China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,234,656 Views | 21764 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
ProgN
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Robk said:

Well, if the company takes some of that 8.25 billion or gets any other government subsidies, I am with the Bern on this one. Well maybe not free but affordable to ali.
Human trials of vaccines begin late this week or next week. These companies haven't received a dime yet from the government. They should be compensated for their work.
cone
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AG
for sure

but at the same time, is this the guy treating his colleague? did they exhaust all the other anti-viral protocols?

is this a community spread case in NYC not previously disclosed?

why namecheck remdesivir? is gilead really unresponsive during a pandemic to request for help of a HCW?

something feels a little off.

we'll know much more when the cases start piling up state-side, but you didn't hear a ton of horror stories out of the cruise with the young starting to fail in health.

maybe they had their good drugs ready to go.
FamousAgg
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SK new cases are trending downward. Seems that testing thousands per day and quarantine of the sick is working for them.
C@LAg
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Sine poena nulla lex.
VaultingChemist
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AG
Mr.Infectious said:

Will do. Which links do y'all want? Make requests and I'll post.
Only made it through first 70 pages. Poster foleyt found the majority of these:

First case in U.S. announced.
https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/1219687614497918977?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1219687614497918977&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Ftexags.com%2Fforums%2F16%2Ftopics%2F3090341%2F367


Wuhan locked down.
https://twitter.com/lookner/status/1220063891557945347?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1220063891557945347&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Ftexags.com%2Fforums%2F16%2Ftopics%2F3090341%2F367

Suspected case at Texas A&M
https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/Brazos-County-health-officials-investigating-suspected-case-of-coronavirus-567236761.html

First death in China outside of Wuhan
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047453/china-coronavirus-first-fatality-reported-outside-epicentre

Discovery of a novel coronavirus associated with the recent pneumonia outbreak in humans and its potential bat origin
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.22.914952v2

Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 202
https://eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044

Second U.S. case confirmed
https://twitter.com/Breaking24Seven/status/1220728239179620352?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1220728239179620352&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Ftexags.com%2Fforums%2F16%2Ftopics%2F3090341%2F7

Case study of 41 patients with novel Coronavirus
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v2

U.S. to evacuate Wuhan citizens
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1221277260331802624?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1221277260331802624&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Ftexags.com%2Fforums%2F16%2Ftopics%2F3090341%2F18

Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1

Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens
https://www.academia.edu/41743064/Systemic_Risk_of_Pandemic_via_Novel_Pathogens_-_Coronavirus_A_Note

Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1.full
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v2

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30211-7/fulltext

Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel CoronavirusInfected Pneumonia
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316

Exponential growth Explained



http://www.chinanews.com/gn/2020/01-30/9073220.shtml


Discovery of a novel coronavirus associated with the recent pneumonia outbreak in humans and its potential bat origin
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.22.914952v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.22.914952v2

Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Contact in Germany
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001468?query=featured_home

Video on German cases. Start at 5:40.


China flight ban
https://twitter.com/BNODesk?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1223348479688413185&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Ftexags.com%2Fforums%2F16%2Ftopics%2F3090341%2F41


Agsrback12
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cone said:

I'd like to know more about this

30 year old doc crashing in the first few weeks of stateside spread is pretty panic inducing


I'm sure a handful of people under 70 may die but they will be outliers. Did the doc die?
CDub06
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Robk said:

https://www.kmov.com/news/st-louis-coronavirus-father-took-younger-daughter-to-villa-dance/article_41ec34a4-6179-11ea-b3e3-6fbf809e7778.html

Father under quarantine because daughter has the disease takes other daughter to Fater/Daughter dance.


Sounds like a few people in this thread...
ccaggie05
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AG
Im curious why Italy's death rate is so high compared to SK.
IrishTxAggie
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It's the region where the deaths are. It's disproportionately elderly
C@LAg
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Sine poena nulla lex.
Pasquale Liucci
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This is the one data point im really interested in. If it wasn't for Italy dropping like flies I would be much more optimistic.
claym711
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Good god VaultingChemist is the clickbait really necessary?
PJYoung
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Tennis tournament cancelled
n_touch
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PJYoung said:



Tennis tournament cancelled
Lets hope something real doesn't get cancelled. He might stroke out
IrishTxAggie
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AG
We still rodeo'ing in Houston!
AgsMyDude
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AG
Read through his tweets, especially from today. He went to Twitter asking for other physicians' advice and the pharmaceutical company that makes a specific trial drug wouldn't get back to him because it was the weekend




Phat32
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JP_Losman said:

As mentioned by Holman Jenkins in the WSJ last week- is it possible that the panic leads to a hand washing obsession by a good portion of the general public ultimately leading to an overall reduction in cold and flu and other respiratory infections this year???


