outside that something may happen to us that is out of our control. This is no different. Take the precautions you deem necessary for you and yours and I'll do the same for mine.
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BoydCrowder13
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1:55p, 3/24/20
1,100 deaths in France now.

673 in the US.

Death rate in confirmed cases at 4.5% worldwide.
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Cant Think of a Name
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In reply to gigemJTH12 • 2:03p, 3/24/20
AG
The one on post oak?
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to BoydCrowder13 • 2:16p, 3/24/20
AG
BoydCrowder13 said:
1,100 deaths in France now.

673 in the US.

Death rate in confirmed cases at 4.5% worldwide.
Complete garbage statistic. Wish we would just stop trying to calculate it. We'll be lucky if we get the number of deaths within a factor of 10 of being correct, and # of confirmed cases is completely meaningless.
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aginlakeway
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In reply to BoydCrowder13 • 2:18p, 3/24/20
AG
BoydCrowder13 said:
1,100 deaths in France now.

673 in the US.

Death rate in confirmed cases at 4.5% worldwide.
What does that stat even mean? Could you explain that further?
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Nitro Power
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In reply to aginlakeway • 2:22p, 3/24/20
AG
I will help.

It is a bungled up number that has no value except to make the doomers feel superior to us simpletons.

I am not a math expert, but I googled fractions and percentages. As such, my conclusion is that you can not have an accurate death rate without an accurate infection rate. That is what I have deduced.

But as I said, I am just a simpleton.
When you fall to your knees and ask God for help, don’t forget to fall back on your knees and say ‘thank you’ when He answers.- Steve Torrence
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Zobel
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2:24p, 3/24/20
AG
During outbreaks there's lots of ways people track numbers.

One is deaths / known cases

One is deaths / closed cases

Neither is likely to be a very good approximation of the final infection fatality ratio.
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74OA
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2:30p, 3/24/20
AG
I had no idea there are so many cases who test positive despite being asymptomatic and are therefore potentially contagious. Yet another reason for mass testing regardless of symptoms. This is a very clever pathogen. Does US data bear this report out, too?

Silent Carriers
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Zobel
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In reply to 74OA • 2:34p, 3/24/20
AG
Lots of sources of error. False positives, false negatives.. asmyptomatics, pauci-symptomatics... PRE-symptomatics...

There are a lot of diseases that have low or no-symptom carriers. Ebola, even. Flu some years is as high as 50%. Lots of bacterial illnesses too.
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AgsMyDude
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In reply to 74OA • 2:36p, 3/24/20
AG
This is why a few on this thread were pushing for mass testing that is just now getting up to speed. The more testing, the better idea of who is carrying it (especially those asymptomatic cases) then you can contract trace.

We need to get antibody test rolling fast so we can determine who already had it and can get them back working.
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84AGEC
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In reply to gigemJTH12 • 2:38p, 3/24/20
AG
Post oak at San Felipe

Parking lot was swat central
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Stat Monitor Repairman
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In reply to 84AGEC • 2:42p, 3/24/20
Someone stole some laptops from Incredible Universe.
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cone
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In reply to 74OA • 2:44p, 3/24/20
AG
and why you should wear a mask

to protect others
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BoydCrowder13
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In reply to Nitro Power • 2:46p, 3/24/20
Social Distanced said:
I will help.

It is a bungled up number that has no value except to make the doomers feel superior to us simpletons.

I am not a math expert, but I googled fractions and percentages. As such, my conclusion is that you can not have an accurate death rate without an accurate infection rate. That is what I have deduced.

But as I said, I am just a simpleton.


Not saying that is even close to the actual mortality rate.

However, it is worth considering that testing has become a lot more widespread in the past week. Last week, 3.7% of confirmed cases were fatal. Now it is up to 4.5% of confirmed cases.

The true mortality rate is far lower. But it is apparent that countries with overrun hospital systems (Spain, France, Italy) are seeing a spike in the mortality rate.
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TelcoAg
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In reply to gigemJTH12 • 2:50p, 3/24/20
AG
gigemJTH12 said:
My sister works for Landry's corporate. She was at a Willie G's today volunteering to serve free food to the laid off workers.

4 gunmen came in. One got killed by the cops. My sister is fine.

Make sure you're carrying right now.
4 gunmen went into Willie G's? Just asking because I right next door but not at the office today. Haven't seen anything on the news yet - that's just crazy!
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Nitro Power
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In reply to BoydCrowder13 • 2:50p, 3/24/20
AG
There are a number of considerations that must be taken intro account, not just the overwhelming of hospitals.
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Redstone
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3:58p, 3/24/20
AG
Worth watching closely

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Agsrback12
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In reply to Redstone • 4:09p, 3/24/20
Redstone said:
Worth watching closely



America isn't Italy. We will have this thing kicked in no time.
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84AGEC
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In reply to Stat Monitor Repairman • 4:21p, 3/24/20
AG
This was 400 yards from willie g
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cone
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In reply to Redstone • 4:23p, 3/24/20
AG
so what was the initial condition of all 350 patients?

were they all hypoxic and needing O2?

i'm calling bull****
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Redstone
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4:33p, 3/24/20
AG
How would I know?

Nobody listen to me for anything medical.

Worth looking into. I hope something works
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Beat40
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In reply to cone • 4:37p, 3/24/20
cone said:
so what was the initial condition of all 350 patients?

were they all hypoxic and needing O2?

i'm calling bull****
Maybe so.

Regardless, If they can catch people before they need O2 and keep the hospitals more clear, isn't that a really great thing?

Let's at least take a moment to take some good news.
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Redstone
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4:40p, 3/24/20
AG
Wrong

Read the Twitter thread

Maybe its wrong. What do I know?

Check it out
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Agsrback12
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In reply to cone • 4:40p, 3/24/20
cone said:
so what was the initial condition of all 350 patients?

were they all hypoxic and needing O2?

i'm calling bull****



Ohhh..... Now details are important.
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