China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,239,578 Views | 21764 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
black_hat_ag
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lunchbox said:

Civil.Savage said:

Just out of curiousity. Is this a 17 yr old sock?


<magnifying glass>

Thats fine if so. If not then I would conider the ammount of posting you have done on this topic, well above your daily average over such a long time, to mean you have significant genuine concern.


Been on Texags for decades. Had an old very active account. This account was a sock used by a friend and when he stopped posting, he told me his password. Started using it a few years ago sporadically. Glad to see so many are analyzing my posting history.

And yes, I am concerned but I have always been fascinated with this stuff...from back when Hot Zone, The Demon in the Freezer, Cobra Event (fiction), Virus Hunters of the CDC, etc were published. Part of my job is to keep track of things of this nature and raise alerts when it can affect our supply chain. I've mainly been treating this thread as a place to post things I run across that raise my eyebrows. There has been a lot that I have seen and not posted.
Dont let the haters bring you down bruh. keep on posting what you got.
AgFan2015
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[url] [/url]

Wondering where all those N95 masks from Home Depot and Lowe's went?
DE4D
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AG
Your username really caught my attention honestly. Keep it up.
lunchbox
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Remember that a lot of the suspected cases are dead...
DE4D
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AG
Not really. I thought we all had a shelf full in our garages? Just me?
VaultingChemist
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AG
14 American cases will yield some valuable data on this virus. Sad that they are the guinea pigs for the rest of us.

They do get a full refund, however.

jagvocate
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Good recap of Seriousness of Situation, B.S. Media Coverage So Far
oldarmy1
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Madman
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oldarmy1 said:



Some 4chan guy claiming he could calculate the number of bodies needed to make this gas emission. In this case 13K

All outside of anything I could possibly verify but sure seems a difficult thing to know let alone calculate. Wild speculation and what not but if he turned out to be correct I would be impressed.
FrontPorchAg
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oldarmy1 said:




I'm going fakenews. The temp spike is too large of an area real active to the size of the city. They would be burning down 10s of city blocks based on that.

ETA: relooking at it I'm not sure what that map is supposed to be. I use windy all the time at work and I'm not aware of any function that would allow you to deter sulphur dioxide Or any other chemical in the atmosphere.
All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others
eric76
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VaultingChemist said:

14 American cases will yield some valuable data on this virus. Sad that they are the guinea pigs for the rest of us.

They do get a full refund, however.


They will not be charged for tips? Is it time for them to tip really big?
AgResearch
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AG
TexasAggie_02
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Mtn_Guide said:

oldarmy1 said:




I'm going fakenews. The temp spike is too large of an area real active to the size of the city. They would be burning down 10s of city blocks based on that.

ETA: relooking at it I'm not sure what that map is supposed to be. I use windy all the time at work and I'm not aware of any function that would allow you to deter sulphur dioxide Or any other chemical in the atmosphere.


I would guess that they used landsat or sentinel satellite data to infer sulfur dioxide concentrations
Forum Troll
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oldarmy1 said:




Could just as easily be a bunch of dead ducks or chickens from those farms we've seen at least 1 video of, or just a massive amount of medical waste.
FrontPorchAg
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How can windy tell sulphur dioxide? At best it would only be able to detest temp pressure, or cloud density. You would need some sort of on the ground air monitoring to tell what the cloud was
All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others
Rapier108
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Mtn_Guide said:

oldarmy1 said:




I'm going fakenews. The temp spike is too large of an area real active to the size of the city. They would be burning down 10s of city blocks based on that.

ETA: relooking at it I'm not sure what that map is supposed to be. I use windy all the time at work and I'm not aware of any function that would allow you to deter sulphur dioxide Or any other chemical in the atmosphere.
Someone else brought this up earlier in the thread (originally quoting Reddit), and it was promptly debunked by another poster who used to be an emissions control specialist.
FrontPorchAg
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Highly suspect
All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others
TexasAggie_02
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AG
https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S5P_NRTI_L3_SO2
claym711
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Interesting bifurcation on this thread. Half want to believe the best. Half want to believe the worst.
jagvocate
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Transmission of CoronaVirus through eyes ignored?
VaultingChemist
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claym711 said:

Interesting bifurcation on this thread. Half want to believe the best. Half want to believe the worst.
There's some really wild speculation on Twitter on deaths being over 20,000 to 30,000, with over 150,000 infected.