Have never seen the hand washing at the public bathrooms so full.
Agsrback12
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AgsMyDude said:

Read through his tweets, especially from today. He went to Twitter asking for other physicians' advice and the pharmaceutical company that makes a specific trial drug wouldn't get back to him because it was the weekend






How many young healthy people have died? That Felix dude needs a Xanax
VaultingChemist
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claym711 said:

Good god VaultingChemist is the clickbait really necessary?
What are you referring to as clickbait?
PJYoung
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Rapier108
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12 cases in the Houston area, all connected to that Nile River cruise.

https://www.click2houston.com/health/2020/03/05/man-woman-confirmed-to-be-first-cases-of-coronavirus-confirmed-in-harris-county/
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Nuclear Scramjet
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-italy-doctors-intensive-care-deaths-a9384356.html

Quote:

In an alarming development, Dr Nattino said younger patients were being affected, saying the ages of patients ranged from 46 to 83 with only a small number having important underlying conditions.

He added: "The last days are showing a younger population involved as if the elderly and weaker part of the population crashed early and now younger patients, having exhausted their physiological reserves, come to overcrowded, overwhelmed hospitals with little resources left."

One UK doctor said this latter point needed careful consideration by NHS hospitals, adding: "We need to be careful to have some ICU capacity for younger patients. This is where important difficult decisions need to be made."


Looks like Italy is now seeing younger people get hit hard. With the beds already full and the system overwhelmed, it's not going to be good.

Looks like those rumors early on of it taking longer to affect younger people (in a way that was no less severe) were true.
AgsMyDude
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AG
Agsrback12 said:

AgsMyDude said:

Read through his tweets, especially from today. He went to Twitter asking for other physicians' advice and the pharmaceutical company that makes a specific trial drug wouldn't get back to him because it was the weekend






How many young healthy people have died? That Felix dude needs a Xanax


There were 2 men in their 20s hospitalized in Washington last week

https://q13fox.com/2020/03/03/seventh-coronavirus-death-in-washington-state-happened-last-week-at-harborview-medical-center/
AgFan2015
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Futures market hit down limit. Trading halted. This virus story is going to take the back seat to the larger economic issues it caused... hang on to your butts, we are going to be hitting very rough air pockets ahead.


Quote:

Futures on the S&P 500 were halted Sunday night after they declined 5%. So-called circuit-breaker levels are the thresholds at which exchanges halt or close marketwide trading due to extreme declines. These levels are calculated daily, based on the previous day's close in the S&P 500.


https://www.barrons.com/articles/is-the-stock-market-crashing-heres-when-s-p-500-circuit-breakers-kick-in-51583717721
Aust Ag
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AG
Yeah, what's up with that?
I mean, the Rodeo is starting to look ridiculous at this point.
IrishTxAggie
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That was the Saudis and Russians that caused this. They launched an all out crude oil war and slashed the **** out of the prices while ramping up production and a no agreement at OPEC last week
C@LAg
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IrishTxAggie
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Aust Ag said:

Yeah, what's up with that?
I mean, the Rodeo is starting to look ridiculous at this point.


Why? Zero reason to cancel the rodeo. The demographics compared to SXSW are completely different. The attendees are 99% from Texas and the other 1% are from the surrounding states. It's not attended by internationals and the West Coast hot spots.
AgFan2015
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Hope everyone has gold, silver and lead. Interesting times ahead.
C@LAg
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Sine poena nulla lex.
Aust Ag
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I thought it was a pretty big deal, , but I haven't lived in Houston for about 20 years now, so what do I know.
But the Houston Rodeo site itself says that last year about 2,600 guest from 75 countries attended.
cone
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so is he the person attending to the victim in the ICU?

something seems off
AgFan2015
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Much bigger monsters....central bankers and a government with unlimited printing presses.
cone
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AG
wait what

you think it's going to be mad max?
Agsrback12
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So no, not dead. The flu has hospitalized and killed young people.
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