Then there are the statistics provided by the CCP.

The truth probably lies between the two. I would lean toward China's statistics being too low by a factor of five to ten. Even if you believe that China's numbers are accurate, it is extremely concerning that the exponential growth is continuing. Remember that cases can only be confirmed by test kits, which have been somewhat limited in numbers.
jagvocate
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Professor Neil Ferguson on the current 2019-nCoV coronavirus outbreak:



  • 50,000 new cases a day in china
  • Infections doubling every 5 days
  • Death rate is still unknown
  • China likely to peak in March
  • Epidemic peak is still a month away
  • It will be very hard to control this epidemic the say way we did with SARS 15-20 years ago
  • Cases are always underestimated
  • Death delays are as long as three weeks
  • Reported deaths outside China are not reassuring because of delays
  • We still don't know the full effects

PA24
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Providing you don't die, how long does it take the virus to run it's course?

Per MSM, death rate still around 2%.

...
GE
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Prediction: less than 10 people in the United States under the age of 60 will die from this virus in 2020.
TyHolden
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claym711 said:

Interesting bifurcation on this thread. Half want to believe the best. Half want to believe the worst.

L
moses1084ever
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Air quality stats for Wuhan:
https://aqicn.org/city/wuhan/

Not sure about the veracity of the data, however the site has been on point for data in Singapore.

I really appreciate all the previous offers for help. We're all good for now. I'll start posting pics/vids on twitter to give a view from the ground here in SG
indy 00
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Around 20 days from infection to death seems to be the current estimate. For those not dying, it sounds like the immune system kicks in fairly quickly after two weeks.
AgFan2015
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Quote:


- Infections doubling every 5 days

- China likely to peak in March

- Epidemic peak is still a month away

- We still don't know the full effect


These times eleventy billion.


[url] [/url]


Doubling by Friday (2/14) gives us 80k, by Wed (2/19) gives us 160k, by Mon (2/24) 320k, by Sunday (3/1) 640k.....

It's a math equation with extremely flawed data and the Chinese are lying about their numbers.

That being said, the virus isn't the biggest concern. We can beat it.

The biggest issues that we need to avoid: 1) economic collapse and 2) panic.

They will slow roll the news to keep fear quelled. They will continue to print money and float the stock markets. As Governments should in a crisis. But it's the public mindset that is the greatest unknown. How long can we keep our **** together?
black_hat_ag
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Mr.Infectious said:

Quote:


- Infections doubling every 5 days

- China likely to peak in March

- Epidemic peak is still a month away

- We still don't know the full effect


These times eleventy billion.


[url] [/url]


Doubling by Friday (2/14) gives us 80k, by Wed (2/19) gives us 160k, by Mon (2/24) 320k, by Sunday (3/1) 640k.....

It's a math equation with extremely flawed data and the Chinese are lying about their numbers.

That being said, the virus isn't the biggest concern. We can beat it.

The biggest issues that we need to avoid: 1) economic collapse and 2) panic.

They will slow roll the news to keep fear quelled. They will continue to print money and float the stock markets. As Governments should in a crisis. But it's the public mindset that is the greatest unknown. How long can we keep our **** together?


Got the bunk house loaded up with ammo and bottle water/food to last a long time. Got the lady friend headed here Saturday. I'll be good. Suggest everyone do the same.
Mucho austin
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Will do. Post the address and we will meet you there
lunchbox
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TheVarian
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Mtn_Guide said:

Highly suspect
Decent band 5/7
VaultingChemist
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The Debt said:


Chairman Meow
AgFan2015
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Complete disaster is not inevitable. It will be an incredible challenge for this country but all is not lost. People will have to sober up, put aside differences, and work together to face it head on. Lifestyles will change dramatically and there will be dark days but we will beat this.

Can't wait for some political figure head to come save us. It's time for people start working towards solving this dilemma for ourselves not viewing it from a far as some sort of reality TV show.

Time to take action.

Start by changing behaviors.

- wash hands
- use hand sanitizers
- be aware of surfaces you touch in public, home and work.
- if your sick stay home from work
- boost immune system now
- take vitamins

Small steps first. Bigger steps as events warrant.
C@LAg
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Sine poena nulla lex.
